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Full-Text Articles in Public Administration
The Co-Production Of Sustainable Future Scenarios, David M. Iwaniec, Elizabeth Cook, Melissa J. Davidson, Marta Berbés-Blázquez, Matei Georgescu, E. Scott Krayenhoff, Ariane Middel, David A. Sampson, Nancy B. Grimm
The Co-Production Of Sustainable Future Scenarios, David M. Iwaniec, Elizabeth Cook, Melissa J. Davidson, Marta Berbés-Blázquez, Matei Georgescu, E. Scott Krayenhoff, Ariane Middel, David A. Sampson, Nancy B. Grimm
Sustainable Futures Lab Publications
Scenarios are a tool to develop plausible, coherent visions about the future and to foster anticipatory knowledge. We present the Sustainable Future Scenarios (SFS) framework and demonstrate its application through the Central Arizona-Phoenix Long-term Ecological Research (CAP LTER) urban site. The SFS approach emphasizes the co-development of positive and long-term alternative future visions. Through a collaboration of practitioner and academic stakeholders, this research integrates participatory scenario development, modeling, and qualitative scenario assessments. The SFS engagement process creates space to question the limits of what is normally considered possible, desirable, or inevitable in the face of future challenges. Comparative analyses among …
Integrating Existing Climate Adaptation Planning Into Future Visions: A Strategic Scenario For The Central Arizona–Phoenix Region, David M. Iwaniec, Elizabeth Cook, Melissa J. Davidson, Marta Berbés-Blázquez, Nancy B. Grimm
Integrating Existing Climate Adaptation Planning Into Future Visions: A Strategic Scenario For The Central Arizona–Phoenix Region, David M. Iwaniec, Elizabeth Cook, Melissa J. Davidson, Marta Berbés-Blázquez, Nancy B. Grimm
CSLF Articles
Cities face a number of challenges to ensure that people’s well-being and ecosystem integrity are not only maintained but improved for current and future generations. Urban planning must account for the diverse and changing interactions among the social, ecological, and technological systems (SETS) of a city. Cities struggle with long-range approaches to explore, anticipate, and plan for sustainability and resilience—and scenario development is one way to address this need. In this paper, we present the framework for developing what we call ‘strategic’ scenarios, which are scenarios or future visions created from governance documents expressing unrealized municipal priorities and goals. While …