Open Access. Powered by Scholars. Published by Universities.®

Macroeconomics Commons™

Open Access. Powered by Scholars. Published by Universities.®

2007

GARCH

Articles 1 - 2 of 2

Full-Text Articles in Macroeconomics

La Política Monetaria Y Su Impacto Sobre Los Retornos Reales Del Mercado Bursátil Chileno, Jorge Muñoz, Claudio Recabal, Andres Acuña Nov 2007

La Política Monetaria Y Su Impacto Sobre Los Retornos Reales Del Mercado Bursátil Chileno, Jorge Muñoz, Claudio Recabal, Andres Acuña

Andrés A. Acuña

In this article we examined and tested the effects of monetary policy driven by Central Bank of Chile over the Chilean stock market's real returns for monthly data which spans between I.1996 and XII.2006. Based on a theoretical background, we analyzed the monetary policy from the monetarist and Keynesian points of view, their schemes and economics results. Once we analyzed the stock market in detail, from a sectorial perspective, we applied a GARCH (1, 1) model as a framework, in order to measure the impact that monetary policy has over the Chilean stock market's real returns under an inflation targeting …

Go to article

The Relationship Between Inflation And Inflation Uncertainty In Emerging Market Economies, John Thornton Dec 2006

The Relationship Between Inflation And Inflation Uncertainty In Emerging Market Economies, John Thornton

John Thornton

A standard Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedastic (q,v) model is employed to construct a measure of monthly intlation uncertainty in 12 emerging market economies, and the relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty is examined using Granger causality tests. The results suggest that higher inflation rates increased inflation uncertainty in all the economies, providing strong support for the Friedman hypothesis. The evidence on the effect of inflation uncertainty on average monthly inflation is more mixed, with increased inflation uncertainty leading to lower average inflation in Colombia. Israel. Mexico, and Turkey, consistent with the Holland hypothesis, but to higher average intlation in Hungary. …

Go to article