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Full-Text Articles in Macroeconomics
Macroeconomic Instability Index And Threshold For The Nigerian Economy, B. A. G. Amoo, J. K. Achua, N. P. Audu, B. Hamma
Macroeconomic Instability Index And Threshold For The Nigerian Economy, B. A. G. Amoo, J. K. Achua, N. P. Audu, B. Hamma
Economic and Financial Review
The paper employed statistical algorithms, factor analysis and threshold autoregressive models to address the gaps in management of macroeconomic instability in Nigeria. Using data spanning 2010q1 to 2017q2, the findings showed that the values of macroeconomic instability index (MII) fluctuated between 0.316 and 0.609, with a threshold of 0.461. This showed an inverse relationship between macroeconomic instability and economic growth. This framework could serve as a mechanism to gauge early warning signal of instability in Nigeria.
Empirical Estimation Of Optimal International Reserves For Nigeria: The Sudden Stop Model, G.K. Sanni, T.S. Olusegun, Z. Sani
Empirical Estimation Of Optimal International Reserves For Nigeria: The Sudden Stop Model, G.K. Sanni, T.S. Olusegun, Z. Sani
Economic and Financial Review
The study examined the issue of optimum external reserves for Nigeria during 2010 - 2014, using Jeanne and Ranciere (2006) and Goncalves (2007) sudden stop model approach. The study showed that resident foreign currency deposit accounted for over 90 per cent of the total foreign currency deposit, while non-resident foreign currency deposit accounted for the remaining. The result of the model suggested that external reserves were adequate in 2010 but beyond that period, it was far below optimal level. On average, the optimum external reserves were around 15.7 per cent of GDP in the past four years, translating to US$54.52 …
Monetary Policy And Asset Prices In Nigeria, M.K. Tule, P. Ogiji, G. Okorie, D. Mbaka
Monetary Policy And Asset Prices In Nigeria, M.K. Tule, P. Ogiji, G. Okorie, D. Mbaka
Economic and Financial Review
This paper attempts to contribute to the debate on the linkages between monetary policy and asset prices in the woke of the recent global financial crisis. The study employs vector error correction (VEC) mode! on Nigerian weekly data from January 2007 to October 2013. A pair-wise granger causality test indicated a unidirectional causality from asset prices to monetary policy. Exchange rate at lag one was negatively related to the All Share Index. suggesting that exchange rate appreciation is likely to lead to excessive appreciation in asset prices. The results further indicated a positive relationship between financial system stability and asset …
Responsiveness Of Nigeria's Short-Term Interest Rates To Changes In The Policy Rate, M. K. Tule
Responsiveness Of Nigeria's Short-Term Interest Rates To Changes In The Policy Rate, M. K. Tule
Economic and Financial Review
This paper appraises the efficacy of the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) as an anchor for other short-term interest rates in the economy. Adopting the vector autoregression approach, the responses of Nigeria's short-term interest rates to changes in the interbank rate (proxy for MPR) was modelled. The paper found that the pass-through from MPR to money market interest rates in the long-run is higher for the prime and lending rates than for changes in the Treasury bill rate and 3-month deposit rate. Overall, there seemed to be an asymmetric impact with an increase or fall in the interbank rate.
An Examination Of The Structural Inflation Dynamics In Nigeria, O. J. Odonye, S. O. Odeniran, A. O. Oduyemi, O. J. Olaoye, K. J. Ajayi
An Examination Of The Structural Inflation Dynamics In Nigeria, O. J. Odonye, S. O. Odeniran, A. O. Oduyemi, O. J. Olaoye, K. J. Ajayi
Economic and Financial Review
This study examines the dynamics of inflation in Nigeria, including the structural evolution as well as the direction of its movement with a view to designing appropriate policy measures to rein in the inflationary pressures. The study utilized quarterly data from 1970(1) to 2013 (4) except for Bureau de Change (BDC) premium where the duration was 1991(1) to 2013 (4) based on Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model. The results show that structural factors like budget deficit, rainfall, variation in export, exchange rate premium have profound influence on movement in CPI in Nigeria during the period.
Determinants Of Capital Flows In Nigeria And Challenges For Macroeconomic Stability, A. Englama, N. C. Oputa, G. K. Sanni, M. U. Yakub, O. Adesanya, Z. Sanni
Determinants Of Capital Flows In Nigeria And Challenges For Macroeconomic Stability, A. Englama, N. C. Oputa, G. K. Sanni, M. U. Yakub, O. Adesanya, Z. Sanni
Economic and Financial Review
Capital flows into developing countries in the 1960s through the 1980s were mainly in the form of overseas development assistant (ODS) to governments as well as private capital through domestic multinational bank. Nigeria, like unit developing countries, is characterized by a low' level of domestic savings and in order to attain a desirable level of investment that would guarantee sustainable development, the economy needs some foreign sayings to bridge the savings investment gap. These savings come in the form of 'new money’ or capital inflows which are expected to provide financial capital for economic activities. Foreign participation is directed associated …
Towards Inflation Targeting Framework For Monetary Policy In Nigeria: The Challenges For Central Bank Of Nigeria, M. Hugman
Economic and Financial Review
This article examines inflation with reference to Nigeria. As an emerging market environment. Part one outlines briefly the underlying mechanisms of inflation-management and general approaches to inflation targeting. Part two focuses on issues that specifically relate to inflation targeting (IT) in emerging markets, including the possible macroeconomic impact of the transition process. Part three considers the sequence and timing of the transition to IT in Nigeria, on the shift in exchange rate management required to achieve long-term price stability. Additionally, Nigeria-specific challenges are also addressed. The paper concludes by noting that both the time frame and coordination for a successful …
Foreign Private Investment In Nigeria - 2002, Division Research Statistics Department
Foreign Private Investment In Nigeria - 2002, Division Research Statistics Department
Economic and Financial Review
This report presents the results of the survey on foreign private investment in Nigeria in 2002. The survey covered 254 establishments that are either fully foreign owned or are in partnership with Nigerian agencies or enterprises doing business in Nigeria. The net flow of foreign investment into the Nigerian economy rose by 143 per cent from N3,377.0 million in 2001 to N8,206.8 million in 2002. The analyses of the survey returns are presented in eight parts.
Developments In The Agricultural Sector During The Second Quarter Of 1989, Central Bank Of Nigeria Cbn
Developments In The Agricultural Sector During The Second Quarter Of 1989, Central Bank Of Nigeria Cbn
Economic and Financial Review
There was a renewed optimism during the quarter that substantial growth in output could occur during the year, if the improvement in weather conditions and production environment was sustained. Available data showed that average monthly rainfall during the quarter was 177.53mm, representing a substantial rise over the 15 .4mm of the preceding quarter (which experienced an unusually prolonged dry spell) and about 18.3 per cent over the level of 150.1mm in the corresponding period of 1988. The distribution pattern showed that all the states of the Federation recorded rains during the quarter.
Developments In The Industrial Sector In The Second Quarter Of 1989, Central Bank Of Nigeria Cbn
Developments In The Industrial Sector In The Second Quarter Of 1989, Central Bank Of Nigeria Cbn
Economic and Financial Review
Aggregate industrial output improved during the second quarter of the year in spite of the problems of high production costs and liquidity constraints. The index of industrial production at 225.6 (1972 = 100) increased by 6.7 and 3.6. per cent over its levels 'in the corresponding quarter of 1988 and the first quarter of 1989, respectively (see table I). Compared with its level in the corresponding quarter of 1988, the rise in industrial output was accounted for by the respective increases of 20.6 and 2.4 per cent in mining and manufacturing output which outweighed the decline of 2.8 per cent …
Stock Market Report For The Second Quarter Of 1989, Central Bank Of Nigeria Cbn
Stock Market Report For The Second Quarter Of 1989, Central Bank Of Nigeria Cbn
Economic and Financial Review
The main event that dominated the transactions on the Nigerian Stock Exchange during the second quarter, 1989 was the compulsory transfer of the accounts of ministries and parastatals from the commercial and merchant banks to the CBN. In an attempt to raise their liquidity positions the banks and other private holders of Federal Government Development Stocks unloaded their holdings of the stocks on the Exchange. Consequently, the total volume of stocks traded rose from 14.9 million in 6558 deals during the first quarter of 1989 to 270.9 million in 8307 deals in the quarter under review. Compared with the corresponding …
Developments In The External Sector During The Second Quarter Of 1989, Central Bank Of Nigeria Cbn
Developments In The External Sector During The Second Quarter Of 1989, Central Bank Of Nigeria Cbn
Economic and Financial Review
The pressure on the external sector eased considerably in the second quarter of 1989 as foreign exchange flows into. and out of the economy indicated a turn around from a net outflow of 'fijl .7 million in the second quarter of 1988 to a net inflow of $245 .0 million. The improvement was attributed to increased earnings by the oil sector due to the rise in crude oil prices and export volume, increased drawings on external loans, decline in debt service and reduced funding of the foreign exchange market. However, the position represented a deterioration when compared with the net …
The Structural Adjustment Programme: The Journey So Far, A Ahmed
The Structural Adjustment Programme: The Journey So Far, A Ahmed
Economic and Financial Review
The SAP was introduced to achieve the following objectives: (i) To restructure and diversify the productive base of the economy in order to reduce dependence on the oil sector and imports; (ii) to achieve fiscal and balance of payments viability over the period; (iii) to lay the basis for sustainable non-innationary or minimal inOationary growth; (iv) to lessen the dominance of unproductive investment in the public sector, improve the sector's efficiency and intensify the growth potential of the private sector.
Developments In The Agricultural Sector Of The Economy During The Third Quarter Of 1986, Central Bank Of Nigeria Cbn
Developments In The Agricultural Sector Of The Economy During The Third Quarter Of 1986, Central Bank Of Nigeria Cbn
Economic and Financial Review
Harvesting of grains and tubers was the dominant activity in the agricultural sector in most parts of the country during the third quarter of 1986. In spite of the lower-than-average amounts of rainfall recorded during the first half of the year, a bumper harvest of maize, rice, yams and cassava was reported
Developments In Nigeria's External Sector During The Third Quarter Of 1986, Central Bank Of Nigeria Cbn
Developments In Nigeria's External Sector During The Third Quarter Of 1986, Central Bank Of Nigeria Cbn
Economic and Financial Review
Nigeria's external transactions during the third quarter of 1986 resulted in a net inflow of N466.9 million in contrast with the net outflows of N25 million at the end of the preceding quarter and N247.1 million during the third quarter of 1985 (See Table 1). The apparent tum-around, did not, however, reflect any real improvement in the country's tight foreign exchange situation. In fact, outstanding arrears on current transactions at the end of the quarter showed an increase over the level at the end of the second quarter. The net inflow figure therefore was largely the result of administrative measures …
An Appraisal Of Public Sector Financing Of Agricultural Development In Africa With Particular Reference To Nigeria, J. O. Osakwe, M. O. Ojo
An Appraisal Of Public Sector Financing Of Agricultural Development In Africa With Particular Reference To Nigeria, J. O. Osakwe, M. O. Ojo
Economic and Financial Review
The paper discusses, largely using Nigeria as a case study, three sets of issues relating to public sector role in agricultural financing. First, it takes an overview of the agricultural situation in African countries in general and in Nigeria in particular in the last twenty years and suggests the critical factors that should guide government activities for agricultural financing in the light of the general structure of agricultural production. Second, it identifies the types and magnitudes of government assistance in agricultural financing in Nigeria and finally it discusses some of the main problems surrounding the efforts of the government in …
An Econometric Analysis Of The Determinants Of Investments By Insurance Companies In Nigeria, S. E. Omoruyi
An Econometric Analysis Of The Determinants Of Investments By Insurance Companies In Nigeria, S. E. Omoruyi
Economic and Financial Review
The paper is divided into two parts. Part I discusses the concept of financial intermediation. Part II outlines the model of determinants of investments by the insurance industry and summarises the main findings and policy recommendations of the study.
Developments In The Financial Sector During The Fourth Quarter Of 1983, Central Bank Of Nigeria Cbn
Developments In The Financial Sector During The Fourth Quarter Of 1983, Central Bank Of Nigeria Cbn
Economic and Financial Review
Money supply, narrowly defined , Ml, attained a seasonal peak of N 11,282.4 million at the end of the fourth quarter of 1983, thus showing an increase of N256.5 million or 2.3 per cent over the level in the preceding quarter, compared with the increase of N950. l million or 10.4 per cent in the corresponding period of 1982. Over the level a year earlier, the rise in this aggregate was Nl ,233.9 million or 12.3 per cent.
Comparative Analysis Of Commercial Banking Activities In The 19 States Of The Nigerian Federation 1977-1980, N. E. Ogbe
Comparative Analysis Of Commercial Banking Activities In The 19 States Of The Nigerian Federation 1977-1980, N. E. Ogbe
Economic and Financial Review
The paper is divided into three parts. Part I examines the inter-state distribution of bank facilities - branches, credit and deposits; analysis of intra-state sectoral credit distribution and loan maturity are discussed in part 2; while part 3 is the conclusion.
Monetary Development During The First Quarter Of 1983, Central Bank Of Nigeria Cbn
Monetary Development During The First Quarter Of 1983, Central Bank Of Nigeria Cbn
Economic and Financial Review
The main factors responsible for the decline in money supply in the first quarter of 1983 were the decline of Nl,799.0 million or 29.6 per cent in other assets (net) of the banking system ( or an equivalent increase in their other liabilities), a fall of N212.8 million or 19.9 per cent in net foreign assets and an increase of N97 .0 million or 1.4 per cent in quasi-money. The contractionary impacts of these three factors more than offset the expansionary effects of an increase ofNl,391.0 million or 6.3 per cent in bank credit to the economy.
Recent Developments In Nigeria's Oil Industry And Their Implications For Government Finance, Petroleum Studies Office Research Department
Recent Developments In Nigeria's Oil Industry And Their Implications For Government Finance, Petroleum Studies Office Research Department
Economic and Financial Review
This brief review has focused on the movements of oil prices, production and exports in the 1979-82 period, highlighting the implications of such movements for Federal Government revenue and expenditure.