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Macroeconomics Commons

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Articles 1 - 4 of 4

Full-Text Articles in Macroeconomics

How Do Forecasts Respond To Changes In Monetary Policy?, Laurence Ball, Dean D. Croushore Oct 2001

How Do Forecasts Respond To Changes In Monetary Policy?, Laurence Ball, Dean D. Croushore

Economics Faculty Publications

Just as changes in atmospheric conditions affect weather forecasts, changes in monetary policy affect economic forecasts. When monetary policy shifts, forecasters change their predictions about growth and inflation. But does the economy change to the same extent that forecasts do? In this article, Laurence Ball and Dean Croushore examine forecasts from the Survey of Professional Forecasters to determine if forecasts and the economy respond in tandem or if there are significant differences.


Financial Small-Scale Business Under The New Cbn Directive And Its Likely Impact On Industrial Growth Of The Nigerian Economy., O. J. Nnanna Sep 2001

Financial Small-Scale Business Under The New Cbn Directive And Its Likely Impact On Industrial Growth Of The Nigerian Economy., O. J. Nnanna

Bullion

This examines the prospects of the current drive to ensure efficient and sustainable credit delivery system to the SSls. The rest of the paper is divided into three broad sections. The first section reviews and appraises past financing programmes / schemes, highlighting the major constraints on their performance. The current initiative of the Bankers' Committee is discussed in section two, focusing on its likely impact and underscoring the needed complementary policy measures. Section three summa-rises and concludes the paper.


A Case Of The Philips Curve In The Formation Of A Monetary Union: A Glimpse At High Inflation Countries Of The European Monetary Union, Yuet Wen Wan Jan 2001

A Case Of The Philips Curve In The Formation Of A Monetary Union: A Glimpse At High Inflation Countries Of The European Monetary Union, Yuet Wen Wan

University Avenue Undergraduate Journal of Economics

This paper examines how disinflation in high inflation economies affects unemployment levels. According to Keynesian macroeconomic theories, a decrease in inflation will cause an increase in unemployment in the short run. Due to high inflation over the years among countries like Italy and Ireland, their expected inflation rate is significantly high. As a result, when the government starts a process of disinflation though restrictive fiscal and monetary policies, economic activity declines, and significant short run increase in unemployment follows.


Dirty Money, Gabriele Camera Jan 2001

Dirty Money, Gabriele Camera

Economics Faculty Articles and Research

An inter-governmental body is encouraging the replacement of currency with the objective of discouraging illegal economic activities. This policy is analyzed in a search-theoretic model where individuals choose legal or illegal production, settle trades via monetary or costly intermediated exchange, and where the government imperfectly monitors monetary transactions. Stationary monetary equilibria with both legal and illegal production exist, in which case the over-provision of currency may increment the extent of illegal production. This result holds also in the presence of intermediated exchange of legal goods. Equilibria with differing transaction patterns and degrees of illicit activities coexist.