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Full-Text Articles in Econometrics

Studying The Effects Of Non Oil Exports On Targeted Economic Growth In Iranian 5th Development Plan: A Computable General Equilibrium Approach, Rasoul Bakhsi Dastjerdi Dr., Reza Moosavi Mohseni Dr., Somayye Jafari Dec 2014

Studying The Effects Of Non Oil Exports On Targeted Economic Growth In Iranian 5th Development Plan: A Computable General Equilibrium Approach, Rasoul Bakhsi Dastjerdi Dr., Reza Moosavi Mohseni Dr., Somayye Jafari

Reza Moosavi Mohseni

we investigate the effects of non oil export on Iran’s economic growth using a computable general equilibrium (CGE) and study which tradable sectors has a larger share in reaching to targeted growth rate 8% in 5th socio economic development plan. We calibrate the model by GAMS (with emphasis on foreign trade sector). Numerical solution to the model is based on Iran’s social accounting matrix (SAM). Results show that 2.03% of targeted economic growth rate is achieved by encouraging a 6% growth in export. It also be mentioned that industry and mine sector in Iran, has more influence on growth than …


The Nexus Between Infrastructure Investment And Economic Growth In The Mexican Urban Areas, Vicente German-Soto, Héctor A. Barajas Bustillos Dec 2014

The Nexus Between Infrastructure Investment And Economic Growth In The Mexican Urban Areas, Vicente German-Soto, Héctor A. Barajas Bustillos

Vicente German-Soto

The relationship between infrastructure investment and economic growth is explored for the main urban areas of Mexico during the period 1985-2008. The methodology consists of a production function estimated by means of panel data techniques that include distributed effects in time. The findings highlight that the economic impact from infrastructure investment is effectively spread through time and cannot only be contemporaneous. This result suggests long-run effects. Moreover, the empirical estimates are according to the urban areas’ economic performance: Where major infrastructure provision exists, higher rates of growth are also taking place. Conclusions highlight that if infrastructure provision is not enough …


Cambio Estructural En Las Fluctuaciones Cíclicas Del Producto Industrial. Las Economías Estatales Mexicanas En Relación A La Nacional, Vicente German-Soto Sep 2014

Cambio Estructural En Las Fluctuaciones Cíclicas Del Producto Industrial. Las Economías Estatales Mexicanas En Relación A La Nacional, Vicente German-Soto

Vicente German-Soto

Se analiza la presencia de cambios estructurales en las fluctuaciones cíclicas relativas del producto industrial estatal y nacional de México durante 1960-2010. Los estados pudieron haber reaccionado de forma diferente a las reformas estructurales emprendidas desde los años ochenta, modificando su ciclo económico con respecto al nacional. La metodología para investigar esta relación es el análisis estocástico de series de tiempo, ya que permite identificar los momentos de variación en media y varianza de una secuencia temporal. Los resultados señalan que es imprescindible tomar en cuenta la posibilidad de cambio estructural cuando se valora la evolución relativa de los ciclos …


Banking And Stock Markets In Iran: Are They Complements Or Substitutes, Reza Moosavi Mohseni Dr., Elaheh Ghyasi, Jalil Khodaparast Shirazi Dec 2013

Banking And Stock Markets In Iran: Are They Complements Or Substitutes, Reza Moosavi Mohseni Dr., Elaheh Ghyasi, Jalil Khodaparast Shirazi

Reza Moosavi Mohseni

In this study, the quarterly data from 1991:4 to 2011:3 have been used to investigate the effect of the relation between banking sector and stock market on economic growth in Iran. The break point obtained by Gregory and Hansen(1996) appears in the first quarter of 2005, which coincides with the period of the remarkable increase in oil and gas revenues. The results of Johansen test shows that higher export income in Iran decreases the substitution of banking and stock market. On the other hand, the relation between turnover and real output decreases after the break point. In addition, the relation …


Do Remittances, Exports And Financial Development Matter For Economic Growth? A Case Study Of Pakistan Using Bounds Approach, Ronald R. Kumar Dec 2010

Do Remittances, Exports And Financial Development Matter For Economic Growth? A Case Study Of Pakistan Using Bounds Approach, Ronald R. Kumar

Dr Ronald R Kumar

The study explores, using bounds test, the short-run and long-run effects of remittances, exports and financial development on per worker income using the annual data for the period 1980-2009 in Pakistan. The results show exports are significant both in the short-run and long-run while remittances is positively significant only in the long-run but has a lagged negative effect similar to financial development in the short-run. Contrary to some recent findings, the results show financial development does not have any significant long-run effect on per worker income. Therefore, the need to develop exports and remittances markets for long-term sustainability of the …


Gender Inequality And Economic Growth: A Time Series Analysis For Pakistan, Zahid Pervaiz, Muhammad Irfan Chani, Sajjad Ahmad Jan, Amatul R. Chaudhary Dec 2010

Gender Inequality And Economic Growth: A Time Series Analysis For Pakistan, Zahid Pervaiz, Muhammad Irfan Chani, Sajjad Ahmad Jan, Amatul R. Chaudhary

Muhammad Irfan Chani

This paper attempts to analyze the impact of gender inequality on economic growth of Pakistan. An annual time series data for the period of 1972-2009 has been used in this study. We have regressed growth rate of real gross domestic product (GDP) per capita on labour force growth, investment, trade openness and a composite index of gender inequality. The results reveal that labour force growth, investment and trade openness have statistically significant and positive impact whereas gender inequality has a significant and negative effect on economic growth of Pakistan.


Democracy Autocracy And Macroeconomic Performance In Pakistan, Nasir Iqbal, Sardar Javaid Iqbal Khan, Muhammad Irfan Chani Dec 2007

Democracy Autocracy And Macroeconomic Performance In Pakistan, Nasir Iqbal, Sardar Javaid Iqbal Khan, Muhammad Irfan Chani

Muhammad Irfan Chani

Pakistan showed a healthy growth rate of 5.6 percent during the entire history and faced many ups and downs in economic growth due to dramatic changes in political regimes. The literature shows mixed results regarding the impact of autocracy or democracy on economic growth. The aggregate growth of the economy under autocracy remained better as compared to democratic period. Financial indicators show consistent path through out the history of Pakistan. Different trade policies are designed in different regime to run the external sector and the impact of each policy was different.