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Full-Text Articles in Economics

A Business Cycle Model For Nigeria, Alege O. Philip Jul 2012

A Business Cycle Model For Nigeria, Alege O. Philip

CBN Journal of Applied Statistics (JAS)

The current global financial meltdown draws, once again, attention to the existence of business cycle fluctuations. Experts are of the view that the ongoing crisis is far deeper than the great depression of the 1930s. It should be recalled that the Keynes and Keynesianism was a response to that depression. Therefore, the objective of this paper is to develop a small business cycle model in the spirit of Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model for Nigeria designed to examine the sources of business cycles, and use the model for policy analysis. This paper considers the implications of three policy shocks …


Enhancing Data Generation For National Development In Nigeria: Institutional And Structural Issues1, Olu Ajakaiye Jul 2012

Enhancing Data Generation For National Development In Nigeria: Institutional And Structural Issues1, Olu Ajakaiye

CBN Journal of Applied Statistics (JAS)

In this presentation, attention is focused on data generation for the purposes of reasoning, discussing and calculating the status, process and prospects of economic development. Economic development has also been defined in various ways. Again for the present purposes, economic development will be conceived as the process of economic growth and structural transformation (Ajakaiye, 2002). Clearly, data, as a gathered body of facts about the economy, is a basic requirement in the process of economic growth and transformation. Foremost, facts about the economy are necessary in order to appreciate the current state of the economy in terms of growth and …


Fiscal Federalism In Nigeria: A Cluster Analysis Of Revenue Allocation To States And Local Government Areas, 1999 – 2008, Sam O. Olofin, Olusanya E. Olubusoye, Bello K. Ajide, Salisu A. Afees, Olalekan S. Akinola Jul 2012

Fiscal Federalism In Nigeria: A Cluster Analysis Of Revenue Allocation To States And Local Government Areas, 1999 – 2008, Sam O. Olofin, Olusanya E. Olubusoye, Bello K. Ajide, Salisu A. Afees, Olalekan S. Akinola

CBN Journal of Applied Statistics (JAS)

Existing literature on revenue allocation in Nigeria shows more concern for merits and demerits of sharing principles and /or formulae. Several alternatives have been proposed and will continue to be developed to address the unending agitations from beneficiaries. Contrary however, this paper analyzes two items of revenue (statutory and VAT) shared among the states including FCT and all the Local Government Areas (LGAs) between May 1999 and December 2008. The net statutory allocation after deductions was also analyzed. Using Cluster analysis to evaluate revenue allocation in Nigeria, States and LGAs exhibiting similarity in revenue received were grouped and their common …


Demand For Foreign Exchange Reserves In Nigeria: A Cointegration Approach, Nkenchor N. Igue, Toyin S. Ogunleye Jun 2012

Demand For Foreign Exchange Reserves In Nigeria: A Cointegration Approach, Nkenchor N. Igue, Toyin S. Ogunleye

Economic and Financial Review

There have been significant accretions to foreign exchange reserves over the last decade in Nigeria, especially since the return to democratic governance in 1999. The study tries to find out the underlying factors driving the demand for reserves by the monetary authority. To estimate the demand for foreign exchange reserves in Nigeria, Johansen cointegration and error correction methodology was utilized for the period 1985:Q 1-20I0:O4. The results show that the long-run demand for foreign exchange reserves in Nigeria is driven by economic size, capital account vulnerability, exchange rate flexibility and opportunity cost. In the short-run, the major determinant of demand …


Iran-The Chronicles Of The Subsidy Reform: A Review., Jibrin Musa Jun 2012

Iran-The Chronicles Of The Subsidy Reform: A Review., Jibrin Musa

Economic and Financial Review

The paper re-examines the planning and early implementation of energy subsidy reform officially referred to as "Targeted Subsidies Reform" in lran. The paper also evaluates the sequencing of the arrangement and concludes by reviewing the main challenges for the restoration of macroeconomic stability and the efficient and effective functioning of the corporate sector.


An Empirical Estimate Of The Optimal Level Of Fiscal Deficit In Guinea, Emmanuel A. Onwioduokit Jun 2012

An Empirical Estimate Of The Optimal Level Of Fiscal Deficit In Guinea, Emmanuel A. Onwioduokit

Economic and Financial Review

Excessive deficits, irrespective of the mode of financing, are assumed to be growth retarding. The conventional wisdom is that high budget deficit is a source of economic instability. Empirical research, however, does not conclusively support this conventional wisdom; results are mixed and controversial across countries . These conflicting results have raised the important question of heterogeneity and also underscored the usefulness of time series data for country specific studies in order to address heterogeneity. This paper sought to ascertain the relationship between fiscal deficits and economic growth in Guinea and to find the threshold level of fiscal, deficit that is …


Is The Naira-Us Dollar Real Exchange Rate Misaligned?, Babatunde S. Omotosho, Murjanatu U. Wambai Jun 2012

Is The Naira-Us Dollar Real Exchange Rate Misaligned?, Babatunde S. Omotosho, Murjanatu U. Wambai

Economic and Financial Review

Policy makers are generally interested in knowing the degree of real exchange rate (RER) misalignment because of its connection to currency crises and other external sector imbalances. In Nigeria, the Naira-US Dollar RER appreciated by 81.3 per cent between 2000 and 2008 and depreciated afterwards by 10.10 per cent to close at an average of N 150.72 in 2009, due to the impacts of the global financial crisis. The main thesis of this study is: Are the movements in Naira RER during QI :2000 to 02:2011 in line with the economic fundamentals or not? Based on the theory of cointegration …


Oil Price Pass-Through Into Inflation: Empirical Evidence From Nigeria, Adeniyi O. Adenuga, Margaret J. Hilili, Osaretin O. Evbuomwan Mar 2012

Oil Price Pass-Through Into Inflation: Empirical Evidence From Nigeria, Adeniyi O. Adenuga, Margaret J. Hilili, Osaretin O. Evbuomwan

Economic and Financial Review

The objective of the paper is to empirically investigate the oil price pass-through into inflation in Nigeria in order to suggest appropriate domestic policies necessary to control inflation for the policy makers. The study also attempts to answer questions like: What is the causal links between oil price and inflation in Nigeria? Is oil price highly correlated with inflation? What does the result of an estimation of a Phillips curve tell us about the pass-through for oil in Nigeria. The methodology adopted by the paper is a standard pass-through equation in the form of an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model …


Estimation Of Interest Elasticity Model For Aggregate Commercial Bank Deposits In Nigeria (1986-2008), Matthew .I. Eborieme, Edwin. M. Egboro Mar 2012

Estimation Of Interest Elasticity Model For Aggregate Commercial Bank Deposits In Nigeria (1986-2008), Matthew .I. Eborieme, Edwin. M. Egboro

Economic and Financial Review

The Nigerian government deregulated the financial market in 1987 in line with the McKinnon-Shaw financial liberalization paradigm. However, the subsequent policy reversal after the introduction of the structural adjustment programme has made the effect of interest rate on aggregate commercial bank deposits (CBD) mobilized unclear. This study is based on the pioneering work of Egboro (2004) who initially examined the appropriateness of these policy summersaults with data ending in 1999. However, in this present study we re-estimated an interest elasticity model of commercial bank deposits in Nigeria by employing more recent data that captured subsequent changes in the nation’s financial …


Is Monetary Policy Responsive To External Reserves?: Empirical Evidences From Nigeria, Baba N. Yaaba Mar 2012

Is Monetary Policy Responsive To External Reserves?: Empirical Evidences From Nigeria, Baba N. Yaaba

Economic and Financial Review

The global economy has witnessed extraordinary boost in the accumulation of external reserves, following the Asian financial crisis of the 1990s. External reserves increased sharply from US$1.2 trillion in 1995 to over US$10.0 trillion in January 2012. Developing countries increased their share from 30.0 per cent in 1990 to 67.0 per cent in 2011. Nigeria is not left out in this trend, as external reserves grew from US$5.5 billion in 1999 to US$34.68 billion in March 2012, representing over 530 per cent increase within the period. This placed Nigeria as the 44th largest reserves holder in the world. Reflecting on …


Ratings Game : A Review, Phebian N. Omanukwe Mar 2012

Ratings Game : A Review, Phebian N. Omanukwe

Economic and Financial Review

Post-2008 global financial crisis placed the search light on the activities of global rating agencies, especially in the United States and Europe. The article discussed the regulatory role played by private credit rating agencies and their impact on the financial system. The author attempts to draw attention to the conflict of interests between the objectives of private credit agencies and the regulatory role they play. A synopsis of the article is presented in section II below, while comments and lessons for Nigeria are discussed in section III.


Macroeconomic Shocks And Fiscal Deficit Behaviour In Nigeria: A Vecm Approach., M. O. Abeng, K. S. Alehile Mar 2012

Macroeconomic Shocks And Fiscal Deficit Behaviour In Nigeria: A Vecm Approach., M. O. Abeng, K. S. Alehile

Economic and Financial Review

This paper focuses on establishing the links between fiscal deficit and short-term changes in major macroeconomic variables like real output, interest rate, exchange rate, inflation rate and crude oil price in Nigeria. Empirical results show that the model adequately explains the behaviour of government of fiscal deficit and that while the accumulation of deficit is not at all detrimental to the economy per se, prudence should be exercised in the financing options adopted and more so the appropriate application of such funds to selffinancing projects. It is recommended that government broaden its tax-net to curb the surging borrowing as well …


Interoperability And Infrastructure Sharing Among Financial Services Providers, Akinwunmi O. Akinniyi Dec 2011

Interoperability And Infrastructure Sharing Among Financial Services Providers, Akinwunmi O. Akinniyi

Bullion

This paper seek to explore the issues around interoperability and infrastructure sharing among financial services providers. especially in the context of o developing notion with the aim of highlighting on efficient path to successful implementation of the concepts. Following this introduction is on attempt to underscore the importance of shared infrastructure. The section ll identifies some key criteria for determining candidate infrastructure for sharing. Section lll is a consideration of pathways to achieving shared and interoperable infrastructure. Section lV contains suggested recommendations for implementation and conclusions.


Rationale For Financial System Regulation And Supervision: A Global Perspective, Victor Ekpu Dec 2011

Rationale For Financial System Regulation And Supervision: A Global Perspective, Victor Ekpu

Bullion

The paper examines the enormous role of financial institutions, especially banks to the efficient functioning of the economy. The shortcomings of regulation and supervision, notwithstanding, one can argue that because of the special role that financial institutions play in the economy and the economic and social costs to society of their eventual failure, it is obvious that leaving the forces of demand and supply to bear will have adverse implications on the economy and the living standards of the nation's citizens. lt is on this note that i expound on the various reasons for financial system regulation in section 2. …


Understanding The Bretton Woods Institutions (Bwis) With Particular Reference To The International Monetary Fund (Imf), Adeniyi O. Adenuga, Osaretin Evbuomwan Dec 2011

Understanding The Bretton Woods Institutions (Bwis) With Particular Reference To The International Monetary Fund (Imf), Adeniyi O. Adenuga, Osaretin Evbuomwan

Bullion

The objective of this paper is to examine and discuss the workings of the Bretton Woods institution with particular focus on the international Monetary Fund (lMF). This is to enhance understanding of the expanded role of the lMF. The paper is divided into five parts. First is the introduction, Part ll, explains the IMF's role in the world economy, while Part lll presents relationships between the Fund and its members, highlighting member obligation to the Fund and Fund's obligation to its members. ln Port lV, the expanded roles of the Fund are discussed, while the conclusion is contained in Part …


Diaspora Bonds: A Viable Source Of External Financing For Nigeria?, Omolara O. Duke Dec 2011

Diaspora Bonds: A Viable Source Of External Financing For Nigeria?, Omolara O. Duke

Bullion

The paper examines the need for external funding, arises from the inadequacy of domestic sources of funds to meet supply gaps and balance of payments (BOP) challenges and the potentials of Nigeria sourcing external financing through the issuance of Diaspora bonds. Following this introduction, Section ll reviews conceptual and empirical literature as well as country experiences on Diaspora bonds issuance. Section lll, discusses the bond market in Nigeria. ln Section lV. the prospects and challenges of issuing Diaspora bonds in Nigeria were highlighted. Section V concludes the paper.


The Effect Of Global Financial Crisis On The Nigerian Capital Market: Lessons For Monetary Policy, Sunday Ogwuche Ameh Dec 2011

The Effect Of Global Financial Crisis On The Nigerian Capital Market: Lessons For Monetary Policy, Sunday Ogwuche Ameh

Bullion

The paper assesses the effect of the financial crisis on the Nigerian Capital market, and lessons for monetary policy with a view to providing valuable inputs that can be used to update policy decisions in Nigerian economy as well as examining the historical perspective of the recent global financial crisis.


Managing Diversity And Inclusion In The Central Bank Of Nigeria: Prospects And Challenges, Job A. Olorunshola Dec 2011

Managing Diversity And Inclusion In The Central Bank Of Nigeria: Prospects And Challenges, Job A. Olorunshola

Bullion

This paper discusses key issues in managing diversity and inclusion in the CBN for organizational effectiveness. It is organized into five sections. Section Two, following the introduction, provides some theoretical background while section Three x-rays evidence of diversity and inclusion the CBN. Section Four discusses the key challenges and the way-forward in diversity and inclusion management in the Bonk. The last section concludes the paper.


Keynote Address By Mallam Sanusi, Lamido Sanusi, Sanusi Lamido Sanusi Dec 2011

Keynote Address By Mallam Sanusi, Lamido Sanusi, Sanusi Lamido Sanusi

Economic and Financial Review

The keynote address delivered by the Governor, Central Bank of Nigeria at the Executive Seminar on "Financial Sector Development, Economic Growth and the Nigerian Economy" for CBN executive staff held in Eko Hotel and Suites, Victoria Island, Lagos State, May 7-10, 2012


Financing Nigeria's Growth After The Global Economic Crisis Within The Perspective Of Vision 20:2020 And The Transformation Agenda, Babatunde Lawal Dec 2011

Financing Nigeria's Growth After The Global Economic Crisis Within The Perspective Of Vision 20:2020 And The Transformation Agenda, Babatunde Lawal

Economic and Financial Review

The paper adopts content analysis method to investigate the underlying assumptions of the pillar of growth within the framework of Nigeria Vision 20:2020 (NV20:2020) and the transformation agenda. The aim is to show how realistic the underlying assumptions are and whether or not the available structure/measures of the financial system would be sufficient to finance the Vision. The conclusion is that the present Transformation Agenda and indeed the Medium-Term Implementation Plans adequately provide for the financing of NV20:2020 if the provisions of the documents are strictly adhered to.


Special Remarks By Sarah O. Alade, Ph.D (Mrs), Sarah O. Alade Dec 2011

Special Remarks By Sarah O. Alade, Ph.D (Mrs), Sarah O. Alade

Economic and Financial Review

Special remarks made by the Deputy Governor, (Economic Policy), Central Bank of Nigeria at the Executive seminar on "Financial Sector Development, Economic Growth and the Nigerian Economy" for CBN executive staff on May 7-10, 2012.


Financial Sector Development And Economic Growth: A Theoretical Exposition, Peter N. Umoh Dec 2011

Financial Sector Development And Economic Growth: A Theoretical Exposition, Peter N. Umoh

Economic and Financial Review

The various literature and studies reviewed in this exposition have underscored the positive impacts of a developed financial sector on an economy. Whilst a few studies showed that finance follows growth, the majority opinion is that finance leads growth. Unfortunately, growth has not led to economic development in many developing economies, necessitating intervention by such bodies as the United Nations, International Labour Organization and United Nations Development Programme. Economists are equally concerned about this development and have, therefore, conducted studies to show the relationship between economic growth and poverty alleviation. They generally agreed that growth is good for poverty reduction.


Financing The Real Sector For Sustainable Economic Growth In Nigeria: Performance, Challenges And Prospects, O. B. Obembe Dec 2011

Financing The Real Sector For Sustainable Economic Growth In Nigeria: Performance, Challenges And Prospects, O. B. Obembe

Economic and Financial Review

This paper examines some of the challenges constraining the financial sector in stimulating sustainable growth in Nigeria. It observes that for a successful real sector financing in Nigeria, a culture of accountability and transparency in the conduct of our national affairs must be taken seriously. The quality of governance must also be improved, to ensure that the legal framework for economic activities is well strengthened, such that the protection of creditors‘ rights may not be jeopardised.


Policy Choices And Challenges In Expanding Access To Finance For Growth In Rural Nigeria, Anthony E. Akinlo Dec 2011

Policy Choices And Challenges In Expanding Access To Finance For Growth In Rural Nigeria, Anthony E. Akinlo

Economic and Financial Review

Access to finance, in general, is fundamental to growth and development. A well-functioning financial market assists in channeling funds to their most productive uses, and allocates risks to those who can best bear it. An efficient financial sector that responds to the needs of the private sector increases investment, enhances economic growth, creates job opportunities and improves income distribution.


Financing Infrastructure And Growth: Lessons And Experience, Ahmed Mansur Dec 2011

Financing Infrastructure And Growth: Lessons And Experience, Ahmed Mansur

Economic and Financial Review

The paper addresses the issue of finance for infrastructure, the adequacy or otherwise of the traditional annuall budgetary allocation, and alternative methods for funding infrastructure. The potentials of the stockmarket in filling the financing gap, option of Public Private Partnership (PPP) arrangement in upscaling our infrastructure is examined. The paper covers an assessment of the merits and demerits of PPP, the PPP process and framework in Nigeria, and how Nigeria could benefit from the experiences of other jurisdictions.


Financing Inclusive Growth In Nigeria: Challenges And Prospects, Sheriff A. Tella, Patrick I. Esenwah Dec 2011

Financing Inclusive Growth In Nigeria: Challenges And Prospects, Sheriff A. Tella, Patrick I. Esenwah

Economic and Financial Review

This paper is divided into four Sections. The first is the introduction and definition of the title of the article, next is Section 2, which contains literature on theoretical construct on economic growth and development models, including Inclusive Growth (IG) model while in Section 3 we present the role of money in economic growth. Section 4 looks at models of financial inclusion and evidence of financing inclusive growth in some developing countries. In Section 5, we identified challenges and prospects for financing inclusive growth in Nigeria. Section 5 is the concluding remark where some recommendations are proposed for successful inclusive …


The Millenium Development Goals: What Roles For The Financial Sector In Nigeria, Jonathan A. Aremu Dec 2011

The Millenium Development Goals: What Roles For The Financial Sector In Nigeria, Jonathan A. Aremu

Economic and Financial Review

The purpose of this paper, therefore, is to redefine the role of the Nigerian financial sector towards meeting the MDGs by 2015. The paper is, thus, structured into four parts. Part I, briefly analyses the targets of the MDGs and the situation in Nigeria. In part II, an attempt is made to examine the various areas where the financial sector can offer helping hands in the implementation of the MDGs targets in Nigerian economy. While Part III examines the reasons why financial services in Nigeria are not within the reach of the MDGs target group (the poor), Part IV addresses …


Finance For Growth And Policy Options For Emerging And Developing Economies: Nigeria, Wumi Olayiwola, Henry Okoduwa, Evans Osabuohien Dec 2011

Finance For Growth And Policy Options For Emerging And Developing Economies: Nigeria, Wumi Olayiwola, Henry Okoduwa, Evans Osabuohien

Economic and Financial Review

This paper attempts to address the issues of the major impediments to mobilising investment funds, and the appropriate policies for achieving and guaranteeing finance for growth, by assessing the performance of financial policies of selected EMEs in mobilising financial resources for economic growth, and identifying policy options necessary for achieving finance for growth. The rest of the paper is organised as follows. Section 2 discusses the basic characteristics of emerging economies (EMEs), and Section 3 positions Nigeria among the EMEs within the context of finance for growth. Section 4 deals with challenges and constraints of Nigeria in achieving finance for …


Good Governance, Transparency And Regulatory Issues In Financial Sector Development And Stability, Bolaji Owasanoye Dec 2011

Good Governance, Transparency And Regulatory Issues In Financial Sector Development And Stability, Bolaji Owasanoye

Economic and Financial Review

This paper dwells on good governance, transparency and regulatory issues in financial sector development and stability. It starts off by defining the concepts of good governance and transparency. It goes further to discuss the financial services sector as well as regulation and development. It also discusses the relationship between transparency and accountability and further highlights the regulatory powers of the CBN relative to a developing economy.


Contributions Of Financial Sector Reforms And Credit Supply To Nigerian Agricultural Sector (1978-2009), Anthony O. Onoja, M. E. Onu, S. Ajodo-Ohiemi Dec 2011

Contributions Of Financial Sector Reforms And Credit Supply To Nigerian Agricultural Sector (1978-2009), Anthony O. Onoja, M. E. Onu, S. Ajodo-Ohiemi

CBN Journal of Applied Statistics (JAS)

This study analyzed the trends and pattern of institutional credit supply to agriculture during pre- and post-financial reforms along with their determinants. It then compared the effects of reform policies on access to institutional credits in Nigerian agricultural sector before and after the reforms (1978 - 1985; and 1986 -2009). Relying mainly on time series data from CBN and NBS, it used ordinary least squares method (linear, semi-log and double log) to model the determinants of banking sector lending to the agricultural sector during the review period. The models were subjected to several econometric tests before accepting one. Chow test …