Economics Commons^™

The Demand For Home Mortgage Debt And The Income Tax, James R. Follain, Robert M. Dunsky

Center for Policy Research

The goal of this paper is to learn more about the demand for the amount of mortgage debt owed by United States home owners. Mortgage debt is defined to be the amount of outstanding household debt secured by the owner’s principal residence; mortgages for second homes and other real estate are not considered, but second mortgages and home equity loans are. The analysis focuses on the behavior of individual households and examines variations in the their demand for mortgage debt with respect to a variety of characteristics such as household income, age, education, and other characteristics of the household. Of …

Work, Welfare, And The Burden Of Disability: Caring For Special Needs Of Children In Poor Families, Marcia K. Meyers, Anna Lukemeyer, Timothy M. Smeeding

Center for Policy Research

This paper addresses issues which arise at the juncture of welfare and disability policies. Using preliminary data from a recent survey of current and recent AFDC recipients in California, we find that disabilities and chronic health problems affect the mothers or children in 43 percent of all households in the AFDC system. The presence of one or more children with disabilities or chronic illnesses is found to have an impact on the economic well-being of families, with increased levels of direct hardship reported by families caring for one or more severely impaired children. Potential causes of higher levels of hardship …

Do Housing Programs For Low-Income Households Improve Their Housing?, Amy D. Crews

Center for Policy Research

The primary goals of the 1937 Housing Act were to provide safe and sanitary housing and to reduce crowding for low-income households. During the nearly 60 years since, the effective goals have expanded to include lowering housing costs, and by extension, to increasing nonhousing consumption. This paper examines the effect these programs have had on the overall consumption behavior of participants. Using data from the 1987 American Housing Survey (AHS), the results indicate that federal housing programs have little effect on the housing consumption of participants (4.4 percent increase), but an enormous effect on their nonhousing consumption (141 percent increase). …

Books Received And Book Notices, The Jonathan Nāpela Center For Hawaiian And Pacific Islands Studies

Pacific Studies

Book Listing for the Vol 19, No 1 Edition of the Pacific Studies Journal

Contributors: Vol 19 No. 1, The Jonathan Nāpela Center For Hawaiian And Pacific Islands Studies

Pacific Studies

Contributors list of Vol. 19 (1996): Pacific Studies Full Issue 1

Vol. 19 No. 1 (1996): Pacific Studies Front Matter, The Jonathan Nāpela Center For Hawaiian And Pacific Islands Studies

Pacific Studies

Pacific Studies is published two times a year by The Jonathan Nāpela Center for Hawaiian and Pacific Studies, Brigham Young University Hawai‘i #1979, 55–220 Kulanui Street, Lāʻie, Hawai‘i 96762, but responsibility for opinions expressed in the articles rests with the authors alone. Subscription rate is US$40.00 yearly, payable to The Jonathan Nāpela Center for Hawaiian and Pacific Studies. The Jonathan Nāpela Center for Hawaiian and Pacific Studies (formerly The Pacific Institute) is an organization funded by Brigham Young University Hawai‘i. The Center assists the University in meeting its cultural and educational goals by undertaking a program of teaching, research, and …

Government Regulation And Medium-Sized Business, Murray L. Weidenbaum

Murray Weidenbaum Publications

This paper attempts to analyze government regulation across the size spectrum, arguing in favor of market policies over government intrusion.

Is This The Healthiest Economy In Three Decades?, Murray L. Weidenbaum

Murray Weidenbaum Publications

The same people who would not admit a real economic recovery was underway in 1992 are reluctant to acknowledge that this same recovery is now old and tired in 1996. Only 31% pf the adult population is satisfied with the economy. Over one-half of Americans believe that the country is "headed in the wrong direction." For the most part, the data support these sentiments, from slowed GDP and productivity growth to increased worker insecurity. Policymakers need to take their own Hippocratic oath: First, do no harm. At the same time, they cannot sit idly by either.

Vol. 19 No. 1 (1996): Pacific Studies Full Issue, The Jonathan Nāpela Center For Hawaiian And Pacific Islands Studies

Pacific Studies

Pacific Studies is published two times a year by The Jonathan Nāpela Center for Hawaiian and Pacific Studies, Brigham Young University Hawai‘i #1979, 55–220 Kulanui Street, Lāʻie, Hawai‘i 96762, but responsibility for opinions expressed in the articles rests with the authors alone. Subscription rate is US$40.00 yearly, payable to The Jonathan Nāpela Center for Hawaiian and Pacific Studies. The Jonathan Nāpela Center for Hawaiian and Pacific Studies (formerly The Pacific Institute) is an organization funded by Brigham Young University Hawai‘i. The Center assists the University in meeting its cultural and educational goals by undertaking a program of teaching, research, and …

New Trends In Micronesian Migration: Fsm Migration To Guam And The Marianas, 1990-1993, Francis X. Hezel, S. J., Michael J. Levin

Pacific Studies

No abstract provided.

Ruthless Prepayment? Evidence From Multifamily Mortgages, James R. Follain, Jan Ondrich, Gyan P. Sinha

Center for Policy Research

Estimates of a prepayment function for multifamily mortgages are reported in this paper. These are among the first attempts to estimate such a function; most previous work along these lines focuses on single family mortgages. A further distinguishing aspect of the paper is its attempt to incorporate the impact of unobservable factors on the mortgage refinancing decision. A variant of the maximum likelihood procedure first developed by Meyer (1987) is employed. The results indicate an overall positive duration dependence for the conditional prepayment rate. The estimated response of prepayments to a change in the market rate of interest is significant …

Family Structure And Institutionalization: Results From Merged Data, James Mcnally, Douglas Wolf

Center for Policy Research

Research on the patterns and behavioral consequences of kin networks among the older population is limited due to the shortcomings of most available survey data. Often, household surveys obtain little information on the number and characteristics of nonresident kin. Moreover, surveys are often confined to the noninstitutionalized population. One possible solution is to merge information from multiple sources, in order to achieve the requisite coverage of populations and data content. This paper reports on the development of a hybrid data base containing observations from the 1987-88 National Survey of Families and Households (NSFH) and the 1989 National Long-Term Care Survey …

Needed: An Armey Commission On The Budget, Murray L. Weidenbaum

Murray Weidenbaum Publications

The idea of a balanced budget is a fine start on the path towards governmental fiscal stability. The much harder task comes in identifying the specific spending cuts that should be made and attracting sufficient public support for such tough action. Currently, powerful interest groups are able to push very hard for the particular spending programs that benefit them. One solution to this problem would be to refer budget cuts to a bipartisan, blue-ribbon commission. Congress would then be required to vote up or down on the entire package, without opportunity to make exceptions for specific programs.

Tax Reform: Reconciling Economic Growth And Fairness, Murray L. Weidenbaum

Murray Weidenbaum Publications

The emerging debate on fundamental tax reform in the United States is focused too narrowly. The key disagreement currently is between promoting economic growth and maintaining fairness via a progressive tax structure. Alarmingly, most of the reform proposals which have gained attention do eliminate the progressivity which has been a long-term hallmark of the federal income tax system. This paper demonstrates that it is possible to achieve both objectives while making basic improvements in the federal revenue structure.

Coresidence With An Older Mother: The Adult Child's Perspective, Beth Soldo, Douglas A. Wolf, Vicki A. Freedman

Center for Policy Research

We estimate models of coresidence between adult children and their elderly unmarried mothers, using data from the National Survey of Families and Households. The models include controls for women’s wages, along with other variables representing competing demands on their time. Among married couples we explicitly represent the “competition” for residential space between a child’s mother and mother-in-law. The information necessary to identify the observations of interest— respondents with a living, unmarried older mother— is missing in most cases. We address this problem using a multiple imputation strategy. The results indicate that wages, income, and parental health are related to parent-child …

What We Know About Multifamily Mortgage Originations And Why We Care, Amy D. Crews, Robert M. Dunsky, James R. Follain

Center for Policy Research

The three publicly available data sets on multifamily mortgage originations are examined and compared in an attempt to resolve the more than $20 billion discrepancy between the published estimates of the size of the conventional conforming multifamily lending market. The data are from the Survey of Mortgage Lending Activity, the Home Mortgage Disclosure Act data, and the 1991 Residential Finance Survey. The analyses show that all three data sets have substantial weaknesses, and that the primary source of the differences in estimates is due to differences in the populations covered. The 1993 multifamily mortgage originations volume is estimated to be …

Emergency Extensions Of Unemployment Insurance: A Critical Review And Some New Empirical Findings, Stephen A. Woodbury

Book Chapters

No abstract provided.

American Isolationism Versus The Global Marketplace, Murray L. Weidenbaum

Murray Weidenbaum Publications

A growing paradox faces the United States. There is simultaneously a rise in support for isolationism alongside an increasing globalization of business and economic activity. Examined separately, both trends possess a certain logical appeal. After all, given the end of the Cold War, many Americans expect an increased focus on domestic issues, of which there are plenty. At the same time, a global marketplace based on international trade has arrived. This paper examines the tensions these two trends present when placed alongside one another.

Using Recurrence Probabilities To Estimate The Volume Of Multifamily Mortgage Originations, Robert M. Dunsky, James R. Follain, Jan Ondrich

Center for Policy Research

This study uses recurrence probabilities to generate forecasts of the volume of multifamily mortgage originations for the period 1992-2002. The approach concentrates on predicting the volume of property sales using the baseline of a multifamily prepayment hazard estimation to generate the predicted cohort-specific proportion of calendar sales in a given year. The forecast for the volume of originations depends strongly on the definition of the relevant mortgage population. A definition that excludes assumptions but otherwise includes all properties selling between 1971 and 1991 in which a first mortgage was used in its acquisition yields a forecast of $47.2 billion for …

Estimating The Volume Of Multifamily Mortgage Originations By Commercial Banks Using The Survey Of Mortgage Lending Activity And The Home Mortgage Disclosure Act Data, Amy D. Crews, Robert M. Dunsky, James R. Follain

Center for Policy Research

Two public data sets on multifamily mortgage originations are used to resolve the $15 billion discrepancy between the published estimates of the size of the multifamily lending market covered by commercial banks. The data are from the Survey of Mortgage Lending Activity and the Home Mortgage Disclosure Act. The analyses show the primary sources of the differences in the estimates are differences in the populations covered, nonreporting biases, and the methods used to expand the reported values to aggregate values. The 1993 multifamily mortgage originations volume by commercial banks is estimated to be about $7-8 billion.

State Primacy, Federal Consistency Or Federal-State Consensus: Can Cooperative Federalism Models From Other Laws Save The Public Lands?, Hope M. Babcock

Challenging Federal Ownership and Management: Public Lands and Public Benefits (October 11-13)

18 pages.

Contains references.

Agenda: Challenging Federal Ownership And Management: Public Lands And Public Benefits, University Of Colorado Boulder. Natural Resources Law Center

Challenging Federal Ownership and Management: Public Lands and Public Benefits (October 11-13)

Conference organizers, speakers and/or moderators included University of Colorado School of Law professors David H. Getches, Michael A. Gheleta, Teresa Rice, Elizabeth Ann (Betsy) Rieke and Charles F. Wilkinson.

In the face of numerous proposals for privatizing, marketing, and changing the management of public lands, the Natural Resources Law Center will hold its third annual fall public lands conference October 11-13, at the CU School of Law in Boulder.

A panel of public land users and neighbors, including timber, grazing, mining, recreation, and environmental interests, will address current discontent with public land policy and management. There will also be discussion …

Vol. 18 No. 3 (1995): Pacific Studies Full Issue, The Jonathan Nāpela Center For Hawaiian And Pacific Islands Studies

Pacific Studies

Pacific Studies is published two times a year by The Jonathan Nāpela Center for Hawaiian and Pacific Studies, Brigham Young University Hawai‘i #1979, 55–220 Kulanui Street, Lāʻie, Hawai‘i 96762, but responsibility for opinions expressed in the articles rests with the authors alone. Subscription rate is US$40.00 yearly, payable to The Jonathan Nāpela Center for Hawaiian and Pacific Studies. The Jonathan Nāpela Center for Hawaiian and Pacific Studies (formerly The Pacific Institute) is an organization funded by Brigham Young University Hawai‘i. The Center assists the University in meeting its cultural and educational goals by undertaking a program of teaching, research, and …

Contributors: Vol 18 No. 3, The Jonathan Nāpela Center For Hawaiian And Pacific Islands Studies

Pacific Studies

Contributors list of Vol. 18 (1995): Pacific Studies Full Issue 3

Vol. 18 No. 3 (1995): Pacific Studies Front Matter, The Jonathan Nāpela Center For Hawaiian And Pacific Islands Studies

Pacific Studies

Pacific Studies is published two times a year by The Jonathan Nāpela Center for Hawaiian and Pacific Studies, Brigham Young University Hawai‘i #1979, 55–220 Kulanui Street, Lāʻie, Hawai‘i 96762, but responsibility for opinions expressed in the articles rests with the authors alone. Subscription rate is US$40.00 yearly, payable to The Jonathan Nāpela Center for Hawaiian and Pacific Studies. The Jonathan Nāpela Center for Hawaiian and Pacific Studies (formerly The Pacific Institute) is an organization funded by Brigham Young University Hawai‘i. The Center assists the University in meeting its cultural and educational goals by undertaking a program of teaching, research, and …

Books Received And Book Notices, The Jonathan Nāpela Center For Hawaiian And Pacific Islands Studies

Pacific Studies

Book Listing for the Vol 18, No 3 Edition of the Pacific Studies Journal

Slow Motion: Economic Mobility Of Young Workers In The 1970s And 1980s, Greg J. Duncan, Johanne Boisjoly, Timothy M. Smeeding

Center for Policy Research

This paper investigates the question of how long it takes young male workers to earn enough to reach a given standard of living, e.g., enough to support a family. We use the Panel Study of Income Dynamics data on the earnings of children and their parents to answer these questions. Our findings are that all groups of men, classified by race, ethnicity, and education level, are taking longer to reach a given standard of living. Some, e.g., undereducated black males, will never reach middle class standards of living for themselves. Implications for household formation, marriage, and public policy are discussed …

A Model For Simulating Life Histories Of The Elderly: Model Design And Implementation Plans, Douglas Wolf, Jan Ondrich, Kenneth G. Manton, Eric Stallard, Max A. Woodbury, Larry Corder

Center for Policy Research

This paper provides a strategy for the development of a model of life-cycle change in functional status, economic well-being, and family composition, with particular attention to persons aged 65 and older. The overall goal is to use the model as the basis for individual-level projections of the later life cycle, that is, microsimulation. Specifically, the scope of the project includes: 1. Specification and estimation of equations for the dynamics of functional status, nursing home occupancy, income and death among those aged 65+, using data from the 1982, 1984, and 1989 National Long-Term Care Survey (NLTCS) linked to Medicare data for …

Abolish The Department Of Commerce Now, Murray L. Weidenbaum

Murray Weidenbaum Publications

Many people believe that the Department of Commerce has outlived its usefulness. Eliminating the whole department is one way for the federal government to reduce unnecessary costs and regulation. Certain divisions that are essential could be slimmed down and moved to other departments.

Terminating Trusteeship For The Federated States Of Micronesia And The Republic Of The Marshall Islands: Independence And Self-Sufficiency In The Post-Cold War Pacific, Ellen Boneparth, M. James Wilkinson

Pacific Studies

No abstract provided.