Economics Commons^™

Capital Stock, Anwar Shaikh Phd

Archives of Anwar Shaikh

This collection includes:

• Shaikh, A. (n.d.). Capital stock [Handwritten notes with formulas for gross and net stock]. Unpublished manuscript.

• Tsoulfidis, L. (1999, May 27). Capacity utilization measures [Email to Anwar Shaikh]. Unpublished correspondence.

• Shaikh, A. (n.d.). Capacity utilization [Notes addressed to Anwar Shaikh]. Unpublished manuscript.

• U.S. Bureau of the Census. (1999, May 4). Plant capacity utilization [Data table]. U.S. Department of Commerce.

• Shaikh, A. (n.d.). Depreciation and geometric decay [Handwritten notes with equations]. Unpublished manuscript.

• Wasshausen, D. (2008, January 8). Census book value measures versus BEA measures [Email exchange with Anwar Shaikh]. Unpublished correspondence. …

Eco108 World Political Eco Lecture I&Ii, Anwar Shaikh Phd

Archives of Anwar Shaikh

This collection contains:

• Intermediate economics: growth, unemployment and inflation [Sample exam questions]. (2008, Spring).

• Keynesian model with government [Manuscript]. (2008, March 11).

• Shaikh, A. (1998, February 19). Unemployment [Handwritten notes for LANG 6061]. Anwar Shaikh, PhD.

• Shaikh, A. (2005, January). Outline [Handwritten notes for LANG 6061]. Anwar Shaikh, PhD.

• Shaikh, A. (1985, October 2). Productive/unproductive labor [Handwritten notes]. Anwar Shaikh, PhD.

• Shaikh, A. (2005, February). Finish long waves [Handwritten notes for economics, international economics]. Anwar Shaikh, PhD.

• Shaikh, A. (2001, April 17). Growth [Handwritten notes for ECO 105]. Anwar Shaikh, PhD.

• Shaikh, …

Stock Markets And Household Wealth: Can A Stock Market Crash Cause A Recession In The U.S. Economy?, Ishan Singh

Honors Theses

Stock market wealth effects on the level of consumption in the United States economy have been constantly debated; there is evidence for arguments for and against its prominence and its symmetry. This paper seeks to investigate the strength of its negative effect by creating models to analyze unexpected shocks to the Standard and Poor's 500 index. First, a transmission mechanism between the stock market and GDP is established through the use of second-order vector autoregressive models. Following which, theory from the life cycle model and adaptations of previous researchers' models are used to create a structural model. This paper finds …

The Effect Of Devaluation On Output In The Egyptian Economy: A Vector Autoregression Analysis, Sahar M. Abdel-Haleim, Hala El-Ramly

Business Administration

The objective of this paper is to analyze the relationship between exchange rate changes and output in the Egyptian economy. This is the first such study that we know of for Egypt. Employing a Vector Autoregression model, the paper conducts the study using annual data for Egypt over the period 1982-2004. The results of the study indicate that devaluations have an initial contractionary effect on output in Egypt. This contractionary effect lasts for a period of as long as four years before the expected positive effect of the devaluation starts to materialize. Moreover, the study clarifies that real exchange rate …

Application Of The Fractal Market Hypothesis For Modelling Macroeconomic Time Series, Jonathan Blackledge

Articles

This paper explores the conceptual background to financial time series analysis and financial signal processing in terms of the Efficient Market Hypothesis. By revisiting the principal conventional approaches to market analysis and the reasoning associated with them, we develop a Fractal Market Hypothesis that is based on the application of non-stationary fractional dynamics using an operator of the type
∂² / ∂x² − σ^q(t) * ∂ ^q(t)/ ∂t^q(t)

where σ⁻¹ is the fractional diffusivity and q is the Fourier dimension which, for the topology considered, (i.e. the one-dimensional case) is related to the Fractal …

The State Of New England: Economic Slowdown And Recovery After The Dotcom Bust, Arindam Bandopadhyaya, College Of Management, University Of Massachusetts Boston

Financial Services Forum Publications

What follows is an analysis of the key macroeconomic trends in the six New England states. Using data publicly available in 2007, we examine trends in GDP growth, population, personal income and unemployment rate in each state. We provide a breakdown of each state by GDP category and provide an overall weighting by super sectors.

Cultural Advantages In China: Tale Of Six Cities, Florentin Smarandache, Fu Yuhua, Victor Christianto

Branch Mathematics and Statistics Faculty and Staff Publications

Nowadays, plenty of factories from Europe and other developed countries have been relocated to this country, considering its tremendous economic scale and rapid growth rate during the past three decades. But most of what happens inside the China nowadays is deeply hidden from the outside world (“the foreigners” as China people would call). This fact is partly because most reports on China were written by the so‐called fly‐high experts who are busy completing their reports despite a busy schedule. Very few books or reports were written by people inside, or at least “foreigners” who spent a few years in China. …

Ral, Anwar Shaikh Phd

Archives of Anwar Shaikh

This collection includes:

• Shaikh, A. (2008, November 18). RAL (Eco 104) [Unpublished handwritten manuscript].

• Shaikh, A. (n.d.). Labor process transformation (RAL) [Unpublished handwritten manuscript].

• Shaikh, A. (1998, March 12). Inflation and unemployment (Lang 6061) [Unpublished handwritten manuscript].

• Shaikh, A. (n.d.). Causes of unemployment [Unpublished handwritten manuscript].

• Shaikh, A. (n.d.). RAL: Eco 105 [Unpublished handwritten manuscript].

K Stock Notes, Anwar Shaikh Phd

Archives of Anwar Shaikh

This collection includes:

• K stock notes. Unpublished manuscript notes. Author: Anwar Shaikh, PhD.
  • Contents include:
    • Notes on capital stock measurement and the construction of capital stock series.
    • Notes on the perpetual inventory method (PIM) and related capital stock calculations.
    • Notes on deflators, price indexes, and the relationship between nominal and real capital measures.
    • Notes on chain-weighted capital stock measurement and aggregation problems.
    • Notes on quality adjustment and the measurement of real capital stock.
    • Mathematical derivations and equations concerning capital accumulation, depreciation, investment, and capital-output relationships.
    • Typed and handwritten annotations concerning theoretical and empirical approaches to capital measurement.
    • Handwritten notes …

Lang Courses, Anwar Shaikh Phd

Archives of Anwar Shaikh

This collection contains:

• Intermediate economics: growth, unemployment and inflation [Midterm exam]. (2008, March 25).

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (2011, October 19). LECO Eatwell’s lecture [Handwritten notes].

• Hour money coupons with quotes from Adam Smith [Coupons]. (n.d.).

• Donadio, R. (2011, October 1). Battered by economic crisis, Greeks turn to barter networks. The New York Times.

• Shaikh, A. (2011, October 5). A. Shaikh EADC book chapter 2: Materials and figures on GDP, productivity, unemployment, and business cycles [Working materials].

• Economic patterns in capitalism [Title slide]. (2011, Fall).

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (2011, September 19). Background and …

Cointegration + Capital Stock, Anwar Shaikh Phd

Archives of Anwar Shaikh

This collection includes:

• Shaikh, A. (2003, March; 2004, May 19). Cointegration and capital stock [Handwritten notes].

• Liang, G., & Shaikh, A. (2004, July 7). State space coefficient restrictions in EViews [Email printout].

• Moudud, J. K. (2005, April 4). Microfit 4.0 tutorial lessons [Software tutorial printouts with handwritten annotations].

• Shaikh, A. (2005, April 8). Hicksian adjustment [Handwritten notes].

• Shaikh, A. (2005, May 6). Pesaran bounds testing procedure [Handwritten notes].

• Shaikh, A. (2008, May 25). Basic model, error correction mechanism, and Cochrane–Orcutt [Handwritten notes].

• Shaikh, A. (n.d.). Tutorial lessons: Lessons in cointegration analysis [Printouts with …

Banking, Credit, Anwar Shaikh Phd

Archives of Anwar Shaikh

4:27 PM    

Claude responded: This collection includes:

This collection includes:

• Shaikh, A. (n.d.). [Handwritten folder label identifying contents as "Banking, credit"]. Unpublished manuscript note. New School for Social Research.
• Shaikh, A. (n.d.). [Handwritten working notes on banking and credit theory: three-scenario framework for banks and real economy, bonds, and combined case; system of equations for deposit rate i_D, loan rate i_L, profit rate r, and real wage wr; analysis of arbitrage conditions; derivation showing all three cases collapse to the same structure when savings deposits equal zero-coupon bonds; reference to Garegnani; notation regarding base rate as f(money market) …

Eco 108 World Political Economy Lectures Iv & V, Anwar Shaikh Phd

Archives of Anwar Shaikh

This collection includes:

• Shaikh, A. (2008). Eco108: World pol eco lecture iv: Inflation 1 lecture v: Inflation 2 [Unpublished manuscript].
• Shaikh, A. (2002). World political economy (GECO 5108) [Course syllabus].
• Sahr, R. (2006). US CPI, 1665–2007, in 1995-$ [Data set]. Oregon State University.
• Shaikh, A. (2005). Inflation vs total bank credit growth [Unpublished manuscript].
• Harberger, A. C. (1988). World inflation revisited. In E. Helpman, A. Razin, & E. Sadka (Eds.), Economic effects of the government budget (pp. 217-237). MIT Press.
• The Economist. (2005). Monetary conundrums: America's monetary policy is off target. The Economist, 374(8415), 12.
• Harberger, A. C. …

The Measurement Of Capital, Anwar Shaikh Phd

Archives of Anwar Shaikh

This collection includes:

• Unpublished manuscript, The measurement of capital, by Anwar Shaikh
• Unpublished manuscript, The measurement of capital, by Anwar Shaikh

Miscellaneous, Anwar Shaikh Phd

Archives of Anwar Shaikh

This collection includes.

• Bowley, G. (2008, February 21). That ’70s look: Stagflation. The New York Times.

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (2007, August 27). Cost of funds raised through equity [Unpublished handwritten notes].

• Cohen, M. A. (2008, January 18). Email to Anwar Shaikh regarding an invitation to the University of Buenos Aires [Email correspondence].

• Jesus College, Cambridge. (2007, October 17). Letter to Anwar Shaikh [Handwritten letter].

• Ali, M. (n.d.). Econ 380: The U.S. trade deficit [Syllabus and reading list].

• [Author unknown]. (2008, February 20). Paradoxes in Lucas’s 1988 model with increasing returns [Annotated paper].

• …

Target Saving In An Overlapping Generations Model, Ashok S. Guha, Brishti Guha

Research Collection School Of Economics

We examine a model in which the utility function has been engineered so that it is optimal for consumers to aim for a fixed target level of retirement resources. In this case consumption displays excess sensitivity to current income as well as perfect old age insurance. In an overlapping generations model, this leads naturally to multiple and unstable equilibria. Under static expectations, it also leads to a well-defined dynamics, including possible historical traps, implosions involving ever-diminishing capital stock and ever-increasing interest rates, and the feasibility of optimal one-time interventions.

Central Bank Of Nigeria Annual Report And Statement Of Accounts For The Year Ended 31st December 2007, Central Bank Of Nigeria

CBN Annual Report

In 2007, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) faced significant challenges in monetary management due to statutory allocations to government tiers, autonomous foreign exchange inflows, and pre-election spending. These challenges were addressed through Open Market Operations (OMO), issuance of treasury securities, standing facilities, and foreign exchange swaps. The introduction of the monetary policy rate (MPR) in December 2006 moderated inter-bank rates, encouraged trading, and improved the transmission of monetary policy actions. The Bank intensified its non-regular management activities to ensure the Policy Support Instrument (PSI) target was met. The financial system at end-2007 comprised the CBN, the Nigeria Deposit Insurance …

Towards Inflation Targeting Framework For Monetary Policy In Nigeria: The Challenges For Central Bank Of Nigeria, M. Hugman

Economic and Financial Review

This article examines inflation with reference to Nigeria. As an emerging market environment. Part one outlines briefly the underlying mechanisms of inflation-management and general approaches to inflation targeting. Part two focuses on issues that specifically relate to inflation targeting (IT) in emerging markets, including the possible macroeconomic impact of the transition process. Part three considers the sequence and timing of the transition to IT in Nigeria, on the shift in exchange rate management required to achieve long-term price stability. Additionally, Nigeria-specific challenges are also addressed. The paper concludes by noting that both the time frame and coordination for a successful …

Singapore's Exchange Rate Policy: Some Implementation Issues, Hwee Kwan Chow

Research Collection School Of Economics

Reflecting the small open nature of its economy, Singapore has adopted an exchange rate-centered monetary policy framework since 1981. The exchange rate regime in Singapore is an intermediate regime that follows the basket-band-crawl system. With this managed float system, the MAS has successfully deterred speculators from attacking the domestic currency for most of the past three decades. At the same time, the flexibility accorded by the managed float system aided Singapore in escaping from the 1997–1998 Asian crisis relatively unscathed. In order to advance our understanding of the hitherto successful operation of Singapore's exchange rate policy, we examine the following …

Eco Reading List & Sign Up Sheet, Anwar Shaikh Phd

Archives of Anwar Shaikh

This collection includes.

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (2007, Fall). Reading list for Economics 210S: Topics in economic analysis: Inflation [Course reading list].

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (2007, Fall). Sign-up sheet for GECO 6210: Topics in economics: Inflation [Course sign-up sheet].

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (2007, Fall). Sign-up sheet for GECO 6990: Independent study [Course sign-up sheet].

Electrification, Economic Development And Poverty Alleviation: Examining The Role Of Macro-Factors In Sri Lanka, Kamal Kapadia

Link Foundation Energy Fellowship Reports

Access to modern energy services is central to enhancing rural incomes, reducing poverty and achieving the Millennium Development Goals; however, it is not sufficient in and of itself (Barnes 1988; Barnes & Floor 1996; Barnes & Foley 2003; Bose 1993; Cabraal et al 2005; Department for International Development 2002; Modi et al 2006; Saghir 2005; The World Bank 2001; The World Bank Group 2004; UN-Energy 2005; United Nations Development Program 2006). Energy services need to be integrated into a broader development program that also delivers other rural development services such as agricultural improvement technologies, healthcare and education, in order to …

Some Empirics On Economic Growth Under Heterogeneous Technology, Peter C. B. Phillips, Donggyu Sul

Research Collection School Of Economics

A new econometric approach to testing for economic growth convergence is overviewed. The method is applicable to panel data, involves a simple regression based one-sided t-test, and can be used to form a clustering algorithm to assess the existence of growth convergence clubs. The approach allows for heterogeneous technology, utilizes some new asymptotic theory for nonlinear dynamic factor models, and is easy to implement. Some background growth theory is given which shows the form of augmented Solow regression (ASR) equations in the presence of heterogeneous technology and explains sources of potential misspecification that can arise in conventional formulations of ASR …

A Structuralist Model Of The Small Open Economy In The Short, Medium And Long Run, Hian Teck Hoon, Edmund S. Phelps

Research Collection School Of Economics

Open-economy macroeconomics contains a monetary model in the Keynesian tradition that is deemed serviceable for analyzing the short run and a nonmonetary neoclassical model thought capable of handling the long run. But do the Keynesian and neoclassical models meet the challenges thrown out by the main events of the past few decades? We first indicate that the effects of these shocks on the open economy are not well captured by either the standard Keynesian model or the standard neoclassical theory. Next we provide a careful development of a nonmonetary model of the equilibrium path of the real exchange rate, share …

A Structuralist Model Of The Small Open Economy In The Short, Medium And Long Run, Hian Teck Hoon, Edmund S. Phelps

Research Collection School Of Economics

Open-economy macroeconomics contains a monetary model in the Keynesian tradition that is deemed serviceable for analyzing the short run and a nonmonetary neoclassical model thought capable of handling the long run. But do the Keynesian and neoclassical models meet the challenges thrown out by the main events of the past few decades—the ’80s shock to Europe from the sharp increase of external real interest rates; the kind of speculative shock experienced in the U.S. and parts of northern Europe in the second half of the ’90s: the prospect of new industries emerging in the future with needs for new capital; …

A Structuralist Model Of The Small Open Economy In The Short, Medium And Long Run, Hian Teck Hoon, Edmund S. Phelps

Research Collection School Of Economics

In open-economy macroeconomics there is a monetary model in the Keynesian tradition that is deemed serviceable for analyzing the short run and there is a nonmonetary neoclassical theory thought capable of handling the long run. But do the Keynesian and neoclassical models meet the challenges thrown out by the main events of the past few decades¡ªthe '80s shock to Europe taking the form of an external jump in real interest rates; the sort of shock experienced in the U.S. and parts of northern Europe in the second half of the '90s: the emerging prospect of new industries in the future …

Characterizing Exchange Rate Policy In East Asia: A Reconsideration, Hwee Kwan Chow, Yoonbai Kim, Wei Sun

Research Collection School Of Economics

Frankel and Wei (1994) developed and popularized a method for uncovering the implicit weights assigned to major international currencies constituting a currency basket. We extend the methodology in two dimensions: include regional competitive pressure and employ a vector autoregressive (VAR) model to overcome simultaneity bias. With these modifications, we confirm the prominent role of the US dollar in the exchange rate policy of East Asian economies beyond the short run. However, despite the high degree of commitment to nominal exchange rate stability prior to the crisis, fluctuations in most East Asian currencies are also significantly influenced by country specific shocks. …

Distance To Frontier And The Big Swings Of The Unemployment Rate: What Room Is Left For Monetary Policy?, Hian Teck Hoon, Kong Weng Ho

Research Collection School Of Economics

This paper builds upon Hoon and Phelps (1992, 1997) to ask how much of the evolution of the unemployment rate over several decades in country can be explained by real factors in an equilibrium model of the natural rate where country's productivity growth depends upon its distance from the world's technological leader. One motivating contemporary example includes the evolution of unemployment rates in Europe as it recovered from the second world war and caught up technologically to the US. Another example that may be less familiar to many people is Singapore (the second fastest growing economy from 1960 to 2000 …

Financial Liberalization And Monetary Policy Cooperation In East Asia, Hwee Kwan Chow, Peter N. Kriz, Roberto S. Mariano, Augustine H. H. Tan

Research Collection School Of Economics

As the countries in East Asia embark on financial liberalization, a key issue that confronts policymakers is the greater complexity of risks that is injected into the financial system. In particular, capital account liberalization may potentially increase the vulnerability of individual countries to external financial shocks. This paper advocates the optimally cascading of financial liberalization that is consistent across three dimensions: extent of domestic financial liberalization; the degree of exchange rate flexibility; and the scope of capital account liberalization. Unless the process of liberalization is properly managed, it could provoke destabilizing capital flows and lead to volatile exchange rates. Smooth …

Asian Currency Baskets: A Useful Surveillance Tool?, Charles Adams, Hwee Kwan Chow

Research Collection School Of Economics

This paper considers whether an intra-regional currency basket and the associated divergence indicators could play a useful role in official exchange rate surveillance. Recently, proponents of an Asian currency basket have referred to the role the European Currency Unit played in constructing exchange rate divergence indicators as evidence of the usefulness of intra-regional currency baskets for exchange rate monitoring. The paper shows that such indicators have a number of features that can lead to them obscuring underlying changes in exchange rates and that the signals they emit will often be difficult to interpret. In addition, the use of regional currency …

An Analysis Of Attendance At Major League Baseball Spring Training Games, Michael R. Donihue, David Findlay, Peter Newberry

Faculty Scholarship

This paper examines the determinants of game-day attendance during Major League Baseball’s 2002 spring training season in Florida. Our model of game-day attendance includes location, quality of game, and time and weather variables. A censored Tobit estimation procedure is used to estimate our model. Our results indicate that the quality of the game, average ticket price, and several location-specific factors affect attendance. Specifically, our results suggest that changes in income have no effect on attendance while increases in ticket prices cause reductions in attendance. Furthermore, the estimated price elasticity of demand for Major League Baseball during the spring training season …