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Full-Text Articles in Economics

Human Talent Management And Its Role In Enhancing The Quality Of Educational Service: An Exploratory Study Of The Opinions Of A Sample Of Supervisors In The General Directorate Of Education Of Nineveh, Ibrahim Khalil Ibrahim Mohammed Al-Hayali Mar 2026

Human Talent Management And Its Role In Enhancing The Quality Of Educational Service: An Exploratory Study Of The Opinions Of A Sample Of Supervisors In The General Directorate Of Education Of Nineveh, Ibrahim Khalil Ibrahim Mohammed Al-Hayali

Muthanna Journal of Administrative and Economics Sciences

This research aims to examine the actual role reflected by human talent management, specifically its dimensions (recruitment, performance management, training and development, talent retention), in enhancing the quality of educational service, which includes (the academic background of the teacher, the curriculum, infrastructure and facilities, quality of recruitment, safety and security, development of students’ skills). The research stems from a real problem whose features are embodied in the following question: What is the actual role reflected by the dimensions of human talent management in enhancing the quality of educational service in the researched directorate? Using the descriptive-analytical approach to diagnose and …


The Role Of Digital Governance In Improving The Quality Of Financial Reporting Under Fair Value Measurement In Accordance With International Financial Reporting Standard (Ifrs 13): An Applied Study On Jordanian Banks Listed On The Amman Stock Exchange., Ashraf Hashim Faris Alabdoon Mar 2026

The Role Of Digital Governance In Improving The Quality Of Financial Reporting Under Fair Value Measurement In Accordance With International Financial Reporting Standard (Ifrs 13): An Applied Study On Jordanian Banks Listed On The Amman Stock Exchange., Ashraf Hashim Faris Alabdoon

Muthanna Journal of Administrative and Economics Sciences

This study investigates the role of digital governance in enhancing the quality of financial reporting, while examining the mediating effect of fair value measurement under IFRS 13. The study is based on the hypothesis that digital governance practices have a positive impact on improving financial reporting quality within the fair value measurement framework. The empirical analysis focuses on Jordanian commercial banks listed on the Amman Stock Exchange over the period 2017–2024. Data were collected from published annual financial reports to construct a dataset suitable for statistical analysis and to bridge theoretical concepts with practical applications in the banking sector. The …


Blockchain Technology As A Tool To Enhance Information Security Elements In The Government Organizations Sector: An Exploratory Study In The Nineveh Governorate Traffic Directorate, Saif Khalid Zakaria Mar 2026

Blockchain Technology As A Tool To Enhance Information Security Elements In The Government Organizations Sector: An Exploratory Study In The Nineveh Governorate Traffic Directorate, Saif Khalid Zakaria

Muthanna Journal of Administrative and Economics Sciences

Purpose: The objective of this study is oriented to investigate what are the determinant features of Blockchain Technology (BCT) that contribute in boosting ISE factors in governmental institutions. The research work is grounded on referring to the most popular features of Blockchain (BC) in enhancing the core and supportive (ISE). Research Design/ Methods and approach: The data for this research was based on a crosssectional and correlational survey (95 responses were finally analyzed). The collected data were first analyzed using SPSS v.26 and then through variance based structural equation modeling (SEM; Smart PLS v.4) for assessing validity and …


Work Environment Quality And Its Relationship To Job Satisfaction In The Kirkuk Education Directorate, Ahmed Abd Saleh Mar 2026

Work Environment Quality And Its Relationship To Job Satisfaction In The Kirkuk Education Directorate, Ahmed Abd Saleh

Muthanna Journal of Administrative and Economics Sciences

The study aimed to examine the relationship between the quality of the work environment in its dimensions (teamwork, improvement of working conditions, and motivation) and the achievement of job satisfaction among the employees of Kirkuk Directorate of Education, with a focus on the extent to which the elements of the work environment affect the level of satisfaction and organizational commitment. The study population consisted of 970 employees of the directorate, from which a random sample of 100 employees from various departments and job levels was selected as the study sample. The majority of the sample were male, with work experience …


Analyzing The Impact Of Applying Ipsas 42 On Social Benefits In Enhancing Reporting Quality And Promoting Financial Sustainability, Burhan Hussein Khalaf Al-Rawi, Hasan Saleh Yusuf Al-Bajari Mar 2026

Analyzing The Impact Of Applying Ipsas 42 On Social Benefits In Enhancing Reporting Quality And Promoting Financial Sustainability, Burhan Hussein Khalaf Al-Rawi, Hasan Saleh Yusuf Al-Bajari

Muthanna Journal of Administrative and Economics Sciences

The study aims to explore the impact of applying IPSAS 42 on social benefits in enhancing the efficiency of financial reporting and strengthening the sustainability of financial capabilities within Iraqi government institutions. The study objectives were achieved by examining the nature and objectives of IPSAS 42, assessing the current state of disclosure of social benefits in government financial reports, and measuring the extent to which the social benefits standard contributes to promoting financial sustainability. The study relied on secondary financial data from a set of Iraqi government entities, including current expenditures, capital/investment expenditures, oil revenues, non-oil revenues, fiscal deficit, and …


His Role In Government Investment In Economic Development Services In Iraq, Hatem Jabr Atshan Mar 2026

His Role In Government Investment In Economic Development Services In Iraq, Hatem Jabr Atshan

Muthanna Journal of Administrative and Economics Sciences

This study aims to shed light on the reality of government investment spending in Iraq by analyzing its indicators and estimating the government investment spending index and its impact on economic growth for the period 2004-2024, based on theoretical and applied frameworks. The study concluded that the contribution of investment spending to GDP was determined to be between (5.7%) and (69.6%), with an average rate of (17.75%), indicating government involvement in socio-economic fields. There is no financial approach worldwide that reduces the scope of public spending in favor of investment spending in a way that leads to increased economic growth.


Integrated Reporting And Its Role In Enhancing The Reliability Of Financial Reports: The Mediating Role Of Digital Transformation Technology: A Field Study, Mohammed Jumaah Kareem Sajet Al-Barki, Qasim Mohammed Abdullah, Majid Gazi Hasan, Ali Awadh Atshan Mar 2026

Integrated Reporting And Its Role In Enhancing The Reliability Of Financial Reports: The Mediating Role Of Digital Transformation Technology: A Field Study, Mohammed Jumaah Kareem Sajet Al-Barki, Qasim Mohammed Abdullah, Majid Gazi Hasan, Ali Awadh Atshan

Muthanna Journal of Administrative and Economics Sciences

The primary objective of the research is to demonstrate the impact of Integrated Reporting on enhancing the reliability of financial reports through the adoption of digital transformation technology, and to provide the cognitive foundations regarding Integrated Reporting and the reliability of financial reports. The research focused on the community of commercial companies listed on the Iraq Stock Exchange, with the sample limited to seven (7) companies according to specific criteria, as they are listed on the exchange and possess externally audited financial reports. These companies did not experience any mergers during the research period, which allowed for the completion of …


Application Of A Fuzzy Multi-Objective Defuzzification Method To Solve A Multi-Modal Transportation Problem, Qusay H Khalaf, Khalid Zeghaiton Chaloob Mar 2026

Application Of A Fuzzy Multi-Objective Defuzzification Method To Solve A Multi-Modal Transportation Problem, Qusay H Khalaf, Khalid Zeghaiton Chaloob

Muthanna Journal of Administrative and Economics Sciences

Multi-modal transportation systems are the logistics networks for global economy. Transportation systems are fraught with uncertainties that hinder the traditional deterministic models reaching the optimal performance. The main obstacle for traditional deterministic models is the uncertainties (e.g., fuel prices volatility, inaccurate transit-times prediction, and evolving environmental regulations). This paper proposes a novel method of fuzzy multi-objective defuzzification. It integrates a modified center of gravity (COG) technique with multi-objective linear programming (MOLP) to address the uncertainty challenges. Triangular fuzzy numbers and partitioning to sud-intervals generated crisp solutions to balance conflicting objectives: cost, time, and environmental sustainability. A four transportation-mode used as …


Measuring Market Risk Through Entropic Var, Dragomir Nedeltchev, Tsvetelin Zaevski Mar 2026

Measuring Market Risk Through Entropic Var, Dragomir Nedeltchev, Tsvetelin Zaevski

Mathematical Modelling and Numerical Simulation with Applications

The article aims to measure the market risk beyond the basic risk measures like the Value-at-Risk (VaR) and the Expected Shortfall (ES). The Entropic Value-at-Risk is selected among the available measures based on its advantages -- it is the coherent upper bound of the VaR and ES. This risk measure is applied to the classical Black-Scholes model as well as to some more realistic ones, such as the exponential tempered stable model (the log-returns are presented by a tempered stable L\'evy process), the stochastic volatility model of Heston, its jump extension of Bates, and another stochastic volatility model but with …


Exploring The Impact Of Psychological Hardiness On Career Prosperity: An Analytical Study Of The Opinions Of Employees Of The Ministry Of Migration And Displacement/Najaf Governorate Branch, Mustafa Hasan Kareem Al-Hamami Mar 2026

Exploring The Impact Of Psychological Hardiness On Career Prosperity: An Analytical Study Of The Opinions Of Employees Of The Ministry Of Migration And Displacement/Najaf Governorate Branch, Mustafa Hasan Kareem Al-Hamami

Muthanna Journal of Administrative and Economics Sciences

This study aims to explore the impact of psychological hardiness on career well-being among employees of the Ministry of Migration and Displaced Persons – Najaf Al-Ashraf Branch, with a focus on how psychological hardiness contributes to enhancing employee welfare and improving professional performance. The study adopted a descriptive- analytical approach, where data were collected and analyzed to determine the relationship between the variables. The study population included all employees of the Ministry – Najaf Al-Ashraf Branch, and a random sample of 100 employees was selected to ensure adequate representation of different departments and job categories. A standardized questionnaire measuring psychological …


Green Value Chain Analysis And Its Role In Improving Resource Allocation Decisions: A Case Study In Diwaniya Dairy Factory, Ail Abdul-Hussein Hani Al-Zameli, Nabaa Duaa Fakher Mar 2026

Green Value Chain Analysis And Its Role In Improving Resource Allocation Decisions: A Case Study In Diwaniya Dairy Factory, Ail Abdul-Hussein Hani Al-Zameli, Nabaa Duaa Fakher

Muthanna Journal of Administrative and Economics Sciences

The purpose of this study is to justify the role of The green value chain as a modern technique of management accounting in facilitating investment decisions and optimizing the effectiveness in resources utilization at industrial units. The premise underlying the study is that green value serves as a frame of reference for analysing activities, which in turn allows to separate value-adding from non-value adding ones, leading to cost reduction and environmental soundness. Management is also not about finding faults for waste and allocating funds, it's all about tapping new ways of creating value by eliminating non-value adding activities. The deductive …


Investment Intensity Rises - Profits Decrease, Anwar Shaikh Phd Mar 2026

Investment Intensity Rises - Profits Decrease, Anwar Shaikh Phd

Archives of Anwar Shaikh

This collection includes:

• Glick, M. (n.d.). As investment intensity rises, profitability declines [General Electric study discussing the PIMS data used to advise managers]. General Electric.


Converting The Social Security Trust Fund Into A Sovereign Wealth Fund: A Proposal To Secure The Future, Keanu Moore Mar 2026

Converting The Social Security Trust Fund Into A Sovereign Wealth Fund: A Proposal To Secure The Future, Keanu Moore

Dartmouth College Master’s Theses

This thesis proposes the conversion of the Social Security Trust Fund into a sovereign wealth fund (SWF), paired with the phased creation of a mandatory retirement savings system for all working-age Americans. In response to forecasts projecting Trust Fund depletion by 2034, the proposed portfolio shift would diversify assets beyond U.S. Treasuries into global equities, real estate, alternatives, and fixed income, with the goal of enhancing long-term returns while remaining passively managed. While this reform would extend the Fund’s solvency, it is not, on its own, a permanent fix. To ensure structural sustainability beyond the exhaustion date, the thesis proposes …


Black Swans And Financial Stability: A Framework For Building Resilience, Daniel J. Barth, Stacey L. Schreft Mar 2026

Black Swans And Financial Stability: A Framework For Building Resilience, Daniel J. Barth, Stacey L. Schreft

Journal of Financial Crises

This article refines the concept of black swans, typically described as highly unlikely and catastrophic events, to be internally consistent. It explores features of the financial system that prevent the eradication of black swans. The main implication is the need to enhance the financial system’s resilience to withstand unforeseen events rather than focus on past crises. The article introduces a “resilience principle” for designing official-sector policies that can achieve such goals. The principle calls for policies that are adaptable, universal, and systemic. The article provides examples of policies with these features, assuming that the official sector is not better positioned …


Esg, Institutional Investors, And Financing Constraints: Evidence From Chinese Listed Companies, Zhu Yinquan Mar 2026

Esg, Institutional Investors, And Financing Constraints: Evidence From Chinese Listed Companies, Zhu Yinquan

Student Works (2020-2029)

This thesis examines the relationship between Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) performance and financing constraints, placing particular emphasis on the moderating role of institutional investors in listed Chinese firms. Drawing on information asymmetry theory, the study argues that ESG performance can reduce financing constrains by narrowing informational discrepancies between firms and external capital providers. While prior research has largely focused on the direct effects of ESG on financing, limited attention has been given to the ways in which institutional investors who are both major users of ESG information and active participants in corporate governance shape this relationship. China’s capital market …


Cbdcs Vs Decentralized Currencies: Considerations For 21st Century Global Financial Challenges, Andrew Michael Sobhy, Shuai Wang Mar 2026

Cbdcs Vs Decentralized Currencies: Considerations For 21st Century Global Financial Challenges, Andrew Michael Sobhy, Shuai Wang

The Downtown Review: An Interdisciplinary Journal Written and Peer-Reviewed by Mandel Honors College Students at Cleveland State University

As digital currencies gain prominence in everyday life, policymakers in the United States at the federal, state, and local levels debate the potential for innovation, surveillance, global relations, and a plethora of areas that concern citizens. While existing literature highlights the opportunities and pitfalls within this new digital age, including inclusivity and challenges to traditional banking, this study aims to contribute a quantitative approach to the discussion utilizing Federal Reserve data, studies from financial institutions, and various credible resources that hold a stake. Specifically, comparing novel Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDCs) and Decentralized Financial Currencies (DeFi) will provide a foundation …


Sustainability And Stability: Esg–Credit Risk Dynamics In Eu Banks, Jan Porenta, Iza Matko, Riste Ichev Mar 2026

Sustainability And Stability: Esg–Credit Risk Dynamics In Eu Banks, Jan Porenta, Iza Matko, Riste Ichev

Economic and Business Review

This study examines the relationship between bank-specific environmental, social, and governance (ESG) performance and credit risk in the European Union (EU), focusing on differences between euro area (EA) and non-EA banks, as well as developed versus emerging EU markets. Using panel data for 87 EU banks from 2014–2023 and static fixed-effects models, credit risk is measured via ratios of nonperforming loans to loans, assets, and equity, while ESG is assessed using both ESG and ESG combined scores. Results show a statistically significant negative association between ESG performance and credit risk for the full sample, EA banks, and banks in developed …


Art Pricing And Anti-Corruption Campaigns: Evidence From Repeat Sales Of Chinese Paintings, Yihan Wang Mar 2026

Art Pricing And Anti-Corruption Campaigns: Evidence From Repeat Sales Of Chinese Paintings, Yihan Wang

Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)

My dissertation investigates the impact of China’s anti-corruption campaign on the pricing of traditional Chinese paintings, leveraging a unique dataset of repeat sales transactions. Since the 1990s, China’s art market has experienced explosive growth, becoming the world’s largest by 2011. However, this market is characterized by extreme opacity, facilitating elegant bribery (“ya hui” in Chinese), where artworks serve as vehicles for implicit corruption through inflated auctions or disguised gifts to officials. The launch of the "Eight-point Regulation" in December 2012 marked a significant intensification of anti-corruption efforts, raising the critical question of how such political shocks affect asset pricing in …


Bundled Guidance Types And Changes In Expected Volatility, Thaddeus Neururer, George Papadakis Mar 2026

Bundled Guidance Types And Changes In Expected Volatility, Thaddeus Neururer, George Papadakis

University Research

We examine how different types of bundled managerial guidance affect uncertainty levels around earnings announcements. To measure changes in uncertainty, we use both changes in implied volatilities and methods that decompose the implied volatility term structure. Unlike prior studies, we find little evidence that earnings guidance is associated with investor uncertainty. Our results instead indicate that other forms of bundled guidance are associated with lower uncertainty levels. Revenue, capital expenditure, and earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization guidance are strongly associated with reductions in investor uncertainty, even when firms provide earnings guidance.


The Role Of Corporate Managers In Improving Profit Performance Of Commercial Banks In Kosovo, Flutura Beka Kamberaj Feb 2026

The Role Of Corporate Managers In Improving Profit Performance Of Commercial Banks In Kosovo, Flutura Beka Kamberaj

Walden Dissertations and Doctoral Studies

The profitability of commercial banks is a key indicator of financial system stability and economic growth, albeit Kosovo’s banking sector continues to face challenges from nonperforming loans, regulatory constraints, and limited innovation. Corporate managers at Kosovo’s commercial banks are reporting low profit performance despite overall sector stability. The purpose of this qualitative single-case study was to explore how corporate managers contribute to improving profit performance in Kosovo’s commercial banks. The resource-based view and corporate governance theory provided the theoretical foundation. The participants comprised 20 corporate managers at commercial banks in Kosovo. Data were collected using semistructured interviews and public documents. …


Monetary System Upgrade Driven By Financial Technology: Path Exploration And Practical Insights Based On E-Cny, Chen Chen, Hong Chi, Ping Zhang, Yilei Liang Feb 2026

Monetary System Upgrade Driven By Financial Technology: Path Exploration And Practical Insights Based On E-Cny, Chen Chen, Hong Chi, Ping Zhang, Yilei Liang

Bulletin of Chinese Academy of Sciences (Chinese Version)

Financial technology (fintech) is a key variable reshaping national financial competitiveness, and promoting the digital upgrade of the monetary system is a core task in building a financially strong nation. As a pivotal component of the monetary system, the electronic Chinese yuan (e-CNY), based on its inherent fintech attributes, serves as a critical practice for driving the monetary system towards a more advanced stage of evolution. Currently, the traditional monetary system faces three major challenges: low efficiency and high risks in cross-border payments, structural attenuation in monetary policy transmission, and a lack of digital safe-haven assets. Starting from the pilot …


Hold Harmless For Whom? The Impact Of Covid Era Policies On School Funding, Teachers, And Students, Michah W. Rothbart, Samantha Cervantes, Amy Ellen Schwartz Feb 2026

Hold Harmless For Whom? The Impact Of Covid Era Policies On School Funding, Teachers, And Students, Michah W. Rothbart, Samantha Cervantes, Amy Ellen Schwartz

Center for Policy Research

This study evaluates the fiscal and academic consequences of New York City’s hold harmless policy during COVID-19, which aimed to stabilize school expenditures amid unexpected enrollment declines by restoring schools’ funding up to initial levels. We examine how school racial composition predicts whether or when schools receive hold harmless “treatment” and assess the impact of hold harmless on financial resources, staffing, and student outcomes, exploring heterogeneity by timing of policy announcement. Although schools with higher White student shares were no more likely than those with higher Hispanic or Black shares to receive hold harmless funds, schools with higher Black shares …


Financial Stability Success Strategies For Nursing Homes, Jennifer Helene Garrison Feb 2026

Financial Stability Success Strategies For Nursing Homes, Jennifer Helene Garrison

Walden Dissertations and Doctoral Studies

Ineffective regulatory strategies can lead to reduced financial stability. Nursing home leaders who wrestle to improve regulatory practices may find their business facing reduced financial sustainability. Grounded in management by objectives theory, the purpose of this qualitative pragmatic inquiry research project was to identify and explore the effective strategies nursing home leaders used to implement regulatory compliance practices that increase financial sustainability. The participants were nine nursing home leaders who had successfully implemented regulatory compliance strategies within their organizations. Data was collected through semistructured interviews, public websites, and current and archival public documents. Through thematic analysis, three themes were identified: …


The Impact Of Central Bank Digital Currencies News On Bank Stability: Evidence From Asean-5 Countries, Firman Hidayat, Raditya Sukmana, Masrizal Masrizal, Rahmat Heru Setianto Feb 2026

The Impact Of Central Bank Digital Currencies News On Bank Stability: Evidence From Asean-5 Countries, Firman Hidayat, Raditya Sukmana, Masrizal Masrizal, Rahmat Heru Setianto

Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking

This study constructs an index reflecting Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) news coverage and evaluates its impact on bank stability. The CBDC Attention Index (CBDCAI) is formulated based on more than 533 Reuters Digital News Report articles from 2019 to 2023. Employing the System Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) approach with data from 92 banks across ASEAN-5 nations, and implementing quantile regression for robustness checks, the findings demonstrate a significant relationship between the CBDCAI and bank stability, alongside variables such as bank size and capitalization. These results offer valuable guidance for central banks, especially within the ASEAN-5 region, as they …


Evaluating The Role Of Bank Specific, Macroeconomic, And Institutional Factors In Determining Banking Sector Performance: Evidence From South Asian Economies, Samia Nasreen, Mehwish Gulzar, Xuan-Hoa Nghiem, Saira Arsh Feb 2026

Evaluating The Role Of Bank Specific, Macroeconomic, And Institutional Factors In Determining Banking Sector Performance: Evidence From South Asian Economies, Samia Nasreen, Mehwish Gulzar, Xuan-Hoa Nghiem, Saira Arsh

Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking

This study investigates the bank-specific, macroeconomic, and institutional factors affecting the performance of the banking sector specifically profitability and stability in South Asian countries from 2011 to 2020. Using a two-step system GMM estimation method on a balanced panel dataset, the study identifies key determinants, including bank size, operating expenses, economic growth, exchange rates, and economic freedom. Institutional factors, particularly corruption, significantly influence banking sector profitability and stability. The findings offer several policy recommendations to enhance banking sector performance in the region.


On The Legal-Theoretical Foundations Of Property Taxation Under State Ownership Of Land, Tianke Ban, Yilin Hou, Ping Zhang Feb 2026

On The Legal-Theoretical Foundations Of Property Taxation Under State Ownership Of Land, Tianke Ban, Yilin Hou, Ping Zhang

Center for Policy Research

The general public and even some scholars challenge the legitimacy of levying the property tax under conditions where land is state-owned and multi-year land-use fees have already been collected at the time of house sales. This challenge points to the legal- theoretical foundations of property taxation: the core issue is whether the rights and economic utility of China's construction land-use-rights (CLUR) are sufficient to be treated as the object of property tax levy. China's Civil Law stipulates that CLUR holders have the rights to possess, use, and profit from the land during their use period, as well as the right …


Agency Mbs As Safe Assets, Zhiguo He, Zhaogang Song Feb 2026

Agency Mbs As Safe Assets, Zhiguo He, Zhaogang Song

Research Collection Lee Kong Chian School Of Business

Measured as yield spreads against Treasury securities and AAA corporate bonds, the convenience premium of newly issued agency MBS averages more than half of the long-term Treasury convenience premium. The agency MBS convenience premium and issuance amount vary negatively with mortgage rate, consistent with a prepayment-driven channel. Placing agencies into conservatorship in 2008 and introducing liquidity regulations in 2013 significantly affected MBS convenience premium, consistent with government guarantee and regulatory treatment channels. Analyses of dispersion of dealers’ prepayment forecasts, seasoned MBS, and investors’ MBS holdings deliver further economic implications for agency MBS as safe assets.


Decentralization And Trust: Institutional Design For Effective Governance, Michael A. Nelson Jan 2026

Decentralization And Trust: Institutional Design For Effective Governance, Michael A. Nelson

University Research

This study examines the relationship between decentralization and public trust in the civil service using a multidimensional framework that extends beyond conventional fiscal measures. Drawing on indicators of regional and local government autonomy across 47 countries from 1995 to 2018, the analysis yields four findings. Trust is higher when local governments, rather than regional authorities, lead service delivery; greater subnational financial self-reliance is positively associated with trust; oversight by higher tiers enhances accountability and citizen perceptions; and shared-rule arrangements that involve regional governments in national decision-making further bolster trust. Overall, the findings highlight the limits of fiscal decentralization alone and …


The Economics Of Accountability: Learning From German Holocaust Reparations, Grace I. Gates Jan 2026

The Economics Of Accountability: Learning From German Holocaust Reparations, Grace I. Gates

Scripps Senior Theses

Drawing on microdata from the Survey of Health, Aging, and Retirement in Europe, this study compares European Holocaust survivors who received reparations with similar Europeans who did not. It finds that, decades on, recipients are not systematically better or worse off on core outcomes like life satisfaction, savings, and debt. This is consistent with the argument that reparations restore parity rather than create new advantages. Where differences emerge, they point to stabilization in more vulnerable settings (e.g., lower likelihood of high debt in parts of Eastern Europe). The main takeaway from effective reparations is applicable to the United States debate: …


Forecasting The Unpredictable: The Bullwhip Effect In The Toy Industry, Mannat Sethi Jan 2026

Forecasting The Unpredictable: The Bullwhip Effect In The Toy Industry, Mannat Sethi

CMC Senior Theses

This thesis investigates the bullwhip effect, the amplification of demand variability as it moves upstream in a supply chain, with a focus on the toy industry, and comparative analysis with the technology and consumer goods sectors. Using annual data from 1993 to 2024, the study analyzes production and retail growth for Mattel, Hasbro, Intel, and Procter & Gamble to assess how variance between consumer demand and firm output has changed over time. Bullwhip ratios are calculated as the variance of production growth divided by the variance of retail growth across two periods: 1993–2008 and 2009–2024.

The findings show that toy …