Economics Commons^™

Euro-Denominated Credit Liquidity: Tracing Cyclical Phases In Global Finance, Mateusz Mariusz Mierzejewski

Journal of Banking and Financial Economics

In the past few years, set against the backdrop of pandemic mitigation efforts and the resultant inflationary spike, the macrofinancial landscape has undergone significant transformation. The tightening of monetary policy by global central banks in response to these phenomena has notably affected global financial liquidity, particularly within the realm of foreign currency lending. This article delves into the shifts in credit liquidity, centering on the Global Liquidity Index for euro-denominated loans across European Union nations over the last two decades. Through the application of the Fourier Transform, we analyse the cyclical patterns within the index and delineate the primary phases …

European Union Sanctions Impact On The Sector Stock Prices – The Ukrainian War Effect?, Patrycja Chodnicka, Piotr Jaworski, Marcin Kot

Journal of Banking and Financial Economics

The aim of this paper is to analyze the current impact of the implementation of the European Union sanctions related to the Ukrainian War on the abnormal rates of return on the stock prices of companies listed on the stock exchanges. It was hypothesized that the implementation of the European Union sanctions related to the Ukrainian War is causing the varied abnormal rates of return on the stock prices of companies listed on the stock exchanges, taking into consideration the type of sector and the geographical proximity to the military conflict. The analysis used panel data event studies prepared using …

Government Subsidy In The U.S. Mortgage Market: A Structural Analysis With Bunching, Bowen Shi, Yunhui Zhao

Journal of Banking and Financial Economics

It is crucial to better understand the U.S. residential mortgage market, where the global financial crisis originated. In this paper, we develop an infinite-horizon continuous-time structural model to study the effects of the longstanding and widespread Government-Sponsored Enterprises (GSEs) mortgage default insurance subsidy on U.S. mortgage underwriters’ equilibrium lending behaviour. Despite the richness of the model, we obtain analytical solutions for the equilibrium loan size and interest rate. We then employ truncated loan-level data to estimate the subsidy’s magnitude using maximum likelihood by exploiting a distinctive data feature that many borrowers bunch at the subsidy eligibility cutoff. We find that …

Indirect Measure Of Financial Constraints: Evidence From Unquoted Innovative Smes, Katarzyna Prędkiewicz

Journal of Banking and Financial Economics

This paper examines whether companies’ innovativeness affects the availability of capital and, therefore, whether this group is financially constrained. It uses an objective, indirect way of measuring financial constraints based on the assumption that financially restricted firms only invest when internal cash flow allows them to do so. Therefore, the research was based on the investment-cash flow equation, more precisely the adjusted ECM model adapted to the SME sector. The companies’ innovativeness was measured based on a proprietary synthetic indicator covering a broad range of information on innovation activity. The research was conducted on a sample of 403 firms, including …

The Planned Reforms Of The American And European Deposit Insurance Systems: Similarities And Differences, Konrad Szeląg

Journal of Banking and Financial Economics

Last year, at around the same time, two reforms of deposit insurance systems were announced – one in the United States and the other in the European Union. The American proposal of the reform was triggered by the banking crisis of March 2023 (bank runs and failures) and it was put forward by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation in May 2023. In Europe, the European Commission published in April 2023 its legislative proposal to reform the current EU framework for crisis management in the banking sector (including both deposit insurance and bank resolution). The EU proposal for the reform was …

Journal Of Banking And Financial Economics 2024, 2(22)

Journal of Banking and Financial Economics

Journal of Banking and Financial Economics 2024, 2(22)

The Effects Of Spending-Focused Fiscal Policy On Italian Output And Stock Market Performance, Filippo Salvatico

CMC Senior Theses

This paper studies the effects of Italy’s expenditure-focused fiscal policy on (1) economic output, measured with real GDP growth, and (2) stock market performance, measured with FTSE MIB period returns, using ordinary least squares and generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models. To the first end, a quarterly (time series) data base of fiscal indicators—Budget Balance, Government Debt, and Government Expenditure—as well as other macroeconomic series is constructed to test their effects on output. To the second end, a monthly (time series) data base of the same indicators, as well as period returns for seven other benchmark stock exchanges across Europe, is …

The Efficacy Of Insider Trading Regulation: An Analysis Of The 1942 Introduction Of Sec Rule 10b-5, Kamila Melikova, Eric Hughson

CMC Senior Theses

Existing research has thoroughly examined the impact of insider trading regulations, finding mixed results regarding the effectiveness of new law introductions. Although this topic has received considerable attention, there is still a notable lack of research on the first regulation of insider trading: the 1942 introduction of Section 10(b), an amendment to the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. This paper uses a newly compiled dataset of earnings announcements from large public companies between 1937 and 1946, combined with event study methodology, to investigate the effectiveness of the very first ban on insider trading. Through the application of t-tests and regression …

Analyzing The Effects Of 2018 Bank Reclassifications On Individual Balance Sheet Compositions, Hiyab Abraha

CMC Senior Theses

The March 2023 collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) marked the second largest bank failure in United States history and the largest bank failure since the 2008 Global Financial Crisis (GFC). This paper analyzes the mechanisms underlying SVB’s downfall and explores the specific systemic vulnerabilities that March 2023 revealed. To study the impact of systemic risk reclassification on individual bank balance sheets, I construct a quarterly panel dataset of the largest US chartered banks and track their regulatory classification and financial reports from 2009 to 2023. The 2018 Economic Growth, Regulatory Relief, and Consumer Protection Act (EGRRCPA) changed the Federal …

Nfl Positional Value In Terms Of Salary Cap Spending: Why Are Running Backs Undervalued?, Charlton Jackson

CMC Senior Theses

Running Backs over the past two decades have seen a contract value devaluation relative to other positions and the league's salary cap spending limit. The growth of running back salaries has stagnated in the past decade, and they currently fail to keep pace with the contracts for other positions. Through our empirical research, we were able to either reject or better explain existing reasoning for recent running back devaluation, such as the increase in passing volume, durability concerns, and running backs by committee. We found that the most significant change in the past 30 years of the NFL, since the …

Is Green The New Gold? Esg’S Influence On The Financial Performance Of The Energy And Mining Industries, Alexa De Vegvar

CMC Senior Theses

The demand for Environment, Social, and Governance (ESG) reporting has increased in recent years. As the concern for climate change has moved to the forefront of the investment process, companies have needed to prioritize ESG in their operations. Previous literature addresses how ESG has benefited companies’ financial performance and increased shareholder value. The pandemic has proven to have positively impacted ESG reporting as social priorities shifted. However, studies have also shown that ESG reporting is too ambiguous to concretely display any relationship with financial performance. This thesis will analyze the impact of ESG and environmental data reporting on the Return …

Capturing Value In Emerging Markets: A Real Options Perspective On Resilience And Risk, Alexander Castillo

CMC Senior Theses

This paper examines the evaluation of investment opportunities in emerging markets (EMs) through real options analysis, against the backdrop of their unique risk profiles and the recent trend of EMs exhibiting resilience in economic performance. While EMs are associated with high growth rates and infrastructure gaps, they have shown adaptability, particularly in monetary policy responses to inflation. This paper explores the sensitivity of net present value (NPV) and real options (RO) to changes in the capital asset pricing model, adapting the yield spread to capture default risk and local risk-free rates. Utilizing oil benchmark price data, the paper constructs a …

Three Essays On The Impact Of Debt On Young American Adults’ Lives After Graduation, Sylvie Sanou

Graduate Research Theses & Dissertations

This dissertation investigates the impact of financial constraints due to debt on three aspects of young American adults' lives after graduation. The first essay examines the impact of student loan debt on the mental health of US young adults using restricted-access and publicly available data from the 1997 National Longitudinal Survey of Youth (NLSY97). Prior studies found that debt negatively affects mental health. However, few papers focused on educational debt. Unlike other debt, student loan debt is special because it funds human capital investment, and borrowers expect to receive a significant return on the investment. Using a two-stage estimation model, …

Univariate Extreme Value Analysis Of Quantitative Investment Management, George Agbenyega Zumanu

Graduate Research Theses & Dissertations

The evolution of product development within the variable annuity (VA) business have sparked interest in quantitative investment management, particularly as most VA issuers have integrated volatility-controlled funds into their annuity portfolios. Despite the existence of empirical research on statistical analysis of extreme values in conventional investments, there has been a notable gap in research focus towards risk modeling in volatility-controlled funds.

This study contributes by analyzing and modeling the extreme values of investments in volatility-controlled funds, comparing them to conventional equity funds. The financial returns of S&P Dow Jones Indices (SPDJI) indices - SPXTR, risk control SPXT18UT, and managed risk …

Essays On Computational And Financial Economics, Mohammadreza Mahmoudi

Graduate Research Theses & Dissertations

This dissertation comprises three essays centered on computational and financial economics, addressing the economic implications of the COVID-19 pandemic, the interplay between monetary policy and the cryptocurrency market, and the strategies for cryptocurrency portfolio optimization.

In the first essay, the spotlight is cast on the U.S. government's response to the COVID-19 pandemic and its subsequent economic ramifications. The study meticulously assesses the implemented uniform pandemic control policies and contrasts them with potential targeted measures. These targeted strategies take into account the differential effects of the virus on various age demographics. By employing the adjusted SEQIHR model as a tool for …

Optimal Nonparametric Range-Based Volatility Estimation, Tim Bollerslev, Jia Li, Qiyuan Li

Research Collection School Of Economics

We present a general framework for optimal nonparametric spot volatility estimation based on intraday range data, comprised of the first, highest, lowest, and last price over a given time-interval. We rely on a decision-theoretic approach together with a coupling-type argument to directly tailor the form of the nonparametric estimator to the specific volatility measure of interest and relevant loss function. The resulting new optimal estimators offer substantial efficiency gains compared to existing commonly used range-based procedures.

Robust Testing For Explosive Behavior With Strongly Dependent Errors, Yui Lim Lui, Peter C. B. Phillips, Jun Yu

Research Collection School Of Economics

A heteroskedasticity-autocorrelation robust (HAR) test statistic is proposed to test for the presence of explosive roots in financial or real asset prices when the equation errors are strongly dependent. Limit theory for the test statistic is developed and extended to heteroskedastic models. The new test has stable size properties unlike conventional test statistics that typically lead to size distortion and inconsistency in the presence of strongly dependent equation errors. The new procedure can be used to consistently time-stamp the origination and termination of an explosive episode under similar conditions of long memory errors. Simulations are conducted to assess the finite …

Expansionary Federal Monetary Policy And U.S. Banks’ Risk Profiles During The Covid-19 Pandemic-Induced Economic Recession, Maoyong Zheng, Cesar Escalante

Journal of Banking and Financial Economics

This study focuses on the pandemic phase when the U.S. economy dealt with significant economic recessionary pressures due to widespread, prolonged social mobility restraints. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) promptly pursued expansionary policies, such as lowering the federal funds rate to almost zero until February 2022. This study employs a Dynamic Panel Data Generalised Moment Method Model (DPD-GMM) to analyse the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic’s economic shocks and FOMC’s expansionary policy on U.S. banks’ loan portfolio and asset complement risk profiles. Our analysis extends from two pre-pandemic years through the pandemic recession and recovery periods (until early 2022) …

Optimal Empirical Strategy For Deriving The Spot Curve: The Case Of Poland, Piotr Bartkiewicz

Journal of Banking and Financial Economics

We use a proprietary dataset of daily quotations of individual bonds from the period 2005–2018 to assess the appropriateness of three common yield curve intrapolation methods: Nelson-Siegel (NS), Diebold-Li (DL) and cubic splines. Spot (zero-coupon) yield curves derived from the methods are used to price all securities in the sample in both in-sample and out-of-sample settings. The results highlight trade-offs inherent in any empirical strategy: between flexibility and in-sample fit, between overall fit and fit in particular segments of the curve. We look at both in-sample and out-of-sample. Cubic splines offer the best in-sample fit, but out-of-sample results indicate that …

Essays On Consumption Dynamics, Shaun M. Gilyard

Graduate Theses, Dissertations, and Problem Reports (ETD)

This dissertation, titled "Essays on Consumption Dynamics," comprises three chapters delving into consumer behavior within the context of household financial management. It sheds light on how consumers navigate their budgets concerning daily expenses, particularly around bill payments, and examines the potential influence of household financial holdings on the redistribution effects of monetary policy.

The first chapter delves into how consumers strategically handle their budgets in proximity to bill payments. Analyzing daily transaction-level data containing detailed expenditure information, it reveals a trend of consumers deferring non-bill expenditures until after bill payments. Spending spikes by 41% - 51% above average on the …

The Macroprudential Myth, Jeremy C. Kress, Jeffery Yufeng Zhang

Articles

According to conventional wisdom, the 2008 fnancial crisis fundamen- tally changed how policymakers approach fnancial regulation. Before the crisis, regulators sought to prevent individual fnancial institutions from collapsing, but this “microprudential” strategy proved inadequate to stop the market-wide meltdown. In response, policymakers purportedly turned to a new “macroprudential” approach that prioritizes the stability of the fnancial system as a whole instead of individual institutions in isolation. Regulators in the United States and abroad enthusiastically embraced macroprudential policy, implementing stress tests, capital buffers, liquidity requirements, and other supposed macroprudential tools. As the United States’ top bank regulator declared in 2015, “[W]e …

Market For Manipulable Information, Hui Chen, Jian Sun

Research Collection Lee Kong Chian School Of Business

We study how investors, firms, and information sellers interact in a market with manipulable information. To better predict the firm characteristics they care about, investors can buy a score from a monopolistic information seller, which aggregates signals that are subject to firm manipulation. The average degree of signal manipulability has no effect on the equilibrium, while the uncertainty about manipulability becomes a new source of noise. Its contribution depends on firms' incentive to manipulate the signals, which in turn depends on the equilibrium price sensitivity to the score. The optimal design of the score weighs signal precision against the endogenous …

Essays On Public Finance And International Finance, Deepti Sikri

Electronic Theses & Dissertations (2024 - present)

The first chapter examines New York State's Fiscal Score Monitoring program to find the effect of two quality labels on school district outcomes: fiscal stress scores, reflecting the budget solvency, and environmental stress labels reflecting economic and demographic conditions. Using the NYS school district data from 2013-22, I employ the regression discontinuity design to find the effect of stress labels, in response to the political pressure on district finances, housing, and school outcomes. I find the effect of fiscal stress label is limited, leading to a decrease in the fund balance ratio and an increase in the tax rate. However, …

الذكاء الاصطناعي ودوره في المحاسبة (Google Bard) نموذجاً, هالة عايد هادي

Muthanna Journal of Administrative and Economics Sciences

هدف البحث الى بيان دور الذكاء الاصطناعي في المحاسبة باستخدام برنامج (Google bard) كذلك تبني مفاهيم جديدة للتوعية بأهمية التكنولوجيا و تطبيقات البرامج الحديثة المستخدمة في دعم ادارات الجهات الساندة التي تسعى لتنفيذ اعمالها الكترونياً , وذلك لرفع نسبة استخدامها في العمل المحاسبي مما يساعد على تقديم البيانات المالية الكترونياً, وبناءٍ على ذلك فان البحث اعتمد على الاستبانة في تحليل المتغيرات باعتبارها من الادوات المهمة اذ تم توزيع (200) استبانة والحصول على (150) استجابة للاستبانة وباستخدام برنامج SPSS, وتوصلت النتائج العملية الى التأثير الايجابي بوجود علاقة طردية قوية ذات معنوية احصائية بين متغير الذكاء الاصطناعي ومتغير المحاسبة باستخدام الذكاء الاصطناعي …

The Impact Of Isil And Covid-19 On The Financial Performance Of Banks Listed On The Iraq Stock Exchange: A Comparative Study, Farqad Faisal Jadaan Sallal

Muthanna Journal of Administrative and Economics Sciences

This study aims to demonstrate the impact of the ISIL crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic crisis on the financial performance of banks listed on the Iraq Stock Exchange by comparing the profitability ratios of the banks in the research sample. In order to achieve this aim, a sample of 10 banks listed on the Iraq Stock Exchange was selected for the period 2011-2021. Using annual financial reports for the periods before and after the emergence of ISIS. Before and after the emergence of the COVID-19 pandemic, the profitability ratios were extracted (represented by return on assets, equity, and deposits). The …

الدور الوسيط لسـلوكيات التسيس التنظيمي فى العلاقة بين الأنومية التنظيمية والانحراف التنظيمي: دراسة تحليلية لأراء عينة من الأفراد العاملين في مستشفيات جامعة المنصورة بمصر, سامر احمد محمد

Muthanna Journal of Administrative and Economics Sciences

أن الغرض من هذا البحث هو تحري عن العلاقة بين الأنومية التنظيمية وسلوكيات التسييس التنظيمي والانحراف التنظيمي لعينة من جميع العاملين بمستشفيات جامعة المنصورة، وبالاعتماد على عينة عشوائية طبقية من العاملين بالجهة محل الدراسة تم توزيع عدد (360) استمارة استبانة وبلغت قوائم الاستقصاء الصحيحة (277) قائمة بمعدل اســــتجابة (77٪)، وتم تحــليل البيانات باســــتخدام أســــلوب نمذجة المعـــادلة الهيكلية (PLS-SEM)، بواســـــطة برنامج (26.V AMOS)، (26. (SPSS V، وتبرز أهمية البحث من ندرة الدراسات التي اهتمت بتحديد طبيعة العلاقة الأنومية التنظيمية وسلوكيات التسييس التنظيمي والانحراف التنظيمي ووجود مشكلة واقعية تؤثر بشكل كبير على الأداء بمستشفيات جامعة المنصورة، وأظهرت النتائج النظرية وجود فجوة معرفية …

Assessing The Iraqi Banking Sector’S Concentration And Competitiveness With The Herfindahl-Hirschmann Index, Mohammed Kaml Mzher, Hossein Sharifi Renani, Mostafa Mostafa Rajabi

Muthanna Journal of Administrative and Economics Sciences

This research delves into the intricacies of the Iraqi banking sector, focusing on its concentration and competitiveness using the Herfindahl-Hirschmann Index (HHI) as a pivotal tool. In the backdrop of modern financial dynamics and the rapid globalization of banking systems, understanding the concentration and competitiveness of the banking sector becomes paramount, especially for developing nations such as Iraq. Drawing data from government and private banks operating in Iraq from 2005 to 2020, this study provides a comprehensive view of the sector’s evolution over these 15 years. The research reveals significant insights into the relationship between banking concentration, as measured by …

دور أساليب محاسبة التكاليف الحديثة في تحقيق الانتاج النظيف المستدام: دراسة ميدانية في معمل اسمنت السماوة, مروة جمعة طعمة, سرمد سلمان دعيم, فرقد محمد بكر

Muthanna Journal of Administrative and Economics Sciences

يركز البحث على الاساليب الحديثة التي تساعد الشركات في تطوير منتجاتها ومدى تأثير هذه الاساليب في الوصول الى الانتاج النظيف المستدام، ويهدف البحث الى تطبيق مجموعة من اساليب محاسبة التكاليف الحديثة متمثلة ببطاقة الاداء المتوازن ونظام التكاليف الموجه بالوقت ونظام الكلفة المستهدفة من اجل معرفة مدى التأثير على تحقيق الانتاج الانظف المستدام، وقد تم اجراء البحث على عينة من الشركات العراقية متمثلة بالشركة العراقية للإسمنت(معمل اسمنت السماوة) للأعوام (2018-2019) وتم من خلال ذلك التوصل الى تحقيق اهداف البحث واختبار الفرضية. ومن خلال هذه الدراسة تم التوصل بان بطاقة الاداء المتوازن تعد من اهم اجراءات محاسبة التكاليف التي تحقق الكفاءة الشاملة …

الذكاء الاستراتيجي واسهامه في الخداع الاستراتيجي: دراسة مسحية لآراء وكلاء شركات الهواتف النقالة (الموبايل) في مدينة الموصل, سعود جايد مشكور, حيدر سالم موسى

Muthanna Journal of Administrative and Economics Sciences

يهدف البحث لتشخيص اسهام الذكاء الاستراتيجي وابعاده الممثله بـ (الاستكشاف، الرؤية، الشراكة، الدافعية، فلسفة القيادة والمعرفة العميقة) في الخداع الاستراتيجي وابعاده الممثله بـ ( أخراج المنافسين من منطقة الربح، استعارة الاساليب من مناطق غير متوقعة، اخفاء كيفية تحقيق النجاح، اخفاء المعلومات عن المنافسين)، وكان الميدان المبحوث وكالات شركات الهاتف النقال في مدينة الموصل، التي تم اختيارها لإجراء الجانب التطبيقي للبحث، اذا تم اجراء مسح ميداني اظهر (14) شركة وكيلة لشركات عالمية تنتج الهواتف النقالة، وتكون المجتمع البحثي من (الوكيل الرئيسي، ونائبه، ومدير المبيعات، ومدير الحسابات)، وقد اعتمدت الاستبانة بعدها أداةً رئيسة في جمع البيانات من المجتمع المبحوث، اذا تم توزيع …

المرونة المالية ودورها في تحقيق الكفاءة التشغيلية: دراسة تحليلية لعينة من الشركات الصناعية المدرجة في سوق العراق للأوراق المالية للفترة 2009 الى 2018, زهراء جار الله حمو

Muthanna Journal of Administrative and Economics Sciences

في ظل الظروف البيئية ذات المخاطرة العالية المؤثرة على الشركات المالية عامة يهدف البحث الى إبراز دور المرونة المالية في تحقيق الكفاءة التشغيلية وكيفية مساهمة مؤشرات المرونة المالية في التأثير على مؤشرات الكفاءة التشغيلية، لذا انطلق البحث من مشكلة مفادها: هل للمرونة المالية دور في تحقيق الكفاءة التشغيلية؟ وتم تطبيق البحث في عينة تضمنت خمسة شركات صناعية (الشركة الوطنية للصناعات المعدنية والدراجات، الشركة الوطنية للصناعات الكيمياوية والبلاستيكية، الشركة العراقية لتصنيع وتسويق التمور، شركة الكندي لإنتاج اللقاحات والأدوية البيطرية، شركة الصنائع الكيمياوية العصرية) للفترة من 2009 الى 2018 والمدرجة في سوق العراق للاوراق المالية، واعتمد البحث على مجموعة من التحليلات والاختبارات …