Social and Behavioral Sciences Commons^™

Slides: California Water And Climate Change, Dan Cayan, Mike Dettinger

Water, Climate and Uncertainty: Implications for Western Water Law, Policy, and Management (Summer Conference, June 11-13)

Presenter: Dan Cayan, Scripps Institution of Oceanography

32 slides

"Dan Cayan (1,2) 1 Mike Dettinger (2,1) SIO 2 USGS 3"

Slides: Noaa’S Applied Research And Risa, Harvey Hill

Water, Climate and Uncertainty: Implications for Western Water Law, Policy, and Management (Summer Conference, June 11-13)

Presenter: Harvey Hill, Program Manager, Regional Integrated Sciences and Assessments Program (RISA), National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association (NOAA), Office of Global Programs

19 slides

Implications For Interstate Compacts, With An Emphasis On The Colorado River Basin, James S. Lochhead

Water, Climate and Uncertainty: Implications for Western Water Law, Policy, and Management (Summer Conference, June 11-13)

Presenter: James S. Lochhead, Senior Counsel, Brownstein Hyatt & Farber, P.C.

3 slides and 7 pages

The Long Time Scales Of Human-Caused Climate Warming: Further Challenges For The Global Policy Process, Jerry D. Mahlman

Water, Climate and Uncertainty: Implications for Western Water Law, Policy, and Management (Summer Conference, June 11-13)

28 pages.

"Jerry D. Mahlman, Senior Research Fellow, National Center for Atmospheric Research"

"Presented at the Pew Center Workshop on The Timing of Climate Change Policies, The Westin Grand Hotel, Washington, DC, October 10-12, 2001"

"Cite As: Mahlman, J.D. 2001. The Long Time Scales of Human-Caused Climate Warming: Further Challenges for the Global Policy Process. Pew Center Workshop on the Timing of Climate Change Policies, October 10-12, Pew Center on Global Climate Change, Arlington, VA."

Agenda: Water, Climate And Uncertainty: Implications For Western Water Law, Policy, And Management, University Of Colorado Boulder. Natural Resources Law Center, United States. National Oceanic And Atmospheric Administration, National Center For Atmospheric Research (U.S.), Western Water Assessment (Program), University Of Colorado Boulder. Cooperative Institute For Research In Environmental Sciences, Hydrosphere Resource Consultants, Colorado Foundation For Water Education, Bp North America

Water, Climate and Uncertainty: Implications for Western Water Law, Policy, and Management (Summer Conference, June 11-13)

The swollen creeks of Boulder, Colorado provided a fitting backdrop for the “Water, Climate and Uncertainty” conference at the Natural Resources Law Center of the University of Colorado in June 2003. Recognizing the importance of providing a forum for discussions between water managers, lawyers, policy makers, and scientists, Doug Kenney, the conference's organizer, assumed the responsibility of master of ceremonies, providing thoughtful transitions between speakers and sessions while throwing some humor into the mix. Under his direction, luminaries in the fields of science, law and policy engaged a wide range of issues related to the future of water management.

The …

The Role Of Climate In Shaping Western Water Institutions, Gregory J. Hobbs Jr.

Water, Climate and Uncertainty: Implications for Western Water Law, Policy, and Management (Summer Conference, June 11-13)

61 pages.

"Justice Greg Hobbs, June 11, 2003"

This preliminary paper was later published in Justice Gregory J. Hobbs, Jr., The Role of Climate in Shaping Western Water Institutions, 7 U. Denv. Water L. Rev. 1 (2003).

Conference Guidebook: Water, Climate And Uncertainty: An Introduction To The Issues, Language, Literature And The Conference Materials, Doug Kenney

Water, Climate and Uncertainty: Implications for Western Water Law, Policy, and Management (Summer Conference, June 11-13)

20 pages.

"Prepared as a Supplement to: Water, Climate and Uncertainty: Implications for Western Water Law, Policy, and Management, Natural Resources Law Center, University of Colorado School of Law, June 11-13, 2003"

"Doug Kenney, Ph.D."

Includes bibliographical references

Contents:

Part I: What Are Climate Researchers Saying About Western Water? A Guide for Non-Scientists

Part II: What Should Climate Researchers Know About the Realm of Western Water Law, Policy and Management?

Part III: Where to Find Additional Information

The U.S. National Climate Change Assessment: Do The Climate Models Project A Useful Picture Of Regional Climate?, Roger A. Pielke, Sr.

Water, Climate and Uncertainty: Implications for Western Water Law, Policy, and Management (Summer Conference, June 11-13)

9 pages.

Includes illustrations

"Dr. Roger A. Pielke, Sr., President of the American Association of State Climatologists, Colorado State Climatologist and Professor, Department of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State University"

"From testimony presented to the House Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations, July 25, 2002, and published in Colorado Water, April 2003, 15-19."

Agenda: Water Negotiation Workshop, University Of Colorado Boulder. Natural Resources Law Center, William & Flora Hewlett Foundation

Water Negotiation Workshop (June 4-5)

"Sponsored by: The Natural Resources law Center of the University of Colorado Law School; Funding provided by: The William and Flora Hewlett Foundation."

"Facilitators: Lucy Moore and Steve Snyder."

"June 4 and 5, 2003, Community House, Chautauqua Park, Boulder, Colorado."

Contents:

Agenda -- Roster of workshop participants -- Biographies of workshop participants -- Maps of Klamath basin -- Key water-related events in the upper Klamath basin -- Federal-state decisionmaking on water : applying lessons learned / David J. Hayes -- Turbulence in the Klamath River basin / Sharon Levy

Maps Of The Klamath Basin And Key Water-Related Events In The Upper Klamath Basin, University Of Colorado Boulder. Natural Resources Law Center

Water Negotiation Workshop (June 4-5)

5 pages.

Contents:

Maps of Klamath Basin -- Key water-related events in the Upper Klamath Basin

Excerpted from: Ron Hathaway & Teresa Welch, Water Allocation in the Klamath Reclamation Project, 2001: An Assessment of Natural Resource, Economic, Social, and Institutional Issues with a Focus on the Upper Klamath Basin 31-34, 43 (Oregon State University, University of California, reprinted May 2003). Full report available in Klamath Waters Digital Library at http://digitallib.oit.edu/cdm/ref/collection/kwl/id/9442.

Adding Semantics To Web Services Standards, Kaarthik Sivashanmugam, Kunal Verma, Amit P. Sheth, John Miller

Kno.e.sis Publications

With the increasing growth in popularity of Web services, discovery of relevant Web services becomes a significant challenge. One approach is to develop semantic Web services where by the Web services are annotated based on shared ontologies, and use these annotations for semantics-based discovery of relevant Web services. We discuss one such approach that involves adding semantics to WSDL using DAML+OIL ontologies. Our approach also uses UDDI to store these semantic annotations and search for Web services based on them. We compare our approach with another initiative to add semantics to support Web service discovery, and show how our approach …

Cultural And Psychological Influences On Diabetic Adherence, Keikilani Mcmillin-Williams

Loma Linda University Electronic Theses, Dissertations & Projects

Diabetes mellitus is a serious disease that poses a particular healthcare challenge because progression is considered controllable (Cox, et al, 1985; Vinicor, et al, 1996) yet treatment adherence, and thus outcome, is very poor (Gonder-Frederick, Cox, & Ritterband, 2002; Goodall, 1991). Culture is a lethal risk factor for diabetic contraction and treatment maintenance. Latinos within the United States are two-to-three times more likely to develop complications and die than non-Latinos (Haffner et al, 1996; Rubin, Peyrot, & Saudek, 1991) and are less likely to adhere to treatment (Lipton, Losey, Giachello, Mendez, & Girotti, 1998). Efforts to eliminate health disparities have …

Inside Unlv, Kevin Force, Gian Galassi, Carol C. Harter, Stuart Mann

Inside UNLV

No abstract provided.

Semantic Web Process Lifecycle: Role Of Semantics In Annotation, Discovery, Composition And Orchestration, Amit P. Sheth

Kno.e.sis Publications

No abstract provided.

Assessing Left-Handedness With Exact And Approximate Confidence Intervals Appropriate For Samples Of Different Sizes, Virginia Gardner

Honors Capstones

Capstone submitted as a graduation requirement for the BSU Honors Program.

Healthcare Enterprise Process Development And Integration, Kemafor Anyanwu, Amit P. Sheth, Jorge Cardoso, John A. Miller, Krzysztof J. Kochut

Kno.e.sis Publications

Healthcare enterprises involve complex processes that span diverse groups and organisations. These processes involve clinical and administrative tasks, large volumes of data, and large numbers of patients and personnel. The tasks can be performed either by humans or by automated systems. In the latter case, the tasks are supported by a variety of software applications and information systems which are very often heterogeneous, autonomous, and distributed. The development of systems to manage and automate these processes has increasingly played an important role in improving the efficiency of healthcare enterprises. In this paper we look at four healthcare and medical applications …

Random Number Generators, George Marsaglia

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The quasi-negative-binomial distribution was applied to queuing theory for determining the distribution of total number of customers served before the queue vanishes under certain assumptions. Some structural properties (probability generating function, convolution, mode and recurrence relation) for the moments of quasi-negative-binomial distribution are discussed. The distribution’s characterization and its relation with other distributions were investigated. A computer program was developed using R to obtain ML estimates and the distribution was fitted to some observed sets of data to test its goodness of fit.

Without Supporting Statistical Evidence, Where Would Reported Measures Of Substantive Importance Lead? To No Good Effect, Anthony J. Onwuegbuzie, Joel R. Levin

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Although estimating substantive importance (in the form of reporting effect sizes) has recently received widespread endorsement, its use has not been subjected to the same degree of scrutiny as has statistical hypothesis testing. As such, many researchers do not seem to be aware that certain of the same criticisms launched against the latter can also be aimed at the former. Our purpose here is to highlight major concerns about effect sizes and their estimation. In so doing, we argue that effect size measures per se are not the hoped-for panaceas for interpreting empirical research findings. Further, we contend that if …

Bayesian Analysis Of Poverty Rates: The Case Of Vietnamese Provinces, Dominique Haughton, Nguyen Phong

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

This paper presents a Bayesian analysis of poverty rates in urban Ho Chi Minh City and rural Nghe An province in Vietnam. Using mixtures of beta distributions as priors for the poverty rates, we find that, when the prior is reasonably informative, our approach yields more accurate estimated poverty rates than a frequentist approach. On the other hand, we find that, in the presence of poor/non-poor misclassification, average probabilities of posterior credible intervals for poverty rates can fall well short of .95 even with sample sizes such as 2000 or 3000 when the width of the interval is for example …

Not All Effects Are Created Equal: A Rejoinder To Sawilowsky, J. Kyle Roberts, Robin K. Henson

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

In the continuing debate over the use and utility of effect sizes, more discussion often helps to both clarify and syncretize methodological views. Here, further defense is given of Roberts & Henson (2002) in terms of measuring bias in Cohen’s d, and a rejoinder to Sawilowsky (2003) is presented.

Comparison Of Estimates Of Proprietary And Syndicated Methods In Auto Industry Surveys, Daniel X. Wang

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Proprietary and syndicate surveys are often used in assessing appeal and initial quality of new vehicles for automobile manufactures. This study discusses the difference between the two types of studies, and proposes a computer simulation based method for checking the appropriateness of the comparisons.

Steady State Analysis Of An M/D/2 Queue With Bernoulli Schedule Server Vacations, Kailash C. Madan, Walid Abu-Dayyeh, Firas Tayyan

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

We examine an M/D/2 queue with Bernoulli schedules and a single vacation policy. We have assumed Poisson arrivals waiting in a single queue and two parallel servers who provide identical deterministic service to customers on first-come, first-served basis. We consider two models; in one we assume that after completion of a service both servers can take a vacation while in the other we assume that only one may take a vacation. The vacation periods in both models are assumed to be exponential. We obtain steady state probability generating functions of system size for various states of the servers.

A Different Future For Social And Behavioral Science Research, Shlomo S. Sawilowsky

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The dissemination of intervention and treatment outcomes as effect sizes bounded by conf idence intervals in order to think meta-analytically was promoted in a recent article in Educational Researcher. I raise concerns with unfettered reporting of effect sizes, point out the con in confidence interval, and caution against thinking meta-analytically. Instead, cataloging effect sizes is recommended for sample size estimation and power analysis to improve social and behavioral science research.

The Trouble With Interpreting Statistically Nonsignificant Effect Sizes In Single-Study Investigations, Joel R. Levin, Daniel H. Robinson

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

In this commentary, we offer a perspective on the problem of authors reporting and interpreting effect sizes in the absence of formal statistical tests of their chanceness. The perspective reinforces our previous distinction between single-study investigations and multiple-study syntheses.

A Recursive Algorithm For Fractionally Differencing Long Data Series, Joseph Mccarthy, Robert Disario, Hakan Saraoglu

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

We propose a recursive algorithm to fractionally difference time series data. The algorithm eliminates the need to evaluate the gamma function directly, and hence avoids the overflow problem that arises when fractionally differencing a long data series. The proposed algorithm can be implemented using any general matrix programming language. An implementation using SAS is presented. The algorithm and the code provide a practical approach to including fractional differencing as part of a time series data analysis.

Modeling Correlated Time-Varying Covariate Effects In A Cox-Type Regression Model, Mourad Tighiouart

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

In this paper, I extend the proposed model by McKeague and Tighiouart (2000) to handle time-varying correlated covariate effects for the analysis of survival data. I use the conditional predictive ordinates (CPO’s) for model comparison and the methodology is illustrated by an application to nasopharynx cancer survival data. A reversible jump MCMC sampler to estimate the CPO’s will be presented.

Performing Two-Way Analysis Of Variance Under Variance Heterogeneity, Scott J. Richter, Mark E. Payton

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Small sample properties of the method proposed by Brunner et al. (1997) for performing two-way analysis of variance are compared to those of the normal based ANOVA method for factorial arrangements. Different effect sizes, sample sizes, and error structures are utilized in a simulation study to compare type I error rates and power of the two methods. An SAS program is also presented to assist those wishing to implement the Brunner method to real data.

The Way Ahead In Qualitative Computing, Tom Richards, Lyn Richards

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Specialized computer programs for Qualitative Research in social sciences have greatly changed ways of doing QR, the reliability and comprehensiveness of results, the ability to inspect and challenge a researcher’s working, and the relationship with quantitative methods in social research. This article explores these claims in the context of N6 (NUD*IST) and NVivo, the two programs designed by the authors; and considers possible future developments in the field.

Homogeneous Markov Processes For Breast Cancer Analysis, Ricardo Ocaña-Rilola, Emilio Sanchez-Cantalejo, Carmen Martinez-Garcia

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Sometimes, the introduction of covariates in stochastic processes is required to study their effect on disease history events. However these types of models increase the complexity of analysis, even for simpler processes, and standard software to analyse stochastic processes is limited. In this paper, a method for fitting homogeneous Markov models with covariates is proposed for analysing breast cancer data. Specific software for this purpose has been implemented.

Ρ-Queries: Enabling Querying For Semantic Associations On The Semantic Web, Kemafor Anyanwu, Amit P. Sheth

Kno.e.sis Publications

This paper presents the notion of Semantic Associations as complex relationships between resource entities. These relationships capture both a connectivity of entities as well as similarity of entities based on a specific notion of similarity called ρ-isomorphism. It formalizes these notions for the RDF data model, by introducing a notion of a Property Sequence as a type. In the context of a graph model such as that for RDF, Semantic Associations amount to specific certain graph signatures. Specifically, they refer to sequences (i.e. directed paths) here called Property Sequences, between entities, networks of Property Sequences (i.e. undirected paths), or subgraphs …