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Full-Text Articles in Social and Behavioral Sciences

An Event Study Of Ui Benefit Cuts: Evidence From North Carolina, Brad Hershbein, Christopher O'Leary Dec 2014

An Event Study Of Ui Benefit Cuts: Evidence From North Carolina, Brad Hershbein, Christopher O'Leary

Brad J. Hershbein

On July 1, 2013, North Carolina cut the maximum duration of UI benefits from 63 weeks (or 99 with EUC) to 19 weeks and the maximum weekly payout from $535 to $350. As of January 1, 2014, the EUC program ended nationwide and several states have cut maximum benefits to below 26 weeks. While several newspaper articles and blogs have offered descriptive evidence of the results of North Carolina’s policy change, there has been no rigorous and systematic analysis. Using synthetic control methods pioneered by Abadie, Diamond, and Hainmueller, and CPS data, we will investigate the impact of the UI …


Tax Enforcement, Technology, And The Informal Sector, Ceyhun Elgin, Mario Solis-Garcia Dec 2014

Tax Enforcement, Technology, And The Informal Sector, Ceyhun Elgin, Mario Solis-Garcia

Mario Solis-Garcia

No abstract provided.


Business Opportunities (“Biz Opps”) On College Campuses, Stacie Bosley Dec 2014

Business Opportunities (“Biz Opps”) On College Campuses, Stacie Bosley

Stacie Bosley

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Network Analysis Of A Pyramid Scheme, Stacie Bosley Dec 2014

Network Analysis Of A Pyramid Scheme, Stacie Bosley

Stacie Bosley

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Business Opportunity Or Scam: What Every College Student Should Know., Stacie Bosley Dec 2014

Business Opportunity Or Scam: What Every College Student Should Know., Stacie Bosley

Stacie Bosley

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Development, Health And Race Differences In Fertility At The Turn Of The Twentieth Century In The U.S. South, Cheryl Elman, Andrew S. London, Robert A. Mcguire Dec 2014

Development, Health And Race Differences In Fertility At The Turn Of The Twentieth Century In The U.S. South, Cheryl Elman, Andrew S. London, Robert A. Mcguire

Cheryl Elman

Mid-twentieth century demographers were puzzled to find that, between 1880 and 1910, fertility rates had dropped more precipitously among African American than U.S. white women. Since then, demographic research has focused on historical fertility differentials in the South, where most African Americans lived before 1920. Under a multiple causes model, two major sources of race differences have found some empirical support. One stresses that timing differences in voluntary fertility control, due to a high demand for child labor in tenant farming, sustained both high overall southern rural fertility rates and race differences, to about 1940. A second mechanism stresses that …


Mandate And Paternalism: A Theory Of Large Elections, Marco Faravelli, Priscilla Man, Randall Walsh Dec 2014

Mandate And Paternalism: A Theory Of Large Elections, Marco Faravelli, Priscilla Man, Randall Walsh

Priscilla Man

We propose a game theoretic costly voting model of large elections that incorporates the assumption that mandate matters. This innovation is motivated by empirical evidence that US Representatives with larger victory margins on average vote in a more partisan manner. If voters are paternalistic, this new model predicts strictly positive limiting turnout rates as the population grows arbitrarily large. The model also preserves stylized comparative statics results of costly voting models, including the underdog effect and the competition effect. Finally, we develop an innovative computational strategy to solve the model for large, finite, electorates and show that our results are …