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Full-Text Articles in Statistical Models
Early-Warning Alert Systems For Financial-Instability Detection: An Hmm-Driven Approach, Xing Gu
Early-Warning Alert Systems For Financial-Instability Detection: An Hmm-Driven Approach, Xing Gu
Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Repository
Regulators’ early intervention is crucial when the financial system is experiencing difficulties. Financial stability must be preserved to avert banks’ bailouts, which hugely drain government's financial resources. Detecting in advance periods of financial crisis entails the development and customisation of accurate and robust quantitative techniques. The goal of this thesis is to construct automated systems via the interplay of various mathematical and statistical methodologies to signal financial instability episodes in the near-term horizon. These signal alerts could provide regulatory bodies with the capacity to initiate appropriate response that will thwart or at least minimise the occurrence of a financial crisis. …
Intra-Hour Solar Forecasting Using Cloud Dynamics Features Extracted From Ground-Based Infrared Sky Images, Guillermo Terrén-Serrano
Intra-Hour Solar Forecasting Using Cloud Dynamics Features Extracted From Ground-Based Infrared Sky Images, Guillermo Terrén-Serrano
Electrical and Computer Engineering ETDs
Due to the increasing use of photovoltaic systems, power grids are vulnerable to the projection of shadows from moving clouds. An intra-hour solar forecast provides power grids with the capability of automatically controlling the dispatch of energy, reducing the additional cost for a guaranteed, reliable supply of energy (i.e., energy storage). This dissertation introduces a novel sky imager consisting of a long-wave radiometric infrared camera and a visible light camera with a fisheye lens. The imager is mounted on a solar tracker to maintain the Sun in the center of the images throughout the day, reducing the scattering effect produced …
Data-Driven Investment Decisions In P2p Lending: Strategies Of Integrating Credit Scoring And Profit Scoring, Yan Wang
Doctor of Data Science and Analytics Dissertations
In this dissertation, we develop and discuss several loan evaluation methods to guide the investment decisions for peer-to-peer (P2P) lending. In evaluating loans, credit scoring and profit scoring are the two widely utilized approaches. Credit scoring aims at minimizing the risk while profit scoring aims at maximizing the profit. This dissertation addresses the strengths and weaknesses of each scoring method by integrating them in various ways in order to provide the optimal investment suggestions for different investors. Before developing the methods for loan evaluation at the individual level, we applied the state-of-the-art method called the Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) …
Longitudinal Tracking Of Physiological State With Electromyographic Signals., Robert Warren Stallard
Longitudinal Tracking Of Physiological State With Electromyographic Signals., Robert Warren Stallard
Electronic Theses and Dissertations
Electrophysiological measurements have been used in recent history to classify instantaneous physiological configurations, e.g., hand gestures. This work investigates the feasibility of working with changes in physiological configurations over time (i.e., longitudinally) using a variety of algorithms from the machine learning domain. We demonstrate a high degree of classification accuracy for a binary classification problem derived from electromyography measurements before and after a 35-day bedrest. The problem difficulty is increased with a more dynamic experiment testing for changes in astronaut sensorimotor performance by taking electromyography and force plate measurements before, during, and after a jump from a small platform. A …