Statistical Models Commons^™

Model Choice In Time Series Studies Of Air Pollution And Mortality, Roger D. Peng, Francesca Dominici, Thomas A. Louis

Johns Hopkins University, Dept. of Biostatistics Working Papers

Multi-city time series studies of particulate matter (PM) and mortality and morbidity have provided evidence that daily variation in air pollution levels is associated with daily variation in mortality counts. These findings served as key epidemiological evidence for the recent review of the United States National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) for PM. As a result, methodological issues concerning time series analysis of the relation between air pollution and health have attracted the attention of the scientific community and critics have raised concerns about the adequacy of current model formulations. Time series data on pollution and mortality are generally analyzed …