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Full-Text Articles in Statistical Models
Cagan Type Rational Expectations Model On Time Scales With Their Applications To Economics, Funda Ekiz
Cagan Type Rational Expectations Model On Time Scales With Their Applications To Economics, Funda Ekiz
Masters Theses & Specialist Projects
Rational expectations provide people or economic agents making future decision with available information and past experiences. The first approach to the idea of rational expectations was given approximately fifty years ago by John F. Muth. Many models in economics have been studied using the rational expectations idea. The most familiar one among them is the rational expectations version of the Cagans hyperination model where the expectation for tomorrow is formed using all the information available today. This model was reinterpreted by Thomas J. Sargent and Neil Wallace in 1973. After that time, many solution techniques were suggested to solve the …
Generalized Bathtub Hazard Models For Binary-Transformed Climate Data, James Polcer
Generalized Bathtub Hazard Models For Binary-Transformed Climate Data, James Polcer
Masters Theses & Specialist Projects
In this study, we use a hazard-based modeling as an alternative statistical framework to time series methods as applied to climate data. Data collected from the Kentucky Mesonet will be used to study the distributional properties of the duration of high and low-energy wind events relative to an arbitrary threshold. Our objectiveswere to fit bathtub models proposed in literature, propose a generalized bathtub model, apply these models to Kentucky Mesonet data, and make recommendations as to feasibility of wind power generation. Using two different thresholds (1.8 and 10 mph respectively), results show that the Hjorth bathtub model consistently performed better …