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Full-Text Articles in Statistical Models
Using Geographic Information To Explore Player-Specific Movement And Its Effects On Play Success In The Nfl, Hayley Horn, Eric Laigaie, Alexander Lopez, Shravan Reddy
Using Geographic Information To Explore Player-Specific Movement And Its Effects On Play Success In The Nfl, Hayley Horn, Eric Laigaie, Alexander Lopez, Shravan Reddy
SMU Data Science Review
American Football is a billion-dollar industry in the United States. The analytical aspect of the sport is an ever-growing domain, with open-source competitions like the NFL Big Data Bowl accelerating this growth. With the amount of player movement during each play, tracking data can prove valuable in many areas of football analytics. While concussion detection, catch recognition, and completion percentage prediction are all existing use cases for this data, player-specific movement attributes, such as speed and agility, may be helpful in predicting play success. This research calculates player-specific speed and agility attributes from tracking data and supplements them with descriptive …
Identifying Undervalued Players In Fantasy Football, Christopher D. Morgan, Caroll Rodriguez, Korey Macvittie, Robert Slater, Daniel W. Engels
Identifying Undervalued Players In Fantasy Football, Christopher D. Morgan, Caroll Rodriguez, Korey Macvittie, Robert Slater, Daniel W. Engels
SMU Data Science Review
In this paper we present a model to predict player performance in fantasy football. In particular, identifying high-performance players can prove to be a difficult problem, as there are on occasion players capable of high performance whose past metrics give no indication of this capacity. These "sleepers"' are often undervalued, and the acquisition of such players can have notable impact on a fantasy football team's overall performance. We constructed a regression model that accounts for players' past performance and athletic metrics to predict their future performance. The model we built performs favorably in predicting athlete performance in relation to other …