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Articles 1 - 4 of 4
Full-Text Articles in Statistical Models
Audio-Based Productivity Forecasting Of Construction Cyclic Activities, Chris A. Sabillon
Audio-Based Productivity Forecasting Of Construction Cyclic Activities, Chris A. Sabillon
Electronic Theses and Dissertations
Due to its high cost, project managers must be able to monitor the performance of construction heavy equipment promptly. This cannot be achieved through traditional management techniques, which are based on direct observation or on estimations from historical data. Some manufacturers have started to integrate their proprietary technologies, but construction contractors are unlikely to have a fleet of entirely new and single manufacturer equipment for this to represent a solution. Third party automated approaches include the use of active sensors such as accelerometers and gyroscopes, passive technologies such as computer vision and image processing, and audio signal processing. Hitherto, most …
A Markov Decision Process Approach To Adaptive Contact Strategies, Artur Grygorian
A Markov Decision Process Approach To Adaptive Contact Strategies, Artur Grygorian
Electronic Theses and Dissertations
In the field of survey methodology, optimizing contact strategies helps organizations increase response rates using their allocated budget. Markov Decision Processes (MDP) are widely used to model decision-making strategies in situations where the outcomes have a random component. In this research, we use MDPs and adaptive sampling techniques to construct a strategy that, based on target audience characteristics, suggests the best contact policy. The data we use comes from the First Destination Survey conducted by the Office of Career Services at Georgia Southern University. The constructed model is quite flexible and can be used by other organizations to optimize their …
Quasi-Random Action Selection In Markov Decision Processes, Samuel D. Walker
Quasi-Random Action Selection In Markov Decision Processes, Samuel D. Walker
Electronic Theses and Dissertations
In Markov decision processes an operator exploits known data regarding the environment it inhabits. The information exploited is learned from random exploration of the state-action space. This paper proposes to optimize exploration through the implementation of quasi-random sequences in both discrete and continuous state-action spaces. For the discrete case a permutation is applied to the indices of the action space to avoid repetitive behavior. In the continuous case sequences of low discrepancy, such as Halton sequences, are utilized to disperse the actions more uniformly.
Modeling Volatility Of Financial Time Series Using Arc Length, Benjamin H. Hoerlein
Modeling Volatility Of Financial Time Series Using Arc Length, Benjamin H. Hoerlein
Electronic Theses and Dissertations
This thesis explores how arc length can be modeled and used to measure the risk involved with a financial time series. Having arc length as a measure of volatility can help an investor in sorting which stocks are safer/riskier to invest in. A Gamma autoregressive model of order one(GAR(1)) is proposed to model arc length series. Kernel regression based bias correction is studied when model parameters are estimated using method of moment procedure. As an application, a model-based clustering involving thirty different stocks is presented using k-means++ and hierarchical clustering techniques.