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Articles 1 - 8 of 8
Full-Text Articles in Statistical Models
A Novel Correction For The Multivariate Ljung-Box Test, Minhao Huang
A Novel Correction For The Multivariate Ljung-Box Test, Minhao Huang
Computational and Data Sciences (PhD) Dissertations
This research introduces an analytical improvement to the Multivariate Ljung-Box test that addresses significant deviations of the original test from the nominal Type I error rates under almost all scenarios. Prior attempts to mitigate this issue have been directed at modification of the test statistics or correction of the test distribution to achieve precise results in finite samples. In previous studies, focused on designing corrections to the univariate Ljung-Box, a method that specifically adjusts the test rejection region has been the most successful of attaining the best Type I error rates. We adopt the same approach for the more complex, …
Realtime Event Detection In Sports Sensor Data With Machine Learning, Mallory Cashman
Realtime Event Detection In Sports Sensor Data With Machine Learning, Mallory Cashman
Honors Theses and Capstones
Machine learning models can be trained to classify time series based sports motion data, without reliance on assumptions about the capabilities of the users or sensors. This can be applied to predict the count of occurrences of an event in a time period. The experiment for this research uses lacrosse data, collected in partnership with SPAITR - a UNH undergraduate startup developing motion tracking devices for lacrosse. Decision Tree and Support Vector Machine (SVM) models are trained and perform with high success rates. These models improve upon previous work in human motion event detection and can be used a reference …
Estimating The Statistics Of Operational Loss Through The Analyzation Of A Time Series, Maurice L. Brown
Estimating The Statistics Of Operational Loss Through The Analyzation Of A Time Series, Maurice L. Brown
Theses and Dissertations
In the world of finance, appropriately understanding risk is key to success or failure because it is a fundamental driver for institutional behavior. Here we focus on risk as it relates to the operations of financial institutions, namely operational risk. Quantifying operational risk begins with data in the form of a time series of realized losses, which can occur for a number of reasons, can vary over different time intervals, and can pose a challenge that is exacerbated by having to account for both frequency and severity of losses. We introduce a stochastic point process model for the frequency distribution …
Satellite-Based Phenology Analysis In Evaluating The Response Of Puerto Rico And The United States Virgin Islands' Tropical Forests To The 2017 Hurricanes, Melissa Collin
Cal Poly Humboldt theses and projects
The functionality of tropical forest ecosystems and their productivity is highly related to the timing of phenological events. Understanding forest responses to major climate events is crucial for predicting the potential impacts of climate change. This research utilized Landsat satellite data and ground-based Forest Inventory and Analysis (FIA) plot data to investigate the dynamics of Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands’ (PRVI) tropical forests after two major hurricanes in 2017. Analyzing these two datasets allowed for validation of the remote sensing methodology with field data and for the investigation of whether this is an appropriate approach for estimating forest …
Statistical Methods With A Focus On Joint Outcome Modeling And On Methods For Fire Science, Da Zhong Xi
Statistical Methods With A Focus On Joint Outcome Modeling And On Methods For Fire Science, Da Zhong Xi
Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Repository
Understanding the dynamics of wildfires contributes significantly to the development of fire science. Challenges in the analysis of historical fire data include defining fire dynamics within existing statistical frameworks, modeling the duration and size of fires as joint outcomes, identifying the how fires are grouped into clusters of subpopulations, and assessing the effect of environmental variables in different modeling frameworks. We develop novel statistical methods to consider outcomes related to fire science jointly. These methods address these challenges by linking univariate models for separate outcomes through shared random effects, an approach referred to as joint modeling. Comparisons with existing …
Phenotype Extraction: Estimation And Biometrical Genetic Analysis Of Individual Dynamics, Kevin L. Mckee
Phenotype Extraction: Estimation And Biometrical Genetic Analysis Of Individual Dynamics, Kevin L. Mckee
Theses and Dissertations
Within-person data can exhibit a virtually limitless variety of statistical patterns, but it can be difficult to distinguish meaningful features from statistical artifacts. Studies of complex traits have previously used genetic signals like twin-based heritability to distinguish between the two. This dissertation is a collection of studies applying state-space modeling to conceptualize and estimate novel phenotypic constructs for use in psychiatric research and further biometrical genetic analysis. The aims are to: (1) relate control theoretic concepts to health-related phenotypes; (2) design statistical models that formally define those phenotypes; (3) estimate individual phenotypic values from time series data; (4) consider hierarchical …
A Multi-Indexed Logistic Model For Time Series, Xiang Liu
A Multi-Indexed Logistic Model For Time Series, Xiang Liu
Electronic Theses and Dissertations
In this thesis, we explore a multi-indexed logistic regression (MILR) model, with particular emphasis given to its application to time series. MILR includes simple logistic regression (SLR) as a special case, and the hope is that it will in some instances also produce significantly better results. To motivate the development of MILR, we consider its application to the analysis of both simulated sine wave data and stock data. We looked at well-studied SLR and its application in the analysis of time series data. Using a more sophisticated representation of sequential data, we then detail the implementation of MILR. We compare …
Model Choice In Time Series Studies Of Air Pollution And Mortality, Roger D. Peng, Francesca Dominici, Thomas A. Louis
Model Choice In Time Series Studies Of Air Pollution And Mortality, Roger D. Peng, Francesca Dominici, Thomas A. Louis
Johns Hopkins University, Dept. of Biostatistics Working Papers
Multi-city time series studies of particulate matter (PM) and mortality and morbidity have provided evidence that daily variation in air pollution levels is associated with daily variation in mortality counts. These findings served as key epidemiological evidence for the recent review of the United States National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) for PM. As a result, methodological issues concerning time series analysis of the relation between air pollution and health have attracted the attention of the scientific community and critics have raised concerns about the adequacy of current model formulations. Time series data on pollution and mortality are generally analyzed …