Statistical Models Commons^™

A Bayesian Hierarchical Model For Constrained Distributed Lag Functions: Estimating The Time Course Of Hospitalization Associated With Air Pollution Exposure, Roger Peng, Francesca Dominici, Leah J. Welty

Johns Hopkins University, Dept. of Biostatistics Working Papers

Numerous time series studies have provided strong evidence of an association between increased levels of ambient air pollution and increased levels of hospital admissions, typically at 0, 1, or 2 days after an air pollution episode. An important research aim is to extend existing statistical models so that a more detailed understanding of the time course of hospitalization after exposure to air pollution can be obtained. Information about this time course, combined with prior knowledge about biological mechanisms, could provide the basis for hypotheses concerning the mechanism by which air pollution causes disease. Previous studies have identified two important methodological …