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Full-Text Articles in Statistical Models
Early-Warning Alert Systems For Financial-Instability Detection: An Hmm-Driven Approach, Xing Gu
Early-Warning Alert Systems For Financial-Instability Detection: An Hmm-Driven Approach, Xing Gu
Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Repository
Regulators’ early intervention is crucial when the financial system is experiencing difficulties. Financial stability must be preserved to avert banks’ bailouts, which hugely drain government's financial resources. Detecting in advance periods of financial crisis entails the development and customisation of accurate and robust quantitative techniques. The goal of this thesis is to construct automated systems via the interplay of various mathematical and statistical methodologies to signal financial instability episodes in the near-term horizon. These signal alerts could provide regulatory bodies with the capacity to initiate appropriate response that will thwart or at least minimise the occurrence of a financial crisis. …
Intra-Hour Solar Forecasting Using Cloud Dynamics Features Extracted From Ground-Based Infrared Sky Images, Guillermo Terrén-Serrano
Intra-Hour Solar Forecasting Using Cloud Dynamics Features Extracted From Ground-Based Infrared Sky Images, Guillermo Terrén-Serrano
Electrical and Computer Engineering ETDs
Due to the increasing use of photovoltaic systems, power grids are vulnerable to the projection of shadows from moving clouds. An intra-hour solar forecast provides power grids with the capability of automatically controlling the dispatch of energy, reducing the additional cost for a guaranteed, reliable supply of energy (i.e., energy storage). This dissertation introduces a novel sky imager consisting of a long-wave radiometric infrared camera and a visible light camera with a fisheye lens. The imager is mounted on a solar tracker to maintain the Sun in the center of the images throughout the day, reducing the scattering effect produced …