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Full-Text Articles in Statistical Models

Semiparametric Binary Regression Under Monotonicity Constraints, Moulinath Banerjee, Pinaki Biswas, Debashis Ghosh Nov 2004

Semiparametric Binary Regression Under Monotonicity Constraints, Moulinath Banerjee, Pinaki Biswas, Debashis Ghosh

The University of Michigan Department of Biostatistics Working Paper Series

Summary: We study a binary regression model where the response variable $\Delta$ is the indicator of an event of interest (for example, the incidence of cancer) and the set of covariates can be partitioned as $(X,Z)$ where $Z$ (real valued) is the covariate of primary interest and $X$ (vector valued) denotes a set of control variables. For any fixed $X$, the conditional probability of the event of interest is assumed to be a monotonic function of $Z$. The effect of the control variables is captured by a regression parameter $\beta$. We show that the baseline conditional probability function (corresponding to …


Binary Isotonic Regression Procedures, With Application To Cancer Biomarkers, Debashis Ghosh, Moulinath Banerjee, Pinaki Biswas May 2004

Binary Isotonic Regression Procedures, With Application To Cancer Biomarkers, Debashis Ghosh, Moulinath Banerjee, Pinaki Biswas

The University of Michigan Department of Biostatistics Working Paper Series

There is a lot of interest in the development and characterization of new biomarkers for screening large populations for disease. In much of the literature on diagnostic testing, increased levels of a biomarker correlate with increased disease risk. However, parametric forms are typically used to associate these quantities. In this article, we specify a monotonic relationship between biomarker levels with disease risk. This leads to consideration of a nonparametric regression model for a single biomarker. Estimation results using isotonic regression-type estimators and asymptotic results are given. We also discuss confidence set estimation in this setting and propose three procedures for …


A Bayesian Hierarchical Approach To Multirater Correlated Roc Analysis, Tim Johnson, Valen Johnson Mar 2004

A Bayesian Hierarchical Approach To Multirater Correlated Roc Analysis, Tim Johnson, Valen Johnson

The University of Michigan Department of Biostatistics Working Paper Series

In a common ROC study design, several readers are asked to rate diagnostics of the same cases processed under different modalities. We describe a Bayesian hierarchical model that facilitates the analysis of this study design by explicitly modeling the three sources of variation inherent to it. In so doing, we achieve substantial reductions in the posterior uncertainty associated with estimates of the differences in areas under the estimated ROC curves and corresponding reductions in the mean squared error (MSE) of these estimates. Based on simulation studies, both the widths of confidence intervals and MSE of estimates of differences in the …


A Bayesian Chi-Squared Test For Goodness Of Fit, Valen Johnson Feb 2004

A Bayesian Chi-Squared Test For Goodness Of Fit, Valen Johnson

The University of Michigan Department of Biostatistics Working Paper Series

This article describes an extension of classical x 2 goodness-of-fit tests to Bayesian model assessment. The extension, which essentially involvesevaluating Pearson's goodness-of-fit statistic at a parameter value drawn from its posterior distribution, has the important property that it is asymptoti-cally distributed as a x2 random variable on K-1 degrees of freedom, indepen-dently of the dimension of the underlying parameter vector. By averaging over the posterior distribution of this statistic, a global goodness-of-fit diagnostic is obtained. Advantages of this diagnostic{which may be interpreted as the area under an ROC curve{include ease of interpretation, computational conve-nience, and favorable power properties. The proposed …