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Full-Text Articles in Other Statistics and Probability

Predicting Insulin Pump Therapy Settings, Riccardo L. Ferraro, David Grijalva, Alex Trahan Sep 2022

Predicting Insulin Pump Therapy Settings, Riccardo L. Ferraro, David Grijalva, Alex Trahan

SMU Data Science Review

Millions of people live with diabetes worldwide [7]. To mitigate some of the many symptoms associated with diabetes, an estimated 350,000 people in the United States rely on insulin pumps [17]. For many of these people, how effectively their insulin pump performs is the difference between sleeping through the night and a life threatening emergency treatment at a hospital. Three programmed insulin pump therapy settings governing effective insulin pump function are: Basal Rate (BR), Insulin Sensitivity Factor (ISF), and Carbohydrate Ratio (ICR). For many people using insulin pumps, these therapy settings are often not correct, given their physiological needs. While …


Genomic Prediction Using Canopy Coverage Image And Genotypic Information In Soybean Via A Hybrid Model, Reka Howard, Diego Jarquin Jan 2019

Genomic Prediction Using Canopy Coverage Image And Genotypic Information In Soybean Via A Hybrid Model, Reka Howard, Diego Jarquin

Department of Statistics: Faculty Publications

Prediction techniques are important in plant breeding as they provide a tool for selection that is more efficient and economical than traditional phenotypic and pedigree based selection. The conventional genomic prediction models include molecular marker information to predict the phenotype. With the development of new phenomics techniques we have the opportunity to collect image data on the plants, and extend the traditional genomic prediction models where we incorporate diverse set of information collected on the plants. In our research, we developed a hybrid matrix model that incorporates molecular marker and canopy coverage information as a weighted linear combination to predict …


A Bayes Interpretation Of Stacking For M-Complete And M-Open Settings, Tri Le, Bertrand S. Clarke Jan 2017

A Bayes Interpretation Of Stacking For M-Complete And M-Open Settings, Tri Le, Bertrand S. Clarke

Department of Statistics: Faculty Publications

In M-open problems where no true model can be conceptualized, it is common to back off from modeling and merely seek good prediction. Even in M-complete problems, taking a predictive approach can be very useful. Stacking is a model averaging procedure that gives a composite predictor by combining individual predictors from a list of models using weights that optimize a cross validation criterion. We show that the stacking weights also asymptotically minimize a posterior expected loss. Hence we formally provide a Bayesian justification for cross-validation. Often the weights are constrained to be positive and sum to one. For greater generality, …


Performance-Constrained Binary Classification Using Ensemble Learning: An Application To Cost-Efficient Targeted Prep Strategies, Wenjing Zheng, Laura Balzer, Maya L. Petersen, Mark J. Van Der Laan Oct 2016

Performance-Constrained Binary Classification Using Ensemble Learning: An Application To Cost-Efficient Targeted Prep Strategies, Wenjing Zheng, Laura Balzer, Maya L. Petersen, Mark J. Van Der Laan

Laura B. Balzer

Binary classifications problems are ubiquitous in health and social science applications. In many cases, one wishes to balance two conflicting criteria for an optimal binary classifier. For instance, in resource-limited settings, an HIV prevention program based on offering Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis (PrEP) to select high-risk individuals must balance the sensitivity of the binary classifier in detecting future seroconverters (and hence offering them PrEP regimens) with the total number of PrEP regimens that is financially and logistically feasible for the program to deliver. In this article, we consider a general class of performance-constrained binary classification problems wherein the objective function and the …


Performance-Constrained Binary Classification Using Ensemble Learning: An Application To Cost-Efficient Targeted Prep Strategies, Wenjing Zheng, Laura Balzer, Maya L. Petersen, Mark J. Van Der Laan Oct 2016

Performance-Constrained Binary Classification Using Ensemble Learning: An Application To Cost-Efficient Targeted Prep Strategies, Wenjing Zheng, Laura Balzer, Maya L. Petersen, Mark J. Van Der Laan

U.C. Berkeley Division of Biostatistics Working Paper Series

Binary classifications problems are ubiquitous in health and social science applications. In many cases, one wishes to balance two conflicting criteria for an optimal binary classifier. For instance, in resource-limited settings, an HIV prevention program based on offering Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis (PrEP) to select high-risk individuals must balance the sensitivity of the binary classifier in detecting future seroconverters (and hence offering them PrEP regimens) with the total number of PrEP regimens that is financially and logistically feasible for the program to deliver. In this article, we consider a general class of performance-constrained binary classification problems wherein the objective function and the …