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Applied Statistics

2011

Monte-Carlo significance test

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Full-Text Articles in Longitudinal Data Analysis and Time Series

Diagnostic Checking, Time Series And Regression, Esam Mahdi Jul 2011

Diagnostic Checking, Time Series And Regression, Esam Mahdi

Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Repository

In this thesis, a new univariate-multivariate portmanteau test is derived. The proposed test statistic can be used for diagnostic checking ARMA, VAR, FGN, GARCH, and TAR time series models as well as for checking randomness of series and goodness-of- fit VAR models with stable Paretian errors. The asymptotic distribution of the test statistic is derived as well as a chi-square approximation. However, the Monte-Carlo test is recommended unless the series is very long. Extensive simulation experiments demonstrate the usefulness of this test and its improved power performance compared to widely used previous multivariate portmanteau diagnostic check. The contributed R package …