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Full-Text Articles in Biostatistics

Causal Mediation In A Survival Setting With Time-Dependent Mediators, Wenjing Zheng, Mark J. Van Der Laan Dec 2013

Causal Mediation In A Survival Setting With Time-Dependent Mediators, Wenjing Zheng, Mark J. Van Der Laan

Wenjing Zheng

The effect of an expsore on an outcome of interest is often mediated by intermediate variables. The goal of causal mediation analysis is to evaluate the role of these intermediate variables (mediators) in the causal effect of the exposure on the outcome. In this paper, we consider causal mediation of a baseline exposure on a survival (or time-to-event) outcome, when the mediator is time-dependent. The challenge in this setting lies in that the event process takes places jointly with the mediator process; in particular, the length of the mediator history depends on the survival time. As a result, we argue …


Targeted Maximum Likelihood Estimation Of Natural Direct Effect, Wenjing Zheng, Mark Van Der Laan Dec 2013

Targeted Maximum Likelihood Estimation Of Natural Direct Effect, Wenjing Zheng, Mark Van Der Laan

Wenjing Zheng

In many causal inference problems, one is interested in the direct causal effect of an exposure on an outcome of interest that is not mediated by certain intermediate variables. Robins and Greenland (1992) and Pearl (2000) formalized the definition of two types of direct effects (natural and controlled) under the counterfactual framework. Since then, identifiability conditions for these effects have been studied extensively. By contrast, considerably fewer efforts have been invested in the estimation problem of the natural direct effect. In this article, we propose a semiparametric efficient, multiply robust estimator for the natural direct effect of a binary treatment …


A Targeted Confounder Selection Strategy For Propensity Score Estimation, Susan Gruber Dec 2012

A Targeted Confounder Selection Strategy For Propensity Score Estimation, Susan Gruber

Susan Gruber

These slides provide an introduction to data-adaptive propensity score estimation, and the collaborative targeted maximum likelihood estimator (C-TMLE) of van der Laan and Gruber. The notation has been greatly simplified, which makes the work accessible to a more general audience, but loses a little in the translation.


Methods For Evaluating Prediction Performance Of Biomarkers And Tests, Margaret S. Pepe Phd, Holly Janes Phd Dec 2012

Methods For Evaluating Prediction Performance Of Biomarkers And Tests, Margaret S. Pepe Phd, Holly Janes Phd

Margaret S Pepe PhD

This chapter describes and critiques methods for evaluating the performance of markers to predict risk of a current or future clinical outcome. We consider three criteria that are important for evaluating a risk model: calibration, benefit for decision making and accurate classification. We also describe and discuss a variety of summary measures in common use for quantifying predictive information such as the area under the ROC curve and R-squared. The roles and problems with recently proposed risk reclassification approaches are discussed in detail.