Statistics and Probability Commons^™

Construction Of Carbon Emission Monitoring And Management System For Commercial Vehicles, Chang Zheng, Song Yan, Ji Meichen, Liu Yuqing, Wang Jing

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

To construct a comprehensive carbon emission monitoring and management system for commercial vehicles，firstly，this article described the background and significance of carbon emission monitoring and management of commercial vehicles and summarized the research in relevant fields in China and abroad.Then，this article expounded on the carbon emission monitoring system for commercial vehicles，which covered three major levels：monitoring target layer，monitoring implementation layer，and monitoring summary layer，so as to achieve comprehensive and accurate carbon emission monitoring.Finally，combined with the carbon emission monitoring data of commercial vehicles，this article put forward a carbon emission management system for commercial vehicles based on data information，including carbon emission data sharing and opening，data …

Experimental Study On Reinforced Geogrid Of Construction And Demolition Wastes Based On Dic Technology, Tan Peng, Li Hai, Li Xiangping, Gu Fan, Zhang Junhui

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

In order to control differential settlement caused by new and old subgrade connections after expressway reconstruction and expansion，this paper proposed a layered treatment structure for the loose steps of the old road with high water content.A layer of construction and demolition waste was laid on the step surface of the old road to wrap the geogrid.The treatment effect was compared with that of sand wrapping and lime mixing，and the digital speckle correlation （DIC） was used to observe the reinforced influence zone，so as to determine the thickness of different layers of the subgrade wrapped by construction and demolition wastes.The particle rotation …

Working Performance Of Rigid Airfield Runway Considering Influence Of Cavity Depth, Dai Xuan, Li Zhao, Cai Jing, Li Yue, Liu Guoguang, Qi Lin

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

In order to analyze the influence of cavity depth on runway safety，a numerical simulation was carried out using the finite difference method.A total of 208 sets of different working conditions were designed by taking into account factors such as different aircraft types，runway dimensions，and cavity depth and area.Based on the runway life model considering the exponential decay of the structural condition，an analytical method was proposed to evaluate the impact of the cavity on the runway life.The results show that the bending and stress of the runway increase gradually with the increase in the cavity depth，but the growth rate is getting slower …

Intelligent Compaction Of Asphalt Pavement And Its Key Influencing Factors, Zhu Huifang, Wang Liang

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

Intelligent compaction，as a new type of road construction quality monitoring and management technology，has been widely used in the compaction process of asphalt pavement.However，due to the lack of understanding of the compaction process and the interaction mechanism between asphalt mixture particles，the problems of over-compaction and non-uniformity of compaction often occur in the actual construction，which seriously affects the quality of road construction and service performance.In this study，through the combination of the engineering field and indoor tests，the variation characteristics of asphalt mixture compaction with the number of compaction were analyzed by using the semi-variance function of the geostatistical model，and the effect of temperature …

Influence Of Lateral Constraint Conditions And Compactness On Compression Characteristics Of Compacted Loess In Northern Shaanxi, Chang Yinghong, Zhao Jinpeng, Zhang Xiaozhou, Yang Hao, Li Zhe, Shao Dengfeng, Liu Lulu

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

In recent years，with the rapid development of road engineering construction，subgrade settlement caused by vertical compression of compacted loess has become increasingly serious.The previous research on the deformation of compacted loess mostly focuses on moisture content，porosity，saturation，and other aspects，ignoring the influence of lateral constraint conditions and different compaction on compacted loess.To address these issues，based on the reconstruction and expansion project of G 307 road in northern Shaanxi，this paper selected compacted soil samples of subgrade on site to carry out indoor compression tests.By applying different lateral constraint conditions，the stress-strain curves of compacted loess subjected to vertical multistage load under different compactness and confining …

Performance Of Composite Modified Permeable Concrete With Nano‑Silicon And Polypropylene Fiber, Liu Benli, Zhang Peng, Shan Jingsong, Zhao Haijian, Su Benjun, Li Chao

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

In order to improve the comprehensive performance of permeable concrete，nano-silicon and polypropylene fiber were added to permeable concrete to study the performance of the composite modified permeable concrete.Firstly，the influence of single-doped nano-silicon on the performance of cement paste and permeable concrete was studied，and the content of nano-silicon and the optimal water-to-binder ratio were determined.On this basis，different proportions of polypropylene fiber were mixed，and the reasonable content of polypropylene fiber was determined.The results show that nano-silicon improves the porosity of permeable concrete and increases the optimal water-to-binder ratio.When the content of nano-silicon is 0.5%，and the water-to-binder ratio is 0.32，the compressive strength of …

Oxygen Diffusion Behavior In Asphalt Film Based On Molecular Dynamics Simulation, Zhang Yu, Li Zheng, Fang Long, Han Bo, Wang Weicheng, Mao Zigen, Liu Qi, Yu Bin

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

Asphalt aging is one of the most important concerns during the use of asphalt pavement.However，asphalt usually exists in the form of a film in the mixture.Oxygen diffusion is an important factor affecting asphalt aging.To investigate the oxygen diffusion behavior in asphalt film under different working conditions，an oxygen-asphalt-aggregate （OAA） model was developed in this study to simulate the state of the asphalt film on the aggregate surface under real conditions.Oxygen diffusion and asphalt component migration in the OAA model were investigated under different conditions of time，temperature，oxygen concentration，and aggregate type.The influence of each factor on the molecular behavior of the model was …

Force Analysis Of Open Web Triangular Area Of Ganxi Super Bridge During Construction, Sun Keqiang, Li Baifu, Xue Qilin

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

Ganxi Super Bridge is an open web continuous rigid frame bridge with a main span of 300 m，and the upper chord box girder in the open web triangular area adopts the post support of a few telescopic columns with the hanging basket for suspension casting.The lower chord box girder adopts the full cable-stayed buckle method with a hanging basket for suspension casting.To analyze the force characteristics of the temporary structural system in the triangular area during the construction process using this method，the force variation law during the construction process of the temporary structural system in the triangular area was summarized …

Value Of Effective Length Coefficient Of Pier Of Long‑Span Continuous Rigid Frame Bridge, Tang Like, Song Suidi, Zhang Yang

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

The effective length coefficient of a pier is a controlling factor affecting the safety and economic index of bridge structures.The values of the effective length coefficient of compression members in Chinese and foreign codes are basically similar，and they are only applicable to ideal boundary conditions.In practical application，it is necessary to make appropriate adjustments according to the specific structural form.In order to get the value closer to the actual situation of the structure，this paper analyzed the overall stability of the structure and investigated the influence laws of different factors on the effective length coefficient of the continuous rigid frame bridge in …

Calculation Of Slag Weight In Shield Construction Based On Compound Continuous Belt Conveyor, Zhou Biao, Ding Xiaobin, Sun Wenjian, Ren Xufeng

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

Based on the construction data of continuous belt conveyors in shield construction，this paper evaluates two common calculation methods of slag weight （slag weight calculation based on loosening coefficient and slag weight calculation based on external additives ） to accurately manage slag in shield construction.According to the law of slag discharged from each ring in shield construction，an improved slag weight estimation method in shield construction was proposed.The results show that there is a big error in the slag weight calculation based on the loosening coefficient.When slag weight calculation based on external additives is used，the calculated value is always smaller than the …

Comparative Study On Dynamic Effect Of Basic Longitudinal Section Alignment, Du Yongping, Wang Peng

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

To improve the alignment in the old road reconstruction project，stress analysis was carried out，and the alignment and smoothness parameters were used as the major variables in the dynamic equation.A “human-vehicle-road ” dynamic analysis model was established，and alignment comparison groups were set，with only one group set with easing vertical curves.The Newmark- β method was used for programming and calculating the dynamic effects generated by the basic alignment with a radius of 7 000 m.The vibration indicators such as peak acceleration，root mean square of acceleration，vibration period，and frequency were used to analyze the dynamic effects of the basic alignment group.By analyzing the causes …

Mechanism Of Anti‑Collision Guardrails To Snow Drift Disasters On Highways, Peng Guodong, Xi Jianfeng, Zhang Siyuan, Li Min, Liu Ziwei, Xing Ruimin

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

With the continuous promotion of China ’s strategy of building the country with a strong transportation network，the proportion of high-grade highways in the road network continues to increase，and the number of traffic safety facilities is increasing.Xilingol League in the Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region has a long winter and strong wind，which is one of the typical areas in China deeply affected by snow drift disasters.Through field investigation，it is found that “road snow resistance ” “visual range obstacle ” and other snow drift disasters caused by traffic safety facilities are also increasingly prominent，which seriously restricts the effective play of road transportation functions …

Innovative Exploration For Green Construction Of Highway Bridges In Dense Urban Areas, Liu Xuexin, Zeng Lei, Meng Yuanying, Hao Guojun, Chen Yao

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

In order to improve the green construction level of highways in dense urban areas，the project characteristics and engineering requirements of the Nansha-Zhongshan Expressway were analyzed，and the concept of green development was implemented in the whole life cycle of highway design，construction，operation，maintenance，and management.The research and development of ten innovative technologies in four categories were highlighted，including industrial intelligent construction of highway bridges，comprehensive utilization of highway resources，environmental protection of highways in coastal wet areas，and integrated design of transportation and tourism in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Marco Greater Bay Area.Among them，the prefabricated beam annular production line and non-standard eight-lane were the unprecedented technologies first used in the …

Comparison Of Chinese ， Ame Rican， And Bangladeshi Criteria For Liquefaction Judgment O F Fine‑Grained Soil, Wu Zi

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

The criteria for liquefaction judgment of fi ne-grained soil in current seismic design codes of China，the United States，and Bangladesh are quite different.In order to propose the judgment criteria for engineering application and Chinese code revision，this paper compared the judgment processes and criteria of the three countries.After analyzing the formation process，based on the application of the criteria for liquefaction judgment of 168 fine-grained soil samples collected in Dhaka，Bangladesh and surrounding cities，the rationality of each judgment process and criteria was evaluated comprehensively.Finally，a set of judgment processes and result criteria for fine-grained soil liquefaction integrating all criteria were put forward.

Bonding Performance Of Chip Seal Containing Waste Tire Rubber Particles, Chen Jianmin, Liu Donghai, Wang Jinyu, Liu Haozhi

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

In order to promote the reuse of waste tires and reduce environmental pollution，chips were replaced with the same volume of waste tire rubber particles to prepare a new rubber particle chip seal pavement.In order to ensure the bonding between asphalt and aggregate of the rubber particle chip seal，the surface of rubber particles was processed，and the texture characteristics of chip seal specimens with different aggregate particle sizes and rubber content were evaluated.The five indexes of rubber particle content，aggregate particle size ratio，shedding rate，structural depth，and pendulum friction coefficient were correlated and evaluated by SPSS，and the MMLS 3 test was conducted to simulate the …

Monetary Policy Impact On Stock Returns For Selected South Asian Countries, Neluka Devpura, Paresh Kumar Narayan, Navin Perera

Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking

In this paper, we examine the monetary policy impact on the stock market returns and volatility for four major South Asian countries (Bangladesh, India, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka). We test our hypothesis that monetary policy influences both the first and second order of stock returns by using monthly data. The short-term interest rate and the Treasury bill rate are employed as proxies for monetary policy. Controlling for industrial production, inflation, exchange rates (vis-à-vis the US dollar), US interest rate, and money supply, our findings indicate that there exists a statistically significant impact of short-term interest rates on stock returns only …

Gender-Specific Mental Health Outcomes In Central America: A Natural Experiment, Thea Nagasuru

Computer Science Summer Fellows

While COVID lockdown measures have had varying effects on the mental health of different demographics, several bodies of research have noted their disparate effect on women. Why is women's mental health more negatively impacted by lockdown measures, and how much more are they impacted than men? How can we predict and mitigate these negative effects on women? This paper aims to contribute to answering those questions by comparing COVID stringency measures and their effect on the gap in depression rates between men and women in two neighboring countries: Nicaragua and Honduras.

Childhood Sexual Abuse And Compulsive Sexual Behavior Among Men Who Have Sex With Men Newly Diagnosed With Hiv, Monique J. Brown, Medinat Omobola Osinubi, Daniel Amoatika, Mohammad Rifat Haider, Sally Kirklewski, Patrick Wilson, Nathan B. Hansen

Faculty Publications

Childhood sexual abuse (CSA) continues to be a public health challenge. The prevalence of experiencing CSA is higher among men who have sex with men (MSM) than the general population. CSA has been linked to compulsive sexual behavior (CSB) among varying populations but has not been examined among MSM who were newly diagnosed with HIV. Therefore, the aims of this study were to assess the direct association between CSA and CSB among newly diagnosed MSM living with HIV, and to identify the potential mediating roles of depressive symptoms and emotion regulation in the association between CSA and CSB. The study …

Artificial Intelligence Modeling Of Alzheimer's Disease And Environmental Science, Mohamed Abu Sheha

USF Tampa Graduate Theses and Dissertations

A data-driven statistical model operates as a mathematical illustration of a tangible issuefaced in reality, enabling the creation of predictions or decisions based on data. The process of utilizing probability and statistical principles in statistical models is essential for deriving meaningful conclusions from the data. The research conducted in this dissertation utilizes artificial intelligence (AI) models to integrate findings across health and environmental sci- ence.

The first research study in this dissertation, Alzheimer’s disease is a mental health issue and a brain aging dilemma that makes it difficult for older people to complete daily tasks without assistance. The physician uses …

Quasi – Monte Carlo Estimation For Functional Generalized Linear Mixed Models, Ruvini Jayamaha

Waldo Library Student Exhibits

Functional Data Analysis (FDA) is a topic of growing interest in the Statistics community. The data in FDA are smooth curves or surfaces in time or space which can be conceptualized as functions.

We propose a Functional Generalized Linear Mixed Model (FGLMM) to fit EEG data and estimate the parameters using Quasi-Monte Carlo Method.

This proposed model deals with non-Gaussian scalar response, functional predictor, and random effects. We relax the assumption of link and variance functions.

Gauss Newton Method For Solving Variational Problems Of Pdes With Neural Network Discretizaitons, Wenrui Hao, Qingguo Hong, Xianlin Jin

Mathematics and Statistics Faculty Research & Creative Works

The numerical solution of differential equations using machine learning-based approaches has gained significant popularity. Neural network-based discretization has emerged as a powerful tool for solving differential equations by parameterizing a set of functions. Various approaches, such as the deep Ritz method and physics-informed neural networks, have been developed for numerical solutions. Training algorithms, including gradient descent and greedy algorithms, have been proposed to solve the resulting optimization problems. In this paper, we focus on the variational formulation of the problem and propose a Gauss–Newton method for computing the numerical solution. We provide a comprehensive analysis of the superlinear convergence properties …

Ocular Gene Transfer In The Spotlight: Implications Of Newspaper Content For Clinical Communications, Shelly Benjaminy, Tania M. Bubela

Office of the Provost

Background: Ocular gene transfer clinical trials are raising hopes for blindness treatments and attracting media attention. News media provide an accessible health information source for patients and the public, but are often criticized for overemphasizing benefits and underplaying risks of novel biomedical interventions. Overly optimistic portrayals of unproven interventions may influence public and patient expectations; the latter may cause patients to downplay risks and over-emphasize benefits, with implications for informed consent for clinical trials. We analyze the news media communications landscape about ocular gene transfer and make recommendations for improving communications between clinicians and potential trial participants in light of …

Enacting Data Context: Fixing Meaning In Transparency Data Initiatives, Lindsay Poirier

Statistical and Data Sciences: Faculty Publications

This article documents the “context cultures” underpinning efforts to develop regulations for collecting and reporting data in a United States public database known as Open Payments. Open Payments is a dataset published annually by the US Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services that documents the transfers of value from pharmaceutical and medical device manufacturers to physicians, prescribing non-physicians, and teaching hospitals. In the article, I show context became a manifold concern as differentially-situated actors engaged in modes of public advocacy and social action around not only what data meant, but also what it meant to make data meaningful. I show …

Multi-Case Study Of Left-Flank Boundaries Within Supercells, Peyton B. Stevenson

Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences: Dissertations, Theses, and Student Research

This study investigates the prevalence and significance of forward-flank convergence boundaries (FFCBs) and left-flank convergence boundaries (LFCBs) in shaping the structure and intensity of supercells, using observational data from various field projects. Unlike previous research focusing on individual cases, this study examines a diverse range of cases to provide comprehensive insights into the relationship between these boundaries and supercell characteristics such as intensity, longevity, and tornadogenesis. By analyzing high-resolution surface data, the research addresses the frequency, location, and intensity of these boundaries, and their impact on pseudo vertical vorticity, pseudo convergence, and density gradients. A total of 228 boundary identifications …

Design And Evaluation Of An Esa-Based Method Of Ensemble Subsetting For A Wofs (Warn On Forecast-Like System), Daniel J. Butler

Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences: Dissertations, Theses, and Student Research

Forecasting severe thunderstorm environments in the southeastern United States can be challenging due to mesoscale heterogeneities such as shortwave troughs, pre-existing airmass boundaries, cold fronts aloft, low-level jets, dry air intrusions, and mesoscale lows. To combat these challenges, ensemble sensitivity analysis (ESA) may be applied to a Warn-on-Forecast (WOF)-like ensemble to improve forecasts of severe convection through ensemble weighting and subsetting. Ensemble-based weighting and subsetting uses ensemble members that most accurately represent the thunderstorm environment in areas of mesoscale heterogeneity. This study creates and evaluates the ensemble-based weighting and subsetting in four cases of severe thunderstorm occurrence. The open parameter …

Phylogeny And Disparity Of Ammonoid Family Acanthoceratidae Over Ocean Anoxic Event 2, Lindsey Howard

Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences: Dissertations, Theses, and Student Research

The widespread use of genera as proxies for species in paleobiological studies might affect the results of these studies. Although most attention has been given to taxonomic diversity studies, this could also be true of disparity and phylogenetic studies. In particular, the assumption that particular character states truly diagnose all members of a genus might distort results. This study examines the disparity of Acanthoceratid ammonoids at both the generic and species level. 149 species from 42 genera were examined with 52 characters measured. Following the measurements, an inverse modeling simulation was run 100 times to generate a simulated phylogeny with …

Contributions To Nonparametric Testing In Clustered Data, Hasika Kalani Wickrama Senevirathne

Mathematics & Statistics Theses & Dissertations

Clustered data refers to a specific kind of correlated data where units within the same cluster are correlated while units from different clusters are independent. The number of units in each cluster, known as the cluster size, can be associated with the cluster’s outcome. This is known as the informative cluster size (ICS) and affects the inference drawn from clustered data. Recently, a hypothesis testing method has been developed to detect the presence of ICS. However, considering ICS alone may not be sufficient when comparing outcomes across multiple groups of units within clustered data. The size of a group within …

A Probabilistic Approach To Estimate The Temporal Order Of Pathway Mutations Accounting For Intra-Tumor Heterogeneity, Menghan Wang, Yanqi Xie, Jinpeng Liu, Austin Li, Li Chen, Arnold Stromberg, Susanne Arnold, Chunming Liu, Chi Wang

Markey Cancer Center Faculty Publications

The development of cancer involves the accumulation of somatic mutations in several essential biological pathways. Delineating the temporal order of pathway mutations during tumori- genesis is crucial for comprehending the biological mechanisms underlying cancer development and identifying potential targets for therapeutic intervention. Several computational and statistical methods have been introduced for estimating the order of somatic mutations based on mutation profile data from a cohort of patients. However, one major issue of current methods is that they do not take into account intra-tumor heterogeneity (ITH), which limits their ability to accurately discern the order of pathway mutations. To address this …

Comparison Of Value At Risk Using Historical And Monte Carlo Methods On Pt Xyz Stock Portofolio, Eka Fitriani, Yulial Hikmah, Ira Rosianal Hikmah

Jurnal Administrasi Bisnis Terapan

One way to achieve profits in a company is through investment activities. However, everything has risks. Investing can also be risky. Therefore, the relationship between risk and investment is important because it will influence the determination of investment selection. The problem faced by investors is choosing an efficient portfolio, or a portfolio that provides the smallest risk. This risk can be done by measuring risk, one of which is using the Value at Risk (VaR) measure. Measurement using Value at Risk has several methods that are quite popular, namely the Historical Method, Variance-Covariance, and Monte Carlo. In this research, the …

Evaluating Past Progress And Assessing Prediction Breeding Strategies For Sustained Genetic Gains In The Louisiana Sugarcane Variety Development Program, Brayden A. Blanchard

LSU Doctoral Dissertations

The aim of this dissertation is to outline important considerations for the Louisiana Sugarcane Variety Development Program (LSVDP) as it pertains to historical progress, impact, goal setting, and new strategies for continued genetic gains. Industry progress was evaluated with robust regression models to quantify rates of productivity gains. Over the last 50 years, statistically significant productivity gains were identified in sucrose content (45%), cane yield (32.2%), and sugar yield (93%) while pairwise comparisons of decades showed that progress was incremental rather than rapid and sustained once achieved. The decade from 1990-1999 was identified as the only decade with a significant …