Statistics and Probability Commons^™

Boundary Problems For One And Two Dimensional Random Walks, Miky Wright

Masters Theses & Specialist Projects

This thesis provides a study of various boundary problems for one and two dimensional random walks. We first consider a one-dimensional random walk that starts at integer-valued height k > 0, with a lower boundary being the x-axis, and on each step moving downward with probability q being greater than or equal to the probability of going upward p. We derive the variance and the standard deviation of the number of steps T needed for the height to reach 0 from k, by first deriving the moment generating function of T. We then study two types of two-dimensional random walks with …

Estimating The Accuracy Of Automated Classification Systems Using Only Expert Ratings That Are Less Accurate Than The System, Paul E. Lehner

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A method is presented to estimate the accuracy of an automated classification system based only on expert ratings on test cases, where the system may be substantially more accurate than the raters. In this method an estimate of overall rater accuracy is derived from the level of inter-rater agreement, Bayesian updating based on estimated rater accuracy is applied to estimate a ground truth probability for each classification on each test case, and then overall system accuracy is estimated by comparing the relative frequency that the system agrees with the most probable classification at different probability levels. A simulation analysis provides …

Modeling Probability Of Causal And Random Impacts, Stan Lipovetsky, Igor Mandel

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The method of the estimation of the probability of an event occurring under the influence of the causal and random effects is considered. Epistemological differences from the traditional approaches to causality are discussed, and a new model of the statistical estimation of the parameters of each effect is proposed. The simple and effective algorithms of the model parameters estimation are presented, and numerical simulations are performed. A practical marketing example is analyzed. The results support the validity of the estimation procedure and open the perspective for the application of the method for various decision making problems, where different causes can …

Estimation For The Parameters Of The Exponentiated Exponential Distribution Using A Median Ranked Set Sampling, Monjed H. Samuh, Areen Qtait

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The method of maximum likelihood estimation based on Median Ranked Set Sampling (MRSS) was used to estimate the shape and scale parameters of the Exponentiated Exponential Distribution (EED). They were compared with the conventional estimators. The relative efficiency was used for comparison. The amount of information (in Fisher's sense) available from the MRSS about the parameters of the EED were be evaluated. Confidence intervals for the parameters were constructed using MRSS.

A Decision Support Tool For Appointment Scheduling To Reduce Patient No-Show Rate In An Outpatient Psychiatric Clinic, Kaitlyn N. Thomas

Industrial Engineering Undergraduate Honors Theses

The Walker Family Clinic in the Psychiatric Research Institute at the University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences in Little Rock, Arkansas provides general and specialty mental health and substance abuse services for adolescents and adults. As there is an increasing need for health services at the clinic, the current capacity may not be able to meet all demands. Patients may wait a long time before receiving care due to inefficiencies in the current system. Also, based on data collected from August 1, 2013 to November 26, 2014, the average daily no-show rate was 13.9% and the maximum daily no-show rate …

Average Case Network Lifetime On An Interval With Adjustable Sensing Ranges, Amotz Bar-Noy, Benjamin Baumer

Mathematics Sciences: Faculty Publications

Given n sensors on an interval, each of which is equipped with an adjustable sensing radius and a unit battery charge that drains in inverse linear proportion to its radius, what schedule will maximize the lifetime of a network that covers the entire interval? Trivially, any reasonable algorithm is at least a 2-approximation for this Sensor Strip Cover problem, so we focus on developing an efficient algorithm that maximizes the expected network lifetime under a random uniform model of sensor distribution. We demonstrate one such algorithm that achieves an expected network lifetime within 12 % of the theoretical maximum. Most …

Estimating The Strength Of An Association Based On A Robust Smoother, Rand Wilcox

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

It is known that the more obvious parametric approaches to fitting a regression line to data are often not flexible enough to provide an adequate approximation of the true regression line. Many nonparametric regression estimators, often called smoothers, have been derived that are aimed at dealing with this problem. The paper deals with the issue of estimating the strength of an association based on the fit obtained by a robust smoother. A simple approach, already known, is to estimate explanatory power in a fairly obvious manner. This approach has been found to perform reasonably well when using the smoother LOESS. …

Per Family Or Familywise Type I Error Control: "Eether, Eyether, Neether, Nyther, Let's Call The Whole Thing Off!", H. J. Keselman

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Frane (2015) pointed out the difference between per-family and familywise Type I error control and how different multiple comparison procedures control one method but not necessarily the other. He then went on to demonstrate in the context of a two group multivariate design containing different numbers of dependent variables and correlations between variables how the per-family rate inflates beyond the level of significance. In this article I reintroduce other newer better methods of Type I error control. These newer methods provide more power to detect effects than the per-family and familywise techniques of control yet maintain the overall rate of …

Comparison Of Bayesian Credible Intervals To Frequentist Confidence Intervals, Kathy Gray, Brittany Hampton, Tony Silveti-Falls, Allison Mcconnell, Casey Bausell

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Frequentist confidence intervals were compared with Bayesian credible intervals under a variety of scenarios to determine when Bayesian credible intervals outperform frequentist confidence intervals. Results indicated that Bayesian interval estimation frequently produces results with precision greater than or equal to the frequentist method.

Special Education Distributions And Analysis, Valerie Felder, Shlomo S. Sawilowsky

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Micceri (1989) examined the distributional characteristics of 440 large sample general education achievement and psychometric measures. All the distributions were found to be statistically significantly different from the normal distribution. In this study, 395 special education datasets were examined. Although there were some normally distributed datasets, most were not, and some were markedly different in shape from those found by Micceri (1989). Implications for statistical testing and making special education policy decisions were given.

Vol. 14, No. 1 (Full Issue), Jmasm Editors

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

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A Comparison Of Semi-Parametric And Nonparametric Methods For Estimating Mean Time To Event For Randomly Left Censored Data, Farzana Chowdhury, Jahida Gulshan, Syed Shahadat Hossain

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The aim of this study was to make a comparison among existing estimation methods (Kaplan-Meier, Nelson-Aalen and Regression on Ordered Statistics (ROS)) for randomly left censored time to event data under selected distributions and for different level of censoring and sample sizes in order to determine the strength of these methods based on simulated data. Comparisons among the methods are made on the basis of unbiasedness and Monte Carlo Standard Error of the summary statistics (mean time to event) obtained by those methods under different conditions.

The Minimal Zn-Symmetric Graphs That Are Not Zn-Spherical, Lowell Abrams, Dan Slilaty

Mathematics and Statistics Faculty Publications

Given a graph G equipped with faithful and fixed-point-free Γ-action (Γ a finite group) we define an orbit minor H of G to be a minor of G for which the deletion and contraction sets are closed under the Γ-action. The orbit minor H inherits a Γ-symmetry from G, and when the contraction set is acyclic the action inherited by H remains faithful and fixed-point free. When G embeds in the sphere and the Γ-action on G extends to a Γ-action on the entire sphere, we say that G is Γ-spherical. In this paper we determine for every odd value …

Geographical Analysis Of Hub City Transit, Joshua Adam Watts

Master's Theses

This study assess Hub City Transit, the public bus system of Hattiesburg, MS. Statistical analysis is used to determine how well the transit system serves low income areas of the city. A 0.5 mile buffer was applied to the bus routes to determine the coverage of the transit system. Areas of disorder along the routes were also assessed to analyze the landscape routes pass through. Lastly, an analysis of ridership on each route was performed to determine the most heavily used areas, as well as to assess where riders are going on each route.

The findings show that Hub City …

A Comparison Of Population-Averaged And Cluster-Specific Approaches In The Context Of Unequal Probabilities Of Selection, Natalie A. Koziol

College of Education and Human Sciences: Dissertations, Theses, and Student Research

Sampling designs of large-scale, federally funded studies are typically complex, involving multiple design features (e.g., clustering, unequal probabilities of selection). Researchers must account for these features in order to obtain unbiased point estimators and make valid inferences about population parameters. Single-level (i.e., population-averaged) and multilevel (i.e., cluster-specific) methods provide two alternatives for modeling clustered data. Single-level methods rely on the use of adjusted variance estimators to account for dependency due to clustering, whereas multilevel methods incorporate the dependency into the specification of the model.

Although the literature comparing single-level and multilevel approaches is vast, comparisons have been limited to the …

A New Approach To Modeling Multivariate Time Series On Multiple Temporal Scales, Tucker Zeleny

Department of Statistics: Dissertations, Theses, and Student Research

In certain situations, observations are collected on a multivariate time series at a certain temporal scale. However, there may also exist underlying time series behavior on a larger temporal scale that is of interest. Often times, identifying the behavior of the data over the course of the larger scale is the key objective. Because this large scale trend is not being directly observed, describing the trends of the data on this scale can be more difficult. To further complicate matters, the observed data on the smaller time scale may be unevenly spaced from one larger scale time point to the …

Incorporating Relaxivities To More Accurately Reconstruct Mr Images, Muge Karaman, Iain P. Bruce, Daniel B. Rowe

Mathematics, Statistics and Computer Science Faculty Research and Publications

Purpose

To develop a mathematical model that incorporates the magnetic resonance relaxivities into the image reconstruction process in a single step.

Materials and methods

In magnetic resonance imaging, the complex-valued measurements of the acquired signal at each point in frequency space are expressed as a Fourier transformation of the proton spin density weighted by Fourier encoding anomalies: T₂^⁎, T₁, and a phase determined by magnetic field inhomogeneity (∆B) according to the MR signal equation. Such anomalies alter the expected symmetry and the signal strength of the k-space observations, resulting in images distorted …

Genetics Of Obesity In Starr County, Texas Mexican Americans, Heather M. Highland

Dissertations and Theses (Open Access)

Currently, over two-thirds of Americans are classified as over-weight or obese. Obesity increases risk for many other diseases including type 2 diabetes, heart disease, stroke, and cancer, making obesity the largest public health problem in America and most other Westernized nations. Hispanics have a higher rate of both obesity and type 2 diabetes, making them a particularly interesting population in which to study obesity. For the last 33 years, the Starr County Health Studies has collected an array of phenotypes and biological samples from residents of Starr County, along Texas-Mexico border. This study includes 825 subjects who were not known …

Survival Analysis For Truncated Data And Competing Risks, Michael Steelman

All Graduate Plan B and other Reports, Spring 1920 to Spring 2023

The purpose of this project is to consider the problems of left truncation and competing risks in analyzing censored survival data, and to compare and contrast various approaches for handling these problems. The motivation for this work comes from an analysis of data from the Cache County Memory Study. Study investigators were interested in the association between early-life psychologically stressful events (e.g., parental or sibling death, or parental divorce, among others) and late-life risk of Alzheimer's disease (AD). While conventional methods for censored survival data can be applied, the presence of left truncation and competing risks (i.e., other adverse events …

Comparing Linear Mixed Models To Meta-Regression Analysis In The Greenville Air Quality Study, Lynsie M. Daley

All Graduate Plan B and other Reports, Spring 1920 to Spring 2023

The effect of air quality on public health is an important issue in need of better understanding. There are many stakeholders, especially in Utah and Cache Valley, where the poor air quality as measured by PM 2.5 levels and consequent inversions can sometimes be the very worst in the nation. This project focuses on comparing two statistical methods used to analyze an important air quality data set from the Greenville Air Quality Study, focusing on a lung function response variable. A linear mixed model, with a random factor for subject, gives slope estimates and their significance for predictor variables of …

Modeling Seed Dispersal And Population Migration Given A Distribution Of Seed Handling Times And Variable Dispersal Motility: Case Study For Pinyon And Juniper In Utah, Ram C. Neupane

All Graduate Theses and Dissertations, Spring 1920 to Summer 2023

The spread of fruiting tree species is strongly determined by the behavior and range of fruit-eating animals, particularly birds. Birds either consume and digest seeds or carry and cache them at some distance from the source tree. These carried and settled seeds provide some form of distribution which generates tree spread to the new location. Firstly, we modal seed dispersal by birds and introduce it in a dispersal model to estimate seed distribution. Using this distribution, we create a population model to estimate the speed at which juniper and pinyon forest boundaries move.

Secondly, we introduce a fact that bird …

Novel Applications Of And Extensions To Linear Regression Methods For The Biomedical And Materials Sciences., Joe Bible

Electronic Theses and Dissertations

In this work we present three topics, each of which centered on either the application or modification of various linear regression methods. Our work with respect to the “Materials Genome” project while undermined by oversimplification and data integrity issues in its early stages, provides a sound platform from which the project can proceed successfully. Building upon a growing body of knowledge around the use of Weighted Generalized Estimating Equations (WGEE), our second investigation proposes an extension to that framework intended to address the inherent bias present in the analysis of clustered longitudinal data with potentially informative cluster sizes and temporal …

Optcluster : An R Package For Determining The Optimal Clustering Algorithm And Optimal Number Of Clusters., Michael N. Sekula

Electronic Theses and Dissertations

Determining the best clustering algorithm and ideal number of clusters for a particular dataset is a fundamental difficulty in unsupervised clustering analysis. In biological research, data generated from Next Generation Sequencing technology and microarray gene expression data are becoming more and more common, so new tools and resources are needed to group such high dimensional data using clustering analysis. Different clustering algorithms can group data very differently. Therefore, there is a need to determine the best groupings in a given dataset using the most suitable clustering algorithm for that data. This paper presents the R package optCluster as an efficient …

Summary Of Survival Analysis With Sas Procedures., Derek Duane Childers 1990-

Electronic Theses and Dissertations

The research conducted for this thesis was performed to summarize some of the most commonly used survival analysis techniques as well as to create one macro that will provide the solutions for these techniques. Some of the techniques that this thesis focuses on are survival and hazard functions, mean and median survival times, life table, log rank test, proportional hazards/model building, and competing risk. To further analyze these survival analysis techniques I will use the Bone Marrow Transplantation for Leukemia dataset. This trial consists of either acute myelocytic leukemia (AML 99 patients) or acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL 38 patients). There …

Mindsets, Attitudes, And Achievement In Undergraduate Statistics Courses, Valorie L. Zonnefeld

Faculty Work Comprehensive List

The purpose of this study was to determine the effects of theories of intelligence and an intervention of incremental mindset training on students’ attitudes toward statistics and their mastery of content in an introductory statistics college course. The sample was 547 undergraduate students at a small, faith-based, liberal arts college in the Midwest.

A pretest-posttest design was used for the three instruments implemented. The Comprehensive Assessment of Outcomes in a first Statistics course (CAOS) assessed students’ statistical literacy. The Student Attitudes Towards Statistics – 36© (SATS©) assessed six components of students’ attitudes toward statistics including affect, cognitive competence, difficulty, effort, …

Roulette: More Than Just A Chance, David Abuhanna

Honors College Theses

Data were generated using a physical roulette wheel to test whether an association exists between initial conditions (the pocket from which the ball is released) and output (the pocket where the ball lands). I have generated data to determine whether there exists statistical significance in distributions of adjoined pockets. Using the statistical software Excel for data tabulation and mapping and using R for statistical computations, I determined a possible method for cheating. I also established an association does in fact exist between initial conditions and output. The existence of this association diminishes roulette as a game of "pure" chance. The …

Analytical Comparison Of Contrasting Approaches To Estimating Competing Risks Models, Brian Stephen Rickard

Graduate Theses and Dissertations

Survival analysis is a commonly used tool in many fields but has seen little use in education research despite a common number of research questions for which it is well suited. Researchers often use logistic regression instead; however, this omits useful information. In research on retention and graduation for example, the timing of the event is an important piece of information omitted when using logistic regression. A simulation study was conducted to evaluate four methods of analyzing competing risks survival data, Cox proportional hazards regression, Weibull regression, Fine and Gray's Method, and Cox proportional hazards regression with frailty. College student …

The Effects Of Instruction On Landing Strategies In Female College-Aged Dancers And Non-Dancers: A Pilot Study, Brittany Keating, Jason Pyfer, Kimberly Vialpando

UNLV Theses, Dissertations, Professional Papers, and Capstones

Background Female athletic participation has increased over the past decade and with it the prevalence of knee injuries. Current research demonstrates an increased risk of anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) injury for female athletes. However, a number of studies have pointed out that ballet and modern dancers exhibit a lower incidence of ACL injuries despite the fact that they perform jumping and landing frequently.

Objective The objective of this study was to examine how dance experience and instruction affect the lower extremity biomechanics during drop landings. Specifically, lower extremity joint alignment and muscle activation of gluteus maximus and gluteus medius were …

The Effects Of Enhanced And Decreased Expectations On Balance Performance In Those With And Without Parkinson’S Disease, Joshua Ostrander, Granuaile Parrish, Jacob Blood

UNLV Theses, Dissertations, Professional Papers, and Capstones

Background: It has been reported individuals typically perform well on a task when enhanced expectancy was provided prior to task performance. It has also been reported people with Parkinson’s disease (PD) are especially susceptible to pre-task placebo cuing and suggestion. Evidence of this susceptibility has been previously demonstrated through brain imaging studies and with demonstration by individuals with PD improved balance performance.

Objective: This study was designed to further previous studies’ results for improved task performance with enhanced expectancy. The purpose of this study was to investigate if the pre-task verbal delivery of enhanced expectancy, decreased expectancy and no expectancy …

Comparing Usability And Variance Of Low- And High Technology Approaches To Gait Analysis In Health Adults, John Mcconnell, Brian Silverman

UNLV Theses, Dissertations, Professional Papers, and Capstones

Purpose: The purpose of this study was to compare the usability, reliability, and objectivity of four tools that represented varying gait analysis technologies used in clinical practice and/or research. Low technology clinical tools included the Gait Abnormality Rating Scale (GARS-M) and the Rancho Los Amigos Observational Gait Analysis (Rancho OGA). High technology tools included the GAITRiteÒ computerized walkway, and the APDM Mobility LabÔ wearable sensor system.

Subjects: 74 healthy adults ages 18-41 years (mean = 24.82, SD = 4.39) 33 males and 40 females.

Methods: Subjects were instructed to walk at a self-selected speed for two minutes …