Statistics and Probability Commons^™

Enhanced Precision In The Analysis Of Randomized Trials With Ordinal Outcomes, Iván Díaz, Elizabeth Colantuoni, Michael Rosenblum

Johns Hopkins University, Dept. of Biostatistics Working Papers

We present a general method for estimating the effect of a treatment on an ordinal outcome in randomized trials. The method is robust in that it does not rely on the proportional odds assumption. Our estimator leverages information in prognostic baseline variables, and has all of the following properties: (i) it is consistent; (ii) it is locally efficient; (iii) it is guaranteed to match or improve the precision of the standard, unadjusted estimator. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first estimator of the causal relation between a treatment and an ordinal outcome to satisfy these properties. We …

Exonest: Bayesian Model Selection Applied To The Detection And Characterization Of Exoplanets Via Photometric Variations, Ben Placek, Kevin H. Knuth, Daniel Angerhausen

Physics Faculty Scholarship

EXONEST is an algorithm dedicated to detecting and characterizing the photometric signatures of exoplanets, which include reflection and thermal emission, Doppler boosting, and ellipsoidal variations. Using Bayesian inference, we can test between competing models that describe the data as well as estimate model parameters. We demonstrate this approach by testing circular versus eccentric planetary orbital models, as well as testing for the presence or absence of four photometric effects. In addition to using Bayesian model selection, a unique aspect of EXONEST is the potential capability to distinguish between reflective and thermal contributions to the light curve. A case study is …

Applications Of The Wei-Lachin Multivariate One-Sided Test For Multiple Outcomes On Possibly Different Scales, John M. Lachin

GW Biostatistics Center

Many studies aim to assess whether a therapy has a beneficial effect on multiple outcomes simultaneously relative to a control. Often the joint null hypothesis of no difference for the set of outcomes is tested using separate tests with a correction for multiple tests, or using a multivariate T2-like MANOVA or global test. However, a more powerful test in this case is a multivariate one-sided or one-directional test directed at detecting a simultaneous beneficial treatment effect on each outcome, though not necessarily of the same magnitude. The Wei-Lachin test is a simple 1 df test obtained from a simple …

Boresight Alignment Station, Marco A. Scussat, Richard M. Goeden, Jeffrey S. Scott, Richard G. Lane, Gary B. Hughes

Statistics

A boresight alignment system facilitates aligning a plurality of cameras and/or images of the cameras with respect to one another. The system may have a mount configured to facilitate attachment of a bezel containing a plurality of cameras to the mount. The system may have a plurality of targets and each target may be configured to provide light of at least two different wavelengths and/or ranges of wavelengths. One or more baffles may be disposed optically between the mount and the target assembly to inhibit stray light from being incident upon the cameras.

Optimal Bayesian Adaptive Trials When Treatment Efficacy Depends On Biomarkers, Yifan Zhang, Lorenzo Trippa, Giovanni Parmigiani

Harvard University Biostatistics Working Paper Series

No abstract provided.

Hiv Testing Implementation In Two Urban Cities: Practice, Policy And Perceived Barriers, Camden J. Hallmark, Jennifer Skillicorn, Thomas P. Giordano, Jessica A. Davila, Marlene Mcneese, Nestor Rocha, Avemaria Smith, Stacey Cooper, Amanda D. Castel

Epidemiology Faculty Publications

Background

Although funding has supported the scale up of routine, opt-out HIV testing in the US, variance in implementation mechanisms and barriers in high-burden jurisdictions remains unknown.

Methods

We conducted a survey of health care organizations in Washington, DC and Houston/Harris County to determine number of HIV tests completed in 2011, policy and practices associated with HIV testing, funding mechanisms, and reported barriers to testing in each jurisdiction and to compare results between jurisdictions.

Results

In 2012, 43 Houston and 35 DC HIV-testing organizations participated in the survey. Participants represented 85% of Department of Health-supported testers in DC and 90% …

Successful Mdr-Tb Treatment Regimens Including Amikacin Are Associated With High Rates Of Hearing Loss, Chawangwa Modongo, Rafal S. Sobota, Boikobo Kesenogile, Ronald Ncube

Dartmouth Scholarship

Aminoglycosides are a critical component of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) treatment but data on their efficacy and adverse effects in Botswana is scarce. We determined the effect of amikacin on treatment outcomes and development of hearing loss in MDR-TB patients. Patients started on MDR-TB treatment between 2006 and 2012 were included. Multivariate analysis was used to determine the effect of amikacin on treatment outcomes and development of hearing loss.

The Antisymmetry Betweenness Axiom And Hausdorff Continua, Paul Bankston

Mathematics, Statistics and Computer Science Faculty Research and Publications

An interpretation of betweenness on a set satisfies the antisymmetry axiom at a point a if it is impossible for each of two distinct points to lie between the other and a. In this paper we study the role of antisymmetry as it applies to the K-interpretation of betweenness in a Hausdorff continuum X, where a point c lies between points a and b exactly when every subcontinuum of X containing both a and b contains c as well.

Generalized Quantile Treatment Effect, Sergio Venturini, Francesca Dominici, Giovanni Parmigiani

Harvard University Biostatistics Working Paper Series

No abstract provided.

Planarity Of Whitney Levels, Jorbe Bustamante, W. J. Charatonik, Raul Escobedo

Mathematics and Statistics Faculty Research & Creative Works

First, we characterize all locally connected continua whose all Whitney levels are planar. Second, we show by example that planarity is not a (strong) Whitney reversible property. This answers a question from Illanes-Nadler book [2].

A Bayesian Approach To Joint Modeling Of Menstrual Cycle Length And Fecundity, Kirsten J. Lum, Rajeshwari Sundaram, Germaine M. Buck-Louis, Thomas A. Louis

Johns Hopkins University, Dept. of Biostatistics Working Papers

Female menstrual cycle length is thought to play an important role in couple fecundity, or the biologic capacity for reproduction irrespective of pregnancy intentions. A complete assessment of the association between menstrual cycle length and fecundity requires a model that accounts for multiple risk factors (both male and female) and the couple's intercourse pattern relative to ovulation. We employ a Bayesian joint model consisting of a mixed effects accelerated failure time model for longitudinal menstrual cycle lengths and a hierarchical model for the conditional probability of pregnancy in a menstrual cycle given no pregnancy in previous cycles of trying, in …

Application Of Bayesian Networks In Consumer Service Industry, Yuan Gao

Open Access Theses

Gao, Yuan. M.S.I.E., Purdue University. December 2014. Application of Bayesian Networks in Consumer Service Industry. Major professor: Vincent G. Duffy The purpose of the present study is to explore the application of Bayesian networks in the consumer service industry to model causal relationships within complex risk factor structures using aggregate data. An analysis of the Hawaii tourism market was conducted to find out how visitor characteristics affect their behavior and experience as consumers during the trips, and influence the tourism market outcomes represented by measurable factors. Two hypotheses were proposed regarding the use of aggregate data and the influence of …

Probabilistic Uncertainty Quantification And Experiment Design For Nonlinear Models: Applications In Systems Biology, Vu Cao Duy Thien Dinh

Open Access Dissertations

Despite the ever-increasing interest in understanding biology at the system level, there are several factors that hinder studies and analyses of biological systems. First, unlike systems from other applied fields whose parameters can be effectively identified, biological systems are usually unidentifiable, even in the ideal case when all possible system outputs are known with high accuracy. Second, the presence of multivariate bifurcations often leads the system to behaviors that are completely different in nature. In such cases, system outputs (as function of parameters/inputs) are usually discontinuous or have sharp transitions across domains with different behaviors. Finally, models from systems biology …

On The Occurrences Of Motifs In Recursive Trees, With Applications To Random Structures, Mohan Gopaladesikan

Open Access Dissertations

In this dissertation we study three problems related to motifs and recursive trees. In the first problem we consider a collection of uncorrelated motifs and their occurrences on the fringe of random recursive trees. We compute the exact mean and variance of the multivariate random vector of the counts of occurrences of the motifs. We further use the Cramér-Wold device and the contraction method to show an asymptotic convergence in distribution to a multivariate normal random variable with this mean and variance. ^ The second problem we study is that of the probability that a collection of motifs (of the …

Divide And Recombine: Autoregressive Models And Stl+, Xiang Han

Open Access Dissertations

In this thesis multiple methods are proposed and applied to the Akamai CIDR time series data. The Akamai network is one of the world's largest distributed-computing platforms, with more than 250,000 servers in more than 80 countries. It is responsible for 15-20 percent of all web traffic. We obtained 110 GB raw CIDR data over a 18 month period, collected on the Akamai network from November 2011 to April 2013. ^ The Seasonal-Trend Decomposition procedure based on loess (STL+) is used to model the CIDR series. Motivated by the CIDR series analysis, we propose a general prediction based model selection …

Spatial Marked Point Processes: Models And Inferences, Yen-Ning E Huang

Open Access Dissertations

A spatial marked point process describes the locations of randomly distributed events in a region, with a mark attached to each observed point. Nowadays, the availability of spatiotemporal data is increasing and many spatiotemporal models are studied with applications in a wide range of disciplines. Spatial marked point processes are then extended to spatiotemporal marked point processes if time component is taken into account. In general, the marks can be quantitative or categorical variables. Independence between points and marks is a convenient assumption, but may not be true in practice. Tests for independence between points and marks are proposed previously, …

The Tessera D&R Computational Environment: Designed Experiments For R-Hadoop Performance And Bitcoin Analysis, Jianfu Li

Open Access Dissertations

D&R is a statistical framework for the analysis of large complex data that enables feasible and practical analysis of large complex data. The analyst selects a division method to divide the data into subsets, applies an analytic method of the analysis to each subset independently with no communication among subsets, selects a recombination method that is applied to the outputs across subsets to form a result of the analytic method for the entire data. The computational tasking of D&R is nearly embarrassingly parallel, so D&R can readily exploit distributed, parallel computational environments, such as our D&R computational environment, Tessera.^ In …

Exploring The Relationship Between K-8 Prospective Teachers’ Algebraic Thinking Proficiency And The Questions They Pose During Diagnostic Algebraic Thinking Interviews, Leigh A. Van Den Kieboom, Marta T. Magiera, John C. Moyer

Mathematics, Statistics and Computer Science Faculty Research and Publications

In this study, we explored the relationship between prospective teachers’ algebraic thinking and the questions they posed during one-on-one diagnostic interviews that focused on investigating the algebraic thinking of middle school students. To do so, we evaluated prospective teachers’ algebraic thinking proficiency across 125 algebra-based tasks and we analyzed the characteristics of questions they posed during the interviews. We found that prospective teachers with lower algebraic thinking proficiency did not ask any probing questions. Instead, they either posed questions that simply accepted and affirmed student responses or posed questions that guided the students toward an answer without probing student thinking. …

Relatively Congruence-Free Regular Semigroups, Peter R. Jones

Mathematics, Statistics and Computer Science Faculty Research and Publications

Yu, Wang, Wu and Ye call a semigroup S τ -congruence-free, where τ is an equivalence relation on S, if any congruence ρ on S is either disjoint from τ or contains τ . A congruence-free semigroup is then just an ω-congruence-free semigroup, where ω is the universal relation. They determined the completely regular semigroups that are τ -congruence-free with respect to each of the Green’s relations. The goal of this paper is to extend their results to all regular semigroups. Such a semigroup is J –congruence-free if and only if it is either a semilattice or has …

Generalized Exponentiated Moment Exponential Distribution, Zafar Iqbal, Syed Anwer Hasnain, Muhammad Salman, Munir Ahmad, Gholamhossein Hamedani

Mathematics, Statistics and Computer Science Faculty Research and Publications

Moment distributions have a vital role in mathematics and statistics, in particular in probability theory, in the perspective research related to ecology, reliability, biomedical field, econometrics, survey sampling and in life-testing. Hasnain (2013) developed an exponentiated moment exponential (EME) distribution and discussed some of its important properties. In the present work, we propose a generalization of EME distribution which we call it generalized EME (GEME) distribution and develop various properties of the distribution. We also present characterizations of the distribution in terms of conditional expectation as well as based on hazard function of the GEME random variable.

Some Remarks On Recent Characterizations Of Continuous Distributions, Gholamhossein Hamedani

Mathematics, Statistics and Computer Science Faculty Research and Publications

We would closely look at two recent published papers dealing with characterizations of certain univariate continuous distributions. We shall explain that the main results reported lack important assumptions. These results nevertheless are based on the conditional expectations of monotone functions of the generalized order statistics. We will also mention that similar results have recently been reported without the assumption of monotonicity of the functions of the generalized order statistics.

Using Graphs To Characterize Nationwide Physician Referral Networks, Ding Tong, Shu-Xia Li, Isuru Ranasinghe, Sudhakar Nuti, Hongyu Zhao, Harlan Krumholz

Yale Day of Data

AIM:

Evaluating physician referral network characteristics can help to understand how physicians and hospitals interact to provide patient services within the US healthcare system and ultimately how this may influence patient outcomes.

METHOD:

We used the 2012-2013 national Physician Referral data from the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS), which consists of 73,071,804 pairs of referrals from one health provider to another in calendar year 2012 and the first two quarters of year 2013 within 30 days of care. These referrals are from 642,144 national-wide physicians and 4,811 hospitals. We obtained information for each provider, physician or hospital, from …

Stratified Meta-Analysis To Examine Data Biases In Lung Cancer Studies Of Refinery Workers, Sherman Selix

Yale Day of Data

Petroleum refineries employ a variety of workers who historically experienced different potentials for asbestos exposure depending on job tasks. Associations between petroleum refinery work and lung cancer related to occupational asbestos exposure have been quantified among various locations, corporations, and time periods. To combine the data from several individual refinery studies and examine an overall effect, a systematic review and stratified meta-analysis was employed. Using set search terms among four databases, 112 potential publications were identified, of which 29 qualified for meta-analysis. Risk estimates and confidence intervals were extracted from these publications to construct four separate datasets. Inverse variance weighting …

Online Targeted Learning, Mark J. Van Der Laan, Samuel D. Lendle

U.C. Berkeley Division of Biostatistics Working Paper Series

We consider the case that the data comes in sequentially and can be viewed as sample of independent and identically distributed observations from a fixed data generating distribution. The goal is to estimate a particular path wise target parameter of this data generating distribution that is known to be an element of a particular semi-parametric statistical model. We want our estimator to be asymptotically efficient, but we also want that our estimator can be calculated by updating the current estimator based on the new block of data without having to revisit the past data, so that it is computationally much …

Lung Flute Improves Symptoms And Health Status In Copd With Chronic Bronchitis: A 26 Week Randomized Controlled Trial, Sanjay Sethi, Jingjing Yin, Pamela K. Anderson

Biostatistics: Faculty Publications

Background: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is characterized by mucus hypersecretion that contributes to disease related morbidity and is associated with increased mortality. The Lung Flute® is a new respiratory device that produces a low frequency acoustic wave with moderately vigorous exhalation to increase mucus clearance. We hypothesized that the Lung Flute, used on a twice daily basis will provide clinical benefit to patients with COPD with chronic bronchitis.

Methods: We performed a 26 week randomized, non-intervention controlled, single center, open label trial in 69 patients with COPD and Chronic Bronchitis. The primary endpoint was change in respiratory symptoms measured …

Estimation Of The Overall Treatment Effect In The Presence Of Interference In Cluster-Randomized Trials Of Infectious Disease Prevention, Nicole Bohme Carnegie, Rui Wang, Victor De Gruttola

Harvard University Biostatistics Working Paper Series

No abstract provided.

Novel Image Markers For Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Classification And Survival Prediction, Hongyuan Wang, Fuyong Xing, Hai Su, Arnold J. Stromberg, Lin Yang

Statistics Faculty Publications

BACKGROUND: Non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), the most common type of lung cancer, is one of serious diseases causing death for both men and women. Computer-aided diagnosis and survival prediction of NSCLC, is of great importance in providing assistance to diagnosis and personalize therapy planning for lung cancer patients.

RESULTS: In this paper we have proposed an integrated framework for NSCLC computer-aided diagnosis and survival analysis using novel image markers. The entire biomedical imaging informatics framework consists of cell detection, segmentation, classification, discovery of image markers, and survival analysis. A robust seed detection-guided cell segmentation algorithm is proposed to accurately …

Computational Methods For Historical Research On Wikipedia’S Archives, Jonathan Cohen

e-Research: A Journal of Undergraduate Work

This paper presents a novel study of geographic information implicit in the English Wikipedia archive. This project demonstrates a method to extract data from the archive with data mining, map the global distribution of Wikipedia editors through geocoding in GIS, and proceed with a spatial analysis of Wikipedia use in metropolitan cities.

Cox Regression Models With Functional Covariates For Survival Data, Jonathan E. Gellar, Elizabeth Colantuoni, Dale M. Needham, Ciprian M. Crainiceanu

Johns Hopkins University, Dept. of Biostatistics Working Papers

We extend the Cox proportional hazards model to cases when the exposure is a densely sampled functional process, measured at baseline. The fundamental idea is to combine penalized signal regression with methods developed for mixed effects proportional hazards models. The model is fit by maximizing the penalized partial likelihood, with smoothing parameters estimated by a likelihood-based criterion such as AIC or EPIC. The model may be extended to allow for multiple functional predictors, time varying coefficients, and missing or unequally-spaced data. Methods were inspired by and applied to a study of the association between time to death after hospital discharge …

Alterations In Gene Array Patterns In Dendritic Cells From Aged Humans, Jia-Ning Cao, Anshu Agrawal, Edward Sharman, Zhenyu Jia, Sudhir Gupta

Statistics Faculty Research

Dendritic cells (DCs) are major antigen-presenting cells that play a key role in initiating and regulating innate and adaptive immune responses. DCs are critical mediators of tolerance and immunity. The functional properties of DCs decline with age. The purpose of this study was to define the age-associated molecular changes in DCs by gene array analysis using Affymatrix GeneChips. The expression levels of a total of 260 genes (1.8%) were significantly different (144 down-regulated and 116 upregulated) in monocyte-derived DCs (MoDCs) from aged compared to young human donors. Of the 260 differentially expressed genes, 24% were down-regulated by more than 3-fold, …