Statistics and Probability Commons^™

Spatial Epidemiology Of Birth Defects In The United States And The State Of Utah Using Geographic Information Systems And Spatial Statistics, Samson Y. Gebreab

All Graduate Theses and Dissertations, Spring 1920 to Summer 2023

Oral clefts are the most common form of birth defects in the United States (US) and the State of Utah has among the highest prevalence of oral clefts in the nation. The overall objective of this dissertation was to examine the spatial distribution of oral clefts and their linkage with a broad range of demographic, behavioral, social, economic, and environmental risk factors through the application of Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and spatial statistics. Using innovative linked micromaps plots, we investigated the geographic patterns of oral clefts occurrence from 1998 to 2002 and their relationships with maternal smoking rates and proportion …

Factors Affecting Reading Outcomes Across Time In Bureau Of Indian Education Reading First Schools, Heather J. Chapman

All Graduate Theses and Dissertations, Spring 1920 to Summer 2023

Regardless of age, background, or socioeconomic status, children must learn to read in order to be successful in school and in their future careers. Reading is an essential skill necessary to be successful in all other academic content areas. Despite the importance of this skill, American Indian children consistently score below the national average on tests of reading ability and reading comprehension. During recent years, many schools in the Bureau of Indian Education (BIE) system requested funding through the Reading First initiative. Schools used the funding and support provided by the BIE Reading First grant to attempt system-wide change at …

Three Essays On Environmental- And Spatial-Based Valuation Of Urban Land And Housing, Lu Liu

All Graduate Theses and Dissertations, Spring 1920 to Summer 2023

This dissertation attempts to provide a comprehensive examination on the non-market valuation of the effect of open space amenities and local public infrastructure on the value of urban land and housing with both spatial heterogeneity and project heterogeneity. The demand for raw land is a derived demand for housing built on it. Therefore, we need to examine the land market and the housing market together. On the one hand, we estimate the value of urban land in a market that does not satisfy the usual assumptions of a competitive market structure as well as incentive incompatibility issues for transaction participants, …

Goodness-Of-Fit And Change-Point Tests For Functional Data, Robertas Gabrys

All Graduate Theses and Dissertations, Spring 1920 to Summer 2023

A test for independence and identical distribution of functional observations is proposed in this thesis. To reduce dimension, curves are projected on the most important functional principal components. Then a test statistic based on lagged cross--covariances of the resulting vectors is constructed. We show that this dimension reduction step introduces asymptotically negligible terms, i.e. the projections behave asymptotically as iid vector--valued observations. A complete asymptotic theory based on correlations of random matrices, functional principal component expansions, and Hilbert space techniques is developed. The test statistic has X²-square asymptotic null distribution.

Two inferential tests for error correlation in the …

Statistical Analysis Of Linear Analog Circuits Using Gaussian Message Passing In Factor Graphs, Miti Phadnis

All Graduate Theses and Dissertations, Spring 1920 to Summer 2023

This thesis introduces a novel application of factor graphs to the domain of analog circuits. It proposes a technique of leveraging factor graphs for performing statistical yield analysis of analog circuits that is much faster than the standard Monte Carlo/Simulation Program With Integrated Circuit Emphasis (SPICE) simulation techniques. We have designed a tool chain to model an analog circuit and its corresponding factor graph and then use a Gaussian message passing approach along the edges of the graph for yield calculation. The tool is also capable of estimating unknown parameters of the circuit given known output statistics through backward message …

Investigations Of Variable Importance Measures Within Random Forests, Andrew C. Merrill

All Graduate Theses and Dissertations, Spring 1920 to Summer 2023

Random Forests (RF) (Breiman 2001; Breiman and Cutler 2004) is a completely nonparametric statistical learning procedure that may be used for regression analysis and. A feature of RF that is drawing a lot of attention is the novel algorithm that is used to evaluate the relative importance of the predictor/explanatory variables. Other machine learning algorithms for regression and classification, such as support vector machines and artificial neural networks (Hastie et al. 2009), exhibit high predictive accuracy but provide little insight into predictive power of individual variables. In contrast, the permutation algorithm of RF has already established a track record for …

Approximations To Continuous Processes In Hierarchical Models, Amanda Cangelosi

All Graduate Theses and Dissertations, Spring 1920 to Summer 2023

Models for natural nonlinear processes, such as population dynamics, have been given much attention in applied mathematics. For example, species competition has been extensively modeled by differential equations. Often, the scientist has preferred to model the underlying dynamical processes (i.e., theoretical mechanisms) in continuous-time. It is of both scientific and mathematical interest to implement such models in a statistical framework to quantify uncertainty associated with the models in the presence of observations. That is, given discrete observations arising from the underlying continuous process, the unobserved process can be formally described while accounting for multiple sources of uncertainty ( …

Small Sample Methods For The Analysis Of Clustered Binary Data, Lawrence J. Cook

All Graduate Theses and Dissertations, Spring 1920 to Summer 2023

There are several solutions for analysis of clustered binary data. However, the two most common tools in use today, generalized estimating equations and random effects or mixed models, rely heavily on asymptotic theory. However, in many situations, such as small or sparse samples, asymptotic assumptions may not be met. For this reason we explore the utility of the quadratic exponential model and conditional analysis to estimate the effect size of a trend parameter in small sample and sparse data settings. Further we explore the computational efficiency of two methods for conducting conditional analysis, the network algorithm and Markov chain Monte …

Generalized Minimum Penalized Hellinger Distance Estimation And Generalized Penalized Hellinger Deviance Testing For Generalized Linear Models: The Discrete Case, Huey Yan

All Graduate Theses and Dissertations, Spring 1920 to Summer 2023

In this dissertation, robust and efficient alternatives to quasi-likelihood estimation and likelihood ratio tests are developed for discrete generalized linear models. The estimation method considered is a penalized minimum Hellinger distance procedure that generalizes a procedure developed by Harris and Basu for estimating parameters of a single discrete probability distribution from a random sample. A bootstrap algorithm is proposed to select the weight of the penalty term. Simulations are carried out to compare the new estimators with quasi-likelihood estimation. The robustness of the estimation procedure is demonstrated by simulation work and by Hapel's α-influence curve. Penalized minimum Hellinger deviance tests …

On The Model Selection In A Frailty Setting, Jill F. Lundell

All Graduate Theses and Dissertations, Spring 1920 to Summer 2023

When analyzing data in a survival setting, whether of people or objects, one of the assumptions made is that the population is homogeneous. This is not true in reality and certain adjustments can be made in the model to account for heterogeneity. Frailty is one method of dealing with some of this heterogeneity. It is not possible to measure frailty directly and hence it can be very difficult to determine which frailty model is appropriate for the data in interest. This thesis investigates three model selection methods in their effectiveness at determining which frailty distribution best describes a given set …

Adaptive Density Estimation Based On The Mode Existence Test, Nizar Sami Jawhar

All Graduate Theses and Dissertations, Spring 1920 to Summer 2023

The kernel persists as the most useful tool for density estimation. Although, in general, fixed kernel estimates have proven superior to results of available variable kernel estimators, Minnotte's mode tree and mode existence test give us newfound hope of producing a useful adaptive kernel estimator that triumphs when the fixed kernel methods fail. It improves on the fixed kernel in multimodal distributions where the size of modes is unequal, and where the degree of separation of modes varies. When these latter conditions exist, they present a serious challenge to the best of fixed kernel density estimators. Capitalizing on the work …

Statistical Properties And Problems In Modeling The Bolivian Foreign Exchange Market, Gover Barja

All Graduate Theses and Dissertations, Spring 1920 to Summer 2023

The Bolivian foreign exchange market is explained in terms of the official and parallel exchange rates. The data covers the post hyper inflationary period from 1986 to 1992. The distribution of the rate of depreciation of the official and parallel exchange rates is long tailed and strongly departs from normality due to the existence of outliers. A market interactions model of the autoregressive kind is estimated using robust regression. This procedure produces M-parameter estimates using iteratively reweighted least squares. The robust method handles well the outlier problem and at the same time it reveals the true nature of the statistical …

Linear Operators Strongly Preserving Polynomial Equations Over Antinegative Semirings, Sang-Gu Lee

All Graduate Theses and Dissertations, Spring 1920 to Summer 2023

We characterized the group of linear operators that strongly preserve r-potent matrices over the binary Boolean semiring, nonbinary Boolean semirings, and zero-divisor free antinegative semirings. We extended these results to show that linear operators that strongly preserve r-potent matrices are equivalent to those linear operators that strongly preserve the matrix polynomial equation p(X) = X. where p(X) = X^r₁ + X^r₂ + ... + X^r_t and r₁>r₂>...>r_t≥2.

In addition, we characterized the group of linear operators that strongly preserve r-cyclic matrices over the same semirings. We …

A Comparison Of Estimation Procedures For The Beta Distribution, Huey Yan

All Graduate Theses and Dissertations, Spring 1920 to Summer 2023

The beta distribution may be used as a stochastic model for continuous proportions in many situations in applied statistics. This thesis was concerned with estimation of the parameters of the beta distribution in three different situations.

Three different estimation procedures-the method of moments, maximum likelihood, and a hybrid of these two methods, which we call the one-step improvement-were compared by computer simulation, for beta data and beta data contaminated by zeros and ones. We also evaluated maximum likelihood estimation in the context of censored data, and Newton's method as a numerical procedure for solving the likelihood equations …

Probability Of Discrete Failures, Weibull Distribution, Mary Jo Hansen

All Graduate Theses and Dissertations, Spring 1920 to Summer 2023

The intent of this research and these is to describe the development of a series of charts and tables that provide the individual and cumulative probabilities of failure applying to the Weibull statistical distribution. The mathematical relationships are developed and the computer programs are described for deterministic and Monte Carlo models that compute and verify the results. Charts and tables reflecting the probabilities of failure for a selected set of parameters of the Weibull distribution functions are provided.

Overall Life Satisfaction Of Ileostomates: Conventional Brooke Ileostomy Versus Modified Kock Pouch, Sandra Sisson Briscoe

All Graduate Theses and Dissertations, Spring 1920 to Summer 2023

The purpose of this thesis is to analyze various aspects of quality of life and to determine if there is a difference in quality of life offered by a conventional ileostomy versus a continent ileostomy.

An instrument was developed to measure several factors thought to influence quality of life as well as several structural/demographic variables. This instrument was designed for persons with a conventional ileostomy and was modified for persons who had undergone conversion surgery from conventional to continent ileostomy.

Analysis of variance was performed to determine differences in quality of life for persons with a conventional, conversion, or original …

Comparison Of Bootstrap With Other Tests For Several Distributions, Yu-Yu Wong

All Graduate Theses and Dissertations, Spring 1920 to Summer 2023

This paper discusses results of a computer simulation to investigate several different tests when sampling several distributions. The hypothesis H₀: μ=0 was tested against H₀: μ≠0, using the usual t-test, trimmed t-test, the Jackkinfe, the Bootstrap and signed-rank test. The p-values and empirical power show that the Bootstrap is as good as the t-test. The Jackknife procedure is too liberal, always obtaining small p-values. The signed-rank is a fairly good test if the data follows the Cauchy Distribution.

Parameter Estimation For Generalized Pareto Distribution, Der-Chen Lin

All Graduate Theses and Dissertations, Spring 1920 to Summer 2023

The generalized Pareto distribution was introduced by Pickands (1975). Three methods of estimating the parameters of the generalized Pareto distribution were compared by Hosking and Wallis (1987). The methods are maximum likelihood, method of moments and probability-weighted moments.

An alternate method of estimation for the generalized Pareto distribution, based on least square regression of expected order statistics (REOS), is developed and evaluated in this thesis. A Monte Carlo comparison is made between this method and the estimating methods considered by Hosking and Wallis (1987). This method is shown to be generally superior to the maximum likelihood, method of moments and …

Nonparametric Confidence Intervals For The Reliability Of Real Systems Calculated From Component Data, Jean Spooner

All Graduate Theses and Dissertations, Spring 1920 to Summer 2023

A methodology which calculates a point estimate and confidence intervals for system reliability directly from component failure data is proposed and evaluated. This is a nonparametric approach which does not require the component time to failures to follow a known reliability distribution.

The proposed methods have similar accuracy to the traditional parametric approaches, can be used when the distribution of component reliability is unknown or there is a limited amount of sample component data, are simpler to compute, and use less computer resources. Depuy et al. (1982) studied several parametric approaches to calculating confidence intervals on system reliability. The test …

A Test For Determining An Appropriate Model For Accelerated Life Data, Yuan-Who Chen

All Graduate Theses and Dissertations, Spring 1920 to Summer 2023

The purpose of this thesis was to evaluate a method for testing the appropriateness of accelerated life model. This method is based upon a polynomial approximation. The parameters are estimated and used for testing the appropriateness of the model.

An example illustrates the polynomial method. Real data are applied for this method. Comparison with another method demonstrates that the polynomial method is much simpler and has comparable accuracy.

A Comparison Of Rank And Bootstrap Procedures For Completely Randomized Designs With Jittering, Feng-Ling Lee

All Graduate Theses and Dissertations, Spring 1920 to Summer 2023

This paper discusses results of a computer simulation to investigate the effect of jittering to simulate measurement error. In addition, the classical F ratio, the bootstrap F and the F for ranked data are compared. Empirical powers and p-values suggest the bootstrap is a good and robust procedure and the rank procedure seems to be too liberal when compared to the classical F ratio.

Shamat: A Matrix Manipulation Program, Shahriyar Dadkhah

All Graduate Theses and Dissertations, Spring 1920 to Summer 2023

This report is both a users guide and a programmers manual for running and modifying the program SHAMAT, an interactive matrix calculator. The program is written in Turbo Pascal version 3.0 for MS-DOS computers. This software enables the user to type in matrix equations for solving statistical problems such as multiple regression, analysis of variance, etc. All matrix operations necessary for linear models analysis are included in this program. Since each operation uses a separate subroutine, program enhancement, modification and updating is demonstrated to be easy.

Data Analysis Using Experimental Design Model Factorial Analysis Of Variance/Covariance (Dmaovc.Bas), Wesley E. Newton

All Graduate Theses and Dissertations, Spring 1920 to Summer 2023

DMAOVC.BAS is a computer program written in the compiler version of microsoft basic which performs factorial analysis of variance/covariance with expected mean squares. The program accommodates factorial and other hierarchical experimental designs with balanced sets of data. The program is writ ten for use on most modest sized microprocessors, in which the compiler is available. The program is parameter file driven where the parameter file consists of the response variable structure, the experimental design model expressed in a similar structure as seen in most textbooks, information concerning the factors (i.e. fixed or random, and the number of levels), and necessary …

Unbalanced Analysis Of Variance Comparing Standard And Proposed Approximation Techniques For Estimating The Variance Components, James P. Pugsley

All Graduate Theses and Dissertations, Spring 1920 to Summer 2023

This paper considers the estimation of the components of variation for a two-factor unbalanced nested design and compares standard techniques with proposed approximation procedures. Current procedures are complicated and assume the unbalanced sample size to be fixed. This paper tests some simpler techniques, assuming sample sizes are random variables. Monte Carlo techniques were used to generate data for testing of these new procedures.

Correction Of Bias In Estimating Autocovariance Function, Len-Hong Wu

All Graduate Theses and Dissertations, Spring 1920 to Summer 2023

The purpose of this thesis was to evaluate a method for reducing the bias of estimation for autocovariance estimators. Two methods are compared, one is the standard method and the other is an adjustment method. The Monte Carlo method is used within comparison.

The bias and the mean squared error of the estimated autocovariance is computed for several time series models and two variations of the adjustment method of estimation. The results indicate some improvement in bias and mean squared error for the new method.

The Use Of Contingency Table Analysis As A Robust Technique For Analysis Of Variance, Mei-Eing Chiu

All Graduate Theses and Dissertations, Spring 1920 to Summer 2023

The purpose of this paper is to compare Analysis of Variance with Contingency Table Analysis when the data being analyzed do not satisfy Analysis of Variance assumptions. The criteria for comparison are the powers of the Standard variance-ratio and the Chi-square test.

The test statistic and powers were obtained by Monte Carlo.

1. Calculate test statistic for each of 100 trials, this process was repeated 12 times. Each time different combination of means and variances were used.

2. Powers were obtained for each of 12 combinations of means and variances.

Whether Analysis of Variance or Contingency Table Analysis is a …

Least Squares Estimation Of The Pareto Type I And Ii Distribution, Ching-Hua Chien

All Graduate Theses and Dissertations, Spring 1920 to Summer 2023

The estimation of the Pareto distribution can be computationally expensive and the method is badly biased. In this work, an improved Least Squares derivation is used and the estimation will be less biased. Numerical examples and figures are provided so that one may observe the solution more clearly. Furthermore, by varying the different methods of estimation, a comparing of the estimators of the parameters is given. The improved Least Squares derivation is confidently employed for it is economic and efficient.

Parameter Estimation In Nonstationary M/M/S Queueing Models, Pensri Vajanaphanich

All Graduate Theses and Dissertations, Spring 1920 to Summer 2023

If either the arrival rate or the service rate in an M/M/S queue exhibit variability over time, then no steady state solution is available for examining the system behavior. The arrival and service rates can be represented through Fourier series approximations. This permits numerical approximation of the system characteristics over time.

An example of an M/M/S representation of the operations of emergency treatment at Logan Regional hospital is presented. It requires numerical integration of the differential equation for L(t), the expected number of customers in the system at time t.

Linear Regression Of The Poisson Mean, Duane Steven Brown

All Graduate Theses and Dissertations, Spring 1920 to Summer 2023

The purpose of this thesis was to compare two estimation procedures, the method of least squares and the method of maximum likelihood, on sample data obtained from a Poisson distribution. Point estimates of the slope and intercept of the regression line and point estimates of the mean squared error for both the slope and intercept were obtained. It is shown that least squares, the preferred method due to its simplicity, does yield results as good as maximum likelihood.

Also, confidence intervals were computed by Monte Carlo techniques and then were tested for accuracy. For the method of least squares, confidence …

Explanation Of The Fast Fourier Transform And Some Applications, Alan Kazuo Endo

All Graduate Theses and Dissertations, Spring 1920 to Summer 2023

This report describes the Fast Fourier Transform and some of its applications. It describes the continuous Fourier transform and some of its properties. Finally, it describes the Fast Fourier Transform and its applications to hurricane risk analysis, ocean wave analysis, and hydrology.