Statistics and Probability Commons^™

The Robustness Of Factor Analyses When The Data Does Not Conform To Standard Parametric Requirements, Haisong Peng

All Graduate Plan B and other Reports, Spring 1920 to Spring 2023

Objective: To access the robustness of factor analyses when the data does not conform to standard parametric requirements.

Methods: Data were simulated in package R. Maximum likelihood was used to fit and assess the factor models. Chi-square statistics were obtained to test hypotheses about the correct number of factors in simulated settings where the true number of factors was known. The number of true factors varied between 1 and 3; the number of observed variables was either 6 (for 1 factor) or 3 per factor for 2 or more factors.

Results: With standard normal factor populations, and normal errors added …

Optimal Path Planning And The Fast Marching Method, J. J. Clark

All Graduate Plan B and other Reports, Spring 1920 to Spring 2023

The problem of determining an optimal path for an object moving through some obstacle space presents several nontrivial subproblems. The foremost being the computational complexity that is involved and how to best deal with the associated large data volume. For example, a non-symmetric object moving in three dimensions possesses six degrees of freedom. This can lead to a computational grid that may easily be on the order of 10¹². Furthermore, for every point in the computational domain, several complex calculations must be performed. These include performing tests to determine if the object and obstacles intersect, and numerically solving …

Detection Of Changes In Financial Time Series, Rich Madsen

All Graduate Plan B and other Reports, Spring 1920 to Spring 2023

The purpose of this paper is to examine and model data from several years of foreign currency trading, to determine if one or more change points has occured in the data, and to estimate when those change points took place. Leading up to the analysis of the data we will construct and develop several statistics which we will use to determine if a change point has occured.

This paper falls into the area of computational statistics and will make use of Splus and the S+GARCH module within Splus. Heavy use will also be made of C++. The models that we …

Analysis Of A Non-Replicated Split-Split Plot Experiment, Emily Simmons Sim

All Graduate Plan B and other Reports, Spring 1920 to Spring 2023

A major obstacle in the analysis of experimental data, in many situations, is the lack of "true" or "complete" replication. In some disciplines, researchers are very aware of the importance of replication and the methods for correctly replicating an experiment. In other subject areas, however, researchers are less aware of what it means to properly replicate an experiment. Due to this lack of awareness, many non-replicated experiments are carried out every year. For many of these non-replicated experiments, there is no satisfactory statistical analysis.

The subject of this report is the analysis of two non-replicated experiments in environmental engineering. First, …

Computer Program Generation Of Extreme Value Distribution Data, Stephen (Wan-Tsing) Lei

All Graduate Plan B and other Reports, Spring 1920 to Spring 2023

The application of the Monte Carlo method on the estimation in Gumbel extreme value distribution was studied. The Gumbel extreme value distribution is used to estimate the flood flow of specific return period for the design of flood mitigation project. This paper is a programming effort (1) to estimate the parameters of Gumbel distribution using the observed data and (2) to provide a random variate generating subroutine to generate random samples and order statistics of a Gumbel distribution random variable. The mean squared error is used to measure the accuracy of the estimation method. Finally, an example of the use …

Monte Carlo Simulation Of The Game Of Twenty-One, Douglas E. Loer

All Graduate Plan B and other Reports, Spring 1920 to Spring 2023

The purpose of this paper is to demonstrate the application of computer simulation to the game of Twenty-One to predict a player's expected return from the game. Twenty-One has traditionally been one of the most popular casino games and has attracted much effort to accurately estimate the house's true advantage. Probability theory has been tried, but the thousands of different combinations of cards possible in all hands throughout the entire pack make it practically impossible to apply probability theory without overlooking some possibilities. For this reason, Twenty-One is a perfect candidate for simulation. By blocking several simulations, normal theory can …

Comparison Of Bootstrap And Jacknife Statistical Procedures, Amanuel Gobena

All Graduate Plan B and other Reports, Spring 1920 to Spring 2023

This report compares the bootstrapping to jacknifing statistical procedures in terms in bias, confidence interval and estimation of median. Related literature have been reviewed. A bootstrap allows a researcher to get an approximation to the distribution of possibly complicated statistical summaries. It is based on random sampling with replacement from experimental units. Jacknife has also been in operation prior to bootstrapping statistical procedure. The jacknife divides the data into subgroups and obtains partial estimates of these subgroups by omitting one subgroup at a time. When both of these statistical resampling procedures are compared the bootstrap has less bias, more accurate …

Multiple Shooting, Monique St-Maurice

All Graduate Plan B and other Reports, Spring 1920 to Spring 2023

The purpose of this report was to study the Multiple Shooting method, a numerical method to solve boundary value ordinary differential equation. A FORTRAN program was written to solve the specific problem.

y'' = -y, y(0) = 0, y(π/2) = 1

on a microcomputer, using the microsoft FORTRAN compiler and the 8087 coprocessor.

Nonparametric Analysis Of Right Censored Data With Multiple Comparisons, Hwei-Weng Shih

All Graduate Plan B and other Reports, Spring 1920 to Spring 2023

This report demonstrates the use of a computer program written in FORTRAN for the Burroughs B6800 computer at Utah State University to perform Breslow's (1970) generalization of the Kruskal-Wallis test for right censored data. A pairwise multiple comparison procedure using Bonferroni's inequality is also introduced and demonstrated. Comparisons are also made with a parametric F test and the original Kruskal-Wallis test. Application of these techniques to two data sets indicate that there is little difference among the procedures with the F test being slightly more liberal (too many differences) and the Kruskal-Wallis test corrected for ties being slightly more conservative …

The Frobenius Theorem, Hiroshi Nagao

All Graduate Plan B and other Reports, Spring 1920 to Spring 2023

Many theorems in differential geometry which deal with the existence of certain geometrical structures or properties depend upon various existence and uniqueness theorems for differential equations. Because of its wide range of applications one of the most important of these theorems is the Frobenius Theorem for systems of total differential equations. There are four different forms of the Frobenius Theorem. In applications of the theorem one form is often preferable to the others. In this report we -shall prove the Frobenius Theorem, establish the equivalence of these various forms, and discuss a few applications.

Factorial Analysis Of Variance And Covariance On A Minicomputer, Ladonna Black Kemmerle

All Graduate Plan B and other Reports, Spring 1920 to Spring 2023

Statistical analysis of large data sets is commonly performed on computers using one of the many available programs. Most of these programs have been written for computers with internal storage large enough to handle nearly any data set. Recently, however, there has been a trend to computers with more limited storage capabilities. New programs must be written or old programs adapted so that large data sets may also be analyzed on these smaller machines.

This report describes a program to analyze data from a balanced experiment of crossed and/or nested design. It was written for the Data General Nova minicomputer …

A Discussion Of An Empirical Bayes Multiple Comparison Technique, Donna Baranowski

All Graduate Plan B and other Reports, Spring 1920 to Spring 2023

This paper considers the application and comparison of Bayesian and nonBayesian multiple comparison techniques applied to sets of chemical analysis data. Suggestions are also made as to which methods should be used.

The Evolution Of Ibm's Information Management System-- A Significant Data Base/Data Communications Software Product, Brent W. Anderson

All Graduate Plan B and other Reports, Spring 1920 to Spring 2023

In the early 1970's it was said that data base management systems (DBMS) would be to the 70's what COBOL was to the 60's. Clearly, recognition of the need to manage and effectively utilize data has resulted in significant efforts to develop computer hardware and software to meet this great challenge.

Comparison Of The Fisher's Method Of Randomization With Other Tests Based On Ranks And The F-Test, Francisco J. González

All Graduate Plan B and other Reports, Spring 1920 to Spring 2023

Classical statistical inference methods (parametric methods) have a common denominator, i.e. a population para meter (μ, o, n) about which we wish to draw inferences from a random sample. R) are selected. Point estimators of the parameters (X, S, Their sampling distribution is used to construct hypothesis testing decision rules or, confidence interval formulas. This is the reason for calling this method of obtaining inferences a parametric method. They are based on knowing the distribution of the population random variable from which the sampling distribution of the point estimator is determined. In addition, it is generally assumed that the population, …

Estimation Of Μy Using The General Regression Model (In Sampling), Michael R. Manieri

All Graduate Plan B and other Reports, Spring 1920 to Spring 2023

The methods of ratio and regression estimators discussed by Cochran(l977) are given as background materials and extended to the estimation of µy, the population mean of the Y's, using a general regression model.

The propagation of error technique given by Deming(l948) is used as an approximation to find the variance of the estimator µy.

Examples are given for each of the various models. Variances of μy are calculated and compared

Factor Analysis Method, Stephen Hauwah Kan

All Graduate Plan B and other Reports, Spring 1920 to Spring 2023

The logical steps performed when doing a factor analysis can be classified into three operation s. The first step concerns the exact mode of analysis and involves the type of centering, scaling and formation o f sums of squares . The second step involves extraction of initial factors. The algebraic basis of the factors are rotated in the last step to obtain a more easily interpreted set of factors. At each step several different methods have been suggested and appear in the literature. Two primary modes of factor analysis are commonly used an d they are denoted as R-mode and …

Specific Hypotheses In Linear Models And Their Power Function In Unbalanced Data, Seyed Mohtaba Taheri

All Graduate Plan B and other Reports, Spring 1920 to Spring 2023

A hypothesis is a statement or claim about the state of nature. Scientific investigators, market researchers, governmental decision makers, among others, will often have hypotheses about the particular facet of nature, hypotheses that need verification or rejection, for one purpose or another. Statisticians concerned with testing hypotheses using unbalanced data on the basis of linear models have talked about the difficulties involved for many years but, probably because the problems are not easily resolved, there is yet no satisfactory solution to these problems

Evaluation Of An Experiment After Analysis Of Variance, Abdullah Sulaiman Atheem

All Graduate Plan B and other Reports, Spring 1920 to Spring 2023

If experimental data are obtained according to an experimental design for which analysis of variance (AOV) is appropriate, the result of the analysis is one of the following decisions:

1. A significant difference exists among treatment effects.

2. No significant difference exists.

Interpretation in the first case has been studied very thoroughly by many statisticians resulting, for example, in the multiple comparison procedure. Too often, in the second case, the AOV analysis is thought to be completed with no further attempt to interpret a nonsignificant outcome.

Of the many possible explanations for significance in the first case, the multiple comparison …

An Empirical Comparison Of Confidence Interval For Relative Potency, Catherine H. Lung

All Graduate Plan B and other Reports, Spring 1920 to Spring 2023

Biological assays are essentially biological experiments. To compare the potencies of treatments on an agreed scale is generally of more interest than to compare the magnitude of effects of different treatments.

The relative potency, R = a/b, is defined as the ratio of the means of two equally effective doses where a is the mean of A and bis the mean of B. It is an estimate of the potency of one preparation, A, relative to that of the other, B.

Different procedures have been proposed to obtain the values of R and its confidence interval. Three of the these …

Linear Comparisons In Multivariate Analysis Of Variance, Hsin-Ming Tzeng

All Graduate Plan B and other Reports, Spring 1920 to Spring 2023

The analysis of variance was created by Ronald Fisher in 1923. It is most widely used and basically useful approach to study differences among treatment averages.

Multivariate Analysis Of Variance For Simple Designs, Yin-Yin Chen

All Graduate Plan B and other Reports, Spring 1920 to Spring 2023

The analysis of variance is a well known tool for testing how treatments change the average response of experimental units. The essence of the procedure is to compare the variation among means of groups of units subjected to the same treatment with the within treatment variation. If the variation among means is large with respect to the within group variation we are likely to conclude that the treatments caused the variation and hence we say the treatments cause some change in the group means.

The usual analysis of variance checks how far apart the group means are in a single …

Program For Missing Data In The Multivariate Normal Distribution, Chi-Ping Lu

All Graduate Plan B and other Reports, Spring 1920 to Spring 2023

Missing data can often cause many problems in research work. Therefore for carrying out analysis, some procedure for obtaining estimates in the presence of missing data should be applied. Various theories and techniques have been developed for different types of problems.

Analysis of the Multivariate Normal Distribution with missing data is one of the areas studied. It has been discussed earlier by Wilkes (1932), Lord (1955), Edgett (1956) and Hartley (1958). They have established some basic concepts and an outline in the way of estimation.

In the last ten years, A. A. Afifi and R. M. Elasfoff also have contributed …

Discriminant Function Analysis, Kuo Hsiung Su

All Graduate Plan B and other Reports, Spring 1920 to Spring 2023

The technique of discriminant function analysis was originated by R.A. Fisher and first applied by Barnard (1935). Two very useful summaries of the recent work in this technique can be found in Hodges (1950) and in Tosuoka and Tiedeman (1954). The techniques have been used primarily in the fields of anthropology, psychology, biology, medicine, and education, and have only begun to be applied to other fields in recent years.

Classification and discriminant function analyses are two phases in the attempt to predict which of several populations an observation might be a member of, on the basis of multivariate measurements. Both …

An Evaluation Of Bartlett's Chi-Square Approximation For The Determinant Of A Matrix Of Sample Zero-Order Correlation Coefficients, Stephen M. Hattori

All Graduate Plan B and other Reports, Spring 1920 to Spring 2023

The single equation least-squares regression model has been extensively studied by economists and statisticians alike in order to determine the problems which arise when particular assumptions are violated. Much literature is available in terms of the properties and limitations of the model. However, on the multicollinearity problem, there has been little research, and consequently, limited literature is available when the problem is encountered. Farrar & Glauber (1967) present a collection of techniques to use in order to detect or diagnose the occurrence of multicollinearity within a regression analysis. They attempt to define multicollinearity in terms of departures from a hypothesized …

The Computation Of Eigenvalues And Eigenvectors Of An Nxn Real General Matrix, Yeh-Hao Ma

All Graduate Plan B and other Reports, Spring 1920 to Spring 2023

The eigenvalues of the matrix eigenproblem Ax = λx are computed by the QR double-step method and the eigenvectors by inverse power method.

The matrix A is preliminarily scaled by the equilibration and normalization procedure. The scaled matrix is then reduced to an upper-Hessenberg form by Householder's method. The QR double-step iteration is performed on the upper-Hessenberg matrix. After all the eigenvalues are found, the inverse power method is performed on the upper-Hessenberg matrix to obtain the corresponding eigenvectors.

The program consists of five subroutines which is able to find real and/or complex eigen value/vector of an nxn real matrix.

Principal Component Factor Analysis, Kuang-Ming Chu

All Graduate Plan B and other Reports, Spring 1920 to Spring 2023

The principal-factor solution is probably the most widely used technique in factor analysis and a relatively straight forward method to determine the minimum number of independent dimensions needed to account for most of the variance in the original set of variables.

The principal components approach to parsimony was first proposed by Karl Pearson (1901) who studied the problem for the case of nonstochastic variables, and in a different context. Hotelling provided the full development of the method (1933) and Thomson (1947) was the first to apply it to the principal factor analysis.

This method was first developed to deal with …

Determining Sample Size For A Control Chart, Shu-Yang Catherine Jean

All Graduate Plan B and other Reports, Spring 1920 to Spring 2023

The essential tool in statistical quality control is the control chart. In spite of the apparent simplicity of the control chart, most engineers, production men, and inspectors find that its use calls for an entirely new point of view. The power of this technique lies in its ability to separate out assignable causes of quality variation. This makes possible the diagnosis and correction of many production troubles and often brings substantial improvements in product quality and reduction of spoilage and rework. The control chart tells when to leave a process alone and thus prevents unnecessarily frequent adjustments that tend to …

Matrix Norms, I-Hui C. Cheng

All Graduate Plan B and other Reports, Spring 1920 to Spring 2023

In many situations it is very useful to have a single nonnegative real number to be, in some sense, the measure of the size of a vector or a matrix. As a matter of fact we do a similiar thing with scalars, we let jÀj represent the familiar absolute value or modulus of À. Fora vector x e: C , one way n of assigning magnitude is the usual definition of length, Il I 1/2 2 1/2 xl= = {jxij } , which is called the euclidean norm of x. In this case, length gives an overall estimate of the …

Computer Programs Supporting The Teaching Of Statistics, Chien-Hwa Liu

All Graduate Plan B and other Reports, Spring 1920 to Spring 2023

During the past few years there has been an increasing interest in developing computer packages to enhance the teaching of elementary statistics. The conventional ways of teaching statistics have used such devices as desk calculators, tables of functions, short-cut calculating formulas and electronic calculators, etc. to manipulate the involved computations. Electronic computers, in the past decade, have been broadly used in universities and colleges in many ways. It is only natural to extend the use of computers to the teaching function. Remote terminals can now be installed in any classroom and bring the computer to the students.

A Monte Carlo Comparison Of Nonparametric Reliability Estimators, Jia-Jinn Yueh

All Graduate Plan B and other Reports, Spring 1920 to Spring 2023

It is very difficult to construct a reliability model for a complex system. However, the reliability model for a series configuration is relatively simple. In the simplest case in which the components are mutually independent, the system reliability can be represented as follows:

R_s(x) = ∑ⁿ_i=1R_i(x),

where R_i is the reliability for the i^th component. It is also known that for moderate levels of system reliability for large systems, the component reliability must be high.

Extreme Value Theory indicates that under very general conditions, the initial form of the distribution function …