Statistics and Probability Commons^™

A Robust One-Sided Variability Control Chart, P. Borysov, Ping Sa

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A new control charting technique to monitor the variability of any distribution is proposed. The simulation study shows that the new method outperforms all the existing methods in controlling the Type I error rates and it also has good power performance for all distributions considered in the study.

A Test That Combines Frequency And Quantitative Information, Norman Cliff

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

In many simple designs, observed frequencies in subclasses defined by a qualitative variable are compared to the frequencies expected on the basis of population proportions, design parameters or models. Often there is a quantitative variable which may be affected in the same way as the frequencies. Its differences among the groups may also be analyzed. A simple test is described that combines the effects on the frequencies and on the quantitative variable based on comparing the sums of the values for the quantitative value within each group to the random expectation. The sampling variance of the difference is derived and …

Comparing The Strength Of Association Of Two Predictors Via Smoothers Or Robust Regression Estimators, Rand R. Wilcox

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Consider three random variables, Y , X₁ and X₂, having some unknown trivariate distribution and let n²_j (j = 1, 2) be some measure of the strength of association between Y and X_j. When n²_j is taken to be Pearson’s correlation numerous methods for testing H_o : n²₁ = n²₂ have been proposed. However, Pearson’s correlation is not robust and the methods for testing H₀ are not level robust in general. This article examines methods for testing H₀ based on a robust fit. The …

Bias In Monte Carlo Simulations Due To Pseudo-Random Number Generator Initial Seed Selection, Jack C. Hill, Shlomo S. Sawilowsky

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Pseudo-random number generators can bias Monte Carlo simulations of the standard normal probability distribution function with initial seeds selection. Five generator designs were initial-seeded with values from 10000_HEX to 1FFFF_HEX, estimates of the mean were calculated for each seed, the distribution of mean estimates was determined for each generator and simulation histories were graphed for selected seeds.

New Perspectives In Applying The Regression-Discontinuity Design For Program Evaluation: A Simulation Analysis, Sally A. Lesik

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Evaluating educational programs is a core component of assessment. One challenge occurs because participants often enter into programs with diverse skills and backgrounds. The regression-discontinuity design has been used to evaluate programs amongst a diverse group, but noncompliance is a limitation. A simulation analysis illustrates the impact of noncompliance.

Information Technology For Increasing Qualitative Information Processing Efficiency, S. N. Martyshenko, E. A. Egorov

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The problem of qualitative information processing in questionnaires is considered and a solution for this problem is offered. The computer technology developed by the authors to automate the offered decision is described.

General Piecewise Growth Mixture Model: Word Recognition Development For Different Learners In Different Phases, Amery D. Wu, Bruno D. Zumbo, Linda S. Siegel

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The General Piecewise Growth Mixture Model (GPGMM), without losing generality to other fields of study, can answer six crucial research questions regarding children’s word recognition development. Using child word recognition data as an example, this study demonstrates the flexibility and versatility of the GPGMM in investigating growth trajectories that are potentially phasic and heterogeneous. The strengths and limitations of the GPGMM and lessons learned from this hands-on experience are discussed.

A Simulation Study Of The Relative Efficiency Of The Minimized Integrated Square Error Estimator (L2e) For Phase I Control Charting, John N. Dyer

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Parameter estimates used in control charting, the sample mean and variance, are based on maximum likelihood estimation (MLE). Unfortunately, MLEs are not robust to contaminated data and can lead to improper conclusions regarding parameter values. This article proposes a more robust estimation technique; the minimized integrated square error estimator (L2E).

Maximum Likelihood Solution For The Linear Structural Relationship With Three Parameters Known, Androulla Michaeloudis

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A maximum likelihood solution is obtained for the simple linear structural relation model where the underlying incidental distribution and one error variance are assumed known. Expressions for the asymptotic standard errors of the maximum likelihood estimates are obtained and these are verified using a simulation study.

Logistic Regression Models For Higher Order Transition Probabilities Of Markov Chain For Analyzing The Occurrences Of Daily Rainfall Data, Narayan Chanra Sinha, M. Ataharul Islam, Kazi Saleh Ahamed

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Logistic regression models for transition probabilities of higher order Markov models are developed for the sequence of chain dependent repeated observations. To identify the significance of these models and their parameters a test procedure for a likelihood ratio criterion is developed. A method of model selection is suggested on the basis of AIC and BIC procedures. The proposed models and test procedures are applied to analyze the occurrences of daily rainfall data for selected stations in Bangladesh. Based on results from these models, the transition probabilities of first order Markov model for temperature and humidity provided the most suitable option …

Number Of Replications Required In Monte Carlo Simulation Studies: A Synthesis Of Four Studies, Daniel J. Mundform, Jay Schaffer, Myoung-Jin Kim, Dale Shaw, Ampai Thongteeraparp, Pornsin Supawan

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Monte Carlo simulations are used extensively to study the performance of statistical tests and control charts. Researchers have used various numbers of replications, but rarely provide justification for their choice. Currently, no empirically-based recommendations regarding the required number of replications exist. Twenty-two studies were re-analyzed to determine empirically-based recommendations.

Matched-Pair Studies With Misclassified Ordinal Data, Tze-San Lee

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The problem of matched-pair studies with misclassified ordinal data is considered. Misclassification is assumed to occur only between the adjacent columns/rows. Bias-adjusted generalized odds ratio and a test for marginal homogeneity are presented to account for misclassification bias. Data from lambing records of 227 Merino ewes are used to illustrate how to calculate these bias-adjusted estimators and – because validation data are not available – a sensitivity analysis is conducted.

A Robust Root Mean Square Standardized Effect Size In One-Way Fixed-Effects Anova, Guili Zhang, James Algina

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A robust Root Mean Square Standardized Effect Size (RMSSER) was developed to address the unsatisfactory performance of the Root Mean Square Standardized Effect Size. The coverage performances of the confidence intervals (CI) for RMSSE_R were investigated. The coverage probabilities of the non-central F distribution-based CI for RMSSER were adequate.

The Overall F-Tests For Seasonal Unit Roots Under Nonstationary Alternatives: Some Theoretical Results And A Monte Carlo Investigation, Ghassen El Montasser

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

In many empirical studies concerning seasonal time series, it has been shown that the whole set of unit roots associated with seasonal random walks are not present. This article focuses on the overall F-tests for seasonal unit roots under some nonstationary alternatives different from the seasonal random walk. The asymptotic theory of these tests is established for these cases using a new approach based on circulant matrix concepts. The simulation results joined to this theoretic analysis showed that the overall F-tests, as well as their augmented versions, maintained high power against the nonstationary alternatives.

Weighting Large Datasets With Complex Sampling Designs: Choosing The Appropriate Variance Estimation Method, Sara Mann, James Chowhan

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Using the Canadian Workplace and Employee Survey (WES), three variance estimation methods for weighting large datasets with complex sampling designs are compared: simple final weighting, standard bootstrapping and mean bootstrapping. Using a logit analysis, it is shown - depending on which weighting method is used - different predictor variables are significant. The potential lack of independence inherent in a multi-stage cluster sample design, as in the WES, results in a downward bias in the variance when conducting statistical inference (using the simple final weight), which in turn results in increased Type I errors. Bootstrap methods can account for the survey’s …

Using Finite Mixture Modeling To Deal With Systematic Measurement Error: A Case Study, Min Liu, Gregory R. Hancock, Jeffrey R. Harring

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Conventional methods and analyses view measurement error as random. A scenario is presented where a variable was measured with systematic error. Mixture models with systematic parameter constraints were used to test hypotheses in the context of general linear models; this accommodated the heterogeneity arising due to systematic measurement error.

Estimating Internal Consistency Using Bayesian Methods, Miguel A. Padilla, Guili Zhang

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Bayesian internal consistency and its Bayesian credible interval (BCI) are developed and Bayesian internal consistency and its percentile and normal theory based BCIs were investigated in a simulation study. Results indicate that the Bayesian internal consistency is relatively unbiased under all investigated conditions and the percentile based BCIs yielded better coverage performance.

Self Learning Strategies For Experimental Design And Response Surface Optimization, Adel Alaeddini

Wayne State University Dissertations

Most preset RSM designs offer ease of implementation and good performance over a wide range of process and design optimization applications. These designs often lack the ability to adapt the design based on the characteristics of application and experimental space so as to reduce the number of experiments necessary. Hence, they are not cost effective for applications where the cost of experimentation is high or when the experimentation resources are limited. In this dissertation, we present a number of self-learning strategies for optimization of different types of response surfaces for industrial experiments with noise, high experimentation cost, and requiring high …

Approximate Vs. Monte Carlo Critical Values For The Winsorized T-Test, Michael Lance

Wayne State University Dissertations

Historically, it has been accepted practice for critical values for the Winsorized t test for independent samples to be based on adjusted degrees of freedom depending on the number of total non-Winsorized (approximate) values. Recently, a new such table of Winsorized critical values has been developed via approximate randomization by Monte Carlo simulation.

Based on eight common data distributions estimated from Psychology and Education along with the normal and five Mathematical distributions, these two tables of values were compared with respect to robustness to types I and II errors through Monte Carlo simulations for one and 10% Winsorized values per …

A Comparison Of The Effects Of Non-Normal Distributions On Tests Of Equivalence, Linda Ellington

Wayne State University Dissertations

Statistical theory and its application provide the foundation to modern systematic inquiry in the behavioral, physical and social sciences disciplines (Fisher, 1958; Wilcox, 1996). It provides the tools for scholars and researchers to operationalize constructs, describe populations, and measure and interpret the relations between populations and variables (Weinbach & Grinnell, 1997; Wilcox, 1996). Given that the majority of real data analysis in the behavioral and social sciences is comprised of non-normally distributed data, it is important that researchers be aware of the effects of non-normal distributions on the probability of detecting equivalence between populations.

The present study examined the effects …

Generalized Variances Ratio Test For Comparing K Covariance Matrices From Dependent Normal Populations, Marcelo Angelo Cirillo, Daniel Furtado Ferreira, Thelma Sáfadi, Eric Batista Ferreira

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

New tests based on the ratio of generalized variances are presented to compare covariance matrices from dependent normal populations. Monte Carlo simulation concluded that the tests considered controlled the Type I error, providing empirical probabilities that were consistent with the nominal level stipulated.

A Ga-Based Sales Forecasting Model Incorporating Promotion Factors, Li-Chih Wang, Chin-Lien Wang

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Because promotions are critical factors highly related to product sales of consumer packaged goods (CPG) companies, predictors concerning sales forecast of CPG products must take promotions into consideration. Decomposition regression incorporating contextual factors offers a method for exploiting both reliability of statistical forecasting and flexibility of judgmental forecasting employing domain knowledge. However, it suffers from collinearity causing poor performance in variable identification and parameter estimation with traditional ordinary least square (OLS). Empirical research evidence shows that - in the case of collinearity - in variable identification, parameter estimation, and out of sample forecasting, genetic algorithms (GA) as an estimator outperform …

Estimating The Non-Existent Mean And Variance Of The F-Distribution By Simulation, Hamid Reza Kamali, Parisa Shahnazari-Shahrezaei

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

In theory, all moments of some probability distributions do not necessarily exist. In the other words, they may be infinite or undefined. One of these distributions is the F-distribution whose mean and variance have not been defined for the second degree of freedom less than 3 and 5, respectively. In some cases, a large statistical population having an F-distribution may exist and the aim is to obtain its mean and variance which are an estimation of the non-existent mean and variance of F-distribution. This article considers a large sample F-distribution to estimate its non-existent mean and variance using Simul8 simulation …

Ridge Regression Based On Some Robust Estimators, Hatice Samkar, Ozlem Alpu

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Robust ridge methods based on M, S, MM and GM estimators are examined in the presence of multicollinearity and outliers. GMWalker, using the LS estimator as the initial estimator is used. S and MM estimators are also used as initial estimators with the aim of evaluating the two alternatives as biased robust methods.

A Flexible Method For Testing Independence In Two-Way Contingency Tables, Peyman Jafari, Noori Akhtar-Danesh, Zahra Bagheri

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A flexible approach for testing association in two-way contingency tables is presented. It is simple, does not assume a specific form for the association and is applicable to tables with nominal-by-nominal, nominal-by-ordinal, and ordinal-by-ordinal classifications.

Statistical And Mathematical Modeling Versus Nhst? There’S No Competition!, Joseph Lee Rodgers

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Some of Robinson & Levin’s critique of Rodgers (2010) is cogent, helpful, and insightful – although limiting. Recent methodology has advanced through the development of structural equation modeling, multi-level modeling, missing data methods, hierarchical linear modeling, categorical data analysis, as well as the development of many dedicated and specific behavioral models. These methodological approaches are based on a revised epistemological system, and have emerged naturally, without the need for task forces, or even much self-conscious discussion. The original goal was neither to develop nor promote a modeling revolution. That has occurred; I documented its development and its status. Two organizing …

Effect Of Measurement Errors On The Separate And Combined Ratio And Product Estimators In Stratified Random Sampling, Housila P. Singh, Namrata Karpe

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Separate and combined ratio, product and difference estimators are introduced for population mean μ_Y of a study variable Y using auxiliary variable X in stratified sampling when the observations are contaminated with measurement errors. The bias and mean squared error of the proposed estimators have been derived under large sample approximation and their properties are analyzed. Generalized versions of these estimators are given along with their properties.

Recommended Sample Size For Conducting Exploratory Factor Analysis On Dichotomous Data, Robert H. Pearson, Daniel J. Mundform

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Minimum sample sizes are recommended for conducting exploratory factor analysis on dichotomous data. A Monte Carlo simulation was conducted, varying the level of communalities, number of factors, variable-to-factor ratio and dichotomization threshold. Sample sizes were identified based on congruence between rotated population and sample factor loadings.

Incidence And Prevalence For A Triply Censored Data, Hilmi F. Kittani

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The model introduced for the natural history of a progressive disease has four disease states which are expressed as a joint distribution of three survival random variables. Covariates are included in the model using Cox’s proportional hazards model with necessary assumptions needed. Effects of the covariates are estimated and tested. Formulas for incidence in the preclinical, clinical and death states are obtained, and prevalence formulas are obtained for the preclinical and clinical states. Estimates of the sojourn times in the preclinical and clinical states are obtained.

Robust Estimators In Logistic Regression: A Comparative Simulation Study, Sanizah Ahmad, Norazan Mohamed Ramli, Habshah Midi

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is commonly used to estimate the parameters of logistic regression models due to its efficiency under a parametric model. However, evidence has shown the MLE has an unduly effect on the parameter estimates in the presence of outliers. Robust methods are put forward to rectify this problem. This article examines the performance of the MLE and four existing robust estimators under different outlier patterns, which are investigated by real data sets and Monte Carlo simulation.