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Full-Text Articles in Statistics and Probability

Impatient Customers In An Markovian Queue With Bernoulli Schedule Working Vacation Interruption And Setup Time, P. Manoharan, T. Jeeva Dec 2020

Impatient Customers In An Markovian Queue With Bernoulli Schedule Working Vacation Interruption And Setup Time, P. Manoharan, T. Jeeva

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

In this paper, using probability generating function method, Impatient customers in an Markovian queue with Bernoulli schedule working vacation interruption and setup time is discussed. Customers impatience is due to the servers vacation. During the working vacation period, if there are customers in the queue, the vacation can be interrupted at a service completion instant and the server begins a regular service period with probability (1 - b) or continues the vacation with probability b. We obtain the probability generating functions of the stationary state probabilities, performance measures, sojourn time of a customer and stochastic decomposition of the queue length, …


On A Multiserver Queueing System With Customers’ Impatience Until The End Of Service Under Single And Multiple Vacation Policies, Mokhtar Kadi, Amina A. Bouchentouf, Lahcene Yahiaoui Dec 2020

On A Multiserver Queueing System With Customers’ Impatience Until The End Of Service Under Single And Multiple Vacation Policies, Mokhtar Kadi, Amina A. Bouchentouf, Lahcene Yahiaoui

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

This paper deals with a multiserver queueing system with Bernoulli feedback and impatient customers (balking and reneging) under synchronous multiple and single vacation policies. Reneged customers may be retained in the system. Using probability generating functions (PGFs) technique, we formally obtain the steady-state solution of the proposed queueing system. Further, important performance measures and cost model are derived. Finally, numerical examples are presented.


The Odd Inverse Rayleigh Family Of Distributions: Simulation & Application To Real Data, Saeed E. Hemeda, Muhammad A. Ul Haq Dec 2020

The Odd Inverse Rayleigh Family Of Distributions: Simulation & Application To Real Data, Saeed E. Hemeda, Muhammad A. Ul Haq

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

A new family of inverse probability distributions named inverse Rayleigh family is introduced to generate many continuous distributions. The shapes of probability density and hazard rate functions are investigated. Some Statistical measures of the new generator including moments, quantile and generating functions, entropy measures and order statistics are derived. The Estimation of the model parameters is performed by the maximum likelihood estimation method. Furthermore, a simulation study is used to estimate the parameters of one of the members of the new family. The data application shows that the new family models can be useful to provide better fits than other …


Estimating Parameter Of The Selected Uniform Population Under The Generalized Stein Loss Function, K. R. Meena, Aditi K. Gangopadhyay Dec 2020

Estimating Parameter Of The Selected Uniform Population Under The Generalized Stein Loss Function, K. R. Meena, Aditi K. Gangopadhyay

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

This paper deals with the problem of estimating scale parameter of the selected uniform population when sample sizes are unequal. The loss has been measured by the generalized Stein loss (GSL) function. The uniformly minimum risk unbiased (UMRU) estimator is derived, and the natural estimators are also constructed under the GSL function. One of the natural estimators is proved to be the generalized Bayes estimator with respect to a noninformative prior. For k = 2, we obtained a sufficient condition for an inadmissibility result and demonstrate that the natural estimator and UMRU estimator are inadmissible. A simulation investigation is also …


Analysis Of Map/Ph/1 Queueing Model With Breakdown, Instantaneous Feedback And Server Vacation, G. Ayyappan, K. Thilagavathy Dec 2020

Analysis Of Map/Ph/1 Queueing Model With Breakdown, Instantaneous Feedback And Server Vacation, G. Ayyappan, K. Thilagavathy

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

In this article, we analyze a single server queueing model with feedback, a single vacation under Bernoulli schedule, breakdown and repair. The arriving customers follow the Markovian Arrival Process (MAP) and service follow the phase-type distribution. When the server returns from vacation, if there is no one present in the system, the server will wait until the customer’s arrival. When the service completion epoch if the customer is not satisfied then that customer will get the service immediately. Under the steady-state probability vector that the total number of customers are present in the system is probed by the Matrix-analytic method. …


On A New Class Of Bivariate Survival Distributions Based On The Model Of Dependent Lives And Its Generalization, Shirin Shoaee Dec 2020

On A New Class Of Bivariate Survival Distributions Based On The Model Of Dependent Lives And Its Generalization, Shirin Shoaee

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

In this paper, a new class of survival distributions based on the model of dependent lives and proportional hazard rate family is introduced. This new family of bivariate survival models contains several bivariate lifetime models and is more flexible. The main purpose of this paper is to generalize this family of bivariate survival distributions of dependent lives so that more flexible models can be achieved. These new families of distributions are called the bivariate proportional hazard rate (BPHR) and the bivariate proportional hazard rate-geometric (BPHRG) families, respectively. It is also observed that, if θ = 1, then the BPHR family …


The Linear Combination Of Kernels In The Estimation Of Cumulative Distribution Functions, Abdel-Razzaq Mugdadi, Rugayyah Sani Dec 2020

The Linear Combination Of Kernels In The Estimation Of Cumulative Distribution Functions, Abdel-Razzaq Mugdadi, Rugayyah Sani

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

The kernel distribution function estimator method is the most popular nonparametric method to estimate the cumulative distribution function F(x). In this investigation, we propose a new estimator for F(x) based on a linear combination of kernels. The mean integrated squared error, asymptotic mean integrated squared error and the asymptotically optimal bandwidth for the new estimator are derived. Also, based on the plug-in technique in density estimation, we propose a data based method to select the bandwidth for the new estimator. In addition, we evaluate the new estimator using simulations and real life data.


Dividend Maximization Under A Set Ruin Probability Target In The Presence Of Proportional And Excess-Of-Loss Reinsurance, Christian Kasumo, Juma Kasozi, Dmitry Kuznetsov Jun 2020

Dividend Maximization Under A Set Ruin Probability Target In The Presence Of Proportional And Excess-Of-Loss Reinsurance, Christian Kasumo, Juma Kasozi, Dmitry Kuznetsov

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

We study dividend maximization with set ruin probability targets for an insurance company whose surplus is modelled by a diffusion perturbed classical risk process. The company is permitted to enter into proportional or excess-of-loss reinsurance arrangements. By applying stochastic control theory, we derive Volterra integral equations and solve numerically using block-by-block methods. In each of the models, we have established the optimal barrier to use for paying dividends provided the ruin probability does not exceed a predetermined target. Numerical examples involving the use of both light- and heavy-tailed distributions are given. The results show that ruin probability targets result in …


Performance Analysis Of An M/M/1 Queue With N-Policy Interrupted Closedown Preventive Maintenance Balking And Feedback, A. Azhagappan, T. Deepa Jun 2020

Performance Analysis Of An M/M/1 Queue With N-Policy Interrupted Closedown Preventive Maintenance Balking And Feedback, A. Azhagappan, T. Deepa

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

This paper investigates the transient and stationary behavior of a M/M/1 queueing model with N-policy, interrupted closedown, balking, feedback and preventive maintenance. The server stays dormant (off state) until N customers accumulate in the queue and then starts an exhaustive service (on state). After the service, each customer may either leave the system or get immediate feedback. When the system becomes empty, the server resumes closedown. If any arrival occurs before the completion of closedown time, the closedown work of the server is interrupted and starts the busy period in an exhaustive manner. If no arrival occurs during the …


Alpha-Skew Generalized Normal Distribution And Its Applications, Eisa Mahmoudi, Hamideh Jafari, Rahmat S. Meshkat Dec 2019

Alpha-Skew Generalized Normal Distribution And Its Applications, Eisa Mahmoudi, Hamideh Jafari, Rahmat S. Meshkat

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

The main object of this paper is to introduce a new family of distributions, which is quite flexible to fit both unimodal and bimodal shapes. This new family is entitled alpha-skew generalized normal (ASGN), that skews the symmetric distributions, especially generalized normal distribution through this paper. Here, some properties of this new distribution including cumulative distribution function, survival function, hazard rate function and moments are derived. To estimate the model parameters, the maximum likelihood estimators and the asymptotic distribution of the estimators are discussed. The observed information matrix is derived. Finally, the flexibility of the new distribution, as well as …


An (S - 1; S) Inventory System With Negative Arrivals And Multiple Vacations, Kathiresan Jothivel, Anbazhagan Neelamegam Dec 2019

An (S - 1; S) Inventory System With Negative Arrivals And Multiple Vacations, Kathiresan Jothivel, Anbazhagan Neelamegam

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

In this paper, we consider a continuous review one-to-one ordering policy inventory system with multiple vacations and negative customers. The maximum storage capacity is S. The customers arrive according to a Poisson process with finite waiting hall. There are two types of customers: ordinary and negative. An ordinary customer, on arrival, joins the queue and the negative customer does not join the queue and takes away any one of the waiting customers. When the waiting hall is full, the arriving primary customer is considered to be lost. The service time and lead time are assumed to have independent exponential distribution. …


Analysis Of Batch Arrival Single And Bulk Service Queue With Multiple Vacation Closedown And Repair, T. Deepa, A. Azhagappan Dec 2019

Analysis Of Batch Arrival Single And Bulk Service Queue With Multiple Vacation Closedown And Repair, T. Deepa, A. Azhagappan

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

In this paper, we analyze batch arrival single and bulk service queueing model with multiple vacation, closedown and repair. The single server provides single service if the queue size is ‘< a’ and bulk service if the queue size is ‘ ≥ a’. After completing the service (single or bulk), the server may breakdown with probability ξ and then it will be sent for repair. When the system becomes empty or the server is ready to serve after the repair but no one is waiting, the server resumes closedown and then goes for a multiple vacation of random length. Using supplementary variable technique, the steady-state probability generating function (PGF) of …


A Further Result On The Aging Properties Of An Extended Additive Hazard Model, Morteza Raeisi, Gholamhossein Yari Dec 2019

A Further Result On The Aging Properties Of An Extended Additive Hazard Model, Morteza Raeisi, Gholamhossein Yari

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

The passing of time is an important factor for covariates in the additive and proportional hazard models. According to this idea, the extended additive hazard model (EAHM) is introduced by considering the time-varying effects of covariates and is investigated several properties of this model related to reliability analysis. In this paper, we obtain a further result for the EAHM with respect to the aging properties.


Analysis Of Two Stage M[X1],M[X2]/G1,G2/1 Retrial G-Queue With Discretionary Priority Services, Working Breakdown, Bernoulli Vacation, Preferred And Impatient Units, G. Ayyappan, B. Somasundaram Dec 2019

Analysis Of Two Stage M[X1],M[X2]/G1,G2/1 Retrial G-Queue With Discretionary Priority Services, Working Breakdown, Bernoulli Vacation, Preferred And Impatient Units, G. Ayyappan, B. Somasundaram

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

In this paper, we study M[X1] , M[X2] /G1 ,G2 /1 retrial queueing system with discretionary priority services. There are two stages of service for the ordinary units. During the first stage of service of the ordinary unit, arriving priority units can have an option to interrupt the service, but, in the second stage of service it cannot interrupt. When ordinary units enter the system, they may get the service even if the server is busy with the first stage of service of an ordinary unit or may enter into the orbit or leave …


A Simulation Study On The Size And Power Properties Of Some Ridge Regression Tests, B. M. Golam Kibria, Shipra Banik Dec 2019

A Simulation Study On The Size And Power Properties Of Some Ridge Regression Tests, B. M. Golam Kibria, Shipra Banik

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

Ridge regression techniques have been extensively used to solve the multicollinearity problem for both linear and non-linear regression models since its inception. This paper studied different ridge regression t-type tests of the individual coefficients of a linear regression model. A simulation study has been conducted to evaluate the performance of the proposed tests with respect to their sizes and powers under different settings of the linear regression model. Our simulation results demonstrated that most of the proposed tests have sizes close to the 5% nominal level and all tests except tAKS, tkM2 and tkM9 have considerable gain in powers over …


Series Of Divergence Measures Of Type K, Information Inequalities And Particular Cases, R. N. Saraswat, Ajay Tak Dec 2019

Series Of Divergence Measures Of Type K, Information Inequalities And Particular Cases, R. N. Saraswat, Ajay Tak

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

Information and Divergence measures deals with the study of problems concerning information processing, information storage, information retrieval and decision making. The purpose of this paper is to find a new series of divergence measures and their applications, discuss the mathematical tools for finding convexity of the functions. Applications of convex functions in information theory, relationship between new and well-known divergence measures are discussed. Also some new bounds have been established for divergence measures using new f divergence measures and its properties.


Analysis Of An M/M/1 Queue With Working Vacation And Vacation Interruption, Shakir Majid, P. Manoharan Jun 2019

Analysis Of An M/M/1 Queue With Working Vacation And Vacation Interruption, Shakir Majid, P. Manoharan

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

In this paper, an M/M/1 queue with working vacation and vacation interruption is investigated. The server is supposed to interrupt the vacation and return back to the normal working period, if there are at least N customers waiting in the system at a service completion instant during the working vacation period. Otherwise, the server continues the vacation until the system is nonempty after a vacation ends or there are at least N customers after a service ends. In terms of the quasi birth and death process and matrix-geometric solution method, we obtain the distributions for the stationary queue length. Moreover, …


Performance And Economic Evaluation Of Differentiated Multiple Vacation Queueing System With Feedback And Balked Customers, Amina A. Bouchentouf, Latifa Medjahri Jun 2019

Performance And Economic Evaluation Of Differentiated Multiple Vacation Queueing System With Feedback And Balked Customers, Amina A. Bouchentouf, Latifa Medjahri

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

The present paper deals with a single server feedback queueing system under two differentiated multiple vacations and balked customers. It is assumed that the service times of the two vacation types are exponentially distributed with different means. The steady-state probabilities of the model are obtained. Some important performance measures of the system are derived. Then, a cost model is developed. Further, a numerical study is presented.


Exact Reliability For Consecutive K-Out-Of-R-From-N: F System With Equal And Unequal Components Probabilities, Yaser Amirian, Ahmad Khodadadi, Omid Chatrabgoun Jun 2019

Exact Reliability For Consecutive K-Out-Of-R-From-N: F System With Equal And Unequal Components Probabilities, Yaser Amirian, Ahmad Khodadadi, Omid Chatrabgoun

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

A consecutive k-out-of-r-from-n: F system consists of n linear ordered components such that the system fails if and only if there exist a set of r consecutive linear component that contains at least k failed components. Consecutive k-out-of-r-from-n: F system has been considered in many fields such as reliability analysis. All recent efforts in this area have been focused on acquiring band or approximation for their reliability such that less attention has been paid to their closed form and exact reliability in the literature. In the present paper, with designing an innovative algorithm the exact reliability for extensive class of …


Transient Analysis Of A Markovian Single Vacation Feedback Queue With An Interrupted Closedown Time And Control Of Admission During Vacation, A. Azhagappan, T. Deepa Jun 2019

Transient Analysis Of A Markovian Single Vacation Feedback Queue With An Interrupted Closedown Time And Control Of Admission During Vacation, A. Azhagappan, T. Deepa

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

This paper analyzes the transient behavior of an M/M/1 queueing model with single vacation, feedback, interrupted closedown time and control of admission during vacation. The time-dependent system size probabilities for the proposed model are obtained using generating function in the closed form. Further, the system performance measures like mean and variance of system size are also obtained for the time-dependent case. Finally, numerical illustrations are presented to understand the effect for various system parameters.


Construction And Application Of Log-Linear Models To Assess Academic Performance, Indika R. Wickramasinghe Jun 2019

Construction And Application Of Log-Linear Models To Assess Academic Performance, Indika R. Wickramasinghe

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

Log-Linear Models (LLMs) are important techniques used in categorical data analysis. Though there are some available published work about LLMs, the explanation of model building process and the theoretical background are not adequate. Furthermore, research about the application of the LLM theory and the selection procedure of the best model are handful. Therefore, this manuscript aims to fill that vacuum. At first, the construction of LLM and Hierarchical Log-Linear Models (HLLMs), a branch of LLMs are discussed in connection with both 2×2 and 2×2 ×2 contingency tables. Secondly, an application is presented to analyze the collected data set about the …


Modeling The Water-Energy-Food Nexus In Obr-E’S: The Eight (8) Coordinates, S. Sani, A. Tumushabe, M. U. Osigwe, M. Mbatudde, A. S. Hassan, M. Edson Jun 2019

Modeling The Water-Energy-Food Nexus In Obr-E’S: The Eight (8) Coordinates, S. Sani, A. Tumushabe, M. U. Osigwe, M. Mbatudde, A. S. Hassan, M. Edson

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

The need to formulate quantifiers for water, energy and food (WEF) is necessary sequel to conservation issues worldwide. Existing methodologies on the WEF nexus appear less fitting in sustainability arguments because of incompleteness. This article analyzes the WEF nexus in open but restricted environments (ObR-E’s) with completeness assumption in form of the known inter-intra dependence of nexus elements for sustainability and better conservation practice. The analysis leads to the discovery of the Jalingo equation whose any non simplistic solution is a solution to the WEF problem in some ObR-E’s world wide. It is important to seek other non simplistic solutions …


Analysis Of M[X1],M[X2]/G1,G2/1 Retrial Queueing System With Priority Services, Working Breakdown, Collision, Bernoulli Vacation, Immediate Feedback, Starting Failure And Repair, G. Ayyappan, P. Thamizhselvi, B. Somasundaram Jun 2019

Analysis Of M[X1],M[X2]/G1,G2/1 Retrial Queueing System With Priority Services, Working Breakdown, Collision, Bernoulli Vacation, Immediate Feedback, Starting Failure And Repair, G. Ayyappan, P. Thamizhselvi, B. Somasundaram

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

This paper considers an M[X1] , M[X2] /G1,G2/1 general retrial queueing system with priority services. Two types of customers from different classes arrive at the system in different independent compound Poisson processes. The server follows the non-pre-emptive priority rule subject to working breakdown, Bernoulli vacation, starting failure, immediate feedback, collision and repair. After completing each service, the server may go for a vacation or remain idle in the system. The priority customers who find the server busy are queued in the system. If a low-priority customer finds the server busy, he is routed to …


A Note On Asymptotic Normality Of A Copula Function In Regression Model, Khadidja Sabri, Mustapha Meghnafi, Abbes Rabhi, Djamila Bennafla Jun 2019

A Note On Asymptotic Normality Of A Copula Function In Regression Model, Khadidja Sabri, Mustapha Meghnafi, Abbes Rabhi, Djamila Bennafla

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

Over the last decade, there has been significant and rapid development of the theory of copulas. Much of the work has been motivated by their applications to stochastic processes, economics, risk management, finance, insurance, the environment (hydrology, climate, etc.), survival analysis, and medical sciences. In many statistical models. The copula approach is a way to solve the difficult problem of finding the whole bivariate or multivariate distribution. In this paper, we give the asymptotic normality of the copulas function in a regression model.


Study Of Specially And Temporally Dependent Adsorption Coefficient In Heterogeneous Porous Medium, Dilip K. Jaiswal, Gulrana _ Jun 2019

Study Of Specially And Temporally Dependent Adsorption Coefficient In Heterogeneous Porous Medium, Dilip K. Jaiswal, Gulrana _

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

One-dimensional advection-dispersion equation (ADE) is studied along unsteady longitudinal flow through a semi-infinite heterogeneous medium. Adsorption coefficient is considered temporally and spatially–dependent function i.e., expressed in degenerate form. The dispersion parameter is considered as inversely proportional to adsorption coefficient. The input source is of pulse type. The Laplace Transformation Technique (LTT) is used to obtain the analytical solution by introducing certain new independent variables through separate transformations. The effects of adsorption, heterogeneity and unsteadiness are investigated and discussed with the help of various graphs.


Transient Solution Of An M/M/1 Retrial Queue With Reneging From Orbit, A. Azhagappan, E. Veeramani, W. Monica, K. Sonabharathi Dec 2018

Transient Solution Of An M/M/1 Retrial Queue With Reneging From Orbit, A. Azhagappan, E. Veeramani, W. Monica, K. Sonabharathi

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

In this paper, the transient behavior of an M/M/1 retrial queueing model is analyzed where the customers in the orbit possess the reneging behavior. There is no waiting room in the system for the arrivals. If the server is not free when the occurrence of an arrival, the arriving customer moves to the waiting group, known as orbit and retries for his service. If the server is idle when an arrival occurs (either coming from outside the queueing system or from the waiting group), the arrival immediately gets the service and leaves the system. Each individual customer in the orbit, …


An M^X/G(A,B)/1 Queue With Breakdown And Delay Time To Two Phase Repair Under Multiple Vacation, G. Ayyappan, M. Nirmala Dec 2018

An M^X/G(A,B)/1 Queue With Breakdown And Delay Time To Two Phase Repair Under Multiple Vacation, G. Ayyappan, M. Nirmala

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

In this paper, we consider an Mx /G(a,b)/1 queue with active breakdown and delay time to two phase repair under multiple vacation policy. A batch of customers arrive according to a compound Poisson process. The server serves the customers according to the “General Bulk Service Rule” (GBSR) and the service time follows a general (arbitrary) distribution. The server is unreliable and it may breakdown at any instance. As the result of breakdown, the service is suspended, the server waits for the repair to start and this waiting time is called as „delay time‟ and is assumed to follow general …


Analysis Of Batch Arrival Bulk Service Queue With Multiple Vacation Closedown Essential And Optional Repair, G. Ayyappan, T. Deepa Dec 2018

Analysis Of Batch Arrival Bulk Service Queue With Multiple Vacation Closedown Essential And Optional Repair, G. Ayyappan, T. Deepa

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

The objective of this paper is to analyze an queueing model with multiple vacation, closedown, essential and optional repair. Whenever the queue size is less than , the server starts closedown and then goes to multiple vacation. This process continues until at least customer is waiting in the queue. Breakdown may occur with probability when the server is busy. After finishing a batch of service, if the server gets breakdown with a probability , the server will be sent for repair. After the completion of the first essential repair, the server is sent to the second optional repair with probability …


Batch Arrival Bulk Service Queue With Unreliable Server, Second Optional Service, Two Different Vacations And Restricted Admissibility Policy, G. Ayyappan, R. Supraja Dec 2018

Batch Arrival Bulk Service Queue With Unreliable Server, Second Optional Service, Two Different Vacations And Restricted Admissibility Policy, G. Ayyappan, R. Supraja

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

This paper is concerned with batch arrival queue with an additional second optional service to a batch of customers with dissimilar service rate where the idea of restricted admissibility of arriving batch of customers is also introduced. The server may take two different vacations (i) Emergency vacation-during service the server may go for vacation to an emergency call and after completion of the vacation, the server continues the remaining service to a batch of customers. (ii) Bernoulli vacation-after completion of first essential or second optional service, the server may take a vacation or may remain in the system to serve …


Some New Discretization Methods With Application In Reliability, Gholamhossein Yari, Zahra Tondpour Dec 2018

Some New Discretization Methods With Application In Reliability, Gholamhossein Yari, Zahra Tondpour

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

Deriving discrete analogues (Discretization) of continuous distributions has drawn attention of researchers, in recent decades. Discretization has been playing a key role in modeling life time data because in real world, most of original life time data are continuous while they are discrete in observation. In this paper, we introduce three new two-stage composite discretization methods to meet the need of fitting discrete-time reliability and survival data sets. All three proposed methods consist of two stages where using construction a new continuous random variable by underlying continuous random variable in the first stage and so based on maintaining hazard rate …