Statistics and Probability Commons^™

Multivariate Stochastic Volatility Models: Bayesian Estimation And Model Comparison, Jun Yu, Renate Meyer

Research Collection School Of Economics

In this paper we show that fully likelihood-based estimation and comparison of multivariate stochastic volatility (SV) models can be easily performed via a freely available Bayesian software called WinBUGS. Moreover, we introduce to the literature several new specifications which are natural extensions to certain existing models, one of which allows for time varying correlation coefficients. Ideas are illustrated by fitting, to a bivariate time series data of weekly exchange rates, nine multivariate SV models, including the specifications with Granger causality in volatility, time varying correlations, heavy-tailed error distributions, additive factor structure, and multiplicative factor structure. Empirical results suggest that the …

Bottleneck Analysis Of Cports, Sreekalyana Chakravarthy Kajuluri

Electrical & Computer Engineering Theses & Dissertations

CPortS is a transportation logistics simulation that models the flow of military cargo through a seaport and the interaction of the cargo with the port resources and infrastructure. It provides information about the seaport's capabilities, how the cargo has been handled, how many days the cargo took to clear a particular port area, and the overall throughput of the seaport. The model is highly data intensive since it models the huge traffic in a real seaport.

Bottlenecks reduce system performance. Systems that are traffic intensive or simulations of systems, which are data intensive, encounter bottlenecks, which reduce their performance. In …

Psychological Factors Associated With Anticipatory Nausea And Vomiting, Melinda L. Nielsen

Loma Linda University Electronic Theses, Dissertations & Projects

Many cancer patients experience adverse chemotherapy-related side effects. The present study examined the relationships among disease variables (i.e. stage of cancer, type of breast cancer), medical treatment variables (i.e. toxicity of chemotherapy regimen, strength of antiemetic treatment), psychological variables (i.e. health locus of control, anxiety sensitivity, desire for control, coping strategies), and anticipatory nausea and vomiting in women with breast cancer. One hundred women with breast cancer completed the Multidimensional Health Locus of Control Scale - Form C, the Anxiety Sensitivity Index, the Krantz Health Opinion Survey, the Coping Inventory for Stressful Situations, and the Morrow Assessment of Nausea and …

Animal Model Research: The Apples And Oranges Quandary, Kenneth J. Shapiro

Experimentation Collection

In this paper, I explore the premises underlying the problem of the evaluation of animal models. I argue that the presence of similarities and differences between the model and the modelled, although historically and currently a dominant antinomy framing evaluation, is not a bottom-line consideration. What is critical is 1) whether we learn and 2) whether we improve treatment through the animal model research. Similarity between model and modelled and the closely related concept of validity are not coterminus with these critical evaluative measures. In fact, differences between the model and modelled also can provide impetus to new understanding and …

The Association Of Blood Type On The Five Factors Of Personality In Chinese Adolescents, Kunher Wu

Loma Linda University Electronic Theses, Dissertations & Projects

The purpose of this study was to identify the number of personality factors in Chinese adolescents using the Chinese Revised NEO Personality Inventory (NEO-PI-R) and to determine whether blood type is associated with personality. It is widely accepted by psychologists that the five-factor model can provide an adequate representation of adult personality dimensions, but there is less agreement on the number of factors observable in adolescence. A total of 3,396 11^th graders from the city of Kaohsiung, Taiwan completed the Chinese NEO-PI-R. Principle component analysis with varimax rotation showed five factors of personality in these Taiwanese adolescents, which clearly …

Beta-Normal Distribution: Bimodality Properties And Application, Felix Famoye, Carl Lee, Nicholas Eugene

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The beta-normal distribution is characterized by four parameters that jointly describe the location, the scale and the shape properties. The beta-normal distribution can be unimodal or bimodal. This paper studies the bimodality properties of the beta-normal distribution. The region of bimodality in the parameter space is obtained. The beta-normal distribution is applied to fit a numerical bimodal data set. The beta-normal fits are compared with the fits of mixture-normal distribution through simulation.

Some Improvements In Kernel Estimation Using Line Transect Sampling, Omar M. Eidous

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Kernel estimation provides a nonparametric estimate of the probability density function from which a set of data is drawn. This article proposes a method to choose a reference density in bandwidth calculation for kernel estimator using line transect sampling. The method based on testing the shoulder condition, if the shoulder condition seems to be valid using as reference the half normal density, while if the shoulder condition does not seem to be valid, we will use exponential reference density. Accordingly, the performances of the resultant estimator are studied under a wide range of underlying models using simulation techniques. The results …

A Visually Adaptive Bayesian Model In Wavelet Regression, Dongfeng Wu

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The implementation of a Bayesian approach to wavelet regression that corresponds to the human visual system is examined. Most existing research in this area assumes non-informative priors, that is, a prior with mean zero. A new way is offered to implement prior information that mimics a visual inspection of noisy data, to obtain a first impression about the shape of the function that results in a prior with non-zero mean. This visually adaptive Bayesian (VAB) prior has a simple structure, intuitive interpretation, and is easy to implement. Skorohod topology is suggested as a more appropriate measure in signal recovering than …

Estimation Using Bivariate Extreme Ranked Set Sampling With Application To The Bivariate Normal Distribution, Mohammad Fraiwan Al-Saleh, Hani M. Samawi

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

In this article, the procedure of bivariate extreme ranked set sampling (BVERSS) is introduced and investigated as a procedure of obtaining more accurate samples for estimating the parameters of bivariate populations. This procedure takes its strength from the advantages of bivariate ranked set sampling (BVRSS) over the usual ranked set sampling in dealing with two characteristics simultaneously, and the advantages of extreme ranked set sampling (ERSS) over usual RSS in reducing the ranking errors and hence in being more applicable. The BVERSS procedure will be applied to the case of the parameters of the bivariate normal distributions. Illustration using real …

Kernel-Based Estimation Of P(X Less Than Y)With Paired Data, Omar M. Eidous, Ayman Baklizi

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A point estimation of P(X < Y) was considered. A nonparametric estimator for P(X < Y) was developed using the kernel density estimator of the joint distribution of X and Y, may be dependent. The resulting estimator was found to be similar to the estimator based on the sign statistic, however it assigns smooth continuous scores to each pair of the observations rather than the zero or one scores of the sign statistic. The asymptotic equivalence of the sign statistic and the proposed estimator is shown and a simulation study is conducted to investigate the performance of the proposed estimator. Results indicate that …

Respondent-Generated Intervals (Rgi) For Recall In Sample Surveys, S. James Press

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Respondents are asked for both a basic response to a recall-type question, their usage quantity, and are asked to provide lower and upper bounds for the (Respondent-Generated) interval in which their true values might possibly lie. A Bayesian hierarchical model for estimating the population mean and its variance is presented.. Telephone: (989) 774-

Jmasm11: Comparing Two Small Binomial Proportions, James F. Reed Iii

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A large volume of research has focused on comparing the difference between two small binomial proportions. Statisticians recognize that Fisher’s Exact test and Yates chi-square test are excessively conservative. Likewise, many statisticians feel that Pearson’s Chi-square or the likelihood statistic may be inappropriate for small samples. Viable alternatives exist.

A Test-Retest Transition Matrix: A Modification Of Mcnemar’S Test, J. Wanzer Drane, W. Gregory Thatcher

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

McNemar introduced what is known today as a test for symmetry in a two by two contingency tables. The logic of the test is based on a sample of matched pairs with a dichotomous response. In our example, the sample consists of the scores before and after an education program and the responses before and after the program. Each pair of scores is from only one person. The pretest divides the group of responders according to their answers to a dichotomous question. The posttest divides the two groups into two groups of like labels. The result is a two by …

On The Reporting Of Reliability In Content Analysis, Patric R. Spence

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

This article explores one type of misreporting of reliability that has been seen in recent conference papers and articles using the method of content analysis. The reporting of reliability is central to the validity of claims made using this method. A brief overview of content analysis is offered, followed by the exploration of one type of misreporting of reliability. Suggestions are offered to address the problem.

Validation Studies: Matters Of Dimensionality, Accuracy, And Parsimony With Predictive Discriminant Analysis And Factor Analysis, David A. Walker

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Two studies were used as examples that examined issues of dimensionality, accuracy, and parsimony in educational research via the use of predictive discriminant analysis and factor analysis. Using a two-group problem, study 1 looked at how accurately group membership could be predicted from subjects’ test scores. Study 2 looked at the dimensionality structure of an instrument and if it developed constructs that would measure theorized domains.

Stratified Extreme Ranked Set Sample With Application To Ratio Estimators, Hani M. Samawai, Laith J. Saeid

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Stratified extreme ranked set sample (SERSS) is introduced. The performance of the combined and separate ratio estimates using SERSS is investigated. Theoretical and simulation study are presented. Results indicate that using SERSS for estimating the ratios is more efficient than using stratified simple random sample (SSRS) and simple random sample (SRS). In some cases it is more efficient than ranked set sample (RSS) and stratified ranked set sample (SRSS), when the underlying distribution is symmetric. An application to real data on the bilirubin level in jaundice babies is introduced to illustrate the method.

Depth Based Permutation Test For General Differences In Two Multivariate Populations, Yonghong Gao

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

For two p-dimensional data sets, interest exists in testing if they come from the common population distribution. Proposed is a practical, effective and easy to implement procedure for the testing problem. The proposed procedure is a permutation test based on the concept of the depth of one observation relative to some population distribution. The proposed test is demonstrated to be consistent. A small Monte Carlo simulation was conducted to evaluate the power of the proposed test. The proposed test is applied to some numerical examples.

Accurate Binary Decisions For Assessing Coronary Artery Disease, Mehmet Ali Cengiz

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Generalized linear models offer convenient and highly applicable tools for modeling and predicting the behavior of random variables in terms of observable factors and covariates. This paper investigates applications of a special case of generalized linear model to improve the accuracy of predictions and decisions adopting Bayesian methods, in the specific context of assessing coronary artery disease. The basic model is developed for this application using binary response. The results clearly demonstrate the potential advantages offered by this approach.

Statistical Pronouncements Iii, Jmasm Editors

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

No abstract provided.

Meta-Analysis Of Results And Individual Patient Data In Epidemiologal Studies, Aurelio Tobías, Marc Saez, Manolis Kogevinas

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Epidemiological information can be aggregated by combining results through a meta-analysis technique, or by pooling and analyzing primary data. Common approaches to analyzing pooled studies through an example on the effect of occupational exposure to wood dust on sinonasal cancer are described. Results were combined applying a meta-analysis technique. Alternatively, primary data from all studies were pooled and re-analyzed using mixed effect models. The combination of individual information rather than results is desirable to facilitate interpretations of epidemiological findings, leading also to more precise estimations and more powerful statistical tests for study heterogeneity.

Multivariate Location: Robust Estimators And Inference, Rand R. Wilcox, H. J. Keselman

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The sample mean can have poor efficiency relative to various alternative estimators under arbitrarily small departures from normality. In the multivariate case, (affine equivariant) estimators have been proposed for dealing with this problem, but a comparison of various estimators by Massé and Plante (2003) indicated that the small-sample efficiency of some recently derived methods is rather poor. This article reports that a skipped mean, where outliers are removed via a projection-type outlier detection method, is found to be more satisfactory. The more obvious method for computing a confidence region based on the skipped estimator (using a slight modification of the …

A Power Comparison Of Robust Test Statistics Based On Adaptive Estimators, H. J. Keselman, Rand R. Wilcox, James Algina, Abdul R. Othman

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Seven test statistics known to be robust to the combined effects of nonnormality and variance heterogeneity were compared for their sensitivity to detect treatment effects in a one-way completely randomized design containing four groups. The six Welch-James-type heteroscedastic tests adopted either symmetric or asymmetric trimmed means, were transformed for skewness, and used a bootstrap method to assess statistical significance. The remaining test, due to Wilcox and Keselman (2003), used a modification of the well-known one-step M-estimator of central tendency rather than trimmed means. The Welch-James-type test is recommended because for nonnormal data likely to be encountered in applied research settings …

A Rank-Based Estimation Procedure For Linear Models With Clustered Data, Suzanne R. Dubnicka

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A rank method is presented for estimating regression parameters in the linear model when observations are correlated. This correlation is accounted for by including a random effect term in the linear model. A method is proposed that makes few assumptions about the random effect and error distribution. The main goal of this article is to determine the distributions for which this method performs well relative to existing methods.

A Generalized Quasi-Likelihood Model Application To Modeling Poverty Of Asian American Women, Jeffrey R. Wilson

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A generalized quasi-likelihood function that does not require the assumption of an underlying distribution when modeling jointly the mean and the variance, is introduced to examine poverty of Asian American women living in the West coast of the United States, using data from U.S. Census Bureau.

Estimation Of Multiple Linear Functional Relationships, Amjad D. Al-Nasser

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

This article deals with multiple linear functional relationships models. Two robust estimations procedure are proposed to estimate the model, based on Generalized Maximum Entropy and Partial Least Square. They are distribution free and do not rely (so much) on classical assumptions. The experiments showed that the GME approach outperforms the PLS in terms of mean squares of errors (MSE). Empirical examples are studied.

Teaching Random Assignment: Do You Believe It Works?, Shlomo S. Sawilowsky

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Textbook authors admonish students to check on the comparability of two randomly assigned groups by conducting statistical tests on pretest means to determine if randomization worked. A Monte Carlo study was conducted on a sample of n = 2 per group, where each participant’s personality profile was represented by 7,500 randomly selected and assigned scores. Independent samples t tests were conducted and the results demonstrated that random assignment was successful in equating the two groups on 7,467 variables. The students’ focus is redirected from the ability of random assignment to create comparable groups to the testing of the claims of …

A Comparison Of Bayesian And Frequentist Statistics As Applied In A Simple Repeated Measures Example, Jan Perkins, Daniel Wang

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Clinicians see Bayesian and frequentist analysis in published research papers, and need a basic understanding of both. A repeated measures data set was analyzed using both approaches. Assumptions underlying each method and conclusions reached were contrasted. The Bayesian approach is a viable alternative to frequentist statistical analysis for many clinical projects.

Jmasm10: A Fortran Routine For Sieve Bootstrap Prediction Intervals, Andrés M. Alonso

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A Fortran routine for constructing nonparametric prediction intervals for a general class of linear processes is described. The approach uses the sieve bootstrap procedure of Bühlmann (1997) based on residual resampling from an autoregressive approximation to the given process.

A Comparison Of Methods For Longitudinal Analysis With Missing Data, James Algina, H. J. Keselman

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

In a longitudinal two-group randomized trials design, also referred to as randomized parallel-groups design or split-plot repeated measures design, the important hypothesis of interest is whether there are differential rates of change over time, that is, whether there is a group by time interaction. Several analytic methods have been presented in the literature for testing this important hypothesis when data are incomplete. We studied these methods for the case in which the missing data pattern is non-monotone. In agreement with earlier work on monotone missing data patterns, our results on bias, sampling variability, Type I error and power support the …

On Polynomial Transformations For Simulating Multivariate Non-Normal Distributions, Todd C. Headrick

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Procedures are introduced and discussed for increasing the computational and statistical efficiency of polynomial transformations used in Monte Carlo or simulation studies. Comparisons are also made between polynomials of order three and five in terms of (a) computational and statistical efficiency, (b) the skew and kurtosis boundary, and (c) boundaries for Pearson correlations. It is also shown how ranked data can be simulated for specified Spearman correlations and sample sizes. Potential consequences of nonmonotonic transformations on rank correlations are also discussed.