Statistics and Probability Commons^™

Design And Experimental Study On Special Spherical Support Of Pingtang Bridge, Tang Zhi, Ma Baihu, Du Bin, Xu Xiangdong, Xia Junyong

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

The vertical bearing capacity of the 16# pier of Pingtang Bridge is 10 000 kN, and the horizontal bearing capacity along the bridge is 12 000 kN, which is 120% of the vertical bearing capacity. The support angle needs to reach the technical parameter requirements of 0.05 rad, which far exceeds the requirements of 10–40% horizontal force of conventional highway supports. According to the specific engineering situation, a new type of support with a large horizontal bearing capacity was designed. Firstly, the finite element model of the support was established to analyze the mechanical properties of the support, and the …

Study On Practical Method Of Safety Assessment For Bridges Under Heavy‐Cargo Transportation, Jiang Xu, Wang Wanfeng, He Zhensheng, Gao Xuefeng

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

In order to meet the requirements of the industry for the high efficiency, safety, and reliability of the traffic safety assessment of heavy-duty vehicles, this paper proposed a method that combined a real-time monitoring system with a finite element method for the traffic safety assessment of heavy-duty vehicles on bridges and verified the method through practical projects. The paper evaluated the bridge’s technical condition level before the heavy-duty vehicle passes and determined the resistance reduction factor considering the bridge’s technical condition level. The finite element analysis model of the bridge was established, and the reliability of the model was verified …

Research On Vibration Reduction Measures Of Short‐Hole Blasting For Pile Group Foundation Of Bridge, Long Lidun, Ji Zhongyan, Li Shaofang, Zhou Xu

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

In the construction of pile hole blasting of group pile foundation of bridges, due to the small clear distance between piles, the blasting vibration will have adverse effects on the wall protection of adjacent pile holes and the poured pile core concrete. Measures thus should be taken to control the seismic wave vibration velocity. In view of the inapplicability of conventional blasting vibration reduction measures such as reducing charge and setting isolation ditch in the construction of pile group foundation of the bridge, this paper proposed vibration reduction measures such as setting isolation holes and using air bags to replace …

Analysis Of Influence Parameters Of Steel Corrugated Plate‐Concrete Composite Arch Culvert, Zhang Haijun

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

In order to explore the parameter effect of a composite arch culvert with corrugated steel plate and concrete, based on the engineering background of a composite arch culvert, the influence rules of four parameters, namely fill height, pipe diameter, wall thickness, and uneven settlement, on the stress and deformation of the arch culvert were analyzed based on the control variable method. The results show that the deformation and stress of the arch culvert are positively correlated with the fill height h and pipe diameter R. When h < 25 m, the deformation and stress increase linearly with the increase in the fill height, and when h > 25 m, the deformation and stress increase in a curve form. When R …

Research And Analysis On Controlled Blasting Demolition Of Continuous Thin‐Walled Box Ribbed Arch Bridge, Ma Shaojun, Chen Huibin, Chai Wendong, Zhang Chunquan, Wang Yuan

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

The 1st bridge of the Jialing River in Pengan County is erected over the Jialing River, a tributary of the Yangtze River. Due to earthquakes and perennial high load operation, the overall technical condition is “Class Ⅴ”, which cannot meet the requirements of the design load grade. This bridge is the longest highway bridge dismantled in Sichuan Province. Its structure is a multi-span continuous thin-walled box ribbed arch bridge. In addition, there are obvious diseases, so the demolition is difficult, and the safety risk is great. For the demolition of the bridge by controlled blasting, numerical simulation, shaped charge cutting …

Study On Parameter Optimization Of Feet‐Lock Anchor Pipes Of Tunnels In Unconsolidated Formation, Tang Heqing, Jiang Xishan, Yang Peng

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

In order to give full play to the supporting role of the feet-lock anchor pipe in the tunnel with unconsolidated formation, it is necessary to obtain the optimal construction parameters of the feet-lock anchor pipe. Based on a tunnel project on the Huaping–Lijiang Expressway in Yunnan Province, this paper conducted numerical simulation and field test analysis. By comparing the arch subsidence and horizontal convergence of the supporting structure when the feet-lock anchor pipe with different parameters was constructed, the paper explored the characteristics and causes of the influence of construction parameters on the feet-lock effect. The results show that the …

Simulation Study On Flame Retardant Effect Of Warm‐Mixed Flame Retardant Pavement In Highway Tunnel

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

In order to obtain the flame retardant effect of the warm-mixed flame retardant asphalt pavement in highway tunnels, based on the finite element method and thermodynamics theory, the thermal analysis module of Ansys finite element software was used to study the flame retardant effect of ordinary asphalt pavement, flame retardant asphalt pavement, and warm-mixed flame retardant asphalt pavement under different fire scales. The maximum temperature of the three types of pavement increased with the increase in the fire scale. Under any fire scale, the flame retardant effect of the warm-mixed flame retardant asphalt pavement was increased by 4.9%–8.5% compared with …

Installation Construction Technology Of Composite Girder Cable‐Stayed Bridge Superstructure In Deep‐Cutting Gorge, Ren Lei, Lu Liang, Dong Zhengliang

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

In view of the installation problems of superimposed beam cable-stayed bridge across the deep canyon, this paper studied the superimposed beam lifting, transport on beam, and superimposed beam installation and proposed three kinds of lifting technology with tower truss crane, beam lifting door crane, and large tower crane, as well as two kinds of installation technology including piecemeal assembly by full rotating deck crane and whole segment assembly truss deck crane. It also made a relative comparative analysis, solving the difficulty in vertical lifting on such bridges and providing a reference for the construction of the same type of cable-stayed …

Experiment Research Of High Pressure Jet Grouting Pile On Ultra‐Shallow Buried Tunnel In Strong Weathered Stratum, Lu Liyang, Liu Huan, Li Pinpin

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

By taking the ultra-shallow buried construction of Xinwu Tunnel in Luoding–Xinyi Expressway in Guangdong Province as the engineering background, the key construction parameters and formation reinforcement effect of high-pressure rotary churning pile in ultra-shallow buried tunnel surrounding rock of fully weathered strata were compared. The results show that: ① slurry pressure, rotary churning speed, and lifting speed have obvious effects on the static load bearing capacity of a single pile. Under the same static load condition, greater slurry pressure indicates a lower cumulative settlement value of a single pile and a smaller increase in cumulative settlement value, and the change …

Study On Anti‐Scattering Performance Of Asphalt Concrete On Aggregate Scattering Pavement Of Highway, Yang Siyuan, Chen Guiliang

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

Due to the lack of quantitative evaluation methods for aggregate scattering degree of expressway asphalt pavement in China and abroad, according to the disease characteristics of surface layer spalling, this paper adopted the Cantabro standard dispersion test to sample the concrete of the section with aggregate scattering of Huangqunan Expressway (G3) in Zhejiang Province. The dispersion impact damage modes of the mixture with different severity were analyzed, and the anti-dispersion performance of concrete was evaluated by mass loss rate and water absorption rate. The results show that aggregate scattering will reduce the density of the concrete structure at the surface …

Variable Speed Limit Control Method For Highway Under Dense Fog, Sun Jiancheng, Qiao Jiaxing

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

In order to solve the problem of traffic safety on expressways under dense fog and change the original fixed speed limit measures, a variable speed limit control method based on the safe allowable speed was proposed. The speed limit value was calculated based on the regulations in road traffic safety law on the speed under dense fog by considering that the traffic law does not mention the road alignment conditions, road conditions, and other factors, and the monitor data was used to approximate replace the data of individual vehicles for data optimization, and the safe speed and safe distance of …

Application Of Digital Image Processing In Cracks Of Concrete Pavement, Gao Fan, He Chunguang, Wang Pengzhang, Qin Yanping, Duo Huaqiong

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

The image obtained by using the traditional crack detection method of concrete pavement has some problems, such as low contrast and high noise, which makes it difficult to meet the requirements of modern road engineering management or non-destructive testing. In order to eliminate the interference in crack images, digital image processing technology was used to improve the image quality through computers. This paper took digital image processing as the core and introduced its development and application in pavement cracks. Based on the research progress and achievements of digital image processing on pavement cracks in recent years, the principles and characteristics …

Design And Experimental Study On Special Spherical Support Of Pingtang Bridge, Tang Zhi, Ma Baihu, Du Bin, Xu Xiangdong, Xia Junyong

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

The vertical bearing capacity of the 16# pier of Pingtang Bridge is 10 000 kN, and the horizontal bearing capacity along the bridge is 12 000 kN, which is 120% of the vertical bearing capacity. The support angle needs to reach the technical parameter requirements of 0.05 rad, which far exceeds the requirements of 10–40% horizontal force of conventional highway supports. According to the specific engineering situation, a new type of support with a large horizontal bearing capacity was designed. Firstly, the finite element model of the support was established to analyze the mechanical properties of the support, and the …

Study On Practical Method Of Safety Assessment For Bridges Under Heavy‐Cargo Transportation, Jiang Xu, Wang Wanfeng, He Zhensheng, Gao Xuefeng

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

In order to meet the requirements of the industry for the high efficiency, safety, and reliability of the traffic safety assessment of heavy-duty vehicles, this paper proposed a method that combined a real-time monitoring system with a finite element method for the traffic safety assessment of heavy-duty vehicles on bridges and verified the method through practical projects. The paper evaluated the bridge’s technical condition level before the heavy-duty vehicle passes and determined the resistance reduction factor considering the bridge’s technical condition level. The finite element analysis model of the bridge was established, and the reliability of the model was verified …

Study On Pavement Performance Of Waterborne Epoxy Emulsified Asphalt And Its Application In Micro‐Surface, Jiang Hai, Liu Dachang

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

In order to improve the pavement performance at micro-surface, waterborne epoxy resin was used to modify the emulsified asphalt, and the compatibility, microstructure, mechanical properties, rheological properties, and pavement performance of mixtures of the modified emulsified asphalt were studied. The storage stability test shows that the epoxy emulsion has good compatibility with emulsified asphalt. With the increase in waterborne epoxy resin content, the modified emulsified asphalt tends to form an epoxy resin-dominated skeleton structure. At the same time, with the increase in waterborne epoxy resin content, the adhesion and mechanical properties of emulsified asphalt and aggregate are significantly improved. At …

Examining Fuel Service System Failures Of The Usaf R11 Using Survival Analysis, Roed M.S. Mejia

Theses and Dissertations

Recent events show that fuel supply is a large contributor to the success or failure of a military operation in response to a contingency. Any future near-peer conflict will stress the supply chain and require fully operational vehicles to be ready for the primary mission sets they support. In the United States Air Force (USAF), the readiness of fuel distribution trucks is crucial to meeting those mission sets in global operations. Utilizing non-parametric and semi-parametric survival models, which do not assume specific probability distributions, this study analyzes maintenance data for R-11 trucks that refuel aircraft.

Examining Failures Of Kc-135 Boom Assemblies Using Survival Analysis, Benjamin D. Miller

Theses and Dissertations

The purposes of this study are to confirm the applicability of survival analysis for predicting recurrent failures of a component of a military aircraft and to provide practical insights to maintenance managers and mission planners. The results of this study also can help the United States Department of Defense improve the CBM+ program. This study was able to predict recurrent failures of the component using Nelson-Aalen cumulative estimates. In addition, this study used a Cox proportional hazards regression model with shared frailty for measuring the effect of covariates on recurrent failures and unidentified heterogeneity in the model, which warranted future …

Probability Of Agreement As A Simulation Validation Methodology, Matthew C. Ledwith

Theses and Dissertations

Determining whether a simulation model is operationally valid requires the rigorous assessment of agreement between observed functional responses of the simulation model and the corresponding real world system or process of interest. This research seeks to extend and formulate the probability of agreement approach to the operational validation of simulation models. The first paper provides a methodological approach and an initial demonstration which leverages bootstrapping to overcome situations where one’s ability to collect real-world data is limited. The second paper extends the probability of agreement approach to account for second-order heteroscedastic variability structures and establishes a weighted probability of agreement …

Debris Survivability Study For Mega-Constellation Architectures, Joseph C. Canoy

Theses and Dissertations

The analysis for the overall theoretical debris survivabilty of mega-constellation architectures, with an emphasis on space-based ballistic missile defense constellation (SB-BMD), is explored via three extensive different Monte Carlo simulations: preliminary analysis of low Earth Orbit (LEO) mega-constellation survivabilty following a fragmentation event within the constellation, analysis of LEO mega-constellation survivability with a fragmentation event occurring on a satellite performing a maneuver to insert itself within the constellation, and the analysis of LEO mega-constellation survivabilty after a fragmentation event resulting from the destruction of a missile. The LEO mega-constellations represent the SB-BMD constellation. The first two analysis sections will include …

Application Of Gaussian Mixture Models To Simulated Additive Manufacturing, Jason Hasse, Semhar Michael, Anamika Prasad

SDSU Data Science Symposium

Additive manufacturing (AM) is the process of building components through an iterative process of adding material in specific designs. AM has a wide range of process parameters that influence the quality of the component. This work applies Gaussian mixture models to detect clusters of similar stress values within and across components manufactured with varying process parameters. Further, a mixture of regression models is considered to simultaneously find groups and also fit regression within each group. The results are compared with a previous naive approach.

Statistical Tolerance Regions For Flexible Modeling Paradigms, Yafan Guo

Theses and Dissertations--Statistics

Tolerance intervals in a regression setting allow the user to quantify, with a specified degree of confidence, bounds for a specified proportion of the sampled population when conditioned on a set of covariate values. While methods are available for tolerance intervals in fully-parametric regression settings, the construction of tolerance intervals for semiparametric regression models has been treated in a limited capacity. The first project fills this gap and develops likelihood-based approaches for the construction of pointwise one-sided and two-sided tolerance intervals for semiparametric regression models. A numerical approach is also presented for constructing simultaneous tolerance intervals. An appealing facet of …

Stochastic Optimization To Reduce Aircraft Taxi-In Time At Igia, New Delhi, Rajib Das, Saileswar Ghosh, Rajendra Desai, Pijus Kanti Bhuin, Stuti Agarwal

International Journal of Aviation, Aeronautics, and Aerospace

Since there is an uncertainty in the arrival times of flights, pre-scheduled allocation of runways and stands and the subsequent first-come-first-served treatment results in a sub-optimal allocation of runways and stands, this is the prime reason for the unusual delays in taxi-in times at IGIA, New Delhi.

We simulated the arrival pattern of aircraft and utilized stochastic optimization to arrive at the best runway-stands allocation for a day. Optimization is done using a GRG Non-Linear algorithm in the Frontline Systems Analytic Solver platform. We applied this model to eight representative scenarios of two different days. Our results show that without …

A Deep Bilstm Machine Learning Method For Flight Delay Prediction Classification, Desmond B. Bisandu, Irene Moulitsas

Journal of Aviation/Aerospace Education & Research

This paper proposes a classification approach for flight delays using Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) models. Flight delays are a major issue in the airline industry, causing inconvenience to passengers and financial losses to airlines. The BiLSTM and LSTM models, powerful deep learning techniques, have shown promising results in a classification task. In this study, we collected a dataset from the United States (US) Bureau of Transportation Statistics (BTS) of flight on-time performance information and used it to train and test the BiLSTM and LSTM models. We set three criteria for selecting highly important features …

Identifying Potential Consequences Of Use Of A Measure Through Stakeholder Interviews, Melissa G. Kuhn, Joanna K. Garner, Shanan L. Chappell, Linda Bol

STEMPS Faculty Publications

The advent of Messick’s Contemporary Validity Theory (1994) led researchers in survey and measure design to develop and standardize qualitative and quantitative methods of collecting evidence for the validity of psychological instruments. However, one aspect of this theory, consequential validity, has few agreed-upon evidence-gathering methods (Furr & Bachrach, 2014). This study added a blueprint-driven interview method of collecting forecasted consequences of use of an instrument into the overall process of developing a measure of outreach impact on undergraduate engineering students (Authors, in press). The method, which included a purposeful sampling of end-users, is illustrated with thematically presented results. Potential implications …

Eeg-Based Spanish Language Proficiency Classification: An Eeg Power Spectrum And Cross-Spectrum Analysis, Blaise Xavier O'Mara, Skyler Baumer

Honors Theses and Capstones

Second language proficiency may be predicted with electrophysiological techniques. In a machine learning application, this electrophysiological data may be used for language instructors and language students to assess their language learning. This study identifies how electroencephalogram (EEG) power spectrum and cross spectrum data of the brain cortex relates to Spanish second language (L2) proficiency of 20 Spanish language students of varying proficiency levels at the University of New Hampshire. The two metrics for assessing cortical power and processing were event-related desynchronization (ERD)—a measure of relative change in power—of the alpha (8-12 Hz) brain frequency band, and alpha and beta (13-30Hz) …

Occurrence Of Per- And Polyfluoroalkyl Substances (Pfas) In New Hampshire Biosolids, Katherine A. Wieck

Honors Theses and Capstones

Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) are a group of over 4,000 compounds used in the manufacturing of products including aqueous film forming foams for firefighting, stain repellents, waterproofing agents, and nonstick cookware since their initial development in the 1940s. The long fluorinated carbon chain structure of PFAS causes chemical and thermal stability, and thus resistance to biodegradation. Biosolids produced at wastewater facilities for uses such as agricultural land-applied compost and fertilizer for lawns and athletic fields, as well as sludge disposed in landfills can cause contamination of groundwater and surface water. This poses a significant threat to human and environmental …

Joint Probability Analysis Of Extreme Precipitation And Water Level For Chicago, Illinois, Anna Li Holey

Dissertations, Master's Theses and Master's Reports

A compound flooding event occurs when there is a combination of two or more extreme factors that happen simultaneously or in quick succession and can lead to flooding. In the Great Lakes region, it is common for a compound flooding event to occur with a high lake water level and heavy rainfall. With the potential of increasing water levels and an increase in precipitation under climate change, the Great Lakes coastal regions could be at risk for more frequent and severe flooding. The City of Chicago which is located on Lake Michigan has a high population and dense infrastructure and …

Deep Learning-Based Technique For The Perception Of The Cervical Cancer, Aya Haraz, Hossam El-Din Moustafa, Abeer Twakol Khaleel, Ahmed H. Eltanboly

Mansoura Engineering Journal

In third-world countries, cervical cancer is the most prevalent and leading cause of death. It is affected by a variety of factors, including smoking, poor nutritional status, immunological inadequacy, and prolonged use of contraception. The Pap smear test, which is intended to prevent cervical cancer, finds preneoplastic changes in cervical epithelial cells. This study framework classified cervical cancer cells from Pap smears into five specified cell types using machine learning-based classification algorithms. The SIPaKMeD database is used in this investigation. This public dataset, which was manually cropped from 966 cluster cell images taken from Pap smear slides, has 4045 isolated …

Evaluating Ai Sentiment Analysis, Aakriti Shah

Honors Program Theses

This paper presents a comparative analysis of human and AI performance on a sentiment analysis task involving the coding of qualitative data from community program transcripts. The results demonstrate promising but imperfect agreement between two AI models, Claude and Bing, versus three human annotators and one expert annotator using the Community Capitals framework categories. While both models achieved fair alignment with human judgment, confusion patterns emerged involving metaphorical language and text overlapping multiple categories. The findings provide a case study for benchmarking conversational AI systems against human baselines to reveal limitations and target improvements. Key gaps center around distinguishing between …

Exploring Information Leakage In Historical Stock Market Data, Edison Hua

Dissertations and Theses

Information leakage is a major concern for traders who want to execute large orders without affecting the market price. In this paper, we explore the sources and effects of information leakage in historical stock market data using various methods and metrics. We first define information leakage as a pattern caused by a trader that would otherwise not occur without the trader’s activity. Using historical data, the direct impact of a potential large trade cannot be measured, but we consider a minimal impact large trade to be one that minimizes changes to the established trading data. We then analyze how information …