Statistics and Probability Commons^™

Bias Matroids With Unique Graphical Representations, Dan Slilaty

Mathematics and Statistics Faculty Publications

Given a 3-connected biased graph Ω with three node-disjoint unbalanced circles, at most one of which is a loop, we describe how the bias matroid of Ω is uniquely represented by Ω.

Algebraic Characterizations Of Graph Imbeddability In Surfaces And Pseudosurfaces, Lowell Abrams, Dan Slilaty

Mathematics and Statistics Faculty Publications

Given a finite connected graph G and specifications for a closed, connected pseudosurface, we characterize when G can be imbedded in a closed, connected pseudosurface with the given specifications. The specifications for the pseudosurface are: the number of face-connected components, the number of pinches, the number of crosscaps and handles, and the dimension of the first Z2-homology group. The characterizations are formulated in terms of the existence of a dual graph G ∗ on the same set of edges as G which satisfies algebraic conditions inspired by homology groups and their intersection products.

On Adaptive Testing In Orthogonal Saturated Designs, Daniel T. Voss, Weizhen Wang

Mathematics and Statistics Faculty Publications

Adaptive, size-a step-down tests are provided for the analysis of orthogonal saturated designs. The tests work effectively under effect sparsity, and include as special cases the individual nonadaptive tests of Berk and Picard (1991) and the simultaneous nonadaptive tests of Voss (1988). The approach is similar to that used by Wang and Voss (2003) to construct adaptive confidence intervals, but testing is simpler because one can use the same denominator for all statistics. Step-down tests also have a clear power advantage over simultaneous confidence intervals and analogous single-step tests, as is demonstrated theoretically and assessed via simulation.

A Logistic Regression/Markov Chain Model For Ncaa Basketball, Paul H. Kvam, Joel Sokol

Department of Math & Statistics Faculty Publications

Each year, more than $3 billion is wagered on the NCAA Division I men’s basketball tournament. Most of that money is wagered in pools where the object is to correctly predict winners of each game, with emphasis on the last four teams remaining (the Final Four). In this paper, we present a combined logistic regression/Markov chain model for predicting the outcome of NCAA tournament games given only basic input data. Over the past 6 years, our model has been significantly more successful than the other common methods such as tournament seedings, the AP and ESPN/USA Today polls, the RPI, and …

Reliability Modeling In Spatially Distributed Logistics System, Ni Wang, Jye-Chyi Lu, Paul H. Kvam

Department of Math & Statistics Faculty Publications

This article proposes methods for modeling service reliability in a supply chain. The logistics system in a supply chain typically consists of thousands of retail stores along with multiple distribution centers (DC). Products are transported between DC & stores through multiple routes. The service reliability depends on DC location layouts, distances from DC to stores, time requirements for product replenishing at stores, DC's capability for supporting store demands, and the connectivity of transportation routes. Contingent events such as labor disputes, bad weather, road conditions, traffic situations, and even terrorist threats can have great impacts on a system's reliability. Given the …

Statistical Reliability With Applications, Paul H. Kvam, Jye-Chyi Lu

Department of Math & Statistics Faculty Publications

This chapter reviews fundamental ideas in reliability theory and inference. The first part of the chapter accounts for lifetime distributions that are used in engineering reliability analyis, including general properties of reliability distributions that pertain to lifetime for manufactured products. Certain distributions are formulated on the basis of simple physical properties, and other are more or less empirical. The first part of the chapter ends with a description of graphical and analytical methods to find appropriate lifetime distributions for a set of failure data.

The second part of the chapter describes statistical methods for analyzing reliability data, including maximum likelihood …

Assessing The Ssrn-Based Law School Rankings, Theodore Eisenberg

Cornell Law Faculty Publications

One noteworthy feature of the SSRN-based rankings is the high correlation between them and other rankings. Black and Caron report correlation coefficients between their two Social Science Research Network (SSRN) school rankings (one based on downloads from SSRN and one based on the number of papers posted on SSRN) and six other published rankings. The correlations provide a useful and creative measure of consistency across studies. If ranking studies are highly correlated, then the least expensive and most efficient study to conduct can be used without incurring the expense and delay of the more labor-intensive ranking methods. SSRN has a …

An Empirical Analysis Of Ceo Employment Contracts: What Do Top Executives Bargain For?, Stewart J. Schwab, Randall S. Thomas

Cornell Law Faculty Publications

A Class Of Nonlinear Stochastic Volatility Models, Jun Yu, Zhenlin Yang

Research Collection School Of Economics

This paper proposes a class of nonlinear stochastic volatility models based on the Box-Cox transformation which offers an alternative to the one introduced in Andersen (1994). The proposed class encompasses many parametric stochastic volatility models that have appeared in the literature, including the well known lognormal stochastic volatility model, and has an advantage in the ease with which different specifications on stochastic volatility can be tested. In addition, the functional form of transformation which induces marginal normality of volatility is obtained as a byproduct of this general way of modeling stochastic volatility. The efficient method of moments approach is used …

Distributed Blowing And Suction For The Purpose Of Streak Control In A Boundary Layer Subjected To A Favorable Pressure Gradient, Eric Forgoston, Anatoli Tumin, David E. Ashpis

Department of Applied Mathematics and Statistics Faculty Scholarship and Creative Works

An analysis of the optimal control by blowing and suction in order to generate streamwise velocity streaks is presented. The problem is examined using an iterative process that employs the Parabolized Stability Equations for an incompressible fluid along with its adjoint equations. In particular, distributions of blowing and suction are computed for both the normal and tangential velocity perturbations for various choices of parameters.

Three-Dimensional Wave Packet In A Hypersonic Boundary Layer, Eric Forgoston, Anatoli Tumin

Department of Applied Mathematics and Statistics Faculty Scholarship and Creative Works

A three-dimensional wave packet generated by a local disturbance in a hypersonic boundary layer flow is studied with the aid of the previously solved initial-value problem. The solution to this problem can be expanded in a biorthogonal eigenfunction system as a sum of discrete and continuous modes. A specific disturbance consisting of an initial temperature spot is considered, and the receptivity to this initial temperature spot is computed for both the two-dimensional and three-dimensional cases. Using previous analysis of the discrete and continuous spectrum, we numerically compute the inverse Fourier transform. The two-dimensional inverse Fourier transform is found for Mode …

Expert Testimony In Capital Sentencing: Juror Responses, John H. Montgomery, J. Richard Ciccone, Stephen P. Garvey, Theodore Eisenberg

Cornell Law Faculty Publications

The U.S. Supreme Court, in Furman v. Georgia (1972), held that the death penalty is constitutional only when applied on an individualized basis. The resultant changes in the laws in death penalty states fostered the involvement of psychiatric and psychologic expert witnesses at the sentencing phase of the trial, to testify on two major issues: (1) the mitigating factor of a defendant’s abnormal mental state and (2) the aggravating factor of a defendant’s potential for future violence. This study was an exploration of the responses of capital jurors to psychiatric/psychologic expert testimony during capital sentencing. The Capital Jury Project is …

Comparison Of Statistical Tests In Logistic Regression: The Case Of Hypernatreamia, Stylianos Katsaragakis, Christos Koukouvinos, Stella Stylianou, Eleni-Maria Theodoraki, Eleni-Maria Theodoraki

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The logistic regression has become an integral component of any medical data analysis concerning binary responses. The main issue rising after the adaptation of the final model is its goodness-of-fit. The fit of the model is assessed via the overall measures and summary statistics and comparing them in the case of hypernateamia.

An Estimator Of Intervention Effect On Disease Severity, David Siev

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

When a medical intervention prevents a dichotomous outcome, the size of its effect is often estimated with the prevented fraction. Some interventions may reduce the severity of an outcome without entirely preventing it. To quantify the effect of a severity-moderating intervention, a measure termed the mitigated fraction (MF) is proposed. MF has broad applicability, because it measures the overlap of two empirical distributions based on their stochastic ordering. It is also useful in the specific context of medical interventions, because it shares certain structural and functional features with the prevented fraction. The two measures may be applied together …

Bootstrap Intervals Of The Parameters Of Lognormal Distribution Using Power Rule Model And Accelerated Life Tests, Mohammed Al-Haj Ebrahem

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Assumed that the distribution of the lifetime of any unit follows a lognormal distribution with parameters μ and σ . Also, assume that the relationship between μ and the stress level V is given by the power rule model. Several types of bootstrap intervals of the parameters were studied and their performance was studied using simulations and compared in term of attainment of the nominal confidence level, symmetry of lower and upper error rates and the expected width. Conclusions and recommendations are given.

Large Sample And Bootstrap Intervals For The Gamma Scale Parameter Based On Grouped Data, Ayman Baklizi, Amjad Al-Nasser

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Interval estimation of the scale parameter of the gamma distribution using grouped data is considered in this article. Exact intervals do not exist and approximate intervals are needed Recently, Chen and Mi (2001) proposed alternative approximate intervals. In this article, some bootstrap and jackknife type intervals are proposed. The performance of these intervals is investigated and compared. The results show that some of the suggested intervals have a satisfactory statistical performance in situations where the sample size is small with heavy proportion of censoring.

A Comparison Of The Spearman-Brown And Flanagan-Rulon Formulas For Split Half Reliability Under Various Variance Parameter Conditions, David A. Walker

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Differences between the Spearman-Brown and Flanagan-Rulon formulas are examined when the variance parameters for two halves of a test had the following ratios: 1.0, 1.1, 1.2, 1.3, 1.4, 1.5, 1.6, 1.7, 1.8, 1.9, 2.0 and also had a correlation between the two halves of a test at 1.00, .95, .90, .80, .70, .60, .50, .40, .30, .20, .10, .05. It was found that use of the Spearman-Brown formula to estimate the population ρ when the ratio between the standard deviations on two halves of a test is disparate, or beyond .9 to 1.1, was not warranted. Applied and theoretical examples …

Restricted Quasi-Independent Model Resolves Paradoxical Behaviors Of Cohen’S Kappa, Vicki Stover Hertzberg, Frank Xu, Michael Haber

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Cohen’s kappa, an index of inter-rater agreement, behaves paradoxically in 2×2 tables. λ_A is derived, an index from the restricted quasi-independent model for 2×2 tables. Simulation studies are used to demonstrate λ_A has superior performance compared to Scott’s pi. Moreover, λ_A does not show paradoxical behavior for 2×2 tables.

Maximum Tests Are Adaptive Permutation Tests, Markus Neuhäeuser, Ludwig A. Hothorn

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

In some areas, e.g., statistical genetics, it is common to apply a maximum test, where the maximum of several competing test statistics is used as a new statistic, and the permutation distribution of the maximum is used for inference. Here, it is shown that maximum tests are special cases of adaptive permutation tests. The 30-year old idea of adaptive statistical tests is more flexible than previously thought when permutation tests are used, and the selector statistic is calculated for every permutation. Because the independence between the selector and the test statistics is no longer needed, the test statistics themselves can …

Inferences About The Components Of A Generalized Additive Model, Rand R. Wilcox

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A method for making inferences about the components of a generalized additive model is described. It is found that a variation of the method, based on means, performs well in simulations. Unlike many other inferential methods, switching from a mean to a 20% trimmed mean was found to offer little or no advantage in terms of both power and controlling the probability of a Type I error.

The Individuals Control Chart In Case Of Non-Normality, BetüL Kan, Berna Yazici

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

This article examines the effects of non-normality as measured by skewness and provides an alternative method of designing individuals control chart with non-normal distributions. A skewness correction method for constructing the individuals control chart is provided. An example of thickness of biscuit process is presented to illustrate the individuals control chart limits.

An Alternative To Warner’S Randomized Response Model, Sat Gupta, Javid Shabbir

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A modification to Warner’s (1965) Randomized Response Model is suggested. The suggested model is more efficient than the original model.

Inference For P(Y, Vee Ming Ng

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Some tests and confidence bounds for the reliability parameter R=P(Y

Determining Parallel Analysis Criteria, Marley W. Watkins

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Determining the number of factors to extract is a critical decision in exploratory factor analysis. Simulation studies have found the Parallel Analysis criterion to be accurate, but it is computationally intensive. Two freeware programs that implement Parallel Analysis on Macintosh and Windows operating systems are presented.

Change Point Estimation Of Bilevel Functions, Leming Qu, Yi-Cheng Tu

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Reconstruction of a bilevel function such as a bar code signal in a partially blind deconvolution problem is an important task in industrial processes. Existing methods are based on either the local approach or the regularization approach with a total variation penalty. This article reformulated the problem explicitly in terms of change points of the 0-1 step function. The bilevel function is then reconstructed by solving the nonlinear least squares problem subject to linear inequality constraints, with starting values provided by the local extremas of the derivative of the convolved signal from discrete noisy data. Simulation results show a considerable …

Correlation Between The Number Of Epileptic And Healthy Children In Family Size That Follows A Size-Biased Modified Power Series Distribution, Ramalingam Shanmugam, Anwar Hassan, Peer Bilal Ahmad

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

An expression for the correlation between the random number of epileptic and healthy children in family whose size follows a size-biased Modified Power Series Distribution (SBMPSD) is obtained and illustrated. As special cases, results are extracted for size biased Modified Negative Binomial Distribution (SBGNBD), size biased Modified Poisson Distribution (SBGPD) and size biased Modified Logarithmic Series Distribution (SBGLSD).

Simulation Of Non-Normal Autocorrelated Variables, H.E.T. Holgersson

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

All statistical methods rely on assumptions to some extent. Two assumptions frequently met in statistical analyses are those of normal distribution and independence. When examining robustness properties of such assumptions by Monte Carlo simulations it is therefore crucial that the possible effects of autocorrelation and non-normality are not confounded so that their separate effects may be investigated. This article presents a number of non-normal variables with non-confounded autocorrelation, thus allowing the analyst to specify autocorrelation or shape properties while keeping the other effect fixed.

Interval Estimation Of Risk Difference In Simple Compliance Randomized Trials, Kung-Jong Lui

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Consider the simple compliance randomized trial, in which patients randomly assigned to the experimental treatment may switch to receive the standard treatment, while patients randomly assigned to the standard treatment are all assumed to receive their assigned treatment. Six asymptotic interval estimators for the risk difference in probabilities of response among patients who would accept the experimental treatment were developed. Monte Carlo methods were employed to evaluate and compare the finite-sample performance of these estimators. An example studying the effect of vitamin A supplementation on reducing mortality in preschool children was included to illustrate their practical use.

A Robust Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Chart For The Process Mean, Michael B. C. Khoo, S. Y. Sim

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

To date, numerous extensions of the exponentially weighted moving average, EWMA charts have been made. A new robust EWMA chart for the process mean is proposed. It enables easier detection of outliers and increase sensitivity to other forms of out-of-control situation when outliers are present.

A Comparison Of Risk Classification Methods For Claim Severity Data, Noriszura Ismail, Abdul Aziz Jemain

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The objective of this article is to compare several risk classification methods for claim severity data by using weighted equation which is written as a weighted difference between the observed and fitted values. The weighted equation will be applied to estimate claim severities which is equivalent to the total claim costs divided by the number of claims.