Ordinary Differential Equations and Applied Dynamics Commons^™

Advanced Techniques In Time Series Forecasting: From Deterministic Models To Deep Learning, Xue Bai

Graduate Theses, Dissertations, and Problem Reports (ETD)

This dissertation discusses three instances of temporal prediction, applied to population dynamics and deep learning.

In population modeling, dynamic processes are frequently represented by systems of differential equations, allowing for the analysis of various phenomena. The first application explores modeling cloned hematopoiesis in chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) via a nonlinear system of differential equations. By tracking the evolution of different cell compartments, including cycling and quiescent stem cells, progenitor cells, differentiated cells, and terminally differentiated cells, the model captures the transition from normal hematopoiesis to the chronic and accelerated-acute phases of CML. Three distinct non-zero steady states are identified, representing …

(R2059) Modeling The Spread Of Coronavirus With Self-Protection And Quarantine Effect, Dileep Sharma, Agraj Tripathi, Ram Naresh Tripathi

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

A nonlinear mathematical model to study the effect of transmission dynamics of COVID-19 virus in a population with variable size structure is proposed and analyzed. The model divides the total human population into five subclasses: susceptibles, self-protected susceptibles, infectives, quarantined infectives, and recovered population including a class representing cumulative density of coronavirus in the environmental reservoir. The model exhibits two equilibria, namely, the diseasefree and the endemic equilibrium. Model analysis reveals the global dynamics of the spread of COVID-19 is completely determined by the basic reproduction number. If basic reproduction number is greater than one, the endemic equilibrium is locally …

(R1954) Fractional Order On Modeling The Transmission Of Devastative Covid-19 Infection: Efficacy Of Vaccination, Ashutosh Rajput, Tanvi ., Rajiv Aggarwal, Arpana Sharma, Shiv Kumar Sahdev, Manoj Kumar, Jaimala .

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

The second wave of COVID-19 is an unprecedented condition in India and began in mid February 2021. Individuals who were already suffering from other comorbidities were found with lung infection, and hence, the number of disease induced deaths were rising faster during the second wave in relation to the first wave. This paper has proposed a mathematical model with fractional order derivatives by correlating the model based number of infectives with the real number of infectives in India. For the system of fractional differential equations, a disease-free state has been computed and proved to be locally asymptotically stable with certain …

(R2032) Modeling The Effect Of Sanitation Effort On The Spread Of Carrier-Dependent Infectious Diseases Due To Environmental Degradation, Ram Naresh, Sandhya Rani Verma, J. B. Shukla, Manju Agarwal

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

In this present study, an SIS model is proposed and analyzed to study the effect of sanitation effort in controlling the spread of carrier-dependent infectious disease in a human habitat due to environmental degradation. The dynamics of the model consist of six dependent variables, the susceptible population density, infective population density, carrier population density, cumulative density of environmental degradation and the density of sanitation effort applied on carrier population and degraded environment. In the modeling process, the carrier population density and sanitation effort are modeled logistically and the degradation of the environment is assumed to be directly proportional to the …

(R2020) Dynamical Study And Optimal Harvesting Of A Two-Species Amensalism Model Incorporating Nonlinear Harvesting, Manoj Kumar Singh, Poonam .

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

This study proposes a two-species amensalism model with a cover to protect the first species from the second species, with the assumption that the growth of the second species is governed by nonlinear harvesting. Analytical and numerical analyses have both been done on this suggested ecological model. Boundedness and positivity of the solutions of the model are examined. The existence of feasible equilibrium points and their local stability have been discussed. In addition, the parametric conditions under which the proposed system is globally stable have been determined. It has also been shown, using the Sotomayor theorem, that under certain parametric …

(Si10-056) Fear Effect In A Three Species Prey-Predator Food-Web System With Harvesting, R. P. Gupta, Dinesh K. Yadav

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

Some recent studies and field experiments show that predators affect their prey not only by direct capture; they also induce fear in prey species, which reduces their reproduction rate. Considering this fact, we propose a mathematical model to study the fear effect of a middle predator on its prey in a three-species food web system with harvesting. The ecological feasibility of solutions to the proposed system is guaranteed in terms of positivity and boundedness. The local stability of stationary points in the proposed system is derived. Multiple co-existing stationary points for the proposed system are observed, which makes the problem …

Analysis Of Covid-19 And Vaccine Administration In Mississippi, Megan Sickinger

Honors Theses

In this work, we develop a simple mathematical model to observe the spread of COVID-19 and vaccine administration in Mississippi. Based on the well-known Kermack-McKendrick Susceptible-Infected-Removed epidemiological model, the ASIRD−V model has eight ordinary differential equations that split infected populations and recovered populations into vaccinated and unvaccinated populations. After determining that the system is reliable for real-world applications, we investigate and determine the stability and equilibrium points of this system. The system is found to be disease-free when R0 < 1 and endemic when R0 > 1. We use MATLAB to numerically solve the system and optimize the model’s parameters over four short periods, two with the …

(R1412) Stability And Bifurcation Of A Cholera Epidemic Model With Saturated Recovery Rate, Huda Abdul-Satar, Raid K. Naji

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

In this paper, a Cholera epidemic model is proposed and studied analytically as well as numerically. It is assumed that the disease is transmitted by contact with Vibrio cholerae and infected person according to dose-response function. However, the saturated treatment function is used to describe the recovery process. Moreover, the vaccine against the disease is assumed to be utterly ineffective. The existence, uniqueness and boundedness of the solution of the proposed model are discussed. All possible equilibrium points and the basic reproduction number are determined. The local stability and persistence conditions are established. Lyapunov method and the second additive compound …

Qualitative Analysis Of A Modified Leslie-Gower Predator-Prey Model With Weak Allee Effect Ii, Manoj K. Singh, B. S. Bhadauria

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

The article aims to study a modified Leslie-Gower predator-prey model with Allee effect II, affecting the functional response with the assumption that the extent to which the environment provides protection to both predator and prey is the same. The model has been studied analytically as well as numerically, including stability and bifurcation analysis. Compared with the predator-prey model without Allee effect, it is found that the weak Allee effect II can bring rich and complicated dynamics, such as the model undergoes to a series of bifurcations (Homoclinic, Hopf, Saddle-node and Bogdanov-Takens). The existence of Hopf bifurcation has been shown for …

Covid-19 Modeling With Caution In Relaxing Control Measures And Possibilities Of Several Peaks In Cameroon, S. Y. Tchoumi, Y. T. Kouakep, D. J. Fotsa Mbogne, J. C. Kamgang, V. C. Kamla, D. Bekolle

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

We construct a new model for the comprehension of the Covid-19 dynamics in Cameroon. We present the basic reproduction number and perform some numerical analysis on the possible outcomes of the epidemic. The major results are the possibilities to have several peaks before the end of the first outbreak for an uniform strategy, and the danger to have a severe peak after the adoption of a careless strategy of barrier anti-Covid-19 measures that follow a good containment period.

Stability Theory Of Nonlinear Differential Equations, Jiaxiao Wei

Graduate Theses/Dissertations

Nonlinear differential equations are often effective tools in modeling some important phenomena in nature. However, most of the nonlinear ordinary differential equation cannot be solved by analytical methods. A more effective way is to explore the prop- erties of critical point and the trajectory around it. In this study, I will focus on sys- tems of autonomous differential equations, linear as well as nonlinear. I will not only focus on the stability of equilibria but also the orbital stability of nonlinear differential equations. I will introduce various approaches to the study of equilibrium points of the system in terms of …

Estimation Of Transmission Dynamics Of Covid-19 In India: The Influential Saturated Incidence Rate, - Tanvi, Rajiv Aggarwal, Ashutosh Rajput

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

A non-linear SEIR mathematical model for coronavirus disease in India has been proposed, by incorporating the saturated incidence rate on the occurrence of new infections. In the model, the threshold quantity known as the reproduction number is evaluated which determines the stability of disease-free equilibrium and the endemic equilibrium points. The disease-free equilibrium point becomes globally asymptotically stable when the corresponding reproduction number is less than unity, whereas, if it is greater than unity then the endemic equilibrium point comes into existence, which is locally asymptotically stable under certain restrictions on the parameters value in the model. The impact of …

Viral Dynamics Of Delayed Ctl-Inclusive Hiv-1 Infection Model With Both Virus-To-Cell And Cell-To-Cell Transmissions, M. L. Mann Manyombe, J. Mbang, L. Nkague Nkamba, D. F. Nkoa Onana

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

We consider a mathematical model that describes a viral infection of HIV-1 with both virus-tocell and cell-to-cell transmission, CTL response immune and four distributed delays, describing intracellular delays and immune response delay. One of the main features of the model is that it includes a constant production rate of CTLs export from thymus, and an immune response delay. We derive the basic reproduction number and show that if the basic reproduction number is less than one, then the infection free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable; whereas, if the basic reproduction number is greater than one, then there exist a chronic …

Understanding The Fundamental Molecular Mechanism Of Osteogenic Differentiation From Mesenchymal Stem Cells, Imelda Trejo, Hristo V. Kojouharov

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

A mathematical model is presented to study the regulatory effects of growth factors in osteoblastogenesis. The model incorporates the interactions among mesenchymal stem cells, osteoblasts, and growth factors. The resulting system of nonlinear ordinary differential equations is studied analytically and numerically. Mathematical conditions for successful osteogenic differentiation and optimal osteoblasts population are formulated, which can be used in practice to accelerate bone formation. Numerical simulations are also presented to support the theoretical results and to explore different medical interventions to enhance osteoblastogenesis.

Qualitative Analysis Of A Modified Leslie-Gower Predator-Prey Model With Weak Allee Effect Ii, Manoj K. Singh, B. S. Bhadauria

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

The article aims to study a modified Leslie-Gower predator-prey model with Allee effect II, affecting the functional response with the assumption that the extent to which the environment provides protection to both predator and prey is the same. The model has been studied analytically as well as numerically, including stability and bifurcation analysis. Compared with the predator-prey model without Allee effect, it is found that the weak Allee effect II can bring rich and complicated dynamics, such as the model undergoes to a series of bifurcations (Homoclinic, Hopf, Saddle-node and Bogdanov-Takens). The existence of Hopf bifurcation has been shown for …

Stability And Bifurcation Analysis Of A Delayed Three Species Food Chain Model With Crowley-Martin Response Function, Ashok Mondal, A. K. Pal, G. P. Samanta

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

In this paper we have studied the dynamical behaviors of three species prey-predator system. The interaction between prey and middle-predator is Crowley-Martin type functional response. Positivity and boundedness of the system are discussed. Stability analysis of the equilibrium points is presented. Permanence and Hopf-bifurcation of the system are analyzed under some conditions. The effect of discrete time-delay is studied, where the delay may be regarded as the gestation period of the super-predator. The direction and the stability criteria of the bifurcating periodic solutions are determined with the help of the normal form theory and the center manifold theorem. Extensive numerical …

A Mathematical Study For The Existence And Survival Of Human Population In A Polluted Environment, Manju Agarwal, Preeti _

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

Rapidly rising population and increasing urbanization have the potential for producing a high level of pollution. Pollutants have the ability to change the distributions of patterns of plants and animals. Some of the main pollutant categories are water pollutants, air pollution, pesticides, and radioactive waste. Most abundantly toxicants are produced by the chemical and medical industries. We used food crops that are produced by using pesticide and herbicides, etc. Due to the enormous variety of toxic substances are present in the atmosphere, it is challenging task to determine the potential ecological and human health risk. Keeping all these things in …

Ultimate Boundedness And Periodicity Results For A Certain System Of Third-Order Nonlinear Vector Delay Differential Equations, Linda D. Oudjedi, Moussadek Remili

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

In the last years, there has been increasing interest in obtaining the sufficient conditions for stability, instability, boundedness, ultimately boundedness, convergence, etc. For instance, in applied sciences some practical problems concerning mechanics, engineering technique fields, economy, control theory, physical sciences and so on are associated with third, fourth and higher order nonlinear differential equations. The problem of the boundedness and stability of solutions of vector differential equations has been widely studied by many authors, who have provided many techniques especially for delay differential equations. In this work a class of third order nonlinear non-autonomous vector delay differential equations is considered …

Strong Stability Of A Class Of Difference Equations Of Continuous Time And Structured Singular Value Problem, Qian Ma, Keqin Gu, Narges Choubedar

SIUE Faculty Research, Scholarship, and Creative Activity

This article studies the strong stability of scalar difference equations of continuous time in which the delays are sums of a number of independent parameters tau_i, i = 1, 2, . . . ,K. The characteristic quasipolynomial of such an equation is a multilinear function of exp(-tau_i s). It is known that the characteristic quasipolynomial of any difference equation set in the form of one-delayper- scalar-channel (ODPSC) model is also in such a multilinear form. However, it is shown in this article that some multilinear forms of quasipolynomials are not characteristic quasipolynomials of any ODPSC difference equation set. The equivalence …

On The Qualitative Behaviors Of A Functional Differential Equation Of Second Order, Cemil Tunç

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

The aim of this paper is first to investigate the stability of the zero solution to a new Liénard type equation with multiple variable delays by two different methods. The methods to be used in the proofs involve the Lyapunov-Krasovskiĭ functional approach and the fixed point technique under an exponentially weighted metric, respectively. We make a comparison between the applications of these methods with the established conditions on the same stability problems. Then, we obtain three new results for uniformly stability and boundedness/ uniformly boundedness of the solutions to the considered equation by the Lyapunov-Krasovskiĭ functional approach. An example is …

On Local Asymptotic Stability Of Q-Fractional Nonlinear Dynamical Systems, Ilknur Koca, Elif Demirci

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

In this paper, locally asymptotic stability of q-fractional order nonlinear dynamical systems is introduced and studied. The sufficient conditions for local stability of such dynamical systems are obtained. Also, useful definitions of fractional order q-integrals and q-derivatives are recalled. Finally, a q-fractional order nonlinear dynamical model is considered.

A Boundedness And Stability Results For A Kind Of Third Order Delay Differential Equations, Moussadek Remili, Djamila Beldjerd

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

The objective of this study was to get some sufficient conditions which guarantee the asymptotic stability and uniform boundedness of the null solution of some differential equations of third order with the variable delay. The most efficient tool for the study of the stability and boundedness of solutions of a given nonlinear differential equation is provided by Lyapunov theory. However the construction of such functions which are positive definite with corresponding negative definite derivatives is in general a difficult task, especially for higher-order differential equations with delay. Such functions and their time derivatives along the system under consideration must satisfy …

A Stage-Structured Two Species Competition Mathematical Model Under The Effect Of Disease, Manju Agarwal, Vinay Verma

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

In this paper we study the dynamics of two competing species model; one of this competing species is stage structured and the disease spreads only in the other competing specie. In order to keep the model simple, we present it under the strong assumption that the disease can not cross the species barrier. Dynamical behaviors such as positivity, boundedness, stability, bifurcation and persistence of the model are studied analytically using the theory of differential equations. Computer simulations are carried out to substantiate the analytical findings. It is noted that c the loss rate of the population, T the maturation time …

Modelling The Dynamics Of A Renewable Resource Under Harvesting With Taxation As A Control Variable, B. Dubey, Atasi Patra, S. K. Sahani

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

The present paper describes a model of resource biomass and population with a non-linear catch rate function on resource biomass. The harvesting effort is assumed to be a dynamical variable. Tax on per unit harvested resource biomass is used as a tool to control exploitation of the resource. Pontryagin’s Maximum Principle is used to find the optimal control to maintain the resource biomass and population at an optimal level. A numerical simulation is also carried out to support the analytical results.

Dynamics Of Phytoplankton, Zooplankton And Fishery Resource Model, B. Dubey, Atasi Patra, R. K. Upadhyay

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

In this paper, a new mathematical model has been proposed and analyzed to study the interaction of phytoplankton- zooplankton-fish population in an aquatic environment with Holloing’s types II, III and IV functional responses. It is assumed that the growth rate of phytoplankton depends upon the constant level of nutrient and the fish population is harvested according to CPUE (catch per unit effort) hypothesis. Biological and bionomical equilibrium of the system has been investigated. Using Pontryagin’s Maximum Principal, the optimal harvesting policy is discussed. Chaotic nature and bifurcation analysis of the model system for a control parameter have been observed through …

Modelling The Role Of Cloud Density On The Removal Of Gaseous Pollutants And Particulate Matters From The Atmosphere, Shyam Sundar, Rajan K. Sharma, Ram Naresh

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

In this paper, a six dimensional nonlinear mathematical model is proposed to study the effect of the density of cloud droplets (formed due to the presence of vapors in the atmosphere) on the removal of pollutants, both gaseous and particulate, from the atmosphere. We assume that there exist six nonlinearly interacting phases in the atmosphere i.e. the vapor phase, the phase of cloud droplets, the phase of raindrops, the phase of gaseous pollutants, the phase of particulate matters and the phase of gaseous pollutants absorbed in raindrops. It is further assumed that the dynamics of the system undergo ecological type …

On Stability Of Dynamic Equations On Time Scales Via Dichotomic Maps, Veysel F. Hatipoğlu, Zeynep F. Koçak, Deniz Uçar

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

Dichotomic maps are used to check the stability of ordinary differential equations and difference equations. In this paper, this method is extended to dynamic equations on time scales; the stability and asymptotic stability to the trivial solution of the first order system of dynamic equations are examined using dichotomic and strictly dichotomic maps. This method, in dynamic equations, also involves Lyapunov’s direct method.

Modeling And Analysis Of The Spread Of An Infectious Disease Cholera With Environmental Fluctuations, Manju Agarwal, Vinay Verma

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

A nonlinear delayed mathematical model with immigration for the spread of an infectious disease cholera with carriers in the environment is proposed and analyzed. It is assumed that all susceptible are affected by carrier population density. The carrier population density is assumed to follow the logistic model and grows due to conducive human population density related factors. The model is analyzed by stability theory of differential equations and computer simulation. Both the disease-free (DFE), (CFE) and endemic equilibria are found and their stability investigated. Bifurcation analyses about endemic equilibrium are also carried out analytically using the theory of differential equations. …

Some Stability Problems In Droplet Formation And Breakup (Report Lstm 351/T/92)., Nihad E. Daidzic

Aviation Department Publications

In this study the instability of droplets and cylindrical jets is investigated. The understanding of these processes has both academic and practical value. Instability of cylindrical jets is theoretically investigated for infinitesimal and finite, but small initial amplitudes (linear and nonlinear stability). For droplets, only linear theory is presented. It is assumed that the capillary force play a dominant role. It is determined that the viscosity exerts a damping effect. In the first section we give an introduction, after which the linear stability theory of cylindrical liquid jets is presented. In the third section the nonlinear jet stability theory is …