Ordinary Differential Equations and Applied Dynamics Commons^™

Modeling, Control Analysis, And Parameter Estimation Of Epidemic Dynamics Using The Unscented Kalman Filter, Muhammad Imran, Saira Batool, Brett Mckinney

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.

Dynamics Of A Two-Stage Epidemiological Model With Post-Infection Mortality And Transmission Heterogeneity, B Sagar

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.

A Phylogeny Informed Mathematical Model Of Hpai H5n1 Transmission And Control In Multi Host Systems, Oluwatosin Babasola

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.

Stochastic Universal Differential Equations For Epidemiological Modeling: Uncertainty Quantification In Disease Transmission Dynamics, Alice Menaya Armah-Bonney

Electronic Theses and Dissertations

Epidemic forecasting requires not only predictions of expected case counts, but also quantification of uncertainty, although existing surrogate modeling frameworks for agent-based models remain fundamentally deterministic. In this thesis a Stochastic Universal Differential Equation framework is presented that extends the deterministic Universal Differential Equation approach by incorporating a learnable stochastic diffusion term, enabling calibrated probabilistic forecasts while preserving the mechanistic interpretability and computational efficiency of the deterministic baseline. In doing so, a two-phase training algorithm is introduced to ensure stable convergence and the framework is validated against the ensemble output from ExaEpi, an exascale agent-based model of a COVID-19 outbreak …

A Mathematical Modeling Approach To Investigate The Impacts Of Post-Infection Mortality And Partial Immunity On Disease Endemicity, Brendan M. Shrader

Honors Undergraduate Theses

A number of infectious diseases cause post-infection conditions or complications, such as COVID- 19, Q fever, and Polio. These conditions result in recovered individuals having a higher mortality rate than susceptibles, and this can impact disease dynamics. An existing mass-action model in the literature that incorporated post-infection mortality was shown to have limit cycles, or persistent oscillations, in the infected population. To better understand what causes these limit cycles, we develop and analyze a new epidemiological model with standard incidence. We show standard results, including the existence, uniqueness, and stability of the disease-free and endemic equilibria, and we rule out …

Mathematical Modelling Of Disease Outbreak, Favour Christian, Matthew Molloy

SURE Journal: Science Undergraduate Research Experience Journal

Establishing a model framework for more research necessitates a thorough understanding of the causes, distribution, prevalence, and evolution of infectious illnesses. The main mathematical concept used in this modelling simulation is ordinary differential equations (ODEs). The purpose of this study was to investigate the significance of the many criteria linked to a zombie virus spread. The zombie framework provides an accessible and relatively simple representation of the nature of infectious disease spread, allowing for tractable assumptions and the development of more complex situations.

The models are designed around a zombie outbreak in which the zombie virus is spread through a …

Modeling Fast Information And Slow(Er) Disease Spreading: A Geometric Analysis, Iulia Martina Bulai, Mattia Sensi, Sara Sottile

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.

Using Splines To Investigate The Effects Of Temperature On The Within-Mosquito Malaria Parasite Forms, Alexander J. Diefes, Miranda I. Teboh-Ewungkem

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.

Information Feedback Delays Within Epidemic Models And Their Effect On Model Dynamics., Maria K. Bouka, Christopher Strickland Dr

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.

Estimating Modeling Parameters For Covid-19 Spread On Campus, Aviel S. Crigger

Honors Undergraduate Theses

Understanding the true burden of community transmission of communicable diseases like COVID-19 is crucial for effective public health response. Clinical cases, while important, only represent a fraction of the actual disease prevalence within a population. In this thesis, we investigate methods to estimate parameters that link clinical cases to the true disease prevalence using a modified compartmental model known as SICR (Susceptible, Infected, Cases, Recovered). We employ Bayesian inference and ensemble Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulations to analyze clinical case data provided by the University of Central Florida Health Center from 2020 to 2022. Our goal is to estimate …

Generalized Differential Equation Models For Disease Interventions: A Novel Approach For Predicting Sexually Transmitted Disease Outbreaks, Scott Greenhalgh

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.

Modeling The Dynamics Of Alcohol-Marijuana Co-Abuse In Virginia, Ana L. Vivas-Barber, James Tipton, Sujan Pant, Anne Fernando

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.

Epidemiological Assessment Of Wolbachia-Based Biocontrol For Reduction Of Dengue Morbidity, Olga Vasilieva, Oscar E. Escobar, Hector J. Martinez, Pierre-Alexandre Bliman, Yves Dumont

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.

Understanding Biofilm-Phage Interactions In Mathematical Framework, Blessing Emerenini

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.

Optimal Intervention Strategies To Minimize Spread Of Infectious Diseases And Economic Impact On A Dynamic Small-World Network, Malindi Whyte, Danielle Dasilva

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.

Mathematical Model Of Zika Epidemic In Colombia, Sethupathy Ganesan

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.

Modeling And Analysis Of Social Contagion In Overweight And Obesity Epidemic, Chathuri Edirisinghe Arachchige

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.

The Effect Of Prep Uptake And Adherence On The Spread Of Hiv In The Presence Of Casual And Long-Term Partnerships, Sylvia J. Gutowska, Katharine Gurski, Kathleen Hoffman

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.

Analysis Of Sir Epidemic Models With Sociological Phenomenon, Robert F. Allen, Katherine C. Heller, Matthew A. Pons

Spora: A Journal of Biomathematics

We propose two SIR models which incorporate sociological behavior of groups of individuals. It is these differences in behaviors which impose different infection rates on the individual susceptible populations, rather than biological differences. We compute the basic reproduction number for each model, as well as analyze the sensitivity of R₀ to changes in sociological parameter values.

Using Network Modeling To Understand The Relationship Between Sars-Cov-1 And Sars-Cov-2, Elizabeth Brooke Haywood, Nicole A. Bruce

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.

Exploring The Effect Of The Nestling Recruitment Curve On Enzootic West Nile Virus Transmission, Emily B. Horton

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.

Parameter Identification For A Stochastic Seirs Epidemic Model: Case Study Influenza, Olusegun M. Otunuga, Anna Mummert

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.

Quantifying The Contribution Of Environmental Pathways To The Transmission Of Clostridium Difficile, Lindsey R. Fox, Cara Sulyok, Judy Day, Cristina Lanzas, Suzanne Lenhart

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.

Optimal Spraying Strategies For Controlling Re-Infestation By Chagas Disease Vectors, Bismark Oduro, Winfried Just, Mario Grijalva

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.

A Study Of Pair Formation Disease Models With A Two Phase Infection, Berlinda Rosa Batista

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.

Staged Hiv Transmission And Treatment In A Dynamic Model With Concurrency, Katharine Gurski, Kathleen Hoffman

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.

Age-Structured And Vaccination Models Of Devil Facial Tumor Disease, Christopher D. Bruno, Timothy Comar, Megan O. Powell, Adjo Tameklo

Spora: A Journal of Biomathematics

Tasmanian devil populations have been devastated by devil facial tumor disease (DFTD) since its first appearance in 1996. The average lifespan of a devil has decreased from six years to three years. We present an age-structured model to represent how the disease has affected the age and breeding structures of the population. We show that with the recent increase in the breeding of juvenile devils, the overall devil population will increase but not nearly to pre-DFTD levels. The basic reproductive number may be increased with the influx of young breeding devils. In addition, our model shows that the release of …

Oscillations In Epidemic Models With Spread Of Awareness, Ying Xin

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.

Control Policies And Sensitivity Analysis In A Cutaneous Leishmaniasis Model: A Case Study In Cusco Region, Peru., Rocio M. Caja-Rivera, Ignacio Barradas

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.

A Unified Model Of Pathogenesis Pathways Of Type 2 Diabetes, Joon Ha, Arthur Sherman

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.