Applied Mathematics Commons^™

Evaluating Optimal Capacity And Investment Strategies For Renewable Energy Projects: A Combined Technical And Financial Approach, Helen Josephine, Indhumathi Shanmugasundaram, Sharad Gupta, Manjari Sharma

Northeast Journal of Complex Systems (NEJCS)

The global shift toward clean energy is accelerating, and by 2050 renewable sources are expected to supply more than 85% of the world’s electricity. This transition, however, introduces new layers of complexity. Wind and solar energy behave as interconnected subsystems whose output fluctuates with weather, season, and geography. Their interaction with fixed hourly demand, capital-intensive investments, and financing structures creates a multi-dimensional system in which small changes can trigger significant operational and economic consequences.  This study presents a simulation-driven framework designed to understand and optimize this complex behaviour. The framework models hourly wind and solar generation alongside projected demand to …

Decision Making At Triage Classification Using Svm With Smote Technique, Mehanas Shahul, Pushpalatha Kp

Northeast Journal of Complex Systems (NEJCS)

The efficient functioning of triage gates in overcrowded emergency departments (EDs) occurs in the context of the complex adaptive system (CAS) framework, where diverse system elements – patients, medical personnel, resources, patients’ inflow patterns, and patients themselves – simultaneously and dynamically influence the decision process. This study addresses the automated incorporation of machine learning triage algorithms as part of the system triage process to support automated classified risk-level recognition based on a limited set of vital signs. Patients are dynamically subsumed under high and low-risk categories enhanced by sensitivity, which enables optimal diagnosis and triage response to the critical clinician …

Uncovering Discrete States From Multimodal Psychophysiological Data Using Gaussian Latent Dirichlet Allocation (Glda), Congyu Wu, Aaron Fisher, David Schnyer

Northeast Journal of Complex Systems (NEJCS)

In this article we explore and validate the utility of an unsupervised probabilistic model, Gaussian Latent Dirichlet Allocation (GLDA), for discovering discrete states from repeated, multimodal psychophysiological samples collected from multiple individuals. Psychology and medical research heavily involves measuring potentially related but individually inconclusive variables from a cohort of participants to derive diagnosis, necessitating clustering analysis for state identification. Traditional probabilistic clustering models such as Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) assume a global mixture of component distributions, which may not be realistic for observations from different patients. The GLDA model borrows the individual-specific mixture structure from a popular topic model Latent …

Asymmetric Opinion Formation Of Emotional Excitable Agents, Irene Ferri, Emanuele Cozzo, Aleix Nicolás-Olivé, Albert Díaz-Guilera, Luce Prignano

Northeast Journal of Complex Systems (NEJCS)

The bounded confidence model represents a widely adopted framework for modeling opinion dynamics wherein actors have a continuous-valued opinion and interact and approach their positions in the opinion space only if their opinions are within a specified confidence threshold. Here, we propose a novel framework where the confidence bound is determined by a decreasing function of their emotional arousal, an additional independent variable distinct from the opinion value. Additionally, our framework accounts for agents' ability to broadcast messages, with interactions influencing the timing of each other's message emissions. Our findings underscore the significant role of synchronization in shaping consensus formation. …

Conditional Product Sampling For Gaussian Process Implicit Surfaces, Song Shi

Dartmouth College Master’s Theses

Gaussian Process Implicit Surfaces (GPISes) provide a powerful and unified stochastic geometry representation for rendering surfaces, volumes, and the rich continuum between them. Recent work has shown that GPISes can model a broad space of visual appearances under a unified light transport framework. However, practical rendering with GPISes remains challenging: existing estimators can become inefficient for particular correlation structures, and highly anisotropic or heightfield-like GPISes require specialized treatment to obtain robust variance reduction.

This thesis extends recent work on GPIS rendering by introducing a new next-event estimation (NEE) technique for anisotropic GPISes.We show that standard NEE provides diminishing benefits as …

Machine Learning For Modeling In An Elementary Differential Equations Class, Nathan Albin, Andrew G. Bennett, Abhinav Chand

CODEE Journal

Mixing machine learning with modeling is an area of increasing importance. This paper presents a lesson where students model a spring-mass system both using traditional analysis with linear damping and using machine learning to learn the damping from real data. The machine learning is implemented in a Jupyter notebook hosted on Google Colab, allowing students to train the neural network without requiring the students to carry out coding. Students get experience with how machine learning can fail, how it can work, and the time and data requirements for machine learning to succeed, and are asked to apply this knowledge to …

Geometric Structure In High-Dimensional Representations: Theory And Applications To Language, Jiayi Chen

Dartmouth College Ph.D Dissertations

This thesis develops a geometric perspective on high-dimensional representations, motivated by applications to language. Rather than treating representations solely as inputs to predictive models, we view them as structured objects whose geometry encodes meaningful information. In particular, we argue that such representations exhibit organization at multiple scales: at a global level, metric and clustering structure capture relationships such as genre, authorship, and discourse; at a local level, geometric quantities such as intrinsic dimension and curvature describe how these relationships vary across the space.

To study these phenomena, we combine empirical analysis with theoretical development. On the empirical side, we examine …

Bayesian Designs For Two-Arm Clinical Trials With Time-To-Event Endpoints: Incorporating Historical Data Through Power Priors, Sara Hajraf H. Almutiri

Mathematics & Statistics ETDs

Bayesian methods provide a flexible framework for time-to-event analysis by incorporating prior information. The power prior offers a systematic way to borrow information from historical data. This approach is especially valuable in clinical research, where historical data can enhance inference in early-phase trials with limited sample sizes. This dissertation develops Bayesian approaches for two-arm survival studies using both closed-form and simulation-based methods. The closed-form inference is derived under exponential and Weibull survival models. Under the proportional hazards framework, the posterior is derived through a normal approximation to the log hazard ratio, allowing inference on the treatment effect when the variance …

An Analytical Framework For Quantifying Urban And Community Resilience To Natural Hazards From Cell-Phone Gps-Location And Traffic-Flow Data, Georgios Chatzikyriakidis

Civil and Environmental Engineering Theses and Dissertations

Urban areas are increasingly exposed to natural hazards while accommodating a growing share of the global population, yet a consistent science-based framework for quantifying urban and community resilience remains lacking. This dissertation develops a physics-based analytical framework grounded in statistical mechanics and the quantitative theory of Brownian motion. A city is conceptualized as a complex medium in which citizens move analogously to Brownian particles within a viscoelastic environment, influenced by socioeconomic interactions and infrastructure functionality.

A central premise is that urban resilience, interpreted as engineering resilience (an outcome), can be quantified through a single metric: the mean-square displacement MSD=⟨r²(t)⟩, of …

Stochastic Derivative-Free Deep Learning Methods For Solving High Dimensional Partial Differential Equations, Qing He Mr.

Mathematics Theses and Dissertations

Solving high-dimensional partial differential equations (PDEs) is a fundamental challenge in scientific computing, with applications ranging from quantum chemistry and computational finance to statistical physics and stochastic optimal control.  Classical numerical methods such as finite element or finite difference schemes suffer from the curse of dimensionality, rendering them computationally infeasible when the dimension $d$ exceeds a handful. Physics-informed neural network (PINN) methods alleviate this by embedding the PDE residual directly into a loss function, but they require computing derivatives of the network with respect to its spatial inputs---an operation that scales poorly in high dimensions and demands that the approximate …

Accuracy Of Parameter Estimation For A Simple Gene Regulatory Network Model Is Sensitive To Network Motif, Number Of Parameters Estimated, And Magnitude And Direction Of Regulatory Relationships, Nikki C. Chun, Kam Dahlquist

Honors Thesis

A gene regulatory network (GRN) is a set of transcription factors that regulate the expression of genes encoding other transcription factors. The dynamics of a GRN explain how gene expression changes over time. GRNmap is a MATLAB software package that uses ordinary differential equations to model dynamics of small-scale GRNs. We used the program to estimate production rates, expression thresholds, and regulatory weights for each transcription factor in three related literature-derived GRNs based on yeast cold shock microarray data previously collected in the Dahlquist Lab. We noticed large differences in estimated weight values when 1-2% of the expression values were …

Harnessing Backcasting To Identify Drivers Of Critical Warming At Hoover Dam Using Hydrodynamic And Machine Learning Models, Eunice Ledres

UNLV Theses, Dissertations, Professional Papers, and Capstones

Elevated water temperatures can pose a significant threat to dam infrastructure, potentially damaging turbines, overheating internal components, and forcing generator shutdowns. This study uses a backcasting framework to evaluate how future scenarios may result in elevated water temperatures. Backcasting defines undesirable outcomes and works backward to identify the conditions that lead to them. The developed backcasting framework integrates 3D physics-based simulations with a Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM)surrogate model and SHapely Additive exPlanations (SHAP) interpretation. The combination captures temporal water temperature dynamics and quantifies the contributions of different drivers to elevated water temperature releases. As proof of concept, these methods are …

Stochastic Invasion And Extinction In Environmentally Transmitted Diseases, Mahmudul Bari Hridoy, Lauren M. Childs

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.

Dynamic Homeostasis In Relaxation And Bursting Oscillations, Christopher J. Ryzowicz

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.

Modeling, Control Analysis, And Parameter Estimation Of Epidemic Dynamics Using The Unscented Kalman Filter, Muhammad Imran, Saira Batool, Brett Mckinney

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.

Dynamics Of A Two-Stage Epidemiological Model With Post-Infection Mortality And Transmission Heterogeneity, B Sagar

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.

Effectiveness Of The Guided Discovery Method In Teaching The Surface Area Of A Cylinder, Paul Ahortu

2026 Symposium

This study investigates the impact of the guided discovery instructional method on students’ understanding of the surface area of a cylinder. A quasi-experimental pre-test–post-test design was conducted with 100 senior high school students in Cape Coast, Ghana, divided into experimental and comparison groups..

Results showed a substantial improvement in performance for students exposed to guided discovery, with mean scores increasing from 1.25 (pre-test) to 9.43 (post-test) and a large effect size (Cohen’s d = 2.70). Statistical analysis also revealed significant gender differences in achievement.

These findings indicate strong improvement following the guided discovery intervention and suggest its potential to enhance …

The Dynamics Of Synchrony On Replicating Biological Populations, Montse Torres Garcia, Kevin Mcgoff, Francis Motta, Breschine Cummins, Steve Haase

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.

Modeling The Effects Of Chronic Stress On Type 2 Diabetes, Kris Mae Pasia

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.

A Mechanistic Model Of Adhesion, Inflammation, Sleep, And Pain In Sickle Cell Patients, Milan Marsh, Rebecca Segal

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.

A Logic-Based Differential Equation Model Of Endothelial Cell Function, Ella Froedge, Scarlett Hamilton, Mitchel Colebank

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.

Gap Junction Architecture And Synchronization Clusters In The Thalamic Reticular Nuclei, Alex Norwood

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.

A Multiscale Computational Framework Coupling Pulmonary Arterial Blood Flow And Lung Tissue Perfusion, Nigar Sultana, Hangjie Ji, Mette Sofie Olufsen

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.

Dynamical Systems Modeling To Determine The Role Of Crosstalk In Shaping Stat Signaling Profiles, Laura F. Strube, Anamarie Martinez, Neha Cheemalavagu, Karsen Shoger, James Faeder, Rachel Gottschalk

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.

A Stochastic And Spatial Model Of Microtubule Dynamics In Neuronal Dendrites, Meghan Kwon

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.

A Phylogeny Informed Mathematical Model Of Hpai H5n1 Transmission And Control In Multi Host Systems, Oluwatosin Babasola

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.

Mathematical Modeling Of The Combined Effects Of Thermal Burn And Local Irradiation, Quintessa Hay, Rachel Jennings, Amy Creel, Kyle Gaffney, Christina Wagner, Kidist Maxwell, Ginu Unnikrishnan, Tyler Dant

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.

Parameter Sensitivity, Identifiability, And Estimation For A Data-Driven Model Of Malaria, Katharine Gurski, Kathleen Hofman

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.

Mitigating Parameter Identifiability Issues Through Model Calibration On The Data-Informed Active Subspace: An Example In Tumor Growth, Allison L. Lewis, Rebecca A. Everett

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.

Incorporating Thermal Performance Curves Into Population Dynamic Models For The West Nile Vector, Culex Pipiens, Benjamin Bruncati, Helle Aronson, Chloé Lahondère, Michael A. Robert

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.