Medical Genetics Commons^™

Development Of A Clinical Prediction Model For Diabetes In Chronic Pancreatitis: The Predict3c Study, Christie Jeon, Phil A Hart, Liang Li, Yunlong Yang, Eleanor Chang, Melena D Bellin, William E Fisher, Evan L Fogel, Christopher E Forsmark, Walter G Park, Stephen K Van Den Eeden, Santhi Swaroop Vege, Jose Serrano, David C Whitcomb, Dana K Andersen, Darwin L Conwell, Dhiraj Yadav, Mark O Goodarzi

Faculty, Staff and Student Publications

Objective: Diabetes that arises from chronic pancreatitis (CP) is associated with increased morbidity and mortality. Methods to predict which patients with CP are at greatest risk for diabetes are urgently needed. We aimed to examine independent risk factors for diabetes in a large cohort of patients with CP.

Research design and methods: This cross-sectional study comprised 645 individuals with CP enrolled in the PROCEED study, of whom 276 had diabetes. We conducted univariable and multivariable regression analyses of potential risk factors for diabetes. Model performance was assessed by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) analysis, and accuracy was …