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Full-Text Articles in Disease Modeling

Modeling Sporadic Tumor Formation Driven By Telomere Dysfunction In The Gastrointestinal Tract, Suzanne S. Chan Aug 2010

Modeling Sporadic Tumor Formation Driven By Telomere Dysfunction In The Gastrointestinal Tract, Suzanne S. Chan

Dissertations and Theses (Open Access)

Colorectal cancer is a complex disease that is thought to arise when cells accumulate mutations that allow for uncontrolled growth. There are several recognized mechanisms for generating such mutations in sporadic colon cancer; one of which is chromosomal instability (CIN). One hypothesized driver of CIN in cancer is the improper repair of dysfunctional telomeres. Telomeres comprise the linear ends of chromosomes and play a dual role in cancer. Its length is maintained by the ribonucleoprotein, telomerase, which is not a normally expressed in somatic cells and as cells divide, telomeres continuously shorten. Critically shortened telomeres are considered dysfunctional as they …


Optimizing Vaccine Allocation At Different Points In Time During An Epidemic, Laura Matrajt, Ira M. Longini Jr. Mar 2010

Optimizing Vaccine Allocation At Different Points In Time During An Epidemic, Laura Matrajt, Ira M. Longini Jr.

UW Biostatistics Working Paper Series

For current pandemic influenza H1N1, vaccine production started in the early summer, and vaccination started in the fall. In most countries, by the time vaccination started, the second wave of H1N1 was already under way. With limited supplies of vaccine, it might be a good strategy to vaccinate the high-transmission groups earlier in the epidemic, but it might be a better use of resources to protect instead the high-risk groups later on. We develop a deterministic epidemic model with two age-groups (children and adults) and further subdivide each age group in low and high risk. We compare optimal vaccination strategies …


Using Modeling And Simulation To Evaluate Disease Control Measures, Tracy Atkins Jan 2010

Using Modeling And Simulation To Evaluate Disease Control Measures, Tracy Atkins

Electronic Theses and Dissertations

This dissertation introduced several issues concerning the analysis of diseases by showing how modeling and simulation could be used to assist in creating health policy by estimating the effects of such policies. The first question posed was how would education, vaccination and a combination of these two programs effect the possible outbreak of meningitis on a college campus. After creating a model representative of the transmission dynamics of meningitis and establishing parameter values characteristic of the University of Central Florida main campus, the results of a deterministic model were presented in several forms. The result of this model was the …