Systems Science Commons^™

Anomaly Detection Of Network Layer Attacks Against Cyber Physical Systems Using Machine Learning And Deep Learning Techniques, James Alger, Michael Tu

Military Cyber Affairs

This research paper presents the analysis of using machine learning and deep learning algorithms on detecting anomalous network traffic in Cyber-Physical Systems (CPS). Using a real PLC CPS-based system, normal and anomalous network traffic will be captured using Wireshark. The research analyzes a DDoS attack. The focus of the research is to identify the most effective feature combinations and evaluate them on ML and DL models. The emphasis is on enhancing detection strategies rather than exploiting device vulnerabilities. The detection of network attacks often involves handling a vast array of high-level features. Previous studies (Li & Chasaki, 2022) apply machine …

Characterizing Caldera’S Cyber Attack Emulation Capabilities, Caleb Chang, Matthew Cao, Kenyou Teoh, Ekzhin Ear, Shouhuai Xu

Military Cyber Affairs

Autonomous cyber attack emulation can aid cyber defenders to identify and remediate cyber risks. MITRE’s Caldera software is the state-of-the-practice for automated attack emulation. Yet, it has not been systematically analyzed, putting its performance and effectiveness into question. This paper systematically characterizes Caldera’s architecture, abilities and use cases, and assesses its strengths and weaknesses. It draws useful insights, such as: Caldera excels in stealthy access and execution tactics to pilfer data against Windows operating systems. It also discusses two directions for Caldera improvement: module-level automation and end-to-end attack emulation.

The Digital Battlefield: Safeguarding Military Drones Against Cyberattacks, Jason Ashong, Arun Venkitanarayanan, Benjamin Yankson

Military Cyber Affairs

The Internet of Battlefield Things (IoBT) is an advanced network of interconnected devices that significantly enhance military operations through real-time data exchange and situational awareness. While IoBT offers tactical advantages like improved surveillance, reconnaissance, and operational effectiveness, it also introduces substantial cybersecurity risks. Adversaries can exploit vulnerabilities within these networks, potentially compromising mission integrity and national security. This research examines the cybersecurity measures of commercial drone controllers and their correlation with military devices. It aims to enhance future vulnerability assessments with advanced tools and approaches to better secure critical military operations. The study highlights the need for robust security architectures …

Using Blockchain Technology To Help Secure America's Defense Critical Infrastructure, Vimal Buck, Aerin Krebs, Brynn Hillard, Jakob Gerha, Joseph Lutma, Srikar Maduposu, Ted Allen

Military Cyber Affairs

Critical water infrastructure in the United States faces increasing cybersecurity threats from state-sponsored actors, with potentially devastating consequences for national security, economic stability, and public health. (Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency, 2025). This infrastructure supports defense critical assets and is actively being targeted by various state-sponsored hacking groups, which poses a major concern for civilians and military alike. K. Herath (personal communication, February 24, 2025) reported being aware of two attacks on Ohio water systems during his tenure as Cybersecurity Strategic Advisor to Ohio Governor Mike DeWine.

Water is essential to everyday life and defense and presents as a high-value …

Network And Multipath Traceroute Visualization, Cameron Makowski

Military Cyber Affairs

TraceCam introduces a new paradigm in network path analysis, leveraging GPU-accelerated WebGL visualization, advanced traceroute integrations, and AI-driven insights to transform complex routing data into actionable intelligence. Early prototypes have demonstrated significant improvements in performance, clarity, and multi-path discovery, overcoming traditional limitations in traceroute analysis. By incorporating retrieval-augmented language models and enriched metadata sources like IPinfo.io, TraceCam enables automated anomaly detection, contextual explanations, and rapid root-cause analysis, enhancing operational efficiency. The platform’s architecture ensures scalability and adaptability, supporting deeper investigations and real-time situational awareness. Future development will focus on clustering-based anomaly detection, expanded geographic visualizations, and enhanced AI-generated analysis to …

Quantifying Adversary Military Forces’ Susceptibility To Cognitive Attacks, Bonnie Rushing, Cole Nelson, Shouhuai Xu, Christofer “Raven” O’Keefe, Olga Karpoyan

Military Cyber Affairs

This paper introduces a method to quantify international populations’ susceptibility to cyber cognitive attacks using press freedom and media trust metrics. We present the Cognitive Influence Calculator, a tool that estimates susceptibility (𝑆) based on Press Freedom Scores (PFS) and media trust levels. Findings show that while authoritarian regimes are harder to reach, successful cognitive attacks have greater impacts due to higher trust in state-controlled narratives. Using U.S. wargaming data and international trust metrics, we compute susceptibility scores for the U.S., Russia, China, Iran, and North Korea. Results show an inverse relationship between PFS and media susceptibility, with local/allied …

Forward, Amy Hamilton

Military Cyber Affairs

No abstract provided.

Understanding Russia’S Cyber Policies, Strategies, And Doctrines, Bryan Hancock, Hanh Nguyen, Olga Karpoyan, Ekzhin Ear, Shouhuai Xu

Military Cyber Affairs

This study analyzes the strengths and weaknesses of Russia’s cyber policies, strategies, and doctrines through a systematic set of attributes, leading to key insights: (i) Russia has proactively adapted its cyber policies, strategies, and doctrines to its evolving environment; (ii) Russia actively conducts cognitive warfare, but remains equally vulnerable to it; and (iii) Russia’s cyber posture faces significant challenges, including a limited technological base, shortage of skilled personnel, and restrictive approach to information control, all of which undermine the effectiveness of its strategies. These insights offer valuable implications for US Cyber Command and the Department of Defense.

Characterizing Cyberattacks Against Operational Technology Infrastructures Through The Lens Of Attack Flows, Sherman Kettner, Caleb Chang, Ekzhin Ear, Shouhuai Xu

Military Cyber Affairs

Operational Technology (OT) infrastructures play a critical role in modern society and economy. However, their increasing connectivity with public networks such as the Internet has made them vulnerable to cyberattacks, much like traditional Information Technology (IT) systems. In particular, cyberattacks against OT infrastructures remain relatively underexplored and little understood. In this paper, we aim to deepen our understanding of cyberattacks against OT infrastructures. For this purpose, we propose a methodology, including novel cybersecurity metrics to analyze the attack flows of these attacks in an end-to-end fashion, which allows us to draw useful insights. We demonstrate the utility of the methodology …

Agent-Based Modeling To Stress Test New York State Healthcare Robustness, Brandon Bedenbedner

Northeast Journal of Complex Systems (NEJCS)

This study presents an agent-based model (ABM) to assess the resilience of New York State’s healthcare system during public health crises. The model simulates patient interactions, disease spread, and resource allocation, identifying critical vulnerabilities and evaluating strategies to avoid system collapse. Simulation results indicate that with just 10\% of the population infected, hospitals statewide can reach full capacity within ten days, causing significant care delays and an estimated 32,104 deaths within a 30-day period.

Sensitivity analysis revealed infection rates, base mortality, and travel-related delays as primary drivers of system outcomes. These findings highlight the critical need for expanded surge capacity, …

Simulation Study On Optimizing Microgrid Scheduling With Electric Vehicle Participation Under V2g Mode, Zhongan Yu, Hongliang Xiao, Qiangwei Xia, Jiawei Liu

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: To address the negative impact of source-load uncertainty on the stable operation of the grid, a two-stage optimization scheduling strategy for the microgrid participation of electric vehicles based on the vehicle-to-grid (V2G) mode is proposed. In the first stage, the charging and discharging costs of electric vehicles as well as the load fluctuation target are determined taking into account the battery losses. Through a zero-sum game, we objectively weigh the interests of both vehicle owners and the microgrid, utilizing the mobile energy storage characteristics of electric vehicles to optimize the load curve and integrate renewable energy; in the second …

Aerial Target Detection Algorithm Fused With Multi-Scale Features, Lu Yang, Junying Pei

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: In order to solve the problem that UAV aerial images have a large number of small target samples but little extractable feature information, which is not conducive to improving the accuracy of aerial target detection, an improved small target detection algorithm for aerial photography based on YOLOv8s is proposed. The algorithm applies deformable convolution to the feature extraction module of the backbone network to adaptively capture the details of the target at different locations and scales. The feature information at different scales of the backbone network is extracted and enhanced by the feature collection module in the multilevel information …

Finite-Time Robust Anti-Disturbance Control For Steer-By-Wire System, Jingyi Zhang, Xin Chen, Jingang Ding, Jianguo Luo, Shuo Feng

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: To eliminate the influence of parameter perturbations and external disturbances on the wheel angle tracking control performance of steer-by-wire (SbW) system, a fractional-order integral terminal sliding mode control scheme based on a finite-time disturbance observer is proposed. A sliding modebased second order finite-time disturbance observer (FDO) is designed to precisely estimate the total disturbance of the SbW system, and the estimated total disturbance is compensated into the system control input to reduce the wheel angle tracking error. A fractional-order fast integral terminal sliding mode control (FOFITSMC) scheme is designed to ensure fast convergence of the wheel angle tracking error …

Modeling And Simulation Of Hybrid Traffic Flow Considering The Inherent Dynamics Of Cacc Vehicular Platoons, Xiujian Yang, Jingjing Huang, Xi Wang

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: To investigate the characteristics of single-lane mixed traffic flow with the presence of cooperative adaptive cruise control (CACC) vehicle platoons, a modeling approach based on cellular automata is proposed. This method distinguishes between the car-following strategies of human-driven vehicles and CACC vehicles, incorporating dynamic inter-vehicle spacing within the platoon and actual control behaviors to construct a mixed traffic flow model with inherent dynamic properties. The model enables an in-depth analysis of the influence of platoon features, such as geometric formation, carfollowing control strategies, and platoon size, on the characteristics of mixed traffic flow. It also allows us to study …

Research On Obstacle Avoidance Of Substation Robot Based On Spatiotemporal Networks, Chong Cheng, Lixia Wang, Songtao Duan, Xiaoguang Xiong, Xianjun Ge

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: In order to improve the visual obstacle avoidance ability of substation robots in complex environments, a robot visual obstacle avoidance method based on spatiotemporal networks is proposed. The method utilizes traditional image processing techniques to enhance road information and designs a lightweight deep convolutional neural network structure to extract road features from a spatial domain perspective; based on the spatial characteristics of the road, a long short-term memory network is introduced to mine the changes in the road from a temporal perspective, and a classification regression prediction structure is used to predict the robot's obstacle avoidance direction and angle; …

Operation System For Simulation Roadheader Based On Visual Motion Capture, Yongling Li, Lingzhi Liu, Baishun Zhou, Jingfa Lei, Miao Zhang, Ruhai Zhao

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: To enhance the natural human-machine interaction in simulation roadheader environment, a vision-based simulation roadheader operation system is proposed. The visual motion capture unit is based on the MediaPipe framework, which captures hand gestures through cameras and creates a correspondence between the physical world and virtual space. An improved Kalman filter algorithm is proposed by setting a weighted centroid to address the issue of unreasonable jumps in hand keypoint data during large-scale movements. The operator's gestures are discerned and the corresponding commands are conveyed. The results show that the improved method has significant advantages over the control group in terms …

Research On Behavior Control Techniques For Autonomous Vehicles Based On Parallel Behavior Tree Architecture, Jianchao Yuan, Shuo Yang, Qi Zhang, Ge Li

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: Aiming at the problem of high collision rate and low efficiency of traditional serial behavior tree in autonomous vehicle control, a solution based on improved parallel behavior tree architecture is discussed to achieve safe behavior control. A safety behavior control strategy under dynamic road conditions is proposed, and behavior models for observation, decision-making, and movement are constructed, as well as their temporal constraint relationships; an improved parallel behavior tree control architecture is proposed, which achieves parallel execution and real-time interaction of behaviors through parallel control nodes, improving the real-time performance of decision control. The results show that compared with …

Research On Improving Design Efficiency Of Coaxial Magnetic Gear Based On Linear Model, Shuguang Zhao, Ce Chen, Xiaochang Xie, Fuping Li, Jin Han

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: To address the issues of large model computation load and cumbersome magnetization direction setting during the simulation design of coaxial magnetic field modulation type magnetic gears, a simplified design method is proposed, which uses a linear model to replace the original conventional circular ring model. Based on the periodicity of the structure and magnetic field of each part of the magnetic gear, the modeling work is simplified and the computational load of the simulation analysis is reduced. The results show that compared with the circular ring structure, the number of magnetization coordinate system settings for the linear structure is …

Simulation Study On Adaptive Signal Control Of Deformed Intersection Based On Lstm-Gnn, Kun Chen, Liang Chen, Jiming Xie, Fengbo Liu, Taixiong Chen, Lukuan Wei

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: Aiming at the traffic congestion at deformed intersections, an improved adaptive traffic signal control scheme based on deep learning is designed, the scheme integrates the adaptive signal control of LSTM and GNN at deformed intersections. LSTM is used to capture the dependence between time series traffic data, while GNN is used to construct a spatial interaction model between lanes. By integrating the information of time and space dimensions, the model can dynamically adjust the phase duration of signal lights according to real-time traffic conditions. The results indicate that the LSTM-GNN adaptive control scheme improves overall traffic throughput efficiency by …

Modeling And Simulation Of Dual-Podded-Propulsion Ship Motions, Bing Han, Yunhe Lin, Yuhang Chen, Zhouhua Peng

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: Aiming at the autonomous navigation control requirements of the Dalian Maritime University's dual-purpose intelligent research and training ship "Xin Hong Zhuan," the design of the motion model for this dual-podded-propulsion ship is carried out. Utilizing an MMG model structure, it calculates the hull's hydrodynamic viscous forces, single/dual-propeller thrust, and hydrodynamic forces acting on the podded propulsion units. Based on data from sea trials and open-water propeller tests, straight-navigation resistance is derived via data fitting, while a method using simulated turning circle tests and PSO algorithms is proposed to determine some hydrodynamic coefficients, refining existing empirical formulas. The model's maneuvering …

Research On Scenario-Driven Virtual Simulation Test Method For Autonomous Escort Function Of Habor Tugs, Shijie Li, Jialin Li, Jialun Liu, Chengqi Xu, Zhilin Dong

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: In order to comprehensively construct the test scenarios and verify the reliability of the tugboat autonomous companionway function, a scenario-driven virtual simulation test method for the tugboat autonomous companionway function is proposed. Based on the relative heading, relative speed and relative position of the target ship and the tugboat, the test cases of the tugboat autonomous companionway scenario are generated, and the complexity of the test cases is evaluated by using the fifthorder Bessel curve. The autonomous companion navigation function of the tug is verified through simulation experiments on the complex typical test scenarios without and with obstacles. The …

Construction Method Of Digital Twin System For High-Low Temperature Test Chamber, Qinghua Chen, Zuoyou Liang, Weijuan Guan, Jiadong Ji, Ping Liu

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: In view of the construction requirements of the digital twin system of the high-low temperature test chamber, the EMQX server with MQTT as the communication protocol is used for data transmission. Driven by real-time data, real-time dynamic interactive mapping between the physical entity and the virtual model is realized. The neural network model and genetic algorithm are used to evaluate and predict the running state of the equipment and provide the system adjustment strategy, so as to realize the whole climate, life and working condition of the staff to understand the running state of the equipment, and effectively ensure …

Cooperative Guidance For Multigroup Flight Vehicles Against Multiple Targets With Separated Impact Time, Guofei Li, Shituo Li, Yilun Huangfu, Yueyang Hua, Yunjie Wu, Zongyu Zuo

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: To cope with cooperative guidance against multiple targets, a distributed cooperative guidance for multigroup flight vehicles to strike multiple targets with separated impact time is proposed. The collaborative variables for multigroup flight vehicles with separated impact time are given, and the guidance law in the line of sight (LOS) is proposed. The guidance laws on the normal and lateral directions of the LOS are proposed to make the LOS deflection angle rate and LOS the inclination angle rate converge rapidly, which ensures that each vehicle is able to strike the target. The finite-time convergence of the proposed guidance laws …

Automatic Multi-Objective Optimization Based On Dynamic Storage Location Allocation Strategy, Juan Chen, Wang Zheng, Qianqian Liu, Bin Lu

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: Based on the dynamic storage allocation strategy, the two-stage optimization model is constructed with the whole warehouse as the main optimization body, in order to meet the safety and rationality of the storage allocation goals, and to meet the dispatching goals of the shortest operation time and the lowest energy consumption of each stacke. The upper and lower levels of the model are typical multi-objective optimization problems, and the ideal solution of the upper level model will be the initial condition of the lower level model. The multi-objective genetic algorithm is used to solve the ideal solution of the …

Soft Sensor Modeling Based On Adaptive Sparse Broad Learning System⋅, Kangping Du, Lin Sui, Weili Xiong

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: To address the challenges posed by nonlinearity and the coupling of multiple features in complex industrial processes, resulting in increased model complexity and decreased performance, a soft sensor modeling method based on adaptive sparse broad learning system is proposed. Building upon the lateral enhancement transmission of features, the trace least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) is further used to optimize the feature weights of the network, adaptively adjusting the penalty intensity based on the correlation between different variables to enhance the feature extraction capabilities of the model. The Dropout mechanism is introduced in the enhanced part, and the …

Enhanced Artificial Gorilla Algorithm For Mobile Robot Path Planning, Chen Ye, Peng Shao, Shaoping Zhang, Wenting Li, Tengming Zhou

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: To address the issues of susceptibility to local optima and slow convergence in mobile robot path planning within complex terrain scenarios, an enhanced artificial gorilla troops optimizer with integration of quadratic interpolation and elite individual genetic strategies (QGGTO) is proposed. The algorithm integrates quadratic interpolation and elite individual genetic strategies to promote information exchange among candidate solutions, thereby accelerating convergence, while maintaining population diversity to avoid local optima. For complex terrains containing both regular and irregular obstacles, a cost function that comprehensively considers walking distance, safety, and turning angles is constructed to uniformly evaluate the path planning performance of …

Dynamic Path Planning For Robotic Arms Based On An Improved Ppo Algorithm, Yuhang Wan, Zilu Zhu, Chunfu Zhong, Yongkui Liu, Tingyu Lin, Lin Zhang

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: Aiming at the increased environmental uncertainties and more difficult modeling for robotic arm path planning in unstructured environments, an approach to dynamic path planning of robotic arms based on an improved PPO algorithm is proposed. In order to solve the problem that the input length of the state space is not fixed due to the change of number of obstacles in dynamic environment, an environmental state input processing method based on the LSTM network is proposed, and the network structure of PPO algorithm is also improved; a reward function is designed based on the artificial potential field method, and …

Multi-Model Based Iterative Method For System-Of-Systems Architecture Design, Xuemeng Zhao, Tianzhu Ren, Zhemei Fang

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: In order to solve the problems of difficulties in expressing dynamic characteristics and lack of decision analysis support in developing models of the department of defense architecture framework (DoDAF), an integrated iterative method for combat SoS architecture design is proposed. The DoDAF architecture model integrates and expresses combat-related information from multiple perspectives; the ExtendSim executable model simulates the emergence behavior and dynamic characteristics of combat SoS architecture in multiple scenarios; and the decision model quantitatively analyzes and selects architecture schemes by multi-objective decision rules. Ultimately, a SoS architecture integrated iterative design method of "view-simulate-decide-iterate" is formed. The design process …

Self-Supervised Defect Detection Via Discriminative Enhancement-Based Distillation Learning, Zhiyuan Feng, Ying Chen

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: To address the issues of scarce and unknown types of abnormal defect data and the lack of diversity in anomaly representation in conventional knowledge distillation defect detection methods, a self-supervised distillation learning method based on discriminative enhancement is proposed. An attention-based multi-scale feature fusion module is proposed, which enhances the capability of anomaly representation by amplifying the multi-scale feature differences between the student network and the teacher network. A discriminative network composed of a feature reweighting module and a decoder is designed to generate more accurate anomaly score maps by further emphasizing the anomaly features in the teacher network, …

Research On Robot Dynamic Obstacle Avoidance Method Based On Improved A* And Dynamic Window Algorithm, Yan Zhang, Binghua Li, Tao Huo, Rong Liu

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: Aiming at the problems that the traditional A* algorithm has too many extension nodes and path turning points, and can't deal with dynamic obstacles in complex environment, a robot obstacle avoidance method combining improved A* algorithm and DWA algorithm is proposed. The A* algorithm improves the neighborhood expansion method and effectively avoids the problem of redundant nodes in the classical four-neighborhood expansion and the path through the obstacle in the eight-neighborhood expansion. A quadrant selection method is proposed, which can effectively reduce the number of extended nodes in the path search process. The redundant point elimination strategy is proposed …