Operations Research, Systems Engineering and Industrial Engineering Commons^™

Power Flow Calculation Based On Block-Encoded Adiabatic Quantum Newton-Raphson Method, Shengchao Jiang, Yunqing Pei, Hongying Zhai, Guojian Wu, Fang Gao

Journal of System Simulation

To overcome the efficiency bottleneck of the traditional Newton-Raphson (NR)method in high- dimensional power flow calculations for modern power systems and the constraints of variational quantum algorithm frameworks, this paper proposed a power flow calculation framework integrating block encoding technology and adiabatic quantum computing principles. Based on block encoding technology, adiabatic quantum theory, and the NR method, a block-encoded adiabatic quantum power flow calculation framework (BQ-NR) was constructed. The NR correction equations were mapped to a quantum system, and the quantum state encoding of the correction equations was realized by constructing an extended Hermitian matrix and a projection operator; a …

Automatic Speed Guidance Method And Simulation Evaluation For Trams At Intersections, Jing Teng, Wencong Tong, Zhongjie Zhang, Xing Yao, Junxian Li

Journal of System Simulation

To address the lack of speed regulation mechanism and the high dispersion of operational time in the current manual driving mode, this paper proposes an automatic speed guidance method for trams at intersections. Considering the speed disturbances caused by potential traffic conflicts at intersections, an initial decision point for safe passage speed at an intersection is established, dividing the operational curve into deterministic segments and disturbance-response segments.To verify the effectiveness of the method, a case study of Songjiang Tram Line 1 is conducted.Driving simulation experiments are performed to obtain manual driving trajectories, and a dynamic trajectory simulation model …

Robot Trajectory Planning And Adjustment Method For Abnormal Pose Of Actuator, Lang Qin, Jiacheng Xie, Xiaojun Qiao, Xuewen Wang, Zhijie Xiao

Journal of System Simulation

To address the influence of the abnormal pose of the robot actuator on the robot trajectory, an adaptive planning and adjustment method of trajectory based on virtual-real fusion was proposed. AR technology was introduced to couple with the robot kinematics model, and the hardware dependence on multiple sensors was replaced by synchronous comparison of three-dimensional virtual and real poses; AR gestures and voice interaction were combined to simplify the operation process; based on the actual pose of the actuator, the trajectory of the robot terminal axis was dynamically adjusted. The experimental results show that this method breaks through the technical …

Research On Calculation Model Of Excavation Resistance Under Heterogeneous Soil Conditions, Xin Zhang, Ping Zhang, Chen Zhang, Wei Liu, Boyang Han

Journal of System Simulation

To address the problem of insufficient prediction accuracy of excavation resistance in heterogeneous cohesive soil, a spatial calculation model of excavation resistance at each excavation stage under heterogeneous soil conditions was proposedbased on the cutting wedge model, comprehensively considering multi-dimensional factors such as bucket geometry, side plate effect, lateral force, and inertia. By taking a small crawler hydraulic excavator as the research object, a coupled simulation model of boom multi-body dynamics and soil-rock particle discrete element was established, and the theoretical model was validated through the co-simulation of excavation operations. The simulation results indicate that under the working …

Ultra-Short-Term Photovoltaic Power Prediction Based On Improved Patchtst Considering Data Drift, Huawei Mei, Penghui Yang, Yang Yu

Journal of System Simulation

Existing PV power prediction methods often suffer from limited accuracy and robustness due to three key shortcomings: relying on single-point mapping that cannot fully extract local temporal patterns; inadequate exploration of the global temporal dependencies in PV output, and failure to account for prevalent data drift phenomena. To overcome these limitations,an improved patch time series transformer (PatchTST) based approach is proposed for ultra-short-term PV power prediction. The methodology applies rough set theory for feature dimensionality reduction, effectively preserving critical decision information by analyzing both feature-label relationships and inter-feature correlations. An enhanced PatchTST model with a modified channel-independent mechanism extracts …

Detection Method For 3d Lanes Based On Graph Relationship Optimization Integrating Point And Lane Features, Yanji Jiang, Xingyi Xiao, Hao Dong, Miao Yu, Jinshan Huang, Daqian Liu, Bowen Fei

Journal of System Simulation

Under complex road conditions, the thin and elongated structure and small proportion of lanes lead to blurred visual features and insufficient positioning accuracy, which in turn threatens the road safety of autonomous driving. To address these issues, a 3D lane detection method or graph-based point and lane optimization network (GPLNet), based on graph relationship optimization integrating point and lane features, was proposed. Preliminary feature extraction was completed by the backbone network. 3D spatial positional coding with geometric constraints was obtained through a joint query embedding generation module. A graph relationship optimization network was utilized to perform graph relationship calculation and …

Robust Identification Of Black-Box Nonlinear Ssm Using Expectation-Maximization, Xiaonan Li, Tao Chao, Ping Ma, Ming Yang, Yuxuan Wang

Journal of System Simulation

To address the robust identification problem of nonlinear state space models (SSM) with outliers, missing observations, and unknown state equations, this paper proposes a modeling method based on eigenfunction expansion, Gaussian-process state-space models (GP-SSM), and Student-t distribution. The proposed approach consists of: modeling the state transition function using eigenfunctions and pre-encoding the priors of basis function coefficients via GP-SSM to enhance flexibility; modeling observations as a Student-t distribution with unknown parameters to enhance robustness against outliers; proposing the enhanced particle Gibbs with ancestor sampling (EPGAS) algorithm to adapt to state estimation in scenarios with missing observations; and deriving unknown model …

Topology Identification Of Complex Dynamical Networks Under Dynamical Saturation Inputs, Haoyu Wang, Yayong Wu, Guoping Jiang, Ying Zheng, Xuanxin Zhou

Journal of System Simulation

In view of the problem that the controller inputs in actual engineering systems are vulnerable to the constraints of dynamical saturation and delayed dynamical saturation, which makes it difficult for the topology identification of complex dynamical networks to adapt to real physical scenarios, a topology identification method based on the drive-response mechanism was proposed. A response network with the same dynamical characteristics and node scale as the original network was constructed, and the dynamical equation of synchronization error between the drive-response networks was established. A controller with dynamical saturation and delayed dynamical saturation and a topology identifier were designed, and …

Modeling Of Penicillin Fermentation Process Based On A Multi-Stage Lhs-Eprcc Method, Quan Li, Peng Su, Haiying Wan, Chengxi Zhang, Zhijian He, Yiyang Ni

Journal of System Simulation

This paper focused on the modeling of microbial fermentation processes under varying production environments and proposed a novel approach. Considering that the dynamic characteristics of microorganism s differ across growth stages, we introduced the concept of multi-stage sensitivity analysis, in which each stage was investigated separately. The fuzzy C-means (FCM) algorithm was employed to cluster process data under nominal conditions, thereby dividing the penicillin fermentation process into distinct growth stages. Based on this division, the Latin hypercube sampling with partial rank correlation coefficient (LHS-EPRCC) method was applied to conduct sensitivity analysis for each stage, identifying an importance parameter set (IPS) …

Sos Effectiveness Evaluation Method Based On Fuzzy Functional Dependency Network Analysis, Hongjia Su, Cheng Zhang, Fei Liu

Journal of System Simulation

Functional dependency network analysis (FDNA) enables modeling functional dependencies among equipment in a system of systems (SoS) and then computing the whole SoS effectiveness based on the effectiveness of each equipment, thus overcoming the deficiency of traditional SoS effectiveness evaluation based on tree-like index systems. However, critical parameters such as strength/criticality of dependency in this methodology currently rely on subjective empirical assignments, where the deviations resulting from subjectivity may compromise the accuracy of effectiveness evaluation. To address this limitation, this paper proposes a fuzzy FDNA (FFDNA)-based SoS effectiveness evaluation method. This method constructs a functional dependency network (FDN) model …

Research On Completion Method For Trajectory Based On Image Representation And Collaborative Feature Perception, Ye Tao, Jinhui Tang, Chen Zhou, Chong Wang

Journal of System Simulation

To address the constraints imposed by missing trajectory data in surveillance systems on the efficacy of civil aviation safety monitoring, as well as the limitations on the development and application of advanced technologies within trajectory-based operational frameworks, a completion method for trajectory based on image representation and collaborative feature perception was proposed. A conversion strategy for trajectory image representation was designed to reformulate the trajectory completion task as a deterministic image completion problem, effectively circumventing the cumulative error problem of traditional time-series data caused by the limitation of recurrent neural network inference mechanisms.A regression model fusing a multi-kernel hybrid …

Hyperspectral Anomaly Detection Algorithm Based On Window Reconstruction And Collaborative Representation, Shuanghao Fan, Fang He, Jianwei Zhao, Haojie Hu, Fengchao Zhu, Xiangyang Li

Journal of System Simulation

Hyperspectral anomaly detection refers to identifying ground objects that deviate from normal background distributions and have low probability and small scales from scenes involving mixed multi- class ground objects, spectral feature overlaps, and noise interference. This technology has received extensive attention in recent years. Although collaborative representation-based anomaly detection algorithms demonstrate excellent performance in hyperspectral image anomaly detection, their time costs are too high to enable widespread application.To address this issue, this paper proposes a hyperspectral image anomaly detection algorithm based on window reconstruction and collaborative representation, which consists of two stages. Window reconstruction is performed on hyperspectral background …

Capacity Market Trading Strategies Of Generators Based On Per-Maddpg Algorithm, Yanbin Li, Zhaolun Pan, Xinyue Ma, Minghao Song, Yujie Hu, Xiaoda Xue

Journal of System Simulation

Considering the issue of how power generators trade off their quantity and price bidding strategies to maximize profits in different capacity market environments, a capacity market bidding equilibrium model is constructed. Recognizing the limitations of traditional solution methods, which rely on the assumption of complete information and have low utilization of historical trading strategy information, a capacity market trading simulation method based on prioritized experience replay multi- agent deep deterministic policy gradient (PER-MADDPG) is proposed. The action space is constructed using quantity bidding strategy and price bidding strategy, and the state space is constructed using historical transaction strategies and winning …

Multi-Agent Cbs Path Planning Algorithm Based On Minimum Planning Margin First, Longxiao Liang, Jianlin Mao, Niya Wang, Chengyuan Fang, Wenna Zhou

Journal of System Simulation

To address the problems of chain effect and insufficient solving efficiency in the conflict tree (CT) expansion of the traditional conflict-based search (CBS) framework, a minimum-margin-first CBS algorithm based on planning margin was proposed. The calculation of planning margin was introduced into the underlying A* search, and the robots with the minimum margin were prioritized in the high-level conflict resolution, to suppress the chain expansion of the CT while ensuring path optimality.Simulation experiments show that the proposed algorithm significantly reduces the amount of CT node expansion and the number of root node conflicts and effectively improves the solving efficiency, …

An Automated Generation Method For Combat Simulation Scenarios Based On Large Language Models, Zhiming Dong, Zhongqi Hu, Haoran Dai, Jiancheng Gao

Journal of System Simulation

To address the issue of low efficiency in generating traditional army tactical combat simulation scenarios, an automated generation method based on large language models is proposed. The large language model invokes a semantic segmentation algorithm to parse and restructure the combat scenario, forming semantic modules. Utilizing a multi-agent collaborative framework based on the model contextual protocol, the large language model drives each agent to extract simulation elements from the corresponding semantic modules, constructing a knowledge graph of scenario elements. Using this knowledge graph as a retrieval medium, the method employs a dense retrieval algorithm to achieve precise matching between simulation …

Multi-Level Digital Model Of Dynamic Earned Value Management For Complex Engineering Projects And Its Applications, Wei Wang, Dong Liu, Xinhao Cui, Bo Li, Yiyong Xiao, Yi Ren

Journal of System Simulation

The economic management of existing engineering projects is usually based on organizational structure, which presents problems such as complex processes and difficulty in clarifying main responsibilities when applied to complex engineering projects. In response to this limitation, a multi-level digital model of dynamic earned value management is proposed for complex engineering projects, which extends the traditional cost performance indicators to engineering resource utility indicators, thereby decomposing the earned value of costs into segmented earned values of different engineering resources. This enables managers to dynamically supervise projects based on traditional "schedule-cost" performance indicators and carry out more refined cost control …

Dynamic Task Planning For Wargaming Based On Large Language Models, Yingang Liu, Ming Ma, Ronghua Zhang

Journal of System Simulation

To address the problems of great difficulty in intelligent decision-making and insufficient dynamism in task planning caused by the complex adversarial environment and strong uncertainty in wargaming tasks, this paper proposed a hierarchical Agent collaborative decision-making framework based on large and small model synergy.Through a multi-level structure, the hierarchical decoupling and dynamic coordination of battlefield tasks were achieved. A memory management module was constructed, and a query optimization mechanism driven by large language models was introduced to dynamically perceive the decision-making process and query intent, completing the semantic reconstruction and context completion of raw queries. A time-driven two-stage task …

Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning Method For Wargame Simulation Based On Suboptimal Demonstration Guidance, Zicong Zhou, Junjie Zeng, Yue Hu, Zhengqiu Zhu, Quanjun Yin

Journal of System Simulation

To address issues such as fixed behavior patterns and insufficient adaptability in complex adversarial environments exhibited by traditional wargame agent decision-making models, this paper proposes a multi-agent reinforcement learning method based on suboptimal demonstrations (MARLSD). The proposed method integrates reward relabeling with a self-imitation learning mechanism, effectively improving the training efficiency of multi-agent reinforcement learning algorithms in environments with large state-action spaces and sparse rewards, even when only a small number of suboptimal demonstrations are available, while encouraging agents to explore better strategies. Experimental results show that, compared with baselines such as QMIX and MAGAIL, MARLSD significantly improves performance and …

Annotation-Free 6-Dof Grasp Detection Method Integrating Physical And Geometric Priors, Min Shi, Shisheng Guo, Suqin Wang, Zhaoxin Li, Dengming Zhu

Journal of System Simulation

To improve the stability and cross-category generalization capability of grasp pose estimation in complex stacked scenes, an annotation-free 6-DoF grasp detection method integrating physical rules and geometric structure priors was proposed. In the offline stage, a template library of feasible grasp poses was constructed based on multi-physical constraints, without relying on manual grasp annotations. In the network design, the modeling of structural symmetry of objects and spatial overlap relationships was introduced; a geometric guidance mechanism with occlusion perception and exposure modeling capabilities was designed, and robust pose alignment of target objects was achieved by combining keypoint regression. A multi-type stacked …

Robust Two-Stage Mimo-Ofdm Channel Estimation Method Against Sensing Errors, Yi Peng, Jun Wang, Qingqing Yang, Jianming Wang, Hui Li

Journal of System Simulation

To address the challenges of performance degradation, high pilot overhead, and high computational complexity in traditi onal channel estimation methods for integrated sensing and communication (ISAC) assisted MIMO-OFDM systems when radar sensing information contains errors, this paper proposes a robust two-stage sparse channel estimation framework designed to be tolerant of sensing errors. In the first stage, a residual energy weighted simultaneous orthogonal matching pursuit (REW-SOMP) algorithm is designed. Leveraging locally adaptive dictionary expansion and a residual- weighted path selection mechanism, it accurately captures communication-associated paths even under sensing errors. The second stage introduces an adaptive penalty factor alternating direction method …

An Analytical Framework For Quantifying Urban And Community Resilience To Natural Hazards From Cell-Phone Gps-Location And Traffic-Flow Data, Georgios Chatzikyriakidis

Civil and Environmental Engineering Theses and Dissertations

Urban areas are increasingly exposed to natural hazards while accommodating a growing share of the global population, yet a consistent science-based framework for quantifying urban and community resilience remains lacking. This dissertation develops a physics-based analytical framework grounded in statistical mechanics and the quantitative theory of Brownian motion. A city is conceptualized as a complex medium in which citizens move analogously to Brownian particles within a viscoelastic environment, influenced by socioeconomic interactions and infrastructure functionality.

A central premise is that urban resilience, interpreted as engineering resilience (an outcome), can be quantified through a single metric: the mean-square displacement MSD=⟨r²(t)⟩, of …

Largest 2-Regular Subgraphs In Complete S-Partite Graphs, Yiyang Jiang

McKelvey School of Engineering Graduate Student Theses & Dissertations

In this thesis, we focus on the class of complete $S$-partite graphs, for $S$ an undirected graph possibly with self-loops, and address the problem of finding largest $2$-regular subgraphs of these graphs, which can be formulated as an integer linear program. Roughly speaking, a complete $S$-partite graph is obtained by replacing every single node of $S$ with a number of nodes, preserving the edge/non-edge relations of $S$. Our motivation in studying largest $2$-regular subgraphs is rooted in the structural systems theory, particularly in the problem of finding largest subnetworks that can sustain controllability or asymptotic stability of the corresponding subsystems. …

Leveraging Information Theory And Ecological Network Analysis To Monitor Communication Networks In A Student Aerospace Team, Christine Sessions

Doctoral Dissertations and Master's Theses

Effective communication is a critical component of successful collaboration in group projects and team settings. However, systematically tracking and analyzing team communications can be challenging, especially in complex, multi-member teams such as those found in the aerospace industry. This paper explores an information-theoretic approach that leverages encoding techniques and graph theory to analyze communication networks within a university’s multi-year, student-led cubesat design project (Project COMET). By utilizing Shannon Entropy as a measure of information flow, encoding communication patterns, and analyzing Ecological Network Analysis parameters, this research aims to understand how an Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University student project team evolves over the …

A Forecasting Framework For Distribution Center Capacity Utilization: An Applied Industry Study, Jordan J. Shortt

Data Science Undergraduate Honors Theses

This project develops and evaluates a predictive modeling framework for forecasting distribution center capacity utilization at Company Y, with monthly forecast horizons up to one year. Motivated by the operational challenges of seasonal demand volatility, promotional cycles, and the absence of a formally defined capacity metric, the study first constructs a historical capacity utilization measure from raw warehouse management system data — reconciling item volumes, location dimensions, and utilization factors across all DCs — which serves as the target variable for all modeling work. Four models are developed and evaluated against a naïve seasonal baseline: SARIMA, LightGBM, LSTM, and a …

A Study Of Visualized Diagnostics In Early Stage Digital Twin Implementation Of An Industrial Control System, Michael R. Kinzel

All-Inclusive List of Electronic Theses and Dissertations

Industrial Control Systems (ICS) are used for process control in almost all industries. An ICS combines Operational Technologies (OT) with Information Technologies (IT) to allow human supervision of a process through surveillance of process variables and manipulation of controlling elements such as valves to maintain stable process conditions. ICSs have been in-service for several decades and may remain operational past their technological service life. Organizational personnel interact with the ICS through visual displays that both indicate the process variables and also the controlling elements. The Human Machine Interface (HMI) allows visibility of the process and the ability to manipulate controlling …

A New Approach To Generate Combinatorial Patterns In Logical Analysis Of Data And Its Application To Predict College Retention, Salihah Ahmed E. Jaafari

Theses and Dissertations

Student retention and degree completion remain central challenges for higher-education institutions, with significant implications for student success, institutional effectiveness, and public accountability. While advances in predictive analytics have enabled earlier identification of students at risk of withdrawal, many commonly used machine learning approaches suffer from limited interpretability, constraining their practical usefulness for advising, intervention, and policy decision making. This dissertation addresses the problem of predicting student persistence by developing and evaluating optimization based, interpretable classification models within the Logical Analysis of Data (LAD) framework. Building on existing LAD formulations, this research introduces two novel pattern generation models, the Best Term …

Factors Affecting Pedestrian-Vehicle Conflicts: An Empirical Analysis, Christo D. Jamo

Honors Scholar Theses

The number of pedestrian deaths increased by 78% between 2009 and 2023, while other motor vehicle crash deaths increased by 13% in the same period [1]. To identify potential pedestrian safety measures, this study analyzed the effects of location-based demographics, pedestrian phasing type, and other physical infrastructure and behavior variables on the probability of pedestrian-vehicle conflicts at signalized intersections, which is a surrogate measure of crash risk. Data were collected from 55 intersections in Connecticut, and the pedestrian-vehicle interactions were classified by severity based on the Swedish Traffic Conflict Technique: undisturbed passage, potential conflict, minor conflict, or serious conflict. Because …

Feasibility Study Of Transitioning From Thick Plates (0.250”) Mounted On 30-Point Pvc Carriers To Thinner Plate Technologies Mounted On Recyclable Foam And Pet (0.155”) For Post-Print Corrugated, Nathaniel J. Poole

All Theses

In the United States, the most common press configuration for brown-box printing is a 0.280” undercut press. These press configurations have long relied on thick 0.250” plates mounted on 0.030” PVC sheets to print onto corrugated substrates. Each year, around twenty million pounds of waste are produced by the printing industry, through paper waste, plate waste, among other materials. One large factor of that waste is flexographic plate waste, which either ends its life in a landfill or is repurposed into other products. This study establishes a comparison between traditionally used 0.250” plates on 30pt PVC versus 0.155” plates mounted …

Enhancing Control Charting Schemes And Exploring New Assessment Metrics To Advance Quality Control And Cyber-Attack Detection In Manufacturing, Ahmad Al Majali

Dissertations

The increasing integration of digital technologies and industrial control systems in modern manufacturing has introduced new cybersecurity vulnerabilities within cyber–physical production environments. Malicious actors can exploit these vulnerabilities to induce subtle process deviations that degrade product quality while remaining undetected by conventional statistical monitoring tools. Such attacks can be deliberately engineered to manipulate process behavior through transient shifts that vary in magnitude, duration, and frequency. Despite extensive research on transient shifts caused by assignable causes in Statistical Process Control (SPC), limited attention has been given to intelligently designed cyber–physical attacks that exploit the structural characteristics and limitations of control charting …

Decision Making For Large-Scale Problems Under Uncertainty And Conflict, Benjamin J. Hamlin

All Dissertations

Large-scale decision-making problems appear in many areas including long-range forecasting such as energy generation forecasting. Many such problems are subject to conflicting objectives and uncertain data, and can be modeled as linear optimization problems. We study novel theoretical results and algorithms for large-scale linear decision problems under conflict and uncertainty. First, we propose a parametric Benders decomposition algorithm for solving large-scale linear optimization problems with multiple objectives or deterministically uncertain objectives. Second, we extend the parametric Benders decomposition to a multi-stage setting, developing a parametric stochastic dual dynamic programming algorithm, which enables decision-making when conflicts and uncertainty have planning impacts …