Business Commons^™

Forecasting Crude Oil Price Using Multiple Factors, Hind Aldabagh, Xianrong Zheng, Mohammad Najand, Ravi Mukkamala

Computer Science Faculty Publications

In this paper, we predict crude oil price using various factors that may influence its price. The factors considered are physical market, financial, and trading market factors, including seven key factors and the dollar index. Firstly, we select the main factors that may greatly influence the prices. Then, we develop a hybrid model based on a convolutional neural network (CNN) and long short-term memory (LSTM) network to predict the prices. Lastly, we compare the CNN–LSTM model with other models, namely gradient boosting (GB), decision trees (DTs), random forests (RFs), neural networks (NNs), CNN, LSTM, and bidirectional LSTM (Bi–LSTM). The empirical …

Three Essays On Corporate Debt Contracting And Innovation, Olaleye Morohunfolu

Theses and Dissertations (Comprehensive)

This dissertation comprises three essays investigating topics in Corporate Debt Contracting and Innovation. The first essay examines the relation between Passive Institutional Ownership (IO) and debt covenants. Using Russell 1000/2000 annual index reconstitution as a source of exogenous variation in passive IO, I find that passive IO leads to reduced covenants in the bond market. Specifically, I find that passive IO leads to reduced (a) Investment, (b) Dividend restriction, and (c) Subsequent financing restriction. However, I observe weaker results for loan covenants, implying that loans, usually collateralized, are less sensitive to changes in passive ownership. The overall effect of passive …

Disruptive Change Within Financial Technology: A Methodological Analysis Of Digital Transformation Challenges, Laurie Hughes, Jonathan J. M. Seddon, Yogesh K. Dwivedi

Research outputs 2022 to 2026

The digital transformation of the FinTech industry has revealed a plethora of significant challenges for industry decision makers and wider stakeholder groups as organisations contend with the onset of new regulatory frameworks, legacy systems, flexible business models and alignment with corporate social responsibility practice. The reshaping of organisations and drive to greater levels of decentralisation and employee centric practice, presents a cultural shift for the sector, with implications for the success and resulting benefits of change across the industry. This study aims to develop novel insight to the ‘lived in’ impact of digital transformation within the FinTech industry from a …

2024 Finance Calendar, Amanda Christensen, Melanie Jewkes, Andrea Schmutz, Vincenza Vicari-Bentley, Kelan Combe, Rochelle Allen, Jenny Weller, Lauren Olsen, Rachel Booth

All Current Publications

The 2024 Finance Calendar outlines monthly steps to improve your personal finances over the course of the year.

Can Frontline Employees Help Consumers Improve Their Financial Planning Behavior? Implications From Triadic Analysis, Vida Siahtiri, Welf Hermann Weiger, Christian Tetteh-Afi, Tobias Kraemer

Research outputs 2022 to 2026

Purpose: As consumer debt can substantially impair subjective well-being, it is crucial for research to gain insights into how consumers can be motivated to improve financial planning. This paper aims to investigate how frontline employees in financial services can help consumers regulate their financial planning behaviors and how financial service providers can effectively support their frontline employees in this effort through leadership and organizational climate. Design/methodology/approach: We incorporate regulatory focus theory and conservation of resource theory to develop a conceptual model that we test in a triadic study with a unique dataset collected from consumers, frontline employees, and managers in …

Monetary Policy, Macroprudential Policy, And Bank Risk-Taking Behaviour In The Indonesian Banking Industry, Cep J. Anwar, Nicholas Okot, Indra Suhendra, Dwi Indriyani, Ferry Jie

Research outputs 2022 to 2026

There is a growing consensus on the translation of monetary policy actions into changes in credit demand on account of changes in interest rates. The study investigates monetary policy, macroprudential policy, bank-specific and macroeconomic determinants of bank risk-taking from 2010–2022 in Indonesia. The study aims to address a gap in the literature because most previous studies have focused on advanced markets. First, three POLS and fixed effect models are estimated. However, the Durbin Wu-Hausman test indicated endogeneity issues with the estimated models. The second stage uses a system GMM estimation to investigate the impact of central bank rates and macroprudential …

Accounting-Based Variables As An Early Warning Indicator Of Financial Distress In Crisis And Non-Crisis Periods, Robert J. Powell, Dung V. Dinh, Nam T. Vu, Duc H. Vo

Research outputs 2022 to 2026

Financial integration in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) region is a key focus of the ASEAN Economic Community. Whereas many studies focus on modelling corporate default, this paper identifies early warning indicators of financial distress before a default, using multiple discriminant analysis (MDA) models with a sample of listed and delisted companies in the ASEAN region. The analysis examines 720 companies in 10 different industries across six ASEAN countries from 1997 to 2016. The study constructs individual models for each country as well as an overall model for the entire region, using both in-sample and out-of-sample approaches. This …

The Mediating Effect Of Financial Literacy On Blockchain Technology Application And Financial Risk: Insight From Ghanaian Professionals Toward Policy Recommendations, Maxwell Okpoti Mensah, Williams Kwasi Peprah [email protected]

Faculty Publications

This study explores the mediating effect of financial literacy on the relationship between blockchain technology application and financial risk among financial institution professionals in Ghana. Utilizing a correlational research design, data were collected from a sample of 336 professionals through a self-constructed Likert-scale questionnaire. The analysis was conducted using path analysis and mediation techniques. The findings reveal that financial literacy had a significant partial mediating effect between blockchain technology application and financial risk, accounting for 26.0% of the total effect. The direct negative effect of blockchain technology applications on financial risk also remained significant, highlighting the independent contribution of blockchain …

Three Essays On Risks In The Option And Cds Markets, Seyed-Erfan Sadeghi

Theses and Dissertations (Comprehensive)

This dissertation comprises three essays investigating topics in insurance on debt and equity. The first essay utilizes patent groups as an indicator of technological proximity and demonstrates that climate risk associated with technology-related firms can predict the next quarter’s Credit Default Swap (CDS) for the focal firm. The findings indicate that a 24 basis point (bps) change in the next quarter’s CDS can be attributed to the spillover effect from technology-related companies. Sentiment analysis reveals that this outcome is primarily driven by concerns related to regulatory factors. Importantly, these results remain robust even after accounting for firm-specific characteristics and industry-fixed …

Black-Scholes Option Pricing And Greeks Using Excel’S “Lambda” Function, Tom Arnold, Joseph Farizo, Jonathan M. Godbey

Finance Faculty Publications

The =LAMBDA function within Excel provides a powerful new tool for investors and analysts. In this treatment, we show how to create a function that calculates an option’s intrinsic value, price, and delta based on the Black-Scholes model. Other option Greek functions and calculations are available in a downloadable file. The LAMBDA function is not limited to the Black-Scholes model and has important advantages over Excel’s previous solution of creating user-defined functions in VBA.

Reducing Food Scarcity: The Benefits Of Urban Farming, S.A. Claudell, Emilio Mejia

Journal of Nonprofit Innovation

Urban farming can enhance the lives of communities and help reduce food scarcity. This paper presents a conceptual prototype of an efficient urban farming community that can be scaled for a single apartment building or an entire community across all global geoeconomics regions, including densely populated cities and rural, developing towns and communities. When deployed in coordination with smart crop choices, local farm support, and efficient transportation then the result isn’t just sustainability, but also increasing fresh produce accessibility, optimizing nutritional value, eliminating the use of ‘forever chemicals’, reducing transportation costs, and fostering global environmental benefits.

Imagine Doris, who is …

Corporate Finance, Kenneth S. Bigel

Open Touro Created

2023

Corporate Finance is a comprehensive guide covering the three fundamental topics in Corporate Finance, including Capital Budgeting under Certainty, Capital Structure Theory, and Short-term Financial Management and Operating Leverage. In-depth explanations of topics and terms are provided as well as key illustration in the manner of problem sets and solutions, tables, and diagrams. Review problems are also included so that students can conduct self-assessments. This text will be continually updated in order to provide novel information and enhance students’ experiences.

Analisis Faktor-Faktor Yang Memengaruhi Niat Penggunaan Berkelanjutan E-Wallet, Jonathan Ariel, Ira Iriyanti

Jurnal Manajemen dan Usahawan Indonesia

The development of technology led to a series of disruptions that replaced conventional financial systems. The emergence of COVID-19 pandemic accelerated the adoption of digital financial services, one of which is e-wallet. With pandemic over, e-wallet companies must be able to retain their users and made sure they continue to use e-wallet for transaction. Hence, this research aims to understand the factors determining user’s intention to continue using e-wallet as their payment method. This research applies Technology Continuation Theory with the extension of Trust, Habit, Price Benefit, and Operational Constraints. This research gathered data from 251 respondents who lives on …

Analisis Dampak Pandemi Covid-19 Kepada Tingkat Dan Struktur Ketergantungan Dari Imbal Hasil Saham Perusahaan Farmasi Di Indonesia Periode 2019-2021, Ananda Tiara Danisha, Eko Rizkianto, Hendro Prabowo

Jurnal Manajemen dan Usahawan Indonesia

This study aims to analyze the impact of the Covid-19 Pandemic on the degree and structure of dependence on the stock return of pharmaceutical companies in Indonesia that are listed on the IDX linearly with the Jakarta Composite Index (JKSE) within the period of 2019-202. This study also wants to see whether there is an effect of increasing searches for "Covid" on the stock return of these pharmaceutical stocks. The study found that there was an effect on the degree of dependence of stock returns which was positive but there were no significant changes in the structure of dependence. Meanwhile, …

Pengaruh Motivasi Merger Dan Akuisisi Terhadap Performa Perusahaan Di Indonesia Periode 2010-2019, Zaid Naqy Robbani, Wardatul Adawiyah

Jurnal Manajemen dan Usahawan Indonesia

The objective of this study is to examine the effects of mergers and acquisitions (M&A) motivations on the financial performance of companies operating in Indonesia during the period from 2010 to 2019. The primary objective of this study was to examine the variations in business performance in relation to the three distinct reasons for mergers and acquisitions. There are three primary incentives identified in the literature, including value-chain extension, technology seeking, and other motiva-tions. The sample comprises 72 firms that are listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. During the des-ignated research period, a total of 137 merger and acquisition (M&A) …

An Empirical Study Of The Impact Of The Euro On Cross-Country Diversification, Demissew D. Ejara, Kamal Upadhyaya

Finance Faculty Publications

Abstract The euro was launched, on 1 January 1999, as a common currency for members of the European Union that complied with the Maastricht Treaty. The Maastricht Treaty calls for the coordination of major macroeconomic policies, such as inflation, budget balance, public debt, and long-term interest rates. Theoretically, the coordination of these policy issues and the launch of a common currency will increase the degree of market integration among member countries. This paper empirically tests the impact of the euro on the degree of market integration by looking at the comovement of the European equity markets and a sample of …

Risk Spillover From World Energy Markets To Pakistan Agricultural Commodity Markets. An Application Of Dependence Switching Copula Model, Hira Saeed, Rukhsana Bibi, Muhammad Tahir

Business Review

This study aims to examine the risk spillover from world energy markets to Pakistan’s agricultural commodities market using a time-varying copulas model. It also analyzes the dependence structure between energy and agricultural markets. The results show commodities such as wheat has less volatile behavior and weak lower tail dependence in energy-agricultural commodity pairs. The world energy volatility index is more volatile as compared to Pakistan’s agricultural commodities markets. Wheat is the least volatile commodity while palmolien is most volatile. The normal copula is best fitted for all energy and commodity pairs at 1% level of significance. Student-t copula is the …

The Impact Of Covid-19 Outbreaks On The Profits Of Islamic Banks In Indonesia, Sabri Rahman Siregar

Journal Of Middle East and Islamic Studies

Abstract

The Covid-19 outbreaks hit various business lines in Indonesia. The banking sector has yet to escape the impact of this outbreak. The emergence of the Coci-19 outbreaks in Indonesia can result in the emergence of risks to the performance of Islamic Commercial Banks. This study aims to analyze what factors influenced the level of profitability of Islamic Commercial Banks in the 2020-2022 period when the Covid-19 outbreaks took place in Indonesia. The method used in this research is quantitative by using panel data regression analysis. In this study, there are three categories of variables used. The first category is …

Evaluating The Performance Of Real Estate Exchange-Traded Funds, Davinder K. Malhotra

School of Business Faculty Papers

This study examines the net monthly returns of real estate exchange-traded funds (ETFs) through various performance evaluation models and market situations. The results reveal that these ETFs generated positive alphas and outperformed benchmark indices in absolute returns. However, their performance varied across market conditions, demonstrating both outperformance and underperformance compared to U.S. and global stocks. During the COVID-19 pandemic, real estate ETFs displayed a decline, trailing behind U.S. and global equities in both absolute returns and risk-adjusted performance. This emphasized their vulnerability during economic crises. Utilizing the Carhart four-factor model, significant exposure of real estate ETFs to the stock market …

Spacs And The Macroeconomy: An Empirical Examination Of Real Interest Rates' Impact On Spacs, Ryan A. Jacobs

Doctoral Dissertations (DBA)

Special Purpose acquisition companies (SPACs) are an alternative way private entities enter public markets through reverse merger of a publicly listed pool of capital. Price discovery is more transparent than the traditional IPO process, as valuations are negotiated between the SPAC Sponsor and the firm’s management team before shareholders approve through a shareholder vote. I conducted an OLS regression test for a relationship between SPAC activity, using capital invested in SPAC IPOs as a proxy, and various macroeconomic variables. I did not find evidence of a linear relationship. I examined the impact of the real interest rates on monthly pre-merger …

Bitcoin As A Legal Tender: The Case Of El Salvador, Ariela Samour

Honors College Theses

On September 7, 2021, President Nayib Bukele made Bitcoin a legal tender in El Salvador. This action cemented El Salvador as the first country in the world to make cryptocurrency a legal medium of exchange. As a new legal currency, Bitcoin could be used in any transaction, from purchasing a cup of coffee to paying taxes inside the country. This paper discusses the background of the decision to make Bitcoin a legal tender in El Salvador and addresses how it affects socio-economic problems. Finally, the study administered a survey to more than 300 individuals in El Salvador to investigate the …

Investment Behavior: The Difference Between Individual And Professional Investors, Saketh Dantuluri

Honors Projects in Finance

In the modern world, there is greater accessibility to information and investment opportunities. This has led to more people from many different backgrounds to start investing in various markets. Because of this, the modem-day investor can look like many different things and have significantly varied levels of financial knowledge. This study will look into the differences in investment behaviors for individual investors, who typically have lower financial literacy rates, and professional investors, who typically have higher financial literacy rates. The data will be obtained by surveying individuals with various financial literacy rates in order to gauge the differences between individual …

Investigation Into A Practical Application Of Reinforcement Learning For The Stock Market, Philip Traxler, Sadik Aman, Will Rogers, Allyn Okun

SMU Data Science Review

A major problem of the financial industry is the ability to adapt their trading strategies at the same rate the market evolves. This paper proposes a solution using existing Reinforcement Learning libraries to help find new strategies at a practical scale. Using a wide domain of ticker symbols, an algorithm is trained in an environment that better represents reality. The supplied decision-making algorithm is tested using recorded data from the U.S stock market from 2000 through 2022. The results of this research show that existing techniques are statistically better than making decisions at random. With this result, this research shows …

Jesuit Educational Principles And Student Managed Investment Funds, Mehmet F. Dicle

Jesuit Higher Education: A Journal

Financial education is part of Jesuit higher education. One of the important parts of the finance curriculum is the student managed investment fund (SMIF). In this study we provide an example SMIF which is structured around Jesuit ideals. Ethics and social responsibility are at the core of the investment and payout processes. Our students consistently strive to outperform financial markets, pay scholarships from their profits, and address the needs of their community. They show solidarity with the greater student community by offering their knowledge, talents and efforts to earn profits to help those who are in need. They also show …

Net Present Value And Payback Period: An Analysis, Ezekiel Cotter

Honors Theses

Capital budgeting is essential for the long-term success of a business. A firm must make the correct decisions when investing capital in projects. If firms do not make the correct decision, it will lead to investing in projects that do not add value to the firm, and it may also decrease the firm’s value. Multiple capital budgeting techniques exist to varying degrees of use. These techniques include Accounting Rate of Return, Internal Rate of Return, Modified Rate of Return, Payback Period, Discounted Payback Period, and Net Present Value. There is widespread research that spans decades of literature on which capital …

Equity Fund Monthly Report, December 2023, Archway Investment Fund

Archway Investment Fund

No abstract provided.

Cryptocurrency In Investing: An Analysis Of Digital Currencies And Understanding Investor Sentiment, Matthew Sprague

Honors Projects in Finance

In this paper, there will be discussion pertaining to the use of different cryptocurrencies as a tool within an investment portfolio and how different investors view the idea of investing with cryptocurrency. This includes the validity of cryptocurrency, historical trends, relationships to other asset classes, and the results of surveys taken to those questioned about cryptocurrencies. An outline of how the cryptocurrency markets operate will be included, as well as the creation and value of cryptocurrency. Further, there is discussion about specific investment cases such as a tool for retirement investing and how cryptocurrency can be used in the growing …

Behavioral Market Irrationality: An Exploration Of Financial Literacy Awareness, Behavioral Finance, And Financial System Investing, Ethan Kmiecik

Honors Projects in Finance

Since the dawn of recordable civilization, monetary systems have shaped the developments of history. From the Akkadian shekel to the Roman denarius, the Spanish piece of eight, the British pound sterling, and the United States dollar. The wellbeing of the civilization is dependent on the (mis)management of the currency system. While currencies touch the lives of nearly every human, the history, fundamentals, and causational relationships of currencies and their derivatives are not universally known. This paper examines the degree of financial and currency system awareness within the surveyed population and how it varies within the sub-categories of the surveyed population. …

Pengaruh Soft Total Quality Management Terhadap Kinerja Ukm Di Dki Jakarta: Pendekatan Balanced Scorecard, Aufa Yarzqi Zihni, Helman Arif

Jurnal Manajemen dan Usahawan Indonesia

This study aims to analyse the effect of Soft Total Quality Management (Soft TQM) on SME performance in Jakarta, both from financial and non-financial perspectives. We used a balanced scorecard (BSC) approach and collected 135 datasets through online surveys to the business owners/manager. Data analysis was carried out by Structural Equation Modelling (SEM) method. The results of the data analysis showed that soft TQM has a negative and not significant effect on SMEs financial perspective, however there is a positive and significant effect on SMEs non-financial perspective. This study also discovered that innovation and leaning perspective mediates the impact of …

Budgeting 102: Trip Budgeting, Kyla Harden

Goal 2: Life Skills Narrative

The purpose of this program is for students to gain knowledge on how to create a trip budget.