Business Commons^™

Mountain Monitor - 3rd Quarter 2014, Kenan Fikri, Mark Muro

Mountain Monitor Quarterly

As a group, the 10 major metro areas of the Mountain West outperformed the national economy during the third quarter of 2014 on all four indicators of economic vitality measured by the Mountain Monitor: employment growth, output growth, unemployment, and house prices. In the three months ending in September, the country’s large metropolitan areas were anticipating the rapid uptick in national economic growth that took hold at the end of 2014. Mountain region metro areas led the way.

All but two major metro areas in the region added jobs, and six did so at a faster rate than the …

Forecasting Nigerian Stock Market Returns Using Arima And Artificial Neural Network Models, Godknows M. Isenah, Olusanya E. Olubusoye

CBN Journal of Applied Statistics (JAS)

The study reports empirical evidence that artificial neural network based models are applicable to forecasting of stock market returns. The Nigerian stock market logarithmic returns time series was tested for the presence of memory using the Hurst coefficient before the models were trained. The test showed that the logarithmic returns process is not a random walk and that the Nigerian stock market is not efficient. Two artificial neural network based models were developed in the study. These networks are TECH (4-3-1) and TECH (3-3-1)whose out-of-sample forecast performance was compared with a baseline ARIMA (3,0,1) model. The results obtained in the …

Nexus Of Exchange Rate Deregulation And Agricultural Share Of Gross Domestic Product In Nigeria, Oyakhilomen Oyinbo, Falola Abraham, Grace Z. Rekwot

CBN Journal of Applied Statistics (JAS)

The kernel of this study was to examine the causal relationship between exchange rate deregulation and the agricultural share of gross domestic product in Nigeria from an econometric perspective using time series data spanning a period of 26 years (1986 – 2011). Data on exchange rate and gross domestic product were analysed using augmented dickey fuller unit root test, unrestricted vector autoregression, pairwise granger causality and vector error correction model. The results showed the existence of unidirectional causality from exchange rate to agricultural share of gross domestic production and also, exchange rate deregulation had negative influence on agricultural share of …

Testing Volatility In Nigeria Stock Market Using Garch Models, Ngozi V. Atoi

CBN Journal of Applied Statistics (JAS)

The contributions of error distributions have been ignored while modeling stock market volatility in Nigeria and studies have shown that the application of appropriate error distribution in volatility model enhances efficiency of the model. Using Nigeria All Share Index from January 2, 2008 to February 11, 2013, this study estimates first order symmetric and asymmetric volatility models each in Normal, Student’s-t and generalized error distributions with the view to selecting the best forecasting volatility model with the most appropriate error distribution. The results suggest the presence of leverage effect meaning that volatility responds more to bad news than it does …

The Balance Sheet Channel Of Monetary Policy Transmission: Evidence From Nigeria, Olorunsola E. Olowofeso, Abiodun S. Bada, Kufre J. Bassey, Kumafan S. Dzaan

CBN Journal of Applied Statistics (JAS)

This paper assesses the existence of a balance sheet channel of monetary policy transmission in Nigeria by examining whether variation in the official interest rate, with respect to the 2007- 2008 global financial crisis, feeds through to the deposit money banks (DMBs) balance sheets, and ultimately reflects in output and prices. Using quarterly macroeconomic data and stock from 2002 to 2012, the study employs an ordinary least squares (OLS) and autoregressive (VAR) framework to investigate the linkages between policy, DMB balance sheet, output and price. The results reveal the existence of a balance sheet channel in Nigeria with a significant …

Relationship Between Money Supply And Government Revenues In Nigeria, Yakubu Musa, Umar Usman, Aminu B. Zoramawa

CBN Journal of Applied Statistics (JAS)

The insights on the long run relationship amongst money supply and government revenues are of significant importance for monetary-fiscal policy formulation in a developing country like Nigeria. Taking into account the vital importance of these two variables, we empirically analyzed the long-run relationships and dynamic interactions between the money supply (broad money M2) and government revenues in Nigeria using an Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach. The study spans the period 1970 to 2010. From the results, it is evident that there is the existence of a long run relationship between money supply and revenues when money supply is …

Cointegration Analysis Of Public Expenditure On Tertiary Education And Economic Growth In Nigeria, Japheth T. Torruam, Moses A. Chiawa, Cyprian C. Abur

CBN Journal of Applied Statistics (JAS)

The paper investigates the Impact of public expenditure on tertiary education and economic growth in Nigeria using time series data for the period 1990- 2011.The econometric methodology employed was cointegration and error correction technique. The study concludes that public expenditure on tertiary education has positive impact on economic growth in Nigeria. The study recommended that government and private sectors should partner by mobilizing resources to furnish tertiary institutions and equip them with adequate facilities in order to enhance tertiary education development for sustainable economic growth.

Determinants Of Economic Growth In Nigeria, Kazeem B. Ajide

CBN Journal of Applied Statistics (JAS)

This paper investigates the role of Frazer Economic Freedom Index on FDI-growth relationship over the period spanning 1980 through 2010 using annual time series data. A Multivariate Regression approach was employed to estimate augmented growth models. Quite intriguingly, the impact of disaggregated economic freedom over aggregated composite index was found profoundly revealing. Emanated results show that the same set of variables like labour, life expectancy, degree of openness and economic freedom are factors affecting the level of economic growth in both but at different levels of significance. However, the estimates of disaggregated components of economic freedom data show that the …

Empirical Studies On Interest Rate Derivatives, Xudong Sun

UNLV Theses, Dissertations, Professional Papers, and Capstones

Interest rate models are the building blocks of financial market and the interest rate derivatives market is the largest derivatives market in the world. In this dissertation, we shall focus on numerical pricing of interest rate derivatives, estimating model parameters by Kalman filter, and studying various models empirically. We shall propose a front-fixing finite element method to price the American put option under the quadratic term structure framework and compare it with a trinomial tree method and common finite element method. Numerical test results show the superiority of our front-fixing finite element method in the aspects of computing the option …

Negotiating Deals From A Position Of Powerlessness, Michael Schaerer, Roderick I. Swaab

Research Collection Lee Kong Chian School Of Business

When you are negotiating a deal it pays to have viable alternatives to fall back on – or at least that’s what most people think. New research suggests that being powerless can be liberating and help you achieve better deals.

A Closer Look At The Impact Of Quantitative Easing On The Capital Markets: Garch Analysis Of The Exchange Traded Funds Market, Nicholas R. Duafala

Undergraduate Economic Review

This paper analyzes the effects of quantitative easing (QE) on the capital markets by modeling exchange traded funds (ETFs) returns using a generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) methodology. The results show that the 10-Year Treasury yields are significant in the returns of some sectors of the economy more so than others, and the Federal Funds Futures trading volume is significant in all ETFs return volatility. The implications of these results not only provide information about the reaction of the ETF market and QE, but also provide insight for developing investment strategies.

Emerging Markets And The End Of Qe, Singapore Management University

Perspectives@SMU

Quantitative easing made it easier for emerging economies to delay necessary reforms, but policymakers are better able to manage crises than ever before

Bitcoins, Block Chains, And Mining Pools, Singapore Management University

Perspectives@SMU

Bitcoins can help facilitate online commerce, but investors – and speculators – should understand how the cryptocurrency works

Successful Communities: What Is Desired And What Is Present In Nonmetropolitan Nebraska, 2014 Nebraska Rural Poll Results, Rebecca J. Vogt, Cheryl A. Burkhart-Kriesel, Randolph L. Cantrell, Bradley Lubben

Nebraska Rural Poll

Rural Nebraskans are looking for many things in a community. The characteristics of a community that most believe are absolutely essential include social dimensions (sense of personal safety), economic dimensions (jobs/economic opportunities), some basic services (a quality school system, available medical services, affordable housing, quality housing and well maintained infrastructure) and environmental dimensions (a clean and attractive natural environment).

Unfortunately, when asked if these characteristics are present in their current community, some of these areas are lacking. One of the more extreme cases involves jobs/economic opportunities. Seventy-seven percent of the respondents say these are absolutely essential in order for them …

Mind The Liquidity Gap: Building A Better Capital Market For You, Kaushik Rudra

Asian Management Insights

Asian banks in most jurisdictions are currently more than adequately capitalised with respect to Basel III. However, as they are called upon to support the region’s economic growth over the next decade, they are likely to run up against capital constraints.

Retention Pay, Kevin F. Hallock

Economics Faculty Publications

In many seasonal jobs, such as store clerks during the holiday shopping season, retention is about employers wanting as little employee turnover as possible during the small window they have each year to earn a big part of their profits. One way seasonal businesses might persuade workers to stay is with some sort of cash bonus paid for staying until the season's end or by paying a substantially higher wage at the very end. While the summer beach of Cape Cod may feel worlds away from the corporate office, the need to consider retention strategies for key employees is universal. …

Raising The Bar 2: Challenges To Productivity Initiatives In The Finance And Accounting Function, Clarence Goh

Research Collection School Of Accountancy

Faced with a tightening labour supply, raising productivity has become an increasingly important issue for manybusinesses in Singapore. To understand how this impacts on the F&A functions of businesses, the Instituteof Singapore Chartered Accountants (ISCA) collaborated with Robert Half to survey over 550 senior financeexecutives in Singapore and also the region to understand the focus of F&A functions of businesses andcorporations regarding raising productivity and effectiveness. Our findings are presented in a series of three reportswith the following themes – (1) Trends in implementing productivity initiatives, (2) Challenges faced in implementingproductivity initiatives, and (3) Essential skills and training needed to …

Mutual Funds And Information Diffusion: The Role Of Country-Level Governance, Chunmei Lin, Massimo Massa, Hong Zhang

Research Collection Lee Kong Chian School Of Business

We hypothesize that poor country-level governance, which makes public information less reliable, induces fund managers to increase their use of semipublic information. Utilizing data from international mutual funds and stocks over the 2000-2009 period, we find that semipublic information-related stock rebalancing can be five times higher in countries with the worst quality of governance than in countries with the best. The use of semipublic information increases price informativeness but also increases information asymmetry and reduces stock liquidity. It also intensified the price impact and liquidity crunch during the recent global financial crisis.

Ceo Optimism And Incentive Compensation, Clemens A. Otto

Research Collection Lee Kong Chian School Of Business

I study the effect of chief executive officer (CEO) optimism on CEO compensation. Usingdata on compensation in US firms, I provide evidence that CEOs whose option exercisebehavior and earnings forecasts are indicative of optimistic beliefs receive smaller stockoption grants, fewer bonus payments, and less total compensation than their peers. Thesefindings add to our understanding of the interplay between managerial biases andremuneration and show how sophisticated principals can take advantage of optimisticagents by appropriately adjusting their compensation contracts.

Power America's — And Nevada's — Advanced Industries: State By State, Region By Region, Mark Muro

Brookings Scholar Lecture Series

With the U.S. economy still flat, economic experts and leaders continue to search for the next source of U.S. and regional growth. One key component of the next era of prosperity can be projected: It is what the Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program calls the advanced industry (AI) sector. The nation’s most strategic R&D — and STEM worker intensive industries, AIs like aerospace and IT are prime movers of regional and national prosperity, because they are key sources of technology innovation and generate domestic and international exports. Accordingly, the AI swatch of 50 discrete industries has emerged as an important new …

Women Directors On Public Company Boards: Does A Critical Mass Affect Leverage?, Cindy K. Harris

Business and Economics Faculty Publications

This study examines the relationship between corporate leverage (the ratio of total debt to total assets) and gender diversity on US public company boards, with particular focus on boards that have at least 25% women directors. Using this critical mass of women eliminates from consideration boards with lesser female representation, whose female directors may be marginalized in their contributions to board functioning and decision-making. I hypothesize that when boards have this minimum threshold of gender diversity, the influence of risk-averse female directors will impact board decisions related to financing, resulting in lower debt ratios when compared to boards with no …

Do Hitters Boost Their Performance During Their Contract Years?, Heather M. O'Neill

Business and Economics Faculty Publications

Each season, baseball fans and journalists alike identify which players are in the final years of their contracts because a lot rides on how the players produce in their “contract year.” Will a player boost his effort and performance in an effort to improve his value and bargaining power? Or will he crumble under the pressure? Or are players’ performances uncorrelated with where they stand in their contract cycles?

Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 17, Number 4, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Adam G. Walke

Departmental Papers (E & F)

No abstract provided.

ممارسات التعلم التنظيمي واستراتيجية ادارة المعرفة وعلاقتهما باداء ادارة المعرفة دراسة تحليلية لاراء عينة من اعضاء الهيئة التدريسية في كلية الهندسة – جامعة القادسية, هناء جاسم محمد العسكري

Muthanna Journal of Administrative and Economics Sciences

يهتم البحث الحالي اظهار الدور الذي تلعبه ممارسات التعلم التنظيمي ( التعلم المستمر , الحوار والمناقشة, تطوير انظمة المشاركة للتعلم , تمكين العاملين, الاتصال بالبيئة, تشجيع التعاون لفرق التعلم, القيادة الاستراتيجية للتعلم) و استراتيجية ادارة المعرفة ( استراتيجية التوجه نحو النظام, استراتيجية التوجه نحو الافراد) في اداء ادارة المعرفة. اختيرت عينة البحث بـ(60) عضو هيئة تدريس لكلية الهندسة – جامعة القادسية – واعتمد البحث على استبانة اعدت من مقاييس جاهزة, وبأستخدام مجموعة من الاساليب الاحصائية منها معامل الارتباط البسيط لقياس علاقة الارتباط بين المتغيرات واختبار ( T) لمعرفة معنوية هذه العلاقة، وتحليل الانحدار المتعدد واختبار ( F) لتحديد معنوية معادلة …

ادارة قوى التناقض لضمان الاداء المنظمي المستدام في اطار نموذج التوازن الديناميكي للتنظيم – بحث تحليلي في عينة من كليات الجامعة العراقية, عامر علي حسين العطوي

Muthanna Journal of Administrative and Economics Sciences

يهدف هذا البحث الى بلورة تصور واضح حول الكيفية التي يمكن ان تدير بها المنظمات التوترات المتناقضة في الظواهر التنظيمية من اجل ضمان الاداء المنظمي المستدام. ووفقاً لنموذج التوازن الديناميكي للتنظيم الذي يعكس الارضية المعرفية لنظرية التناقض لـ (Smith & Lewis, 2011) فأن تحقيق الاداء المنظمي المستدام يتحقق من خلال ادارة قوى التناقض التي تتضمن نوعين من الستراتيجيات هما ستراتيجية قبول التناقض وستراتيجية حل التناقض. تبحث ستراتيجية قبول التناقض عن العوامل التي تساعد القيادات التنظيمية في قبول التوترات المتناقضة في العمل، اما ستراتيجية الحل فأنها تبحث عن تحقيق التزامن الاني والمواءمة ما بين اقطاب الظواهر المتناقضة. ويستلزم ضمان الاداء المنظمي …

Massachusetts On The Move: The Intersection Of Talent, Transportation, And Housing, Richard Boyajian, Juleen Freitas, David Mahoney, Karen Ng, Robert Woods

Emerging Leaders Program Team Projects

The Massachusetts Business Roundtable (MBR) collaborated with a team from the Emerging Leaders Program (ELP) from the University of Massachusetts Boston to interview business leaders to explore the important intersection of talent, transportation, and housing on the state’s economy. The ELP Team obtained the insights of 15 key business leaders, industry experts as well as public policy organizations on these important issues and their impact across the Commonwealth. This research seeks to capture the views of stakeholders throughout Massachusetts. The ELP Team surveyed the landscape by reviewing trends and current research on these policy issues.

Improving Public Health Safety Nets After An Economic Recession, Sanjay Basu

Center for Policy Research

When we say ‘here’s what’s going on with our nation’s health,’ how do we know the answer? Where is the data coming from? How can we best evaluate our public health system? We’re talking about it every day on CNN given the Ebola scare. What do we mean by our ‘public health system’? I would argue that we should expand our definition to mean something more than hospitals and clinics, or doctors and nurses. In particular, I’ll argue that some of our non-health programs that we have as part of the safety net actually make a bigger health impact than …

ظاهرة الاغراق السلعي واثاره على الاقتصاد العراقي, امل اسمر زبون, فاضل عباس كاظم

Muthanna Journal of Administrative and Economics Sciences

تعد ظاهرة الاغراق السلعي واحدة من التحديات التي تواجه الاقتصاد العراقي ولاسيما بعدعام2003 حيث شهد ت السوق العراقية انفتاحا كبيرا امام السلع المستوردة من مختلف دولالعالم ، وكان لهذه الظاهرة الغير مخطط لها اثر كبير على الاقتصاد العراقي في جوانبه المختلفة فقد ادت الى تراجع القطاع الصناعي والقطاع الزراعي وتزايد معدلات البطالة وزيادة الميل نحو الاستهلاك عما كان عليه سابقا وقد ساهم في استشراء هذه الظاهره هو عدم وجود قوانين تنظم الاستيراد، والضعف الواضح في اجهزة الرقابه فضلا عن تأخر الحكومات المتعاقبه في وضع الحلول لهذه الظاهره.

توظيف عوائد القطاع النفطي في الاقتصاد الجزائري, سيهام شباب

Muthanna Journal of Administrative and Economics Sciences

يعتبر القطاع النفطي المحرك الفعال للاقتصاد الجزائري ونقطة انطلاق لكل برنامج حكومي، وعليه فأي تغير في مستوياته يجعل كل رهانات البلد محل إعادة نظر، فمن جهة نجد أن كل متغيرات الميزانية خارجة عن إرادة الدولة ومن جهة أخرى تبني الحكومة إستراتيجية ترتكز في عملية تمويلها على القطاع البترولي، الأمر الذي يؤدي إلى إمكانية تعرض الاقتصاد الجزائري إلى اختلالات هيكلية، وخير دليل على ذلك خبرة الثمانينات وما تعرض له البلد من أزمات اقتصادية حادة لا تزال عملية معالجتها مستمرة إلى يومنا هذا، حيث قامت الجزائر بإعادة النظر في نهجها التنموي وتطبيق إصلاحات اقتصادية جذرية.الكلمات المفتاحية: أسعار البترول، عوائد النفط، قطاع المحروقات، …

اهمية دور مراقب الحسابات في الحد من ظاهرة التهرب الضريبي, فرقد فيصل جدعان الغانمي

Muthanna Journal of Administrative and Economics Sciences

تعد اينما وجدت الضريبة أداة مهمة من أدوات السياسة المالية وذلك كونها احد مصادر الإيرادات العامة للدولة التي تعتمد عليها في رسم سياستها المالية ومع توسع نطاق وأنواع الضرائب نتج عنه ظاهرة خطيرة سميت بالتهرب الضريبي وتساعد فاعلية اداء مراقبي الحسابات في الحد منها لذلك يهدف هذا البحث إلى توضيح أهمية دور مراقب الحسابات عند المصادقة على الحسابات الختامية المقدمة من قبل المكلفين (الأفراد والشركات) في الحد من ظاهرة التهرب الضريبي واختتم البحث بجملة من الاستنتاجات منها مساعدته في تفعيل دور مراقبي الحسابات من خلال الالتزام بمعايير التدقيق وقواعد السلوك المهني وتطبيق التشريعات والقوانين النافذة في الحد من التهرب الضريبي.