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Labor Unions And Occupational Safety: Event-Study Analysis Using Union Elections, Ling Li, Shawn Rohlin, Perry Singleton Jul 2017

Labor Unions And Occupational Safety: Event-Study Analysis Using Union Elections, Ling Li, Shawn Rohlin, Perry Singleton

Center for Policy Research

This study examines the dynamic relationship between union elections and occupational safety among manufacturing establishments. Data on union elections come from the National Labor Relations Board, and data on workplace inspections and accident case rates come from the Occupational Safety and Health Administration. The results indicate that union elections improved occupational safety. First, workplace inspections trended upwards before the election, then decreased immediately after the election, due almost entirely to employee complaints. Second, accident case rates were relatively stable before the election, then trended downwards after the election, due to accidents involving days away from work, job restrictions, and job …

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Improving Accuracy With Forecast Combination: The Case Of Inflation And Currency In Circulation In Nigeria, Alvan E. Ikoku, Chukwunonso T. Okany Jul 2017

Improving Accuracy With Forecast Combination: The Case Of Inflation And Currency In Circulation In Nigeria, Alvan E. Ikoku, Chukwunonso T. Okany

CBN Journal of Applied Statistics (JAS)

This study shows how the application of forecast combination improves the accuracy of forecasts of economic variables. Using data from January 2009 to December 2014 on the Nigerian inflation rate, and forecasts of currency in circulation (see Ikoku, (2014)) as examples, we find that by combining forecasts of both variables using the regressionbased method, the mean absolute percent errors of the combined forecasts were lower than the forecast errors from the individual models of the variables.

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International Trade And Unemployment: Evidence From Selected Asean+3 Countries, Atif Awad, Ishak Yussof Jul 2017

International Trade And Unemployment: Evidence From Selected Asean+3 Countries, Atif Awad, Ishak Yussof

DLSU Business & Economics Review

The present study seeks to examine empirically whether exposure to international trade creates or destroys jobs for a sample of eight ASEAN+3 countries (APT). The findings of the PMG technique shows that trade liberalization policies have a negative influence on unemployment rate in the long run. Since medium and unskilled workers are the majority of the workforce, a reduction in trade barriers is likely to expand the trading sector. For the APT countries to compete globally, the trading sector is likely to shift to a more efficient production mode by using intensive capital and high skilled labor, leaving unskilled workers …

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Transformational Leadership, Job Satisfaction, And Intention To Quit: A Sequential Mediation Model Of Meaning In Work And Work Engagement, Mohammed Yasin Ghadi Jul 2017

Transformational Leadership, Job Satisfaction, And Intention To Quit: A Sequential Mediation Model Of Meaning In Work And Work Engagement, Mohammed Yasin Ghadi

DLSU Business & Economics Review

This study aims to determine the indirect impact of transformational leadership on two job related outcomes: general job satisfaction and intention to quit, by integrating sequential mediating mechanisms of employees’ perceptions toward the job (i.e., the experience of meaningful work) and employees’ perceptions toward own self (i.e., employee engagement) as underlying mechanisms to understand transformational leadership impact in the Australian context. The proposed model was tested using a heterogeneous sample of employees working in various Australian sectors. The study sample consisted of 530 full-time employees working in Australia. This was done by applying structural equation modelling and MEDTHREE technique. The …

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Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 20, Number 3, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Adam G. Walke Jul 2017

Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 20, Number 3, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Adam G. Walke

Border Region Modeling Project

No abstract provided.

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Gender Gap In Entrepreneurship: Evidence From Argentina, Sebastian Auguste, Alejandro Bricker Jul 2017

Gender Gap In Entrepreneurship: Evidence From Argentina, Sebastian Auguste, Alejandro Bricker

DLSU Business & Economics Review

We investigate which factors affect the gender gap in entrepreneurship using evidence from CBMS Argentina and the Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition for nonlinear models. The dataset allows us to construct a series of personality variables (risk aversion, social aversion, outgoing attitude, flexibility desire, and effort aversion) which are usually missing in standard household surveys. In addition, we can measure current entrepreneurial activity as well as failure from the past. We find that there is no evidence of discrimination in the event of starting up, since the small gap between women and men can be fully explained once the new personality variables are …

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The Impact Of Remittances On The Youth’S Human Resource Development, Employment, And Entrepreneurship: Evidence From Philippine Cbms Data, Christopher James R. Cabuay Jul 2017

The Impact Of Remittances On The Youth’S Human Resource Development, Employment, And Entrepreneurship: Evidence From Philippine Cbms Data, Christopher James R. Cabuay

DLSU Business & Economics Review

International migration has been a significant avenue for many Filipinos to make use of interspatial differences in purchasing power, to send home remittances, and to maximize household income. However, migration has had a stigma of being disruptive to children’s educational outcomes, and remittances have been noted to cause dependence among working age members. This study estimates the impact of remittances on the human resource development, employment, and entrepreneurial outcomes and choices of the Philippine youth, individuals aged fifteen to thirty, using CBMS data census of selected De La Salle school communities. I employ an instrumental variable multinomial logistic regression to …

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Evaluating Government Programs For Enhancing The Welfare Of The Youth Towards Entrepreneurship, Mitzie Irene P. Conchada, Marites M. Tiongco, Paulynne J. Castillo, Divina E. Edralin Jul 2017

Evaluating Government Programs For Enhancing The Welfare Of The Youth Towards Entrepreneurship, Mitzie Irene P. Conchada, Marites M. Tiongco, Paulynne J. Castillo, Divina E. Edralin

DLSU Business & Economics Review

No abstract provided.

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Role Of Education In Encouraging Youth Employment And Entrepreneurship, Brian C. Gozun, John Paolo R. Rivera Jul 2017

Role Of Education In Encouraging Youth Employment And Entrepreneurship, Brian C. Gozun, John Paolo R. Rivera

DLSU Business & Economics Review

More than half of the Philippines’ jobless sector is comprised of the youth. This warrants the need to identify the constructs and create policy frameworks that would facilitate employability and entrepreneurship among the Filipino youth. Using the Community Based Monitor System (CBMS) survey on Accelerated Poverty Profiling among member schools of De La Salle Philippines, we estimate a multinomial logistic regression that highlights how demographic characteristics and level of education influence a youth’s likelihood to be employed or to be entrepreneurial. Our results provide a framework for policymakers in improving program design and policy implementation targeted towards youth employment and …

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Determining The Credit Risk Factors In Accessing Debt Financing For Entrepreneurial Activities, Junette A. Perez, Denmark C. Alarcon, Mar Andriel S. Umali Jul 2017

Determining The Credit Risk Factors In Accessing Debt Financing For Entrepreneurial Activities, Junette A. Perez, Denmark C. Alarcon, Mar Andriel S. Umali

DLSU Business & Economics Review

Access to debt financing can be explained by the capability to pay of the borrower. The idea is that the better the capability to pay of a borrower, the wider his option to access debt financing and secure bank capital. As a derivative function of the individual and business characteristics of the borrower, the credit risk factors among others include housing type, education, share of income, total sales and total expenses, business and unemployment and economic skills. Using the Community Based Monitoring(CBMS) data, a three stage methodology has been implemented. Regression results show that having business capital is positively affected …

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Togolese Informal Sector Workers’ Willingness To Pay For Access To Social Protection, Esso-Hanam Atake, Akoété Ega Agbodji Jul 2017

Togolese Informal Sector Workers’ Willingness To Pay For Access To Social Protection, Esso-Hanam Atake, Akoété Ega Agbodji

DLSU Business & Economics Review

In Togo, the informal sector accounts for 84% of the workforce with an annual growth rate of 5%. Despite the importance of the informal sector workers in the Togolese productive activity, they do not benefit from social protection. To address this situation, Act No. 2011-006 was adopted by the Togolese National Assembly in 2011 to provide social security to informal sector workers. However, this was not applied, which means they are still not covered by social protection. This paper seeks to estimate the willingness-to-pay (WTP) of informal workers to have access to social protection services offered by National Social Security …

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Making Social Health Insurance And Micro-Savings Programs Work For The Informal Sector In The Philippines, Mitzie P. Conchada, Marites M. Tiongco Jul 2017

Making Social Health Insurance And Micro-Savings Programs Work For The Informal Sector In The Philippines, Mitzie P. Conchada, Marites M. Tiongco

DLSU Business & Economics Review

In the Angelo King Institute annual report of Monitoring the Philippine Economy, the Philippines maintained its growth momentum in 2014, besting other Asian economies. Given this backdrop, it is interesting to find out whether various sectors have benefited from this growth, particularly the informal sector which includes bulk of the poor who are self-employed and are mostly engaged in the services sector. The intention of this study is aimed to determine the effect of social protection, particularly social health insurance program (known as PhilHealth Insurance) and the micro-savings scheme (known as AlkanSSSya) on informal sector especially those who are poor …

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The Economics Of Brand And Marketing Activities, Mehir Baidya, Bipasha Maity, Kamal Ghose Jul 2017

The Economics Of Brand And Marketing Activities, Mehir Baidya, Bipasha Maity, Kamal Ghose

DLSU Business & Economics Review

Understanding the contributions of brand and marketing activities to sales is vital to make smart decisions. This study attempts to investigate this issue empirically. Data were gathered from two brands in frequently purchase packaged goods category. Two double-log regression models were fitted to data. We find that brand and marketing activities contribute to sales significantly. Managers may find our findings useful to allocate fund between short-term and long-term marketing actions. As far as our knowledge is concerned, this constitutes the first empirical work of economics of branding for regional brands in India.

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Market Sensing Capability And Product Innovation Advantages In Emerging Markets: The Case Of Market Entry Quality And Marketing Performance Of Batik Industry In Indonesia, Gita Sugiyarti, Elia Ardyan Jul 2017

Market Sensing Capability And Product Innovation Advantages In Emerging Markets: The Case Of Market Entry Quality And Marketing Performance Of Batik Industry In Indonesia, Gita Sugiyarti, Elia Ardyan

DLSU Business & Economics Review

The purpose of this study is to test the effect of market sensing capabilities and product innovation advantage on market entry quality and marketing performance in emerging markets. The samples of this research are 122 respondents. The analysis used in this study is structural equation modeling (SEM). To process the data, AMOS version 21 is employed. The results show that (1) the product innovation advantage can improve market entry quality and market performance, (2) the quality of market entry has significant and positive effect on marketing performance, and (3) the capability to market sense positively and significantly affect the quality …

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Trans-Pacific Partnership And Political Motivations: Interpretive Work Based On Analyses Of The Chinese State Media, Tai Wei Lim Jul 2017

Trans-Pacific Partnership And Political Motivations: Interpretive Work Based On Analyses Of The Chinese State Media, Tai Wei Lim

DLSU Business & Economics Review

This writing is about studying political motivations for and against the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) through interpretive work based on analyses of Chinese state media articles. My criteria for article selection centers on the use of Google index search for such articles drawn from three newspapers: China Daily, People’s Daily, and Global Times. From receiving the call for paper by this journal on 6 January 2016 to the submission deadline for the call for paper on 15 April 2016, a period of about three months, I downloaded articles from these three dailies for analysis. The motivation for the selection of these …

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Forecasting The Term Structure Of Philippine Interest Rates Using The Dynamic Nelson-Siegel Model, Elvira P. De Lara-Tuprio, Ramil T. Bataller, Allen Dominique D. Torres, Emmanuel A. Cabral, Proceso L. Fernandez Jr. Jul 2017

Forecasting The Term Structure Of Philippine Interest Rates Using The Dynamic Nelson-Siegel Model, Elvira P. De Lara-Tuprio, Ramil T. Bataller, Allen Dominique D. Torres, Emmanuel A. Cabral, Proceso L. Fernandez Jr.

DLSU Business & Economics Review

The three-factor Nelson-Siegel model is a widely used model for forecasting the term structure of interest rates. Several extensions have recently been proposed. Even for the original model, different methods of treating the parameters have been shown. Ultimately, what works best depends on the data used to estimate the parameters. In this paper, the original three-factor model with fixed shape parameter was applied to forecast the term structure using market data from the Philippines. Instead of giving a pre-determined model for the latent factors, the best time series model for them was searched using standard statistical tools. Based on the …

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Editor's Note, Marites Tiongco Jul 2017

Editor's Note, Marites Tiongco

DLSU Business & Economics Review

No abstract provided.

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The Contributors, Marites Tiongco Jul 2017

The Contributors, Marites Tiongco

DLSU Business & Economics Review

No abstract provided.

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Hedging And Pricing Rent Risk With Search Frictions, Briana Chang, Hyunsoo Choi, Harrison Hong, Jeffrey Kubik Jul 2017

Hedging And Pricing Rent Risk With Search Frictions, Briana Chang, Hyunsoo Choi, Harrison Hong, Jeffrey Kubik

Research Collection Lee Kong Chian School Of Business

The desire of risk-averse households to hedge rent risk is thought to increase home ownership and prices. While evidence for the ownership implication is compelling, support for the price effect is mixed. We show that an important reason is search frictions. Rent risk reduces outside options, leading to less-picky buyers and worse home/buyer matches. This attenuates the rise in the price-to-rent ratio that would otherwise occur without frictions. Consistent with our model, a house remains on the market for fewer days when rent risk is higher. Accounting for frictions significantly increases the effect of rent risk on home prices.

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Hedging And Pricing Rent Risk With Search Frictions, Briana Chang, Hyunsoo Choi, Harrison Hong, Jeffrey Kubik Jul 2017

Hedging And Pricing Rent Risk With Search Frictions, Briana Chang, Hyunsoo Choi, Harrison Hong, Jeffrey Kubik

Research Collection Lee Kong Chian School Of Business

The desire of risk-averse households to hedge rent risk is thought to increase home ownership and prices. While evidence for the ownership implication is compelling, support for the price effect is mixed. We show that an important reason is search frictions. Rent risk reduces outside options, leading to less-picky buyers and worse home/buyer matches. This attenuates the rise in the price-to-rent ratio that would otherwise occur without frictions. Consistent with our model, a house remains on the market for fewer days when rent risk is higher. Accounting for frictions significantly increases the effect of rent risk on home prices.

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Forecasting Stock Returns In Good And Bad Times: The Role Of Market States, Dashan Huang, Fuwei Jiang, Jun Tu, Guofu Zhou Jul 2017

Forecasting Stock Returns In Good And Bad Times: The Role Of Market States, Dashan Huang, Fuwei Jiang, Jun Tu, Guofu Zhou

Research Collection Lee Kong Chian School Of Business

This paper proposes a two-state predictive regression model and shows that stock market 12-month return (TMR), the time-series momentum predictor of Moskowitz, Ooi, and Pedersen (2012), forecasts the aggregate stock market negatively in good times and positively in bad times. The out-of-sample R-squares are 0.96% and 1.72% in good and bad times, or 1.28% and 1.41% in NBER economic expansions and recessions, respectively. The TMR predictability pattern holds in the cross-section of U.S. stocks and the international markets. Our study shows that the absence of return predictability in good times, an important finding of recent studies, is largely driven by …

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Nebraska Monthly Economic Indicators: June 21, 2017, Eric Thompson Jun 2017

Nebraska Monthly Economic Indicators: June 21, 2017, Eric Thompson

Leading Economic Indicator Reports

The Leading Economic Indicator – Nebraska (LEI-N) 1 fell by 0.51% during May of 2017. This is the second consecutive monthly decline in the LEI-N. The declines followed three months of rapid increase from January through March of 2017. Taken together, the LEI-N values imply a moderation in economic growth in Nebraska in late 2017 after strong growth midyear. Among the components of the indicator, business expectations were strong during May while the value of the U.S. dollar fell, which is a positive sign for Nebraska’s export-oriented businesses. However, manufacturing hours, building permits and airline passen

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The Economics Of Thought, S. Marie Johnson Jun 2017

The Economics Of Thought, S. Marie Johnson

Best Integrated Writing

Johnson takes an economic perspective on the First Amendment. Johnson argues that freedom of speech encourages the competition and flow of ideas which, in turn, allows for an increase of knowledge about competing ideologies.

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Nebraska Business And Consumer Confidence Indexes: June 2, 2017, Eric Thompson Jun 2017

Nebraska Business And Consumer Confidence Indexes: June 2, 2017, Eric Thompson

Leading Economic Indicator Reports

Consumer confidence fell in Nebraska during May 2017 while business confidence remained very strong. The Consumer Confidence Index – Nebraska (CCI-N) fell to roughly neutral during May. The CCI-N stood at 102.5 in April but fell to 100.4 during May, which is only slightly above the neutral value of 100.0. The outlook of Nebraska businesses remained very strong. The Business Confidence Index – Nebraska (BCI-N) rose to 110.2 in May, above its April value of 109.1 and well above the neutral value. Business confidence has been very strong in Nebraska during the first five months of 2017. When asked about …

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Sewing Garments, Sowing Lives: Two Generations Of Migrant Workers' Back And Forth To The Chinese Coast, Alice Tzou Jun 2017

Sewing Garments, Sowing Lives: Two Generations Of Migrant Workers' Back And Forth To The Chinese Coast, Alice Tzou

Dissertations, Theses, and Capstone Projects

Migrant workers in China have been at the center of popular news media and scholarly attention for three decades, since they started to migrate to work in factories on the coast in the post-1978 Economic Reform era. As western and central China has developed and work opportunities have arisen in these migrant-sending regions, internal migrants have started to return home. Push and pull factors of internal migration have been reversed. Poverty and lack of job opportunities used to be the push factors; they are now replaced by new push factors—long hours of work and long-distance travel to and from the …

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The Price Revolution In The Ottoman Context: Economic Upheaval In The Sixteenth Century, Dylan Lawrence Russell Jun 2017

The Price Revolution In The Ottoman Context: Economic Upheaval In The Sixteenth Century, Dylan Lawrence Russell

Middle Eastern Communities and Migrations Student Research Paper Series

The inflationary pressures of the Price Revolution had an impact on Ottoman agricultural organization, state finances, industry, and the growth of corruption. This analysis will examine the causes, effects, and scope of inflation in the sixteenth century. Inflation alone did not cause these drastic changes, as other very significant developments also contributed to the turbulent economic environment. However inflation did, in fact, influence many basic transformations, including shifts in wealth, power, and the enrichment of specific social classes at the expense of others.

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Testing Validity Of Observed Indicators Of Local Content Policy In Nigeria: Evidence From Four-Factor Measurement Model, Abdulkabir N. Adedeji, Muhammad O. Lawan, Shaufiq F. Sidique Jun 2017

Testing Validity Of Observed Indicators Of Local Content Policy In Nigeria: Evidence From Four-Factor Measurement Model, Abdulkabir N. Adedeji, Muhammad O. Lawan, Shaufiq F. Sidique

CBN Journal of Applied Statistics (JAS)

This paper tests validity property of the indicators that measured local content policy (LCP) in Nigeria’s oil sector. Survey data were obtained for the test, using confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) method. The results obtained from a four-factor measurement model confirmed the LCP indicators to be valid. This reflects that the policy can achieve its developmental targets on local value creation with particular reference to increased local firms’ participation, backward linkages, and job creation in Nigeria’s oil sector. Hence, government should focus on effective implementation and compliance of the policy rather than “labour clause” as contained in the local content Act. …

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The Impact Of Trade On Economic Growth In Ecowas Countries: Evidence From Panel Data, Milton Iyoha, Ajan Okim Jun 2017

The Impact Of Trade On Economic Growth In Ecowas Countries: Evidence From Panel Data, Milton Iyoha, Ajan Okim

CBN Journal of Applied Statistics (JAS)

The poor economic performance and growth of ECOWAS economies have become so challenging and this has necessitated research and discussions. Experts have argued that the relationship between trade and economic growth in the ECOWAS region is unclear and the question of whether trade promotes growth and development is controversial. In this paper, an attempt is made to analyse the impact of trade on economic growth both from a theoretical perspective and using econometric evidence from ECOWAS countries. In particular, an attempt is made to econometrically test the hypothesis of a positive relationship between trade and growth in ECOWAS countries during …

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An Application Of Asymmetric Garch Models On Volatility Of Banks Equity In Nigeria’S Stock Market, Omorogbe J. Asemota, Uchenna C. Ekejiuba Jun 2017

An Application Of Asymmetric Garch Models On Volatility Of Banks Equity In Nigeria’S Stock Market, Omorogbe J. Asemota, Uchenna C. Ekejiuba

CBN Journal of Applied Statistics (JAS)

This paper examines the volatility of banks equity weekly returns for six banks (coded B1 to B6) using GARCH models. Results reveal the presence of ARCH effect in B2 and B3 equity returns. In addition, the estimated models could not find evidence of leverage effect. On evaluating the estimated models using standard criteria, EGARCH (1, 1) and CGARCH (1, 1) model in Student’s t-distribution are adjudged the best volatility models for B2 and B3 respectively. The study recommends that in modelling stock market volatility, variants of GARCH models and alternative error distribution should be considered for robustness of results. We …

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Modelling Inflation Rate Volatility In Nigeria With Structural Breaks, Ismail O. Fasanya, Oluwasegun B. Adekoya Jun 2017

Modelling Inflation Rate Volatility In Nigeria With Structural Breaks, Ismail O. Fasanya, Oluwasegun B. Adekoya

CBN Journal of Applied Statistics (JAS)

This study compares the performance of GARCH-Type models in modelling inflation volatility in Nigeria covering the period 1995M01 to 2016M10. In the paper, we provide two main innovations: (i) we analyze inflation rate of two pronounced consumer prices indices namely headline and core consumer price indices using the Augmented DickeyFuller break point test which allow for structural breaks in the data series; and (ii) the method is modified to include both symmetric and asymmetric volatility models. The empirical examination observes evidence of volatility persistence in the consumer price indices, but only headline is consistent with leverage effects. Thus, applying one-modelfits-all …

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