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Chinese Army Building In The Era Of Jiang Zemin, Andrew Scobell Dr.
Chinese Army Building In The Era Of Jiang Zemin, Andrew Scobell Dr.
Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies
To many in the United States, China looms large and threatening. This monograph attempts to answer, through an analysis of China's defense establishment under the leadership of Jiang Zemin, questions such as: What are the national security and national military goals of China's leaders? What strategies are Chinese leaders considering in pursuit of these goals? What is the likelihood that these goals will be attained? It assesses the political and economic determinants of China s effort to modernize its armed forces. Four possible strategies are outlined: (1) playing the superpower game," (2) playing to its strengths," (3) changing the rules …
The Pla And The Kosovo Conflict, June Teufel-Dreyer Dr.
The Pla And The Kosovo Conflict, June Teufel-Dreyer Dr.
Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies
The U.S. armed forces are not the only military that has sought to discern the lessons of the Kosovo campaign in the spring of 1999. The Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) has also analyzed the conflict and drawn its own conclusions. In fact, as Dr. June Teufel Dreyer, Professor of Political Science at the University of Miami in Florida, observes, rather than reach a single set of conclusions, different groups within the Chinese military drew different judgments. Dr. Dreyer argues that these differences of opinion reflect the considerable diversity of thinking about defense modernization and future war that exists within …
The United States And Colombia: Untying The Gordian Knot, David Passage Ambassador
The United States And Colombia: Untying The Gordian Knot, David Passage Ambassador
Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies
Twenty-five years after the end of the Vietnam War, the ghost of that war still haunts the corridors of the decision makers when it comes to making long-term commitments to situations that remotely resemble anything like our Indochina experience. That is the case in with Colombia, which is embroiled in an internecine struggle with two guerrilla movements bent on overthrowing the government as well as from narcotraffickers. The author details the complicated but increasingly clear nexus between the political and social insurgencies and the drug traffickers. This, he maintains, has obliged a highly reluctant United States to reexamine whether its …
The United States And Latin America: Shaping An Elusive Future, Donald E. Schulz Dr.
The United States And Latin America: Shaping An Elusive Future, Donald E. Schulz Dr.
Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies
The demise of the Cold War has produced not an "End of History" but a "New World Disorder," which may well become more tumultuous in the decades ahead. Thus, it is crucial at this turn of the millennium to reconsider the prospects for regional security, the challenges that both new and old dangers may pose to U.S. interests, and the kind of strategy and policies that might enable the United States to both better cope with current problems and head off those that are just over the horizon.
The author first analyzes U.S. security interests in Latin America, then goes …
Prevailing In A Well-Armed World: Devising Competitive Strategies Against Weapons Proliferation, Henry D. Sokolski Mr.
Prevailing In A Well-Armed World: Devising Competitive Strategies Against Weapons Proliferation, Henry D. Sokolski Mr.
Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies
This book provides insights into the competitive strategies methodology. Andrew Marshall notes that policymakers and analysts can benefit by using an analytical tool that stimulates their thinking about strategy in terms of long-term competition between nations with conflicting values, policies, and objectives. The book also demonstrates the strengths of the competitive strategies approach as an instrument for examining U.S. policy. The method focuses on policies regarding the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction. In shaping the international environment in the next millennium, no other national security issue seems as complex or important. The imperative here is to look to competitive …
Future Leadership, Old Issues, New Methods, Douglas V. Johnson Dr.
Future Leadership, Old Issues, New Methods, Douglas V. Johnson Dr.
Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies
Each year, the Army After Next Seminar students are asked to orient their Strategy Research Papers on topics appropriate to the programs 30-years in the future focus. Thirty years ago, the United States Army was deeply involved in Vietnam and in the Cold War. Officers could reasonably expect to serve repetitive tours in Southeast Asia interspersed with tours along either the Korean Demilitarized Zone or the Inter-German Border. The tension between sometimes guerrilla, sometimes major warfare in the Pacific and the prospects of nuclear war in Europe made any prognostications of a future like that which we currently enjoy an …
Armed Conflict In The 21st Century: The Information Revolution And Post-Modern Warfare, Steven Metz Dr.
Armed Conflict In The 21st Century: The Information Revolution And Post-Modern Warfare, Steven Metz Dr.
Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies
Within the past decade, the U.S. military has implemented a number of programs to assess the changes underway in the global security environment and in the nature of warfare. Defense leaders and thinkers have concluded that revolutionary change is taking place and, if the United States develops appropriate technology, warfighting concepts, and military organizations, it can master or control this change, thus augmenting American security. Dr. Steven Metz suggests that official thinking within the U.S. military may be too narrow. The information revolution, he contends, will have far-reaching strategic effects. The transformation it brings will not only be technological, but …
Refining American Strategy In Africa, Steven Metz Dr.
Refining American Strategy In Africa, Steven Metz Dr.
Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies
The author provides a broad overview of the African security environment as a basis for recommendations on the refinement of American strategy in that region. He assesses both the opportunities for positive change which exist today, and the obstacles. While only Africans themselves can determine the future of their region, an American strategy which discourages proxy aggression, encourages private initiatives in the economic and political spheres, and uses the U.S. military, particularly the Army, to engage its African counterparts could pay great dividends. American defense strategy calls for using the military to help shape the global security environment, preempting and …
Army Professionalism, The Military Ethic, And Officership In The 21st Century, John A. Nagl Major, C. Anthony Pfaff Dr., Don M. Snider Dr.
Army Professionalism, The Military Ethic, And Officership In The 21st Century, John A. Nagl Major, C. Anthony Pfaff Dr., Don M. Snider Dr.
Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies
The authors address what they—and many others—perceived to be a decline in military professionalism in the Army officer corps. The authors first describe the ethical, technical, and political components of military professionalism and then address the causes for the decline. They conclude by proposing a set of principles which, if adhered to, will reinvigorate the vision of the officer corps and motivate the corps to selfless service.
The Chinese Armed Forces In The 21st Century, Larry M. Wortzel Dr.
The Chinese Armed Forces In The 21st Century, Larry M. Wortzel Dr.
Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies
This book is a serious look at the armed forces of China and how they will evolve. The chapters in this volume were developed from papers prepared for the eighth in a series of conferences on the People's Liberation Army (PLA). The people at the conferences were recognized experts on armed forces and security matters in China drawn from academia, government, the military, and policy think tanks. Each chapter author was challenged to envision some aspect of the Chinese armed forces into the next century. The goal was to paint a realistic view of how domestic and international pressures would …
China's Strategic Modernization: Implications For The United States, Mark A. Stokes Major
China's Strategic Modernization: Implications For The United States, Mark A. Stokes Major
Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies
Conventional wisdom portrays the People's Republic of China (PRC) People's Liberation Army (PLA) as a backward continental force that will not pose a military challenge to its neighbors or to the United States well into the 21st century. PLA writings that demonstrate interest in exploiting the revolution in military affairs (RMA) are dismissed by a large segment of the PLA- watching community as wistful fantasies. The author offers an alternative perspective by outlining emerging PLA operational concepts and a range of research and development projects that appear to have been heavily influenced by U.S. and Russian writings on the RMA. …
Security And Civil-Military Relations In The New World Disorder: The Use Of Armed Forces In The Americas, Max G. Manwaring Dr.
Security And Civil-Military Relations In The New World Disorder: The Use Of Armed Forces In The Americas, Max G. Manwaring Dr.
Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies
In December 1998, the U.S. Army War College joined with the Chief of Staff of the U.S. Army and the George Bush School of Government and Public Service at Texas A&M University to cosponsor a conference entitled "The Use of Land Forces in the Americas." It was held on December 15, 1998, at the Bush School and was hosted by the President of Texas A&M University-Kingsville, Lieutenant General Marc Cisneros, USA (Retired). The various presentations, the level and scope of participation, the candor of the dialogue, the outstanding support provided by the cosponsors, and the relaxed atmosphere generated by the …
America's Army In Transition: Preparing For War In The Precision Age, Robert H. Scales Major General
America's Army In Transition: Preparing For War In The Precision Age, Robert H. Scales Major General
Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies
The following two articles were written during and immediately after the war in Kosovo. The first is an adaptation of an earlier work written after a trip to Asia in 1998. In that essay, I suggested that foreign militaries were beginning to perceive our fixation on a firepower-centered way of war as an exploitable weakness. In fact, some states, armed with experience gained against us in real war, had already begun to evolve a doctrine to counter our superiority in precision. These potential adversaries concluded that dispersion, deception, patience and a willingness to absorb punishment offered them the means to …
The Growing Imperative To Adopt "Flexibility" As An American Principle Of War, Robert S. Frost Lieutenant Colonel
The Growing Imperative To Adopt "Flexibility" As An American Principle Of War, Robert S. Frost Lieutenant Colonel
Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies
The author makes it clear that he is not interested in throwing out the old tried and true existing Principles of War, he only wants thought given to their expansion to include a principle of Flexibility. After all, the hallmark of the course of instruction at the U.S. Army War College is the new environment in which its graduates should expect to operate--an environment that we at the War College characterize as vague, uncertain, complex and ambiguous. In such an environment, the author argues, Flexibility must be an operating principle, and it would serve all the services well to recognize …
Mediterranean Security Into The Coming Millennium, Stephen J. Blank Dr.
Mediterranean Security Into The Coming Millennium, Stephen J. Blank Dr.
Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies
The papers included in this volume represent just such an effort to lay a firmer foundation for this continuing dialogue and to bring together different points of view. In October 1998, the Strategic Studies Institute, assisted by Pepperdine University, assembled a distinguished group of analysts from the United States, Europe, and the Middle East, in Florence, Italy. At a conference titled "Mediterranean Security into the Coming Millennium," the task of the participants was to address current regional security issues in the Balkans, Middle East, and the Aegean, as well as the perceptions of the individual states, the relevant security organizations, …
Future Warfare, Robert H. Scales Major General
Future Warfare, Robert H. Scales Major General
Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies
Throughout U.S. history, the American military services have had an unfortunate penchant for not being ready for the next war. Part of the problem has had to do with factors beyond their control: the American policy has been notoriously slow to respond to the challenges posed by dangerous enemies. On the other hand, American military institutions have been surprisingly optimistic in weighing their preparedness as they embarked on the nation's wars. The first battles involving American military forces hardly give reason for optimism. The initial defeats in the War of 1812, Bull Run, Belleau Woods, Savo Island, Kasserine Pass, Task …
Transnational Threats From The Middle East: Crying Wolf Or Crying Havoc?, Anthony H. Cordesman Prof.
Transnational Threats From The Middle East: Crying Wolf Or Crying Havoc?, Anthony H. Cordesman Prof.
Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies
There is no doubt that the Middle East can present significant potential threats to the West. The author of this monograph examines these threats in order to put them into perspective--to distinguish between "crying wolf" and "crying havoc." After thorough analysis, he contends that the problems caused by narcotics and organized crime, immigration, terrorism, and weapons of mass destruction do not as yet require draconian action by the Western nations. However, he asserts that if the threats of Middle Eastern terrorism and proliferation were to be combined into super- terrorism, the result would create a new form of asymmetric warfare …
The Future U.S. Military Presence In Asia: Landpower And The Geostrategy Of American Commitment, Larry M. Wortzel Dr., Robert H. Scales Major General
The Future U.S. Military Presence In Asia: Landpower And The Geostrategy Of American Commitment, Larry M. Wortzel Dr., Robert H. Scales Major General
Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies
The United States strategic framework in the Pacific has three parts: peacetime engagement, as described above, which includes a forward presence; crisis response, which builds on forward-stationed forces, the "boots-on-the ground" and, if necessary, fighting and winning any conflict that might develop. The mechanisms to carry out this strategic framework are embedded in the regular contacts and engagement activities that the United States carries out with friends and allies in the region. What the future will look like in Asia will be determined largely on what happens on the Korean Peninsula. It could be changed by such eventualities as a …
Landpower And Ambiguous Warfare: The Challenge Of Colombia In The 21st Century, Richard Downes Dr.
Landpower And Ambiguous Warfare: The Challenge Of Colombia In The 21st Century, Richard Downes Dr.
Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies
On December 10 and 11, 1998, over 100 scholars, civilian government officials, and military officers from the United States, Colombia, Venezuela, Ecuador, Panama and Mexico gathered at the U.S. Army War College to discuss "Landpower and Ambiguous Warfare: The Challenge of Colombia in the 21st Century." While the conference adopted no resolutions or conclusions, it provided a valuable forum for expressing widely differing viewpoints on critical components of Colombia's security situation. The meeting highlighted the urgency of the Colombian crisis and the need for a comprehensive response by Colombia, the United States, and the regional community of nations. Much of …
Pacific Security Today: Overcoming The Hurdles, Thomas M. Molino Mr.
Pacific Security Today: Overcoming The Hurdles, Thomas M. Molino Mr.
Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies
In November 1998, Science Applications International Corporation's (SAIC) Center for Global Security and Cooperation, in conjunction with the U.S. Army War College's Strategic Studies Institute and the Naval Postgraduate School (NPS), cosponsored its first Asia security conference at the NPS in Monterey, California. Entitled the Annual Conference on Pacific Security Today, the conference sought to focus on Asia-Pacific security issues by opening a dialogue among government policymakers, scholars, and military leaders. The cosponsors of the Annual Conference on Pacific Security Today placed a high emphasis on dialogue and an open exchange of ideas at this initial meeting, with the objective …
Colombia's Three Wars: U.S. Strategy At The Crossroads, Gabriel Marcella Dr., Donald E. Schulz Dr.
Colombia's Three Wars: U.S. Strategy At The Crossroads, Gabriel Marcella Dr., Donald E. Schulz Dr.
Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies
Colombia is the most troubled country in the Western Hemisphere. Drug criminals, guerrillas, and paramilitary groups are feeding a spiral of violence that makes "colombianization" a metaphor for a failing state. The authors address the strategic dimensions of the crisis. It argues that Colombia's future deeply affects regional security and U.S. interests. The country's afflictions are spilling over its borders, threatening Venezuela, Panama, Ecuador, Brazil, Peru, Mexico, and the Caribbean. At the same time, Colombia is the origin of most of the cocaine and heroin entering the United States. The fear is that, if the situation continues to worsen, the …
Technology And The 21st Century Battlefield: Recomplicating Moral Life For The Statesman And The Soldier, Charles J. Dunlap Colonel
Technology And The 21st Century Battlefield: Recomplicating Moral Life For The Statesman And The Soldier, Charles J. Dunlap Colonel
Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies
The author starts from the traditional American notion that technology might offer a way to decrease the horror and suffering of warfare. He points out that historically this assumption is flawed in that past technological advances, from gunpowder weapons to bombers, have only made warfare more--not less--bloody. With a relentless logic, Colonel Dunlap takes to task those who say that the Revolution in Military Affairs has the potential to make war less bloody. He covers the technological landscape from precision-guided munitions and Information Warfare to the use of space for military operations to raise issues that could pose difficult ethical, …
America's Army: Preparing For Tomorrow's Security Challenges, Robert H. Scales Major General
America's Army: Preparing For Tomorrow's Security Challenges, Robert H. Scales Major General
Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies
During the early decades of the 21st Century, the Army of 2025 will differ from today's Army in two distinct ways. First, it will achieve unprecedented strategic and operational speed by exploiting information technologies to create a knowledge-based organization. Second, it will exhibit tremendous flexibility and physical agility through streamlined, seamlessly integrated organizations that use new tactics and procedures. The collective result will be a versatile, full spectrum, capabilities-based force that can decisively respond to any future global contingency. As the world begins a new age and a new century, the Army is preparing for the next kind of war …
Security Implications Of The Proliferation Of Weapons Of Mass Destruction In The Middle East, Sami G. Hajjar Dr.
Security Implications Of The Proliferation Of Weapons Of Mass Destruction In The Middle East, Sami G. Hajjar Dr.
Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies
This monograph addresses the important question of the security implications for the nations of the region of the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction in the Middle East. The Strategic Studies Institute is pleased to offer the monograph as a contribution to the national security debate on this important issue. The author offers a unique perspective based on extensive interviews that he conducted in the region, and makes specific policy recommendations for U.S. military and civilian decisionmakers.
China's Military Potential, Larry M. Wortzel Dr.
China's Military Potential, Larry M. Wortzel Dr.
Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies
This monograph provides an appraisal of the ability of the People's Republic of China (PRC) to build a credible military force in the 21st century. The author examines a complicated set of factors, which when taken together, equates to potential military power in China's case. Perhaps foremost among these factors is the PRC's current economic success and whether Beijing can transfer it to the military sphere. Colonel Wortzel concludes that China could become a military power in every sense, but the greater likelihood is that the PRC will be overcome by internal problems. Nonetheless, the growth in China's military potential …
The Economic Crisis And Asean States' Security, Sheldon W. Simon Dr.
The Economic Crisis And Asean States' Security, Sheldon W. Simon Dr.
Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies
Asia's financial crisis has quickly become a global one. Its implications far transcend purely economic or financial considerations. In fact, the crisis that began with the fall of Thailand's Baht in 1997 now embraces the entire world and has caused governments to fall in Asia and Russia. To understand the dynamics of the crisis and its consequences for U.S. security, the Strategic Studies Institute and the National Bureau of Research on Asia organized a conference in Seattle, Washington, on June 9-10, 1998. At that conference Professor Sheldon Simon presented this paper. He outlines the impact of this crisis on the …
Defining U.S. Atlantic Command's Role In The Power Projection Strategy, Douglas C. Lovelace Professor, Thomas-Durell Young Dr.
Defining U.S. Atlantic Command's Role In The Power Projection Strategy, Douglas C. Lovelace Professor, Thomas-Durell Young Dr.
Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies
The authors of this monograph argue that the lynch-pin in the power projection strategy of the United States is a completely transformed U.S. Atlantic Command (USACOM). The monograph details how USACOM has been allowed to "evolve" since its inception in 1993 but is yet to achieve its full potential for implementing the CONUS-based power projection strategy. Recognizing USACOM as a principal actor in support of this new strategy, the authors recommend that USACOM should be further transformed into a "Joint Forces Command." Their analysis exposes the need for a significant review of Title 10 of the U.S. Code and a …
Breaking Away From The Bear, Dianne L. Smith Ltc
Breaking Away From The Bear, Dianne L. Smith Ltc
Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies
Lieutenant Colonel Dianne L. Smith examines the development of post-Soviet Central Asian armed forces, Central Asian efforts to guarantee their national security, and the implications for the United States of this struggle. She cautions that the United States use its influence and its military-to-military contact programs judiciously. This is a region of great instability, with massive infusions of energy wealth just beyond the horizon. If these states can create viable methods to ensure domestic and regional security, this wealth may produce prosperity and secure well-being for their citizens. If these states fail to create institutions to preserve their national sovereignty, …
Challenging The United States Symmetrically And Asymmetrically: Can America Be Defeated?, Lloyd J. Matthews Colonel
Challenging The United States Symmetrically And Asymmetrically: Can America Be Defeated?, Lloyd J. Matthews Colonel
Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies
The U.S. Army War College s Ninth Annual Strategy Conference was held at Carlisle Barracks, Pennsylvania, during the period March 31-April 2, 1998. The theme of the conference was Challenging the United States Symmetrically and Asymmetrically: Can America Be Defeated? There were some 150 attendees, including active duty military personnel as well as members of academe, the U.S. Defense and service departments, think tanks, corporations, and news media. This book is an outgrowth of that conference, though it makes no effort to present a comprehensive and literal record of events in the mold of traditional colloquium proceedings. Rather, the book …
Halt Phase Strategy: New Wine In Old Skins . . . With Powerpoint, Earl H. Tilford Dr.
Halt Phase Strategy: New Wine In Old Skins . . . With Powerpoint, Earl H. Tilford Dr.
Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies
Analyzes the Halt Phase Strategy/Doctrine currently advocated by the Air Force. As a part of his analysis, the author traces the immediate origins of Report of the Quadrennial Defense Review. Dr. Tilford contends, however, that Halt's real origins are more closely identified with intrinsic Air Force strategic bombing doctrine, and are to be found in strategies associated with atomic and nuclear deterrence and warfighting. Thus, he concludes that Halt is really "new wine in old skins" being presented today more aggressively because of rapid technological advances.