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Nonlethality And American Land Power: Strategic Context And Operational Concepts, Douglas C. Lovelace Professor, Steven Metz Dr. Jun 1998

Nonlethality And American Land Power: Strategic Context And Operational Concepts, Douglas C. Lovelace Professor, Steven Metz Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

Nonlethal technology, concepts and doctrine may provide the Army a way to retain its political utility and military effectiveness in a security environment characterized by ambiguity and the glare of world public opinion. To explore this, the Army is undertaking programs and initiatives which may make it the driving force in nonlethality. The authors place nonlethality within its larger strategic context and explain how it is related to the revolution in military affairs. They then assess the arguments for and against the integration of nonlethality into American doctrine and procedures. Finally, they offer operational concepts which could serve as the …


Redefining Land Power For The 21st Century, William T. Johnsen Dr. May 1998

Redefining Land Power For The 21st Century, William T. Johnsen Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

Divisive debates over the future force structures of the U.S. Armed Forces have continued despite the Report of the Commission on Roles and Missions for the Armed Forces (May 1995) and the more recent reports of the Quadrennial Defense Review (May 1997) and the National Defense Panel (December 1997). Part of the reason for the bitter nature of these debates is due to parochial partisanship. Part is due to a lack of clear understanding of the individual components of military power or of their collective interrelationships. This latter conclusion may be particularly true for land power. Responsibility for this misunderstanding …


The Creeping Irrelevance Of U.S. Force Planning, Jeffrey Record Dr. May 1998

The Creeping Irrelevance Of U.S. Force Planning, Jeffrey Record Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

Jeffrey Record examines what he believes is a half-century-old and continuing recession of large-interstate warfare and, since the World War's demise, the unexpected and often violent disintegration of established states. He then addresses the Department of Defense's persistent planning focus on multiple conventional war scenarios, concluding that this focus on the familiar and comfortable is becoming increasingly irrelevant to a world of small wars and MOOTW. The author's critical analysis leads him to propose significant and controversial changes in planning standards, force structure, and defense spending. His thought-provoking analyses, conclusions, and recommendations should fuel further discussion of how America's military …


Conflict And Conflict Resolution In The Sahel: The Tuareg Insurgency In Mali, Kalifa Keita Lieutenant Colonel May 1998

Conflict And Conflict Resolution In The Sahel: The Tuareg Insurgency In Mali, Kalifa Keita Lieutenant Colonel

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

June 27, 1990, is a significant date in the recent history of Mali. It marks the beginning of what Malians call "The Second Tuareg Rebellion." The first had been staged against the post-colonial Malian government in 1963. The national government had suppressed that rebellion with harsh coercive measures, and the Tuaregs continued to nurture grievances. The second Tuareg rebellion coincided in the early 1990s with turbulent political developments in Malian society as a whole. It soon was clear that Mali's stability and progress were contingent on ending the insurgency. This, in turn, required a solution to Tuareg grievances. By the …


Ay 97 Compendium Army After Next Project, Douglas V. Johnson Dr. Apr 1998

Ay 97 Compendium Army After Next Project, Douglas V. Johnson Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

These student papers are largely focused on present problems which must be solved before movement toward the future can make much progress. If they are not dramatically futuristic in approach, they are nevertheless set against a future backdrop which is still in the process of being defined. The broader Army After Next program, led by the U.S. Army Training and Doctrine Command, is an experiment, an examination of what could be. The Army War College seeks to play its part through this contribution and by educating those officers who will field, staff, and command our future Army.


The Age Of Revolutions, Claudia Kennedy Lieutenant General Mar 1998

The Age Of Revolutions, Claudia Kennedy Lieutenant General

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

Lieutenant General Claudia Kennedy, the Army Deputy Chief of Staff for Intelligence, postulates a future world where challenges to the national security and national interests of the United States will come from many sources. Not only will the armed forces of the United States have to be prepared to counter attacks by nation-states with armed forces equipped with modern weapons, they must also be ready to address a wide range of challenges across the spectrum from urban warlords to narco-terrorists. Today there is a great deal of talk about focusing on the high end of the threat and relying on …


Five-Dimensional (Cyber) Warfighting: Can The Army After Next Be Defeated Through Complex Concepts And Technologies?, Robert J. Bunker Dr. Mar 1998

Five-Dimensional (Cyber) Warfighting: Can The Army After Next Be Defeated Through Complex Concepts And Technologies?, Robert J. Bunker Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

The theme for the U.S. Army War College's Ninth Annual Strategy Conference (April 1998) is "Challenging the United States Symmetrically and Asymmetrically: Can America Be Defeated?" Dr. Robert J. Bunker of California State University, San Bernardino, answers the question with an emphatic "yes." He expounds a scenario in which a future enemy (BlackFor) concedes that the U.S. Army's (BlueFor) superior technology, advanced weaponry, and proven record of success in recent military operations make it virtually invulnerable to conventional forms of symmetric attack. Therefore, BlackFor seeks asymmetric ways to obviate BlueFor's advantages. Dr. Bunker's scenario frontally assaults some of the premises …


Russia's Armed Forces On The Brink Of Reform, Stephen J. Blank Dr. Mar 1998

Russia's Armed Forces On The Brink Of Reform, Stephen J. Blank Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

Despite over a dozen years of talk, the Soviet and now Russian military has not undergone a true military reform. What did happen was a form of degeneration and disintegration, but not a methodically planned and directed transformation and/or adaptation to new conditions. Consequently, defense policy, in all of its ramifications, has remained essentially unreformed and remains an impediment to Russia's accommodation to today's strategic realities. This study presents an assessment of Russian defense policy as Russia has begun, in late 1997 and 1998, to grapple with the enormous challenges that inhere in the process of military reform. The outcome …


World View: The 1998 Strategic Assessment From The Strategic Studies Institute, Earl H. Tilford Dr. Feb 1998

World View: The 1998 Strategic Assessment From The Strategic Studies Institute, Earl H. Tilford Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

World View presents the annual strategic assessments of the analysts at the Strategic Studies Institute. It is fifth in a series that reflects both our individual forecasts and collective review of the key security issues facing the United States. The process that produces World View also leads to our annual Research and Outreach Plan. The strategic context is not vastly changed for 1998. It is as complex and uncertain as it has been virtually every year since the end of the Cold War. This year, however, we are also assessing the future in the light of the Quadrennial Defense Review, …


Force Planning Considerations For Army Xxi, William T. Johnsen Dr. Feb 1998

Force Planning Considerations For Army Xxi, William T. Johnsen Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

The U.S. Army has moved along the path of preparing for the 21st century. This process began with the conceptual examinations and assessments carried out under the "Louisiana Maneuvers" and the Army's Battle Labs, and matured through the Force XXI process. The Army recently completed its first series of Advanced Warfighting Experiments that will shape the redesign and restructure of the future force, Army XXI, for the early years of the new millennium. While the broad outlines of Army XXI have been sketched out, many of the details remain to be filled in. Undoubtedly, these efforts will be influenced by …


Joint U.S. Army-Navy War Planning On The Eve Of The First World War, Adolf Carlson Colonel Feb 1998

Joint U.S. Army-Navy War Planning On The Eve Of The First World War, Adolf Carlson Colonel

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

All the histories of the First World War devote considerable attention to the impact of war plans and war planners—how in the foreign relations among the great powers war plans became factors in their own right. Many of these plans revealed volumes about the attitudes of the officers who wrote them, from the offensive a l’outrance of French plan XVII to the cold calculation of the Schlieffen plan, which called for the invasion of an unoffensive neutral country to achieve a military advantage.

Americans usually exclude themselves when they discuss the pre-war military plans, but there were U.S. war plans …


Problems And Solutions In Future Coalition Operations, Phillip Kaiser Mr., Jon Kessmeier Mr., Thomas J. Marshall Mr. Dec 1997

Problems And Solutions In Future Coalition Operations, Phillip Kaiser Mr., Jon Kessmeier Mr., Thomas J. Marshall Mr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

Each year, the United States Army, Europe (USAREUR) undertakes a conference-study program on a matter of strategic significance, with several objectives. The topic relates to USAREUR’s mission; anticipates future requirements; contributes toward building democratic norms within the militaries of emerging democracies; and serves to inform the USAREUR staff, higher headquarters and other U.S. Government agencies of active measures to improve current practices. Examples of topics in the last several years are Preventive Diplomacy, Planning and Conducting Large Scale Emergency Operations, and Military Support to Democratization in Europe.

In 1996, USAREUR undertook to study “Problems and Solutions in Future Coalition Operations.” …


Shadow Politics: The Russian State In The 21st Century, Peter J. Stavrakis Dr. Dec 1997

Shadow Politics: The Russian State In The 21st Century, Peter J. Stavrakis Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

In April the U.S. Army War College's Strategic Studies Institute hosted its Eighth Annual Strategy Conference at Carlisle Barracks, Pennsylvania. The theme for the 1997 Strategy Conference was "Russia's Future as a World Power." For two days, scholars, military professionals, and policymakers from the United States, Europe, and Russia engaged in a very useful exchange of ideas and viewpoints. Dr. Peter J. Stavrakis, of the Kennan Institute for Advanced Russian Studies, describes the emergence in Russia of a kind of oligarchic capitalism, controlled by old political elites, and thriving amidst an extra-legal "parallel shadow government." In short, rather than a …


The United States And The Transformation Of African Security: The African Crisis Response Initiative And Beyond, Daniel W. Henk Col, Steven Metz Dr. Dec 1997

The United States And The Transformation Of African Security: The African Crisis Response Initiative And Beyond, Daniel W. Henk Col, Steven Metz Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

Helping Africans develop a capability to avoid or solve their region's security problems has reemerged recently as an important goal of American strategy, and the African Crisis Response Initiative (ACRI) is its centerpiece. Based on their testimony presented to the Africa Subcommittee of the U.S. House of Representatives Committee on International Relations, this study by Dr. Steven Metz and Colonel Dan Henk of the U.S. Army War College examines the ACRI. Significantly, it does so by placing the ACRI in a wider, long-term strategic context.


The Cincs' Strategies: The Combatant Command Process, William W. Mendel Col (Ret), Graham H. Turbiville Dr. Dec 1997

The Cincs' Strategies: The Combatant Command Process, William W. Mendel Col (Ret), Graham H. Turbiville Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

The authors report their observations of the different ways combatant commanders-in-chief (CINCs) produce a strategy document, and suggest that new joint doctrine is needed to bring a degree of regularity and orderliness to the CINCs' strategic planning process. The CINCs' Strategies: The Combatant Command Process provides a brief look at the CINCs' strategy objectives and concepts in order to place the planning process in context. The focus of the study, however, is on the process itself as it exists and could be further developed. With our National Security and National Military Strategies so clearly directed toward shaping the international environment, …


Multinational Land Formations And Nato: Reforming Practices And Structures, Thomas-Durell Young Dr. Dec 1997

Multinational Land Formations And Nato: Reforming Practices And Structures, Thomas-Durell Young Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

The problems Dr. Young grapples with in this account have been exacerbated by a variety of evolving realities stemming from the new, post-Cold War security environment. Reduced national force structures, new NATO roles and missions emanating from the military implementation of Alliance Strategy and the rapid reaction requirements associated with the embryonic Combined Joint Task Forces (CJTF) Concept are but three of a multitude of inter-related issues which have driven the requirement to address NATO force structure requirements as a whole, as part of the ongoing internal adaptation of Alliance structures and procedures.


"Enhancing" The Australian-U.S. Defense Relationship: A Guide To U.S. Policy, Thomas-Durell Young Dr. Nov 1997

"Enhancing" The Australian-U.S. Defense Relationship: A Guide To U.S. Policy, Thomas-Durell Young Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

Notwithstanding the end of U.S. basing in the Philippines, a revised defense framework with Japan, and starts and stops in Chinese-American military contacts, U.S. security relationships in the Pacific have enjoyed remarkable continuity since the end of the Cold War. The United States has promoted, thus far successfully, its role as the region s stabilizing power to justify at home and abroad a sustained Pacific rim presence and engagement. Whether this role has staying power for the coming decade is another matter. The frictions of basing in Japan and Korea, as well as the anticipated transformation in North Korea, are …


Strategic Planning And The Drug Threat, William W. Mendel Col (Ret), Murl D. Munger Col (Ret) Aug 1997

Strategic Planning And The Drug Threat, William W. Mendel Col (Ret), Murl D. Munger Col (Ret)

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

The primary purpose of this publication is to show how the principles and techniques of strategic and operational planning can be applied to the supply reduction side of our national effort to curb the trafficking of illicit drugs. An earlier version was published in 1991 which introduced campaign planning methodology as a means to help bridge the gap existing between the policy and strategy documents of higher echelons and the tactical plans developed at the field level. These campaign planning principles, formats, and examples of operational level techniques have been retained and updated for use as models for current interagency …


U.S. National Security: Beyond The Cold War, Robert Ellsworth Amb, Morton H. Halperin Dr., David Jablonsky Dr., Lawrence Korb Dr. Jul 1997

U.S. National Security: Beyond The Cold War, Robert Ellsworth Amb, Morton H. Halperin Dr., David Jablonsky Dr., Lawrence Korb Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

U.S. national security is a subject that has been under intense scrutiny since the end of the Cold War. What constitutes such security for the United States as this country approaches the new century? Are the ends, ways, and means of our national security and national military strategies sufficient to provide for the nation's future? And above all, as this country celebrates the 50th anniversary of the National Security Act of 1947, are the institutions that resulted from that act still sufficient for the post-Cold War era?

With these questions in mind, the Strategic Studies Institute and Dickinson College's Clarke …


Assessing The Costs Of Failure, Lawrence R. Velte Mr., Shibley Telhami Prof., Stephen C. Pelletiere Dr. Jun 1997

Assessing The Costs Of Failure, Lawrence R. Velte Mr., Shibley Telhami Prof., Stephen C. Pelletiere Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

As of mid-1997, the fate of the Arab-Israeli peace process is dangerously uncertain. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu's decision to begin work on a new Jewish settlement in Jerusalem has so enraged Palestinians that they have effectively walked out of the negotiations. President Clinton has called on his special envoy, Dennis Ross, to exert every effort to get the Palestinians to return. Meanwhile, elements opposed to the peace process from within the Israeli political establishment have pressured the Prime Minister to halt or even reverse the steps taken to date. Given these current setbacks, it is worthwhile to review what hangs …


From Madrid To Brussels: Perspectives On Nato Enlargement, Stephen J. Blank Dr. Jun 1997

From Madrid To Brussels: Perspectives On Nato Enlargement, Stephen J. Blank Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

NATO's enlargement will be perhaps the most important defense and foreign policy issue of 1997. Certainly, its impact will exert a decisive influence on the future evolution of European security and the institutions that comprise it. This process raises a host of serious issues concerning Europe, not the least being the questions of what can or will be done for those states who are not members of NATO or will not be able to enter in the first round of enlargement. Other issues include the impact of enlargement on NATO as an alliance system, on U.S. foreign and defense policy, …


The Evolution In Military Affairs: Shaping The Future U.S. Armed Forces, Douglas C. Lovelace Professor Jun 1997

The Evolution In Military Affairs: Shaping The Future U.S. Armed Forces, Douglas C. Lovelace Professor

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

Professor Douglas Lovelace articulates the exigent need to begin preparing the U.S. armed forces for the international security environment which will succeed the post-Cold War era. He defines national security interests, describes the future international security environment, identifies derivative future national security objectives and strategic concepts, and discerns the military capabilities that will be required in the early 21st century. Professor Lovelace neither proposes nor allows for a "revolution in military affairs," but contends that the U.S. military necessarily must evolve into a 21st century force. He considers the force capabilities suggested by Joint Vision 2010 as a necessary step …


National Defense Into The 21st Century: Defining The Issues, Earl H. Tilford Dr. Jun 1997

National Defense Into The 21st Century: Defining The Issues, Earl H. Tilford Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

In March 1996, Colonel Jim Blundell of the Association of the United States Army's Institute for Land Warfare and Dr. Earl H. Tilford, Jr., of the U. S. Army War College's Strategic Studies Institute envisioned a symposium that would bring all the services together for an open and honest meeting aimed at defining the complex issues that will face the services individually and the Department of Defense corporately during the Joint Strategy Review and Quadrennial Defense Review process. This symposium brought together men and women, soldiers, airmen, marines, and civilians from government, industry, academia, and the media to speak and, …


The Future Roles Of U.S. Military Power And Their Implications, William T. Johnsen Dr. Apr 1997

The Future Roles Of U.S. Military Power And Their Implications, William T. Johnsen Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

As the daily headlines attest, the Department of Defense is in the midst of a Quadrennial Defense Review (QDR). Charged by Congress, the Department of Defense is examining a broad range of issues concerning U.S. military policy and strategy (inter alia, future national defense strategy, the force structure necessary to implement that strategy, the affects of technology on force structure, and the anticipated roles and missions of the Reserve Components in executing the defense strategy) that will have far-reaching consequences for the United States. Before these crucial issues are addressed, however, a more fundamental question needs to be explored: what …


Strategic Horizons: The Military Implications Of Alternative Futures, Steven Metz Dr. Mar 1997

Strategic Horizons: The Military Implications Of Alternative Futures, Steven Metz Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

A year ago the Chief of Staff of the Army initiated the Army After Next Project (AANP) as a means of stimulating constructive thinking about the Army's future throughout the service. AANP has quickly developed into a primary vehicle for long-range planning. Under the leadership of the Training and Doctrine Command (TRADOC), the AANP has conducted an ambitious program of studies, symposia and workshops, culminating in a Winter War Game and Senior Seminar held at Carlisle, January 27-February 6, 1997. A key line of initial inquiry for us has been to forecast the nature of the future security environment in …


World View: The 1997 Strategic Assessment From The Strategic Studies Institute, Earl H. Tilford Dr. Jan 1997

World View: The 1997 Strategic Assessment From The Strategic Studies Institute, Earl H. Tilford Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

In December of each year the analysts at the Strategic Studies Institute (SSI) look to the year ahead to assess the strategic equation for their particular areas of interest. This is part of an effort to focus our priorities both corporately as well as individually. As they address those issues and factors that will affect U.S. national security strategy over the next 12-18 months, our analysts are also forced to think about the next decade. The strategic context in 1997 will be quite similar to that of 1996 in that it remains complex and uncertain. This year, however, the way …


The Chemical Weapons Convention: Strategic Implications For The United States, Frederick J. Vogel Mr. Jan 1997

The Chemical Weapons Convention: Strategic Implications For The United States, Frederick J. Vogel Mr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

On January 13, 1993, in Paris, 130 countries signed the Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC) to ban the entire class of chemical weapons. Many of those nations have since ratified it. In this country, debate continues on the strategic implications of the convention, as drafted, and whether it is in the U.S. national security interest. Once gain, that debate comes before the Senate for ratification consideration in 1997. Frederick Vogel explores the historical, moral, and legal aspects of chemical warfare, and the strategic implications of the convention, including operational, policy, constitutional, and industrial impact for the United States. He concludes that, …


Asian Security To The Year 2000, Dianne L. Smith Ltc, Abraham Kim Mr., Marc Jason Gilbert Prof., Perry L. Wood Mr. Dec 1996

Asian Security To The Year 2000, Dianne L. Smith Ltc, Abraham Kim Mr., Marc Jason Gilbert Prof., Perry L. Wood Mr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

In January 1996, the U.S. Army War College's Strategic Studies Institute (SSI) and the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) hosted a conference on "Asian Security to the Year 2000." No region of the world has greater potential for expanded influence on American interests. This compendium of papers from the conference examines the security policies being pursued by many of the key Asian actors--China, the Koreas, Pakistan, and the nations of Southeast Asia, particularly those in ASEAN. The contributors to this volume paint the picture of a dynamic and diverse Asia on the verge of the new century. Each …


Force, Statecraft And German Unity: The Struggle To Adapt Institutions And Practices, Thomas-Durell Young Dr. Dec 1996

Force, Statecraft And German Unity: The Struggle To Adapt Institutions And Practices, Thomas-Durell Young Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

One can make two general observations concerning Bonn's ongoing attempt to adapt institutions and practices. First, confusion in German policy making is clearly a manifestation of officials largely navigating in a little-known policy milieu. Realpolitik, let alone Machtpolitik (either as mere terms, let alone as concepts) are neither freely used in "polite" political discord in Germany, nor widely contemplated. As a result of a wide-spread political culture governed by self-restraint, confronting difficult issues in their proper context has made decision making frequently complicated and confusing to outside observers. What we are presently witnessing is a learning period in German external …


Managing Strains In The Coalition: What To Do About Saddam?, Stephen C. Pelletiere Dr. Nov 1996

Managing Strains In The Coalition: What To Do About Saddam?, Stephen C. Pelletiere Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

For 5 years U.S. policy has managed to steer a coalition of states which share broad interests in regional stability and free trade. Yet below these common interests, the United States has walked a tightrope stretched between competing objectives vis-à-vis Iraq, e.g., undermining Saddam while preserving Iraq as a counterweight to Iran; protecting the Kurds while not promoting their independence. Time, however, has a habit of eroding international coalitions and exposing seams in the details of policy. Iraq's September 1996 actions in the Kurdish north found such a seam in coalition objectives, or, to return to the original metaphor, shook …