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Agroecological Zones Simulator (Azs): A Component Based, Open-Access, Transparent Platform For Climate Change – Crop Productivity Impact Assessment In Latin America, Roberto Confalonieri, Marcello Donatelli, S. Bregaglio, F. N. Tubiello, E. Fernandes Jul 2012

Agroecological Zones Simulator (Azs): A Component Based, Open-Access, Transparent Platform For Climate Change – Crop Productivity Impact Assessment In Latin America, Roberto Confalonieri, Marcello Donatelli, S. Bregaglio, F. N. Tubiello, E. Fernandes

International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software

The Agro-ecological Zones Simulator (AZS) is a platform for data and models sharing for scientists and policy makers, facilitating the analysis of climate change impacts and the identification of possible response strategies through a comprehensive regional-level analysis comprised of: (i) Geo-referenced climate, soil and terrain data, combined into a land resources database;(ii) Crop suitability assessment and land productivity of cropping systems; (iii) Procedures for calculating the potential agronomically attainable yield; (iv) Procedures for computing actual yields as limited by water availability and management, biotic and abiotic factors; and (v) Selected agricultural production systems with defined input and management relationships, crop-specific …

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Environmental Modelling Using Cloud Computing Tools: Case Studies And Examples, L. Matejicek Jul 2012

Environmental Modelling Using Cloud Computing Tools: Case Studies And Examples, L. Matejicek

International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software

Cloud computing represents an emerging computing paradigm, which offers delivering a variety of computing services in a way that has not been experienced previously. In order to develop advanced simulations, environmental modelling must be adapted to this more powerful and efficient computing tool. Traditional model calculations are taken into the sphere of interconnected data and more accessible software tools, which rationalize the way they manage their resources. Moreover, information systems such as GIS, and case-oriented software tools for data pre-processing and visualization can be accessible for a wide range of users participating in research projects. In order to document distribution …

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The Effect Of Respondent Uncertainty On Economic Value Estimates, Ivana Logar, Jeroen C. J. M. Van Den Bergh Jul 2012

The Effect Of Respondent Uncertainty On Economic Value Estimates, Ivana Logar, Jeroen C. J. M. Van Den Bergh

International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software

Respondent uncertainty is often considered as one of the main limitations of the stated preference methods, which are nowadays being widely used for valuing environmental goods and services. These methods usually assume that respondents know their preferences with certainty. However, empirical evidence demonstrates that respondents are often uncertain when answering contingent valuation questions. It has been argued that this affects the validity of the results derived from the contingent valuation method. This is a relevant issue since outcomes of valuation are often being used for decision making in environmental management and in setting environmental policies. This article examines the effect …

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Multi-Agent Systems Optimization For Distributed Watershed Management, M. Giuliani, A. Castelletti, F. Amigoni, X. Cai Jul 2012

Multi-Agent Systems Optimization For Distributed Watershed Management, M. Giuliani, A. Castelletti, F. Amigoni, X. Cai

International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software

Water systems are characterized by the presence of many and often conflicting interests as well as distributed independent decision-makers. The traditional centralized approach to water management, as described in much of water resources literature, should be therefore reconsidered in the light of a more realistic, decentralized representation of the decision-making structure in order to provide effective solutions for policy making. In this paper we use Multi-Agent Systems (MAS) to analyse the role of a hypothetical watershed authority, which has to deliver a management plan at the watershed level starting from an uncoordinated situation. MAS provide powerful modeling and analytical tools …

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Participatory Analysis Of The Sustainability Of Livelihoods In The Agro-Ecosystem Of Abesard, Iran, Hadi Veisi, Sahar Bagheri Toulabi Jul 2012

Participatory Analysis Of The Sustainability Of Livelihoods In The Agro-Ecosystem Of Abesard, Iran, Hadi Veisi, Sahar Bagheri Toulabi

International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software

This paper reports some of the results of a study to explore vulnerabilitycontexts i.e. trends, shocks and local cultural practices that affect livelihood assetsi.e. natural capital (land, water, biodiversity), physical capital (infrastructure,machinery), human capital (labour, skills), financial capital (savings, disposableassets), and social capital (rights, support systems) in Abesard, Iran. It alsodescribes structures, including organizations (government, private), and processes,including policies, laws and incentives, that determine the livelihood strategies ofhouseholds (agricultural intensification or expansion, livelihood diversification, andmigration) which, in turn, impact the assets. Participatory vulnerability analysis(PVA) was used within a sustainable rural livelihoods (SRL) framework to assessthe differences of the livelihoods of …

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Integrated Assessment Of Mitigation Strategies Using An Agent-Based Model Of The Linked Energy, Economic, And Climate System, M. D. Gerst, P. Wang, A. Roventini, G. Dosi, R. B. Howarth, M. E. Borsuk Jul 2012

Integrated Assessment Of Mitigation Strategies Using An Agent-Based Model Of The Linked Energy, Economic, And Climate System, M. D. Gerst, P. Wang, A. Roventini, G. Dosi, R. B. Howarth, M. E. Borsuk

International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software

An alternative to the typical application of rational choice models to climate policy is the coupling of agent-based modeling and exploratory approaches. Agent-based models (ABMs) represent the world as made up of heterogeneous, boundedly-rational agents who act in their own interests and yet engage in substantive communication. Rather than focusing on optimal outcomes, agent-based models are primarily concerned with the evolution of large-scale properties that ‘emerge’ from the lower-level behavior. Consequently, ABMs have the potential to address complex system properties and generate a wider array of plausible storylines than more traditional integrated assessment modeling methodologies. We provide an overview of …

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Macrobotanical Evidence Of Diet And Plant Use At Wolf Village (42ut273), Utah Valley, Utah., Wendy Dahle Dec 2011

Macrobotanical Evidence Of Diet And Plant Use At Wolf Village (42ut273), Utah Valley, Utah., Wendy Dahle

Theses and Dissertations

Farming played a role in the subsistence base for the Fremont culture, but there is no consensus as to how significant that role was. Maize is consistently found in Fremont sites, but evidence of wild plant use is also abundant. The use of both domesticates and foraged plants by the Fremont, combined with the diversity of the landscape and sites that were inhabited by the Fremont, contributes to the diversity of theories on Fremont subsistence. This thesis examines evidence for plant usage at Wolf Village, a Fremont site in Utah Valley. Wolf Village is ideally situated for a Fremont farming …

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Birds Of Glen Canyon National Recreation Area, Utah And Arizona, John R. Spence, Charles T. Larue, John D. Grahame Aug 2011

Birds Of Glen Canyon National Recreation Area, Utah And Arizona, John R. Spence, Charles T. Larue, John D. Grahame

Monographs of the Western North American Naturalist

The birds of Glen Canyon National Recreation Area, in southern Utah and northern Arizona, are documented, with information on abundance, distribution, ecology, residency status, and breeding status. In all, 316 species have been reported from the park since the first surveys in the region during the 1930s. Historical survey data from the pre-Glen Canyon Dam surveys are incorporated, as well as significant work done in the park since 1992. Breeding is documented for 87 species, including 82 native species and 5 exotic species. Many rare species are reported for the first time from this section of the state, and several …

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Investigating The Influence Of Computer Programs On Perception And Application Of Mathematical Skills, Neil M. Bly Jun 2011

Investigating The Influence Of Computer Programs On Perception And Application Of Mathematical Skills, Neil M. Bly

Theses and Dissertations

Existing research suggests an intuitive relationship between mathematics and computer programming. These previous studies have focused primarily on the cognitive connection and have ignored the potential impact of programming on an individual's perception and application of mathematical skills. By surveying and interviewing a variety of participants, this study aims to provide a descriptive foundation for the experiential side of cognitive correlations and causalities. These phenomenological accounts, garnered from individual interviews of seven different programmers, indicate four specific areas of interest. First, learning to program provided context for many abstract concepts. Second, programming illustrated the important distinction between understanding the application …

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Retrospective Evaluation Of The Effects Of Human Disturbance And Goldfish Introduction On Endangered Pahrump Poolfish, James E. Deacon, Joshua E. Williams Dec 2010

Retrospective Evaluation Of The Effects Of Human Disturbance And Goldfish Introduction On Endangered Pahrump Poolfish, James E. Deacon, Joshua E. Williams

Western North American Naturalist

Life history data for Pahrump poolfish (Empetrichthys latos latos) collected from 1937 to 1975 were organized and analyzed to improve our understanding of changes caused by human habitat disruption and introduced goldfish (Carassius auratus) at Manse Spring, Nevada. Pahrump poolfish twice demonstrated their ability to recover numerically from a population crash. The first crash followed a November 1961 introduction of a few goldfish and subsequent removal of vegetation by local ranch children intent on turning Manse Spring into a swimming hole. The second crash followed another major habitat disturbance resulting from an unsuccessful attempt to eradicate …

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The Dirt On The Ancient Maya: Soil Chemical Investigations Of Ancient Maya Marketplaces, Daniel Aaron Bair Jul 2010

The Dirt On The Ancient Maya: Soil Chemical Investigations Of Ancient Maya Marketplaces, Daniel Aaron Bair

Theses and Dissertations

Various criteria or lines of evidence have been used to identify ancient Maya marketplaces, including location near trade routes, artifactual evidence of trade, open space adjacent to transportation routes, proximity to public structures, low platforms and rock alignments to denote market spaces, and regular patterns in soil and floor chemical concentrations. Seibal and Mayapán were important economic Maya polities controlling the trade routes at the apex of their civilizations. The objectives of these studies were to apply geochemical and geospatial analyses of the soils and floors from public plazas and household patios, to discover the anthropogenic chemical residues of phosphorus …

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Modelling Urban Land Use Change Using Geographically Weighted Regression And The Implications For Sustainable Environmental Planning, Noresah Mohd Shariff, Sanjay Gairola, Anita Talib Jul 2010

Modelling Urban Land Use Change Using Geographically Weighted Regression And The Implications For Sustainable Environmental Planning, Noresah Mohd Shariff, Sanjay Gairola, Anita Talib

International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software

In this study we applied Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) approach to model urban landuse changes in Penang Island from 1990 to 2005, covering the period during which the Island has experiencedtremendous urban growth due to in migration from adjacent areas. Land use change has potential impacts on thephysical and social environment. We identified spatial variables describing environment, physical and socioeconomicfactors which are hypothesized to influence the change in the land use in the study area. An ordinaryleast squares regression (OLS) model is applied to the variables followed by a GWR model and the results arecompared. The results show that the …

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Using Nvidia Gpu For Modelling The Lagrangian Particle Dispersion In The Atmosphere, Jiye Zeng, Tsuneo Matsunaga, Hitoshi Mukai Jul 2010

Using Nvidia Gpu For Modelling The Lagrangian Particle Dispersion In The Atmosphere, Jiye Zeng, Tsuneo Matsunaga, Hitoshi Mukai

International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software

A Lagrangian particle dispersion model computes trajectories for a large number of particles and is often used for describing the transport and diffusion of tracers in the atmosphere. In a typical application, computing the position changes of particles is the bottleneck that controls the total execution time. Such a model presents a good case for investigating the use of NVIDIA’s Graphic Processor Unit or GPU. We developed a Lagrangian particle dispersion model based on FLEXPART to take the advantage of the GPU’s parallel computing power. Preliminary tests show that using a GPU can improve the performance by as much as …

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Meta-Modelling The European Environmental Information Space, Werner Pillmann, Karl-Heinz Simon Jul 2010

Meta-Modelling The European Environmental Information Space, Werner Pillmann, Karl-Heinz Simon

International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software

In this paper a conceptual Meta-Model is presented with the aim to structure environmental information, relevant for the environmental part of sustainable development. It is focused on crucial environmental information flows handled in the discipline of Environmental Informatics. The introduced structure is a conceptual systems dynamics type model which describes the natural environment (air, water, soil, climate etc.), the private sector (industry, trade, transport etc.) and households. It uses the input-output presentation where causeeffect chains and information feedback paths are considered. The Meta-Model brings together substantial information about environmental indicators from different areas and organizations, the knowledge about levels of …

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Modelling Needs Assessment For Social Adaptation To Climate Change In Siberia, G. A. Alexandrov, G. Inoue, T. Matsunaga Jul 2010

Modelling Needs Assessment For Social Adaptation To Climate Change In Siberia, G. A. Alexandrov, G. Inoue, T. Matsunaga

International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software

Despite the common expectation that climate change may make Siberia a warm heaven, this would not be good for local people. Surprisingly the people of Siberia do rely on the winter cold. Warming may be a serious challenge here. Climate change threatens Siberian forests, lakes and permafrost. In the region where landscapes are unstable this implies the risks of losing the traditional means of subsistence, at least for a while. Social adaptation to climate change is becoming an urgent issue, as the first signs of warming are becoming noticeable to local people. This article reports an attempt to explore the …

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Climate Change Impact On Agriculture: Devils Lake Basin, Andrei Kirilenko Jul 2010

Climate Change Impact On Agriculture: Devils Lake Basin, Andrei Kirilenko

International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software

Northern Great Plains is one of the most important agricultural regionsworldwide. This is also a region expected to be heavily impacted by climate change. Thisand two other papers in this session concentrate on studying climate change impacts onwater resources of the region, and on the impacts of these changes on agriculture. Themajor focus of our interest is Devils Lake watershed in North Dakota. The watershed islocated in the Northern Great Plains, the area where intensive agriculture has caused anextreme change in land use and land cover, followed by substantial water pollution. DevilsLake is an endorheic (terminal) lake, which makes it …

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Meta-Modelling The European Environmental Information Space, Werner Pillmann, Karl-Heinz Simon Jul 2010

Meta-Modelling The European Environmental Information Space, Werner Pillmann, Karl-Heinz Simon

International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software

In this paper a conceptual Meta-Model is presented with the aim to structure environmental information, relevant for the environmental part of sustainable development. It is focused on crucial environmental information flows handled in the discipline of Environmental Informatics. The introduced structure is a conceptual systems dynamics type model which describes the natural environment (air, water, soil, climate etc.), the private sector (industry, trade, transport etc.) and households. It uses the input-output presentation where causeeffect chains and information feedback paths are considered. The Meta-Model brings together substantial information about environmental indicators from different areas and organizations, the knowledge about levels of …

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Agent Based Modelling Of Caribou Environmental Interactions In The Canadian Arctic, Glen Lesins, Kaz Higuchi Jul 2010

Agent Based Modelling Of Caribou Environmental Interactions In The Canadian Arctic, Glen Lesins, Kaz Higuchi

International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software

Agent or individual based modelling (IBM) is recognized as an important tool in biological modelling for simulating animal behaviour and interactions with the environment at the level of the individual while maintaining a collective perspective. The method allows rules to be programmed for the interactions between like and unlike species, responses to geographic factors and impacts from human activities. By emphasizing the development of appropriate rules for the individual, one can avoid imposing ad hoc assumptions concerning the population as a whole and instead allow emergent phenomena to unfold at the larger scale. Here we report on preliminary results using …

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Modelling The Environment Using Graphs With Behaviour: Do You Speak Ocelet?, P. Degenne, A. Ait Lahcen, O. Cure, R. Forax, D. Parigot, D. Lo Seen Jul 2010

Modelling The Environment Using Graphs With Behaviour: Do You Speak Ocelet?, P. Degenne, A. Ait Lahcen, O. Cure, R. Forax, D. Parigot, D. Lo Seen

International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software

Environmental modelling often implies defining elements that relate and interact with each other, in a system that evolves with time. Ocelet is a domain specific environmental modelling language that was designed around a limited set of key concepts chosen to help modellers focus on their model, while leaving the implementation to an automatic code generation phase. Here, we focus more specifically on a concept called Relation in Ocelet that allows to build graphs that describe which elements of the model interact, and how. It is designed to be used in combination with two other main concepts: Entities (elements of the …

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Modelling Governance Structures And Climate Change Policy Communications On Community Resilience In The Canadian Arctic, Rachel A. Hirsch Jul 2010

Modelling Governance Structures And Climate Change Policy Communications On Community Resilience In The Canadian Arctic, Rachel A. Hirsch

International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software

The Government of Canada recognizes that climate change is now unavoidablemaking it imperative to help Northern Canadians adapt. There is evidence of adaptive capacityas local communities are forced to adjust; however, these adaptive strategies tend to be reactiveand localized in nature. There is therefore an increasing need to develop integrated regionalclimate change policies. I argue that an ecological health approach based on complexitymodelling can inform climate change policy in the Canadian arctic. I propose a two-phaseinstitutional mapping procedure in order to identify and understand multiple stakeholderperspectives or ways of knowing about climate change resilience. A key problem is tounderstand how …

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Using 3pg+ To Simulate Longterm Growth And Transpiration In Eucalyptus Regnans Forests, Paul Feikema, Jim Morris, Craig Beverly, Patrick N. J. Lane, Tom Baker Jul 2010

Using 3pg+ To Simulate Longterm Growth And Transpiration In Eucalyptus Regnans Forests, Paul Feikema, Jim Morris, Craig Beverly, Patrick N. J. Lane, Tom Baker

International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software

The amount of water derived from forested water supply catchments depends largely on forest evapotranspiration, which in turn depends on forest age and structure. There is increasing interest to predict the effects of forest disturbance (e.g. fire) and management (e.g. thinning) on streamflow. One approach is to incorporate present knowledge of water use into process-based models that simultaneously predict water use and growth of forests. We take 3PG+, an enhanced version of the 3PG forest growth model with a daily multi-layered water balance, and validate it for multi-species Eucalyptus regnans forests. The model has to date been applied to single-species …

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Modelling The Environment Using Graphs With Behaviour: Do You Speak Ocelet?, P. Degenne, A. Ait Lahcen, O. Cure, R. Forax, D. Parigot, D. Lo Seen Jul 2010

Modelling The Environment Using Graphs With Behaviour: Do You Speak Ocelet?, P. Degenne, A. Ait Lahcen, O. Cure, R. Forax, D. Parigot, D. Lo Seen

International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software

Environmental modelling often implies defining elements that relate and interact with each other, in a system that evolves with time. Ocelet is a domain specific environmental modelling language that was designed around a limited set of key concepts chosen to help modellers focus on their model, while leaving the implementation to an automatic code generation phase. Here, we focus more specifically on a concept called Relation in Ocelet that allows to build graphs that describe which elements of the model interact, and how. It is designed to be used in combination with two other main concepts: Entities (elements of the …

Go to article

Using Nvidia Gpu For Modelling The Lagrangian Particle Dispersion In The Atmosphere, Jiye Zeng, Tsuneo Matsunaga, Hitoshi Mukai Jul 2010

Using Nvidia Gpu For Modelling The Lagrangian Particle Dispersion In The Atmosphere, Jiye Zeng, Tsuneo Matsunaga, Hitoshi Mukai

International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software

A Lagrangian particle dispersion model computes trajectories for a large number of particles and is often used for describing the transport and diffusion of tracers in the atmosphere. In a typical application, computing the position changes of particles is the bottleneck that controls the total execution time. Such a model presents a good case for investigating the use of NVIDIA’s Graphic Processor Unit or GPU. We developed a Lagrangian particle dispersion model based on FLEXPART to take the advantage of the GPU’s parallel computing power. Preliminary tests show that using a GPU can improve the performance by as much as …

Go to article

Modelling Governance Structures And Climate Change Policy Communications On Community Resilience In The Canadian Arctic, Rachel A. Hirsch Jul 2010

Modelling Governance Structures And Climate Change Policy Communications On Community Resilience In The Canadian Arctic, Rachel A. Hirsch

International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software

The Government of Canada recognizes that climate change is now unavoidablemaking it imperative to help Northern Canadians adapt. There is evidence of adaptive capacityas local communities are forced to adjust; however, these adaptive strategies tend to be reactiveand localized in nature. There is therefore an increasing need to develop integrated regionalclimate change policies. I argue that an ecological health approach based on complexitymodelling can inform climate change policy in the Canadian arctic. I propose a two-phaseinstitutional mapping procedure in order to identify and understand multiple stakeholderperspectives or ways of knowing about climate change resilience. A key problem is tounderstand how …

Go to article

Using 3pg+ To Simulate Longterm Growth And Transpiration In Eucalyptus Regnans Forests, Paul Feikema, Jim Morris, Craig Beverly, Patrick N. J. Lane, Tom Baker Jul 2010

Using 3pg+ To Simulate Longterm Growth And Transpiration In Eucalyptus Regnans Forests, Paul Feikema, Jim Morris, Craig Beverly, Patrick N. J. Lane, Tom Baker

International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software

The amount of water derived from forested water supply catchments depends largely on forest evapotranspiration, which in turn depends on forest age and structure. There is increasing interest to predict the effects of forest disturbance (e.g. fire) and management (e.g. thinning) on streamflow. One approach is to incorporate present knowledge of water use into process-based models that simultaneously predict water use and growth of forests. We take 3PG+, an enhanced version of the 3PG forest growth model with a daily multi-layered water balance, and validate it for multi-species Eucalyptus regnans forests. The model has to date been applied to single-species …

Go to article

Climate Change Impact On Agriculture: Devils Lake Basin, Andrei Kirilenko Jul 2010

Climate Change Impact On Agriculture: Devils Lake Basin, Andrei Kirilenko

International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software

Northern Great Plains is one of the most important agricultural regionsworldwide. This is also a region expected to be heavily impacted by climate change. Thisand two other papers in this session concentrate on studying climate change impacts onwater resources of the region, and on the impacts of these changes on agriculture. Themajor focus of our interest is Devils Lake watershed in North Dakota. The watershed islocated in the Northern Great Plains, the area where intensive agriculture has caused anextreme change in land use and land cover, followed by substantial water pollution. DevilsLake is an endorheic (terminal) lake, which makes it …

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Formalizing Knowledge On International Environmental Regimes For Integrated Assessment Modeling, M. De Vos, P. Janssen, S. Frantzi, P. Pattberg, A. Petersen, F. Biermann, M. Kok Jul 2010

Formalizing Knowledge On International Environmental Regimes For Integrated Assessment Modeling, M. De Vos, P. Janssen, S. Frantzi, P. Pattberg, A. Petersen, F. Biermann, M. Kok

International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software

International environmental regimes are considered key factors in dealing with global environmental problems. It is important to understand if and how these regimes are effective in solving or improving global environmental problems. In this paper we present a multidisciplinary approach to formalize knowledge on the effectiveness of environmental regimes. We constructed a conceptual framework to enhance systematic analysis of conditions that influence regime effectiveness and implemented this into a computer model using fuzzy logic reasoning. We applied the model in a preliminary analysis of two environmental regimes, the Convention on Biological Diversity and the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate …

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A Scientific Workflow Tool For Biosphere Modelling: Carbon Sink Archives, G. A. Alexandrov, T. Matsunaga Jul 2010

A Scientific Workflow Tool For Biosphere Modelling: Carbon Sink Archives, G. A. Alexandrov, T. Matsunaga

International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software

Scientific workflows in the field of biosphere modelling include assessment of the state of the art in modelling global biogeochemical cycles. The process of assessment consists of the following steps: collecting model outputs, performing model inter-comparison study, writing summary for policymakers, formulating an agenda for further research. Here, we present a web-based service that automates the entire process.

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Modelling Urban Land Use Change Using Geographically Weighted Regression And The Implications For Sustainable Environmental Planning, Noresah Mohd Shariff, Sanjay Gairola, Anita Talib Jul 2010

Modelling Urban Land Use Change Using Geographically Weighted Regression And The Implications For Sustainable Environmental Planning, Noresah Mohd Shariff, Sanjay Gairola, Anita Talib

International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software

In this study we applied Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) approach to model urban landuse changes in Penang Island from 1990 to 2005, covering the period during which the Island has experiencedtremendous urban growth due to in migration from adjacent areas. Land use change has potential impacts on thephysical and social environment. We identified spatial variables describing environment, physical and socioeconomicfactors which are hypothesized to influence the change in the land use in the study area. An ordinaryleast squares regression (OLS) model is applied to the variables followed by a GWR model and the results arecompared. The results show that the …

Go to article

Formalizing Knowledge On International Environmental Regimes For Integrated Assessment Modeling, M. De Vos, P. Janssen, S. Frantzi, P. Pattberg, A. Petersen, F. Biermann, M. Kok Jul 2010

Formalizing Knowledge On International Environmental Regimes For Integrated Assessment Modeling, M. De Vos, P. Janssen, S. Frantzi, P. Pattberg, A. Petersen, F. Biermann, M. Kok

International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software

International environmental regimes are considered key factors in dealing with global environmental problems. It is important to understand if and how these regimes are effective in solving or improving global environmental problems. In this paper we present a multidisciplinary approach to formalize knowledge on the effectiveness of environmental regimes. We constructed a conceptual framework to enhance systematic analysis of conditions that influence regime effectiveness and implemented this into a computer model using fuzzy logic reasoning. We applied the model in a preliminary analysis of two environmental regimes, the Convention on Biological Diversity and the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate …

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