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Murray Weidenbaum Publications

Economic Outlook

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Full-Text Articles in Public Policy

Economic Navigation In A Period Of Great Uncertainty, Murray L. Weidenbaum Jan 1998

Economic Navigation In A Period Of Great Uncertainty, Murray L. Weidenbaum

Murray Weidenbaum Publications

1997 was a very good year economically, but 1998 is expected to bring a lower growth rate and a slowdown across a number of industries. But rather than a period of doom-and-gloom, 1998 will in fact be best defined as a time of economic uncertainty. In light of this, this paper attempts to provide an economic outlook for the year ahead by answering three key questions: first, how will the East Asian financial deterioration affect us? Second, will politicians try to spend the projected federal surplus before it materializes? Lastly, will the Federal Reserve continue to stay on the policy …


Is This The Healthiest Economy In Three Decades?, Murray L. Weidenbaum Mar 1996

Is This The Healthiest Economy In Three Decades?, Murray L. Weidenbaum

Murray Weidenbaum Publications

The same people who would not admit a real economic recovery was underway in 1992 are reluctant to acknowledge that this same recovery is now old and tired in 1996. Only 31% pf the adult population is satisfied with the economy. Over one-half of Americans believe that the country is "headed in the wrong direction." For the most part, the data support these sentiments, from slowed GDP and productivity growth to increased worker insecurity. Policymakers need to take their own Hippocratic oath: First, do no harm. At the same time, they cannot sit idly by either.


The Changing U.S. Economic Outlook, Murray L. Weidenbaum Oct 1990

The Changing U.S. Economic Outlook, Murray L. Weidenbaum

Murray Weidenbaum Publications

Economist Murray Weidenbaum presents his outlook on the U.S. economy as it transitions from the longest peacetime expansion in its history to an economic recession.


The American Economy: Is A Turning Point At Hand?, Murray L. Weidenbaum Jul 1989

The American Economy: Is A Turning Point At Hand?, Murray L. Weidenbaum

Murray Weidenbaum Publications

American businesses are making adjustments to the global marketplace. Politically, the big question is whether or not the Cold War is finally ending. Can the United States successfully shift key resources to the civilian economy? Will the lower military demand lead to a worldwide recession or will it free up resources for a period of stronger growth? There are signs of a potential slowdown in the short term. In the long term, open markets seem to be prevailing, with three dominant clusters emerging: Europe, U.S./Canada, and the Pacific rim.


Learning To Compete: Feedback Effects Of The Non-Linear Economy, Murray L. Weidenbaum, Richard Burr, Richard Cook Apr 1986

Learning To Compete: Feedback Effects Of The Non-Linear Economy, Murray L. Weidenbaum, Richard Burr, Richard Cook

Murray Weidenbaum Publications

There are three key forces that make a period of sustained prosperity likely during the 1990s. First, actions that reduce the cost of producing goods and services in the United States. Second, a new awareness of personal responsibility for the quality of American goods. Finally, a rapid growth in research and development investments.


An Economist's Look At The 1984 Elections--And Beyond, Murray L. Weidenbaum Sep 1984

An Economist's Look At The 1984 Elections--And Beyond, Murray L. Weidenbaum

Murray Weidenbaum Publications

Depending on the winner of the 1984 presidential election, the author shows what the policies of a Reagan Administration or Mondale Administration would be regarding deficits, tax reform, regulation, antitrust laws, and protectionism.


The 1978 Economy: Outlook And Policy, Murray L. Weidenbaum Nov 1977

The 1978 Economy: Outlook And Policy, Murray L. Weidenbaum

Murray Weidenbaum Publications

This economic forecast examines trends within the major sectors of the economy to make predictions about how the American economy will fare in 1978. The overall outlook is relatively tame. The real economic growth rate will average about 4.5% in 1978 with inflation a little under 6% and a moderate decline in unemployment. All in all, 1978 is predicted to be a stable period of modest growth and prosperity.