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Full-Text Articles in Psychology

Conservatism In A Bayesian Probability Situation As A Function Of The Sex Of The Subject, Paul Frederick Miller Aug 1967

Conservatism In A Bayesian Probability Situation As A Function Of The Sex Of The Subject, Paul Frederick Miller

All Master's Theses

The present study was designed to examine whether the conservatism present in a Bayesian probability situation could be partially attributable to the sex of the subjects performing the task. The experimental design required that the subjects estimate the probabilities of occurrence of two independent events. They were then given an opportunity to revise their estimates as additional information was experimentally introduced into the situation. These estimates were compared to estimates calculated from Bayes’ theorem.


Bayes’ Theorem: A Model For Human Probability Estimate Revision, William H. Hickok Aug 1967

Bayes’ Theorem: A Model For Human Probability Estimate Revision, William H. Hickok

All Master's Theses

The purpose of this study was to examine Bayes' Theorem as a model for the description of how humans utilize information based on uncertain (probabilistic) relationships between the relevant cues and the outcome-classes.


Revision Of Subjective Probabilities Under A Bayesian Model, Gary A. Sterner Aug 1966

Revision Of Subjective Probabilities Under A Bayesian Model, Gary A. Sterner

All Master's Theses

The purpose of this study was to examine the degree to which subjective probability judgments conform to the Bayesian model of mathematical probability theory; more specifically, the degree to which subjective probability estimates for intersections of events approximate the product of the subjective judgments for component events.


A Comparison Of Estimates Of Relative Frequency Vs. Subjective Probability, Duncan Muir Mcquarrie Aug 1966

A Comparison Of Estimates Of Relative Frequency Vs. Subjective Probability, Duncan Muir Mcquarrie

All Master's Theses

The purpose of this study is to extend the investigation of the general area of subjective probability by exploring three methods of asking for estimates. Inasmuch as this area has not been a major focus of interest for experimental studies, a brief review of the kinds of studies emanating from subjective probability notions will be given.