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Articles 1 - 6 of 6
Full-Text Articles in Models and Methods
Power Transition Theory And The Global Arms Trade: Exploring Constructs From Social Network Analysis, David Todd Kinsella
Power Transition Theory And The Global Arms Trade: Exploring Constructs From Social Network Analysis, David Todd Kinsella
Political Science Faculty Publications and Presentations
Structural dimensions of the international system are key elements in power transition theory. Most theoretical applications to date have examined the distribution of power, and fluctuations in that distribution, as a precursor to global and regional warfare. Somewhat less attention has been paid to the coalitional structure of the international system in applied research. In this paper I suggest that certain concepts from power transition theory, including those that rely on information about alliance membership, might also be operationalized by examining the global arms trade using tools developed for social network analysis (SNA). I focus in particular on the SNA …
The Illicit Arms Trade: A Social Network Analysis, David Todd Kinsella
The Illicit Arms Trade: A Social Network Analysis, David Todd Kinsella
Political Science Faculty Publications and Presentations
In recent years, researchers have increasingly turned their attention to the proliferation of small arms and light weapons. Small arms are difficult to track and are not the stuff of military parades, but they are immensely destructive. In addition to what is already circulating, a substantial percentage of what is newly produced enters the black market and is destined for conflict zones across the globe. I argue that the illicit trade in small arms shares some important properties with networked forms of organization studied by sociologists. I then employ quantitative methods developed for the study of social networks in an …
The Black Market In Small Arms: Examining A Social Network, David Todd Kinsella
The Black Market In Small Arms: Examining A Social Network, David Todd Kinsella
Political Science Faculty Publications and Presentations
In recent years, researchers have increasingly turned their attention to the proliferation of small arms, a transnational trade amounting to over $7 billion in value during 2002. Small arms are difficult to track and are not the stuff of military parades, but they are immensely destructive. As much as $1 billion worth enters the black market annually. I argue that the illicit trade in small arms should be understood not as a market but as a network, one that shares some important properties with networked forms of organization studied by sociologists. I then employ quantitative methods developed for the study …
Mapping The Small Arms Trade: Insights From Social Network Analysis, David Todd Kinsella
Mapping The Small Arms Trade: Insights From Social Network Analysis, David Todd Kinsella
Political Science Faculty Publications and Presentations
In recent years, researchers have increasingly turned their attention to the proliferation of small arms, a transnational trade amounting to over $7 billion in value during 2002. Small arms are difficult to track and are not the stuff of military parades, but they are immensely destructive. The trade in small arms should be understood not as a market but as a network, one that shares some important properties with networked forms of organization studied by sociologists. I make this argument and then employ quantitative methods developed for the study of social networks in an effort to show the basic structure …
Changing Structure Of The Arms Trade: A Social Network Analysis, David Todd Kinsella
Changing Structure Of The Arms Trade: A Social Network Analysis, David Todd Kinsella
Political Science Faculty Publications and Presentations
The global arms trade should be understood not as a market but as a network, one that shares some important properties with networked forms of organization studied by sociologists. I make this argument and then employ quantitative methods developed for social network analysis in an effort to describe the evolving structure of the arms trade network since the end of World War II. That structure has changed significantly over the past fifty years. It became less dense in the early years of the cold war as newly independent states joined the society of states, but had yet to develop many …
Conflict Emergence And Escalation In Interactive International Dyads, David Todd Kinsella, Bruce M. Russett
Conflict Emergence And Escalation In Interactive International Dyads, David Todd Kinsella, Bruce M. Russett
Political Science Faculty Publications and Presentations
We examine whether the conditions affecting initial expressions of hostility are similar to those affecting militarized disputes. Analyzing dyadic interactions during the years 1951–1992, we estimate a model to take into account selection effects and check it against another allowing conjunctive causation. Both provide close approximations to theoretical models of the conflict process and yield similar results. We confirm Kant’s belief that all states are subject to the realist conditions of interstate competition that makes disputes likely, but that liberal influences, if present, can constrain the escalation of such disputes to war. Several influences on the conflict process have nonmonotonic …